Flash Flood Warning 82, NWS Springfield, MO

997 
WGUS73 KSGF 082336
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
636 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

MOC077-225-082345-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0082.000000T0000Z-190708T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Webster MO-Greene MO-
636 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN WEBSTER AND EAST CENTRAL
GREENE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding is no longer expected to
pose a threat to life or property. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3722 9272 3716 9274 3716 9280 3717 9289
      3713 9299 3724 9310 3726 9316 3738 9313
      3738 9301 3734 9290 3726 9285

$$

Lindenberg

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
307 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

Another day, another round of scattered afternoon showers/storms.
Today's activity initiated where slightly better low level
convergence existed this morning, but now outflow boundaries are
serving as the main triggers for storms. The air mass is very
similar to the past couple of days and expect the activity to die
down gradually this evening. Drier low level air up in our far
northeast cwfa will likely keep that area dry today/tonight.

An upper level short wave ridge over our area now will shift off
to the east for Tuesday and think coverage of storms will be
slightly higher. Higher pwats of around 2.00 inches are expected
and may support an uptick in rainfall amounts, especially over the
eastern cwfa as a subtle shortwave moves through.

Heat index values will reach just over 100 deg F over the western
and southwestern cwfa on Tuesday. That is below heat advisory
criteria, but creeping up a bit from what it has been.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

Wednesday: Finally a change in the pattern as a shortwave moving
through the Dakotas and Midwest push a sfc front through the
region on Wednesday. Weak vertical shear and what looks like
highly veered sfc winds ahead of the front (limiting low level
convergence) looks to limit storm coverage/chances and
organization. Given the moderate instability and a fropa the SPC
marginal risk looks reasonable/prudent.

May have to watch temperatures/humidity during the day Wed.
Our forecast database has 100 to 105 deg F heat index values in
the afternoon. Temperatures should cool off Wednesday night.

Thursday-Saturday: Looks rain free. Lower humidity is expected
with cooler temperatures late in the work week, especially at
night. As an upper ridge begins to build back in from the west
over the weekend we should see a warming trend, but nothing
unusual for July.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

Scattered showers and isolated storms will again develop today
during the peak heating of the day. Where storms occur, heavy rain
and gusty winds will be possible along with MVFR flight
conditions. Otherwise clouds will be scattered around 2500ft with
middle and high level broken decks and VFR flight conditions.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
332 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-092045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
332 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms will occur through this evening mainly
southwest of a Warsaw to Salem line. Occasional lightning, heavy
downpours, and gusty winds will be possible. Where heavier rain
can persist, some localized brief flooding will be possible.

Afternoon heat index readings will be in 90s, reaching up to as
high as 100 degrees in southeast Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected at times through Wednesday.
A few storms may produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall. There is
a marginal risk for severe storms on Wednesday with a cold front.

Afternoon heat indices in the 90s to around 100 degrees can be
expected Tuesday and 100 to 105 on Wednesday. After a brief
period
of less humidity, heat index values are expected to to reach the
mid to upper 90s again this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA