Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2019
Wind Advisory 3, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this wind advisory at Jan 19, 2019, 3:33 PM EST for 7 counties in Virginia; 6 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 20, 2019, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2019, 3:33 PM EST (20:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 20, 2019, 7:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 20, 2019, 9:09 PM EST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
Counties Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Buckingham County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 900 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 275 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 334 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
768 WWUS71 KRNK 192033 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 333 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...Strong to damaging winds, accumulating snow and low wind chills... .A cold front moving across the region tonight will usher in a shot of Arctic air on Sunday continuing into Suday night. Strong to damaging wind gusts are expected to occur, which when combined with cold air temperatures will lead to very low wind chills. A period of accumulating snow is expected in southeast West Virginia, the Mountain Empire, Grayson Highlands and the northern mountains of North Carolina. Windy conditions and accumulating snow are expected to end by Monday. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-200400- /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 333 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as -15F Sunday night. * Snow Accumulations...1 to 3 inches of snow. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning, along with the beginning of accumulating light snows. Peak winds occur Sunday mid- morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. Hazardous accumulating snows, damaging winds and snow accumulations are expected to end Monday morning. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-200400- /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 333 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as -15F Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043-044-047-058-059-200400- /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Martinsville, Danville, South Boston, and Keysville 333 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...Between 0 and -10F Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The northern Piedmont and foothills of North Carolina, and Southside Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. && $$
7 follow-up statements
835 WWUS71 KRNK 192039 CCA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 339 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...Strong to damaging winds, accumulating snow and low wind chills... .A cold front moving across the region tonight will usher in a shot of Arctic air on Sunday continuing into Sunday night. Strong to damaging wind gusts are expected to occur, which when combined with cold air temperatures will lead to very low wind chills. A period of accumulating snow is expected in southeast West Virginia, the Mountain Empire, Grayson Highlands and the northern mountains of North Carolina. Windy conditions and accumulating snow are expected to end by Monday. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-200400- /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 339 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as -15F Sunday night. * Snow Accumulations...1 to 3 inches of snow. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning, along with the beginning of accumulating light snows. Peak winds occur Sunday mid- morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. Hazardous accumulating snows, damaging winds and snow accumulations are expected to end Monday morning. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-200400- /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 339 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as -15F Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043-044-047-058-059-200400- /O.COR.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Martinsville, Danville, South Boston, and Keysville 339 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...in the single digits Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The northern Piedmont and foothills of North Carolina, and Southside Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. && $$
858 WWUS71 KRNK 200345 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1045 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...Strong to damaging winds, snow and low wind chills... .An arctic front crosses the area by Sunday morning, with a surge of strong winds and very cold air moving in behind it. Strong to damaging wind gusts are expected to occur, which when combined with cold air temperatures will lead to very low wind chills, especially Sunday night. A period of accumulating snow is expected across the Grayson Highlands and the northern mountains of North Carolina. Windy conditions and accumulating snow are expected to end by Monday. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-201145- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 1045 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as 15 degrees below zero Sunday night. * Snow Accumulations...1 to 3 inches of snow. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning, along with the beginning of accumulating light snows. Peak winds occur Sunday mid- morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. Hazardous accumulating snows, damaging winds and snow accumulations are expected to end Monday morning. * Impacts...Slippery and snow covered roads. Blowing snow with reduced visibilities. Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. In addition, expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report snowfall amounts or wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-201145- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 1045 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as 15 below zero Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043-044-047-058-059-201145- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Martinsville, Danville, South Boston, and Keysville 1045 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...in the single digits Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The northern Piedmont and foothills of North Carolina, and Southside Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$
186 WWUS71 KRNK 200425 CCA NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1125 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...Strong to damaging winds, snow and low wind chills... .An arctic front crosses the area by Sunday morning, with a surge of strong winds and very cold air moving in behind it. Strong to damaging wind gusts are expected to occur, which when combined with cold air temperatures will lead to very low wind chills, especially Sunday night. A period of accumulating snow is expected across the Grayson Highlands and the northern mountains of North Carolina. Windy conditions and accumulating snow are expected to end by Monday. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-201145- /O.COR.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 1125 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as 15 degrees below zero Sunday night. * Snow Accumulations...1 to 3 inches of snow. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning, along with the beginning of accumulating light snows. Peak winds occur Sunday mid- morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday. Damaging winds and snow accumulations are expected to end Monday morning. * Impacts...Slippery and snow covered roads. Blowing snow with reduced visibilities. Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. In addition, expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report snowfall amounts or wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-201145- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 1125 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...As low as 15 below zero Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043-044-047-058-059-201145- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Martinsville, Danville, South Boston, and Keysville 1125 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...in the single digits Sunday night. * Timing...Winds increase early Sunday morning. Peak winds occur Sunday mid-morning into Sunday night. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The northern Piedmont and foothills of North Carolina, and Southside Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$
512 WWUS71 KRNK 200842 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 342 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...Strong to damaging winds, snow and low wind chills... .An arctic front crosses the area this morning, with a surge of strong winds and very cold air moving in behind it. Strong to damaging wind gusts are expected to occur, which when combined with cold air temperatures will lead to very low wind chills, especially later tonight. A period of accumulating snow is expected across the Grayson Highlands and the northern mountains of North Carolina. Windy conditions and accumulating snow are expected to end during Monday. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-201645- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 342 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * Wind Chills...10 to 15 degrees below zero late tonight. * Snow Accumulations...1 to 3 inches of snow. * Timing...Winds increase early this morning, along with the beginning of accumulating light snow. Peak winds occur mid morning through early afternoon and then again this evening. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values late tonight. Damaging winds and snow accumulations are expected to end Monday morning. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines along with minor structural damage. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. Slippery and snow covered roads. Blowing snow with reduced visibilities. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. In addition, expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report snowfall amounts or wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-201645- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 342 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph. * Wind Chills...5 to 15 below zero late tonight. * Timing...Winds increase early this morning. Peak winds occur mid-morning into early this afternoon with a second surge this evening. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills Sunday night could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043-044-047-058-059-201645- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.190120T1200Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Martinsville, Danville, South Boston, and Keysville 342 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...In the single digits late tonight. * Timing...Winds increase this morning. Peak winds occur mid- morning into this evening. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. * Locations...The northern Piedmont and foothills of North Carolina, and Southside Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. If venturing out Sunday and especially Sunday night into Monday morning, wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$
406 WWUS71 KRNK 201656 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1156 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...Strong to Damaging winds and Dangerous Wind Chills this afternoon and tonight... .Strong to damaging winds are expected this afternoon and tonight. Snow showers will will persist in the mountains with some accumulation from the Grayson Highlands into the mountains of northwest North Carolina. The combination of cold air and gusty winds will result in dangerous wind chills. VAZ043-044-047-201800- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Henry-Pittsylvania-Buckingham- Including the cities of Martinsville and Danville 1156 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has replaced the Wind Advisory. A wind chill advisory is now in effect. Low temperatures will drop down to 5 above to 15 above zero tonight. Winds will be from the northwest at 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. This will result in wind chills around zero by Monday morning. $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-210500- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 1156 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...10 to 15 degrees below zero late tonight. * Snow Accumulations...1 to 3 inches of snow. * Timing...Strongest winds will continue into this evening. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values late tonight. Snow accumulations are expected to end Monday morning. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines along with minor structural damage. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. Slippery and snow covered roads. Blowing snow with reduced visibilities. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. In addition, expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. If venturing out wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report snowfall amounts or wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-210500- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 1156 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * Wind Chills...5 to 15 below zero late tonight. * Timing...Strongest winds continue into this evening. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties, including Fancy Gap. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. If venturing out wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ058-059-210500- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, South Boston, and Keysville 1156 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...In the single digits late tonight. * Timing...Peak winds into this evening. Coldest wind chills late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. * Locations...The North Carolina foothills and piedmont and the piedmont of Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. If venturing out wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$
976 WWUS71 KRNK 202055 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 355 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...Strong to Damaging winds and Dangerous Wind Chills this afternoon and tonight... .Strong to damaging winds are expected tonight. Snow showers will will persist in the mountains with light accumulation from the Grayson Highlands into the mountains of northwest North Carolina. The combination of cold air and gusty winds will result in dangerous wind chills. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-210500- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 355 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Wind Chills...10 to 19 degrees below zero late tonight. * Snow Accumulations...up to 1 inch additional of snow. * Timing...Strongest winds will continue into this evening. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values late tonight. Snow showers will end late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines along with minor structural damage. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. Slippery and snow covered roads. Blowing snow with reduced visibilities. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts, dangerous wind chills and accumulating snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. In addition, expect snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. If venturing out wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report snowfall amounts or wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ VAZ016-017-022-210500- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 355 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * Wind Chills...5 to 15 below zero late tonight. * Timing...Strongest winds continue into this evening. Wind chills will reach lowest values late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties, including Fancy Gap. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. If venturing out wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ058-059-210500- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, South Boston, and Keysville 355 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...In the single digits late tonight. * Timing...Peak winds into this evening. Coldest wind chills late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees limbs and sporadic power outages. * Locations...The North Carolina foothills and piedmont and the piedmont of Virginia. * Hazards...Strong winds and low wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. If venturing out wear layers of loose-fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$
566 WWUS71 KRNK 210209 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 909 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...Strong to Damaging winds and Dangerous Wind Chills tonight... .Strong to damaging winds are expected tonight. The combination of cold air and gusty winds will result in dangerous wind chills. VAZ016-017-022-211015- /O.CAN.KRNK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0004.190121T0209Z-190121T1200Z/ Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke- Including the cities of Galax, Floyd, Roanoke, and Salem 909 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 7 AM EST Monday. The High Wind Warning has been cancelled. * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Wind Chills...5 to 15 below zero late tonight. * Timing...Strongest winds continue into this evening. Wind chills will reach lowest values late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Roanoke to Carroll Counties, including Fancy Gap. * Hazards...Damaging winds and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be 31 to 39 MPH or gusts will range between 46 and 57 MPH. Winds of these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use extra caution until the winds subside. If venturing out wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ058-059-210315- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Danbury, Eden, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, South Boston, and Keysville 909 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has cancelled the Wind Advisory. Northwest winds overall have eased up to below advisory levels of greater than 45 mph. Gusts at times to 30 to 40 mph may occur. Expect wind chills overnight to drop to just above zero. $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-211015- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney 909 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * Wind Chills...10 to 19 degrees below zero late tonight. * Timing...Strongest winds will continue tonight. Wind chills expected to reach lowest values late tonight. * Impacts...Potential for downed trees and powerlines along with minor structural damage. Very difficult travel through mountain passes. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * Locations...The southern Blue Ridge from Grayson to Watauga Counties. * Hazards...Damaging wind gusts and dangerous wind chills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph are likely to cause power outages...fallen trees... property damage...and dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and deck furniture...indoors. If venturing out wear layers of loose- fitting, lightweight warm clothing, a hat, and mittens or gloves. The public is encouraged to report wind damage to the National Weather Service via email at rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov...through Facebook or Twitter...or by calling 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Pictures are greatly appreciated. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 19, 1:06 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 1:06 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 106 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure will move east across the Tennessee Valley this afternoon, and through the Mid-Atlantic region tonight. This feature and its associated cold front will bring periods of rain today into tonight. In the wake of this system, strong northwest winds will usher much colder air and mountain snow showers into the region on Sunday, with the very cold conditions persisting into the start of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1245 PM EST Saturday...Have cancelled the Winter Weather Advisory for Bath and Greenbrier Counties. Observations indicate wet bulb temperatures have risen above 32F, with precipitation expected to take the form of rain. Hot Springs continues to show UP in the observation but temperature and dewpoint are 33 degrees so any frozen precip likely erroneous. Did add some areas of patchy fog on the western side of the wedge, with visibilities generally 1-3 statute miles, though is a bit lower toward the I-77/Fancy Gap area. Otherwise, no other changes made at this point as we await initial onset of rain just beginning to sneak into our far southwestern CWA. Previous discussion from 230 AM... Active scenario over the next 24 hours as a strong upper trough over the southern plains swings quickly northeast today and tags up with northern stream energy sliding by to the north. This should help drive rather deep surface low pressure from the western TN valley this afternoon to across the region later this evening and to the east by daybreak. Will initially see weak isentropic lift and upslope aid some lighter rain development this morning before the better jet dynamics and deeper moisture arrive ahead of the leading edge of sharp shortwave energy aloft by this evening. However guidance remains slower to produce much precip this morning espcly north where have ongoing headlines for possible icing/light snow. Thus have toned coverage back a bit as the latest HRRR has little within the advisory area until things have warmed up after 18z. Otherwise little change other than to slow down pops this morning before steadily increasing from west to east toward mid/late afternoon, primarily west of the Blue Ridge. Highs tricky given a rather warm start in spots and timing of in-situ wedge development that will offset strong warm advection aloft. Since timing looks slower, edged up highs closer to the current Euro/Mav Mos blend for mainly late day highs with only the north remaining in the 30s. Window of heavier more widespread rainfall looks to come by this evening ahead of the upper trough and associated surface cold front. Models show a strong lift/divergence axis crossing the region aided by strong dynamics and weak instability aloft across the southwest. However deeper convection looks to stay south with much of this rainfall crossing into a brief transition from wedging to warm advection which should keep rates lower outside of any embedded bands just ahead of the cold front. QPF likely to be on the order of 1-1.5 inches far west to less than an inch east where showers should be moving faster tonight. This could cause some localized flooding issues but given lighter expected rain today, wont hoist any flood watches for now. Other issue could be with southerly winds mixing down within the band of heavier rainfall, espcly BLF and points south within a brief window early this evening. Still doesnt appear enough for headlines at this point with soundings showing the jet basically above the inversion within a saturated layer. Timing of the cold front still looks to be across the far west just prior to dawn and near the Blue Ridge near 12z. Latest forecast soundings suggest the abrupt surge of cold air may be just fast enough to catch exiting moisture across the far west where ran with a changeover to light snow/sleet prior to daybreak, espcly BLF/LWB vicinity. Amounts look less than an inch at best but still a flash freeze scenario where moisture lingers as the punch of strong northwest winds arrives around the same time with the dry slot working from west to east after midnight. Since already have an advisory ongoing for today, plan to hold off addressing the cold advection headlines until later on for now. Otrw slowed down the cold air a bit from the Blue Ridge east where models are always too fast to swing the 85h boundary across. This likely to result in a range from 50s southeast late tonight where temps will be quickly rising overnight, to 30s Blue Ridge, to falling into the 20s far west late. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 335 AM EST Saturday... By sunrise Sunday, the surface cold front should be east of the Blue Ridge with the bulk of the heavy rain moving over the coastal piedmont. Meanwhile, a closed low associated with this Arctic front will open into a trough over the Ohio Valley. The deformation zone from this trough and cold air working into the region will have rain changing to snow across the mountains through the morning. There may also be a brief period of sleet during this transition. Snowfall totals for Sunday morning will range between a dusting to two inches across the mountains with the high-end range across elevations above 3000 feet of southeastern West Virginia. Snow will change to snow showers going into the afternoon as northwest flow increases over the region. Moisture from the Great Lakes will impact the mountains late in the afternoon and into the evening. An additional 1-2 inches of snow is likely for western slopes. Channel vorticity axis will stretched from the Midwest to the southern Appalachian Mountains into the evening. This may help produce more snow along western slopes than currently forecasted. Intense snowbands may also develop during the evening hours across the Mountain Empire and New River Valley, quickly reducing visibilities and dropping an inch or so of snow in a very short time. In addition to have hydro issues with rain from Saturday night and the snow Sunday, strong gusty northwest winds will also be a problem. The best pressure rises and strongest low level jet occurs after the front moves into the piedmont Sunday morning. Winds of 20- 35 mph with gusts approaching 50 mph are possible along the Blue Ridge. Elsewhere winds of 15-25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph will be common. Winds are expected to weaken some through the afternoon, but will remain breezy into Monday morning. Sunday's high temperatures (upper 20s to lower 30s) across the mountains will occur early in the morning. Strong cold air advection through the day will have temperatures dropping into the low to mid 20s by sunset. Across the foothills, maximum temperatures (lower 40s) should occur by late morning, then drop into the lower 30s by the end of the day. The piedmont may touch 50F by noon then see temperatures fall into the upper 30s. It is also worth mentioning that with the very cold air rushing into the area Sunday, water left on roadways may freeze creating patches of black ice. The combination of strong winds and very cold temperatures will create dangerous wind chills Sunday night into Monday morning. Temperatures Sunday night are expected to fall into the single digits across the mountains to the teens east of the Blue Ridge. Wind chill readings across the mountains will be below zero and into the single digits east Monday morning. Temperatures will warm while the winds weaken Monday afternoon, but the area will remain in a deep freeze into Tuesday. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 230 PM EST Friday... Synoptic pattern in decent agreement Tuesday then differences grow as a pronounced trough moves out of the southern Rockies. While differences remain in the timing of individual short waves the overall pattern of a broad upper trough over much of the continental United States remains through Thursday. Tuesday morning the surface high will be centered over the Mid Atlantic states. As the high moves offshore Tuesday night and Wednesday winds will increase from the southwest. The next cold front reaches the area Wednesday. Models develop a strong surface low along this front Wednesday night with a wide range in solutions for the location of this system by Thursday morning. Will lean toward WPC's blended ECMWF/GEFS solution. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 102 PM EST Saturday... An active 18z TAF period with low clouds, light rain with intervals of mist/fog thru 00z, then a strong frontal passage should bring with it a short-lived period of RA+ between 01-06z. See TAFs for timing. Current flight categories generally are sub-MVFR at the TAFs and there is high confidence of at least sub-MVFR through 06z at most TAFs. Winds initially are east to southeast 4-8 kts will tend to veer to south around 4-8 kts through 06z. Will also see periods of LLWS through midnight as southerly low- level jet of 40 kts precedes frontal passage. Aviation concerns for the latter portion of the TAF period (06-18z Sunday) include a gusty frontal passage with strong/gusty winds across most terminals, MVFR-IFR visby snow showers at Bluefield and Lewisburg and VFR type snow showers/flurries into Blacksburg. Strong cold temperature advection overnight into early Sunday could result in freeze-up of untreated runways especially from Roanoke westward as temperatures fall into the 20s. Flight categories should generally improve to VFR conditions at Lynchburg and Danville by early Sunday morning. Will see lowest flight categories further west one goes due to snow showers and MVFR type ceilings. Winds should be between 10-18 kts Sunday with gusts between 20-35 kts. Strongest wind gusts tomorrow at Roanoke with gusts by late in the TAF approaching 45 kts. Extended Aviation Discussion... Should see improving conditions Sunday evening as snow showers decrease in coverage in the western mountains and ceilings begin to improve. Winds will still be strong with potential for turbulence near the Blue Ridge through Monday morning. Winds will diminish Monday into Tuesday with gradual clearing and return to VFR underneath strong subsidence from High pressure passing overhead. Surface front enters by Tue night-Wed with an increasing chance of precip with sub-VFR returning. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && SYNOPSIS...JH NEAR TERM...AL/JH SHORT TERM...RCS LONG TERM...AMS AVIATION...AL/JH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 12:27 PM EST, 3 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1227 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-201730- Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Patrick-Franklin- Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham- Halifax-Charlotte- 1227 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina, northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. A passing Arctic front will bring strong post frontal northwest winds and much colder temperatures by Sunday night and Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-WVZ042>044-507-508-201730- Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski- Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke- Botetourt-Rockbridge-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Western Greenbrier- 1227 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Passage of a strong cold front is expected to bring a sudden drop in temperatures Sunday which may result in a rapid freeze and onset of accumulating snow across the western mountains, including strong northwest winds, as well as low wind chills. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 3:39 PM EST | High Wind Warning | RNK | Carroll, Floyd, Grayson, Roanoke, City of Galax, City of Roanoke and 1 more | 37 hr |
| Jan 19, 3:52 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RNK | Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Bland and 17 more | 40 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2019Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.