Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Blacksburg, VA

082 
WWUS51 KRNK 171953
SVSRNK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
353 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

VAC031-172002-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-190617T2030Z/
Campbell VA-
353 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CAMPBELL COUNTY 
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened and 
moved out of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been 
cancelled.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3693 7848 3690 7890 3709 7878 3719 7864
      3717 7863 3714 7859 3715 7855 3714 7854
      3714 7853 3709 7848 3709 7846 3708 7845
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 257DEG 16KT 3705 7861 

$$

VAC037-083-172030-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-190617T2030Z/
Charlotte VA-Halifax VA-
353 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL CHARLOTTE AND NORTH CENTRAL HALIFAX COUNTIES...

At 352 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Charlotte Court
House, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Keysville...
Charlotte Court House...
Phenix...
Drakes Branch...
and Abilene.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. For your
safety, move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Stay away from windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 7848 3690 7890 3709 7878 3719 7864
      3717 7863 3714 7859 3715 7855 3714 7854
      3714 7853 3709 7848 3709 7846 3708 7845
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 257DEG 16KT 3705 7861 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KK

732 
WWUS51 KRNK 172021
SVSRNK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
421 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

VAC037-083-172031-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-190617T2030Z/
Charlotte VA-Halifax VA-
421 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CHARLOTTE AND NORTH 
CENTRAL HALIFAX COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 430 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of hail of any
size, as well as reports of any wind damage, including downed trees
or large limbs, to the National Weather Service by calling toll free
at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and pictures can also be
shared on the National Weather Service Blacksburg Facebook page and
on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3693 7848 3690 7890 3709 7878 3719 7864
      3717 7863 3714 7859 3715 7855 3714 7854
      3714 7853 3709 7848 3709 7846 3708 7845
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 257DEG 16KT 3708 7846 

$$

KK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
209 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A stationary front will linger over the Mid Atlantic this week.
Waves of low pressure should track eastward along this front,
which will provide a daily threat of showers and thunderstorms.
Warm and humid conditions should continue through this time.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Monday...

The 12Z RNK sounding reveals a precipitable water of 1.20 inches
and a considerably high freezing level. Wind shear is rather
light, so the threat for any severe weather this afternoon
appears marginal. However, thunderstorms that develop will be
quite efficient in producing rainfall. CAPE should exceed 2,000
J/kg during the next couple hours, which will increase the
expected coverage of storms. A marginal threat for severe
weather also exists this afternoon.

By tonight, the showers and thunderstorms should wane as
instability decreases. Leftover cloudiness from earlier
convection and the humid air mass will keep low temperatures in
the 60s. More showers and thunderstorms appear likely for
Tuesday as a shortwave upper level trough moves overhead. As a
result, POPs were increased across the CWA. Again, heavy
rainfall will likely occur in the storms due to the high
freezing levels and above average precipitable water. SPC also
maintains a marginal threat of severe weather for Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EDT Monday...

Will start Tuesday with a slow-moving frontal boundary drifting
north of the Ohio River. Will also likely have outflow boundaries
(storm-induced cold fronts) lingering across our region that are
left over from Monday night's thunderstorm activity. These
boundaries, in addition to convergence along the mountain ridges,
will serve as the initiation points for showers and thunderstorms
developing during late morning. Convection will then spread east
during the afternoon and evening as a potent wave of low pressure
passes from the upper Ohio River Valley toward the DelMarVA,
riding the frontal boundary. Given precipitable water values
increasing into the 1.6 to 1.8 range and unidirectional winds
through the atmosphere to support training of storms, would
expect a few cells to produce heavy/prolonged downpours which
may result in localized flooding issues. As such, WPC has
included the mountains and Piedmont along/north of Highway 460
in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall. Not as much surface
heating compared to Monday due to the increased cloud cover,
however 30-35 knots of shear will support a few strong to severe
storms, with localized damaging winds as the primary threat. As
such, will have to keep an eye out for areas where cloud cover
breaks to allow increased surface heating. These locations may
see some of the stronger thunderstorm activity.

Storms may remain across the Piedmont region into the early
hours of Wednesday before exiting to the east. With the
passage of the wave, low level winds will shift more westerly
for the afternoon and evening hours of Wednesday. This downslope
wind direction will help limit the development of afternoon
showers and storms, though enough instability should exist that
some disorganized activity will develop with daytime heating.

More organized shower/thunderstorm activity will return early
Thursday as another strong wave of low pressure pushes east along
the Ohio River Valley. Models are hinting that activity will
weaken and break up in the westerly downslope flow as it
passes across the Appalachian chain, only to refire east of the
Blue Ridge during the afternoon with daytime heating. In any
event, passage of this system will shift winds across our area
more northwesterly, making for drier conditions Thursday night
heading into Friday.

Temperatures each day across our area will be near normal for mid-
June.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...

Expect a drying trend for Friday and Friday night as winds
likely to remain northwesterly. Plenty of mid level drying
progged as well, so any shower or storm activity may be confined
to western slopes. Still some uncertainty as to timing of this
so if it slows down, that could keep some precip chances a bit
higher until later in the day Friday.

The drying is short-lived however as upper ridge builds in again
by Saturday along with return of deeper moisture for the
entire weekend. Thus chances of showers/storms increase Saturday
and more so into Sunday. Near seasonal temperatures and
increasing humidity as well through next weekend. Generally
pretty good agreement in the guidance for these trends over next
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Monday...

The warm and humid air mass in place should spark showers and
thunderstorms through this afternoon and evening. Confidence is
high enough to mention VCTS with TEMPO groups of TSRA and gusty
winds at all TAF sites. MVFR conditions also will be likely in
any of these storms. The showers and thunderstorms should
eventually diminish by midnight. Although patchy MVFR
conditions could be possible overnight where rain has fallen,
cloud cover overhead may inhibit it to some extent.

VFR conditions should resume for Tuesday morning, but showers
and thunderstorms appear likely to fire again later in the
afternoon as a wave of low pressure passed overhead. Coverage
of this convection could become rather widespread with the
potential for MVFR conditions, gusty winds, and turbulence at
all TAF sites.

Extended Aviation Discussion...

A stationary front over the Mid Atlantic along with waves of low
pressure tracking eastward along this boundary should keep an
active weather trend through Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms
will likely develop each afternoon and evening, which will
produce areas of MVFR and heavy rainfall. MVFR or IFR conditions
from fog or low clouds may also occur during the late night
hours due to increasing moisture. By Friday, a cold front should
shove the stalled boundary offshore, and drier air from high
pressure will bring VFR conditions through Saturday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PW
NEAR TERM...PW
SHORT TERM...NF
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...PW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
523 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

VAZ007-010-011-014-018>020-022>024-034-035-045>047-WVZ042>044-507-
508-180930-
Tazewell-Bland-Giles-Montgomery-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
523 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. The main threats will be damaging winds and isolated large
hail. Heavy rain is also likely with these storms which may result in
localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday.
The main threats will be damaging winds and isolated large hail.
Heavy rain is also likely with these storms which may result in
localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ009-012-013-015>017-032-033-043-044-058-059-180930-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Smyth-Wythe-Pulaski-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-
Patrick-Franklin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Halifax-Charlotte-
523 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
south central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. The main threat will be damaging winds. Heavy rain is also
likely with these storms which may result in localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A few storms Tuesday and Wednesday could become strong, and possibly
severe. Damaging wind gusts are the main threats. Localized flooding
is possible too, especially closer to the Blue Ridge.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ003>006-019-020-180930-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-
523 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and northwest North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
304 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE RAVEN              37.09N 81.86W
06/17/2019                   TAZEWELL           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TAZEWELL CO. WARNING POINT HAS HAD SEVERAL
            REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES IN THE RAVEN AREA.

&&

RR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
305 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE STANLEYTOWN       36.74N 79.94W
06/17/2019                   HENRY              VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON FAIRYSTONE PARK HIGHWAY AND
            WILLIAM F STONE HIGHWAY NEAR BASSETT. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
306 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RICHLANDS               37.10N 81.81W
06/17/2019                   TAZEWELL           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TAZEWELL CO. WARNING POINT HAS HAD SEVERAL
            REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES IN THE RICHLANDS
            AREA. TIMING ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

RR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
306 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

VAZ007-009-172000-
Tazewell-Smyth-
306 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT TAZEWELL AND SMYTH COUNTIES...

At 305 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Allison Gap,
moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Marion...
Saltville...
Chilhowie...
Mount Rogers National Recreation Area...
and Sugar Grove.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3695 8182 3696 8178 3698 8179 3699 8179
      3700 8142 3696 8139 3675 8133 3674 8136
      3677 8169 3679 8170 3693 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 262DEG 16KT 3691 8181

KK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
315 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

VAZ058-059-172015-
Halifax-Charlotte-
315 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HALIFAX AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES
...

At 315 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Aspen, moving
east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Brookneal...
Keysville...
Charlotte Court House...
Phenix...
and Nathalie.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3689 7849 3685 7853 3691 7895 3705 7897
      3702 7891 3707 7888 3711 7850 3709 7848
      3709 7846 3708 7844
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 262DEG 16KT 3698 7884

KK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
318 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S PENHOOK             36.93N 79.64W
06/17/2019                   FRANKLIN           VA   911 CALL CENTER

            FRANKLIN CO. WARNING POINT HAD THREE DOWNED
            TREE REPORTS COME IN FROM SOUTH OF PENHOOK.
            TIMING ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

RR