Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Charleston, WV

742 
WWUS51 KRLX 251857
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
257 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

WVC001-091-251907-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-190525T1915Z/
Taylor WV-Barbour WV-
257 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TAYLOR AND NORTHEASTERN
BARBOUR COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3926 7985 3927 8008 3940 8015 3940 8012
      3941 8011 3939 8009 3940 8003 3942 8000
      3945 7994 3944 7990 3930 7989 3929 7986
      3927 7985
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 266DEG 27KT 3933 7984 

$$

MEC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
238 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Convective activity on the northern side of the ridge tonight.
A weak cold front approaches the area Sunday into Monday,
before returning north as a warm front early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 235 PM Saturday...

One mid and upper level short wave trough was lifting slowly
northeast of the area this afternoon. Thunderstorms grew rapidly
just downstream, or northeast, of the vort max, right in the
apex of the comma head, which then became a splitting storm,
resulting in eastward movement of the southern cell across
northern WV, right in the far northern tier of the forecast
area.

Just as that system pulls out, another will be approaching
northern portions of the forecast area in east central Ohio late
this afternoon, and then moving into northern WV tonight. With
a stronger short wave trough crossing the Great Lakes tonight
increasing the gradient and thus flow to its south, shear
increases late today and tonight. SPC analysis shows CAPE had
increased to 3000 J/kj ahead of these storms, making severe
weather a distinct possibility this evening across the northern
portion of the middle Ohio Valley.

The thunderstorms should slowly weaken as the move east across
WV after sunset, high shear and high dew points keeping the
weakening process gradual.

Sunday looks like another active day, with one or two
disturbances moving through the zonal flow across the top of the
the ridge, which will have been flattened by the short wave
crossing tonight. A large outflow or even synoptic surface
boundary will provide an additional trigger for lift. CAPE
values could again exceed 3000 J/kg while shear only decreases
slightly. The potential for severe weather and excessive
rainfall exists for much of the middle Ohio Valley into central
and northern WV, as depicted by the respective central guidance
centers.

Summer like temperatures and dew points prevail, but with lower
afternoon values across the north Sunday, on account of clouds,
precipitation, and the surface boundary.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 AM Saturday...

A frontal boundary will remain near the area for Sunday into
Monday, before returning northward as a warm front. This will
provide periods of showers and thunderstorms. With the front
providing a focusing mechanism, there is some concern that flash
flooding could become an issue.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 200 AM Saturday...

An upper level ridge will build over the region for Tuesday and
Wednesday, allowing for 20 C temperatures at 850 mb. This could
allow temperatures to reach into the lower 90s for much of the
lowlands.

A cold front or series of cold fronts will then effect the area
for late in the work week. Still considerable differences
between the models in the timing of these fronts and the intensity
of the cooler air behind them. This leads to a lower confidence
forecast for late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 235 PM Saturday...

A disturbance that brought strong, heavy thunderstorms just
north of PKB was moving slowly northeast, away from the area.
The thunderstorms will be very near CKB first 2 or 3 hours of
the forecast this afternoon. These thunderstorms should stay
north of EKN, but other scattered showers and thunderstorms will
be in and near the mountains this afternoon.

Another disturbance is likely to bring strong, heavy
thunderstorms into east central Ohio late this afternoon, which
may then move into WV tonight. These storms will again track
mainly just to the north of PKB and CKB.

Valley fog is possible, mainly east of the Ohio River,
overnight tonight, especially where it rains, which would most
likely be the northern sites PKB, CKB and EKN.

Another disturbance is likely to bring showers and thunderstorms
into east central Ohio and northern WV by Sunday afternoon.

Flow surface and aloft will generally be light west to
southwest.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Shower and thunderstorm timing could vary
from forecast. Fog development tonight could vary from forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04
EDT 1HRLY       13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
Brief IFR possible in storms Sunday afternoon through Monday as
well as overnight valley fog Sunday and Monday nights.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RPY/26/TRM
NEAR TERM...TRM
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...TRM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
954 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019

OHZ066-067-075-076-084-085-WVZ009>011-017-019-020-030>032-039-040-
261400-
Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Vinton-Meigs-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-
Wirt-Ritchie-Doddridge-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-
954 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio,
and portions of central West Virginia and northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Strong, heavy thunderstorms will impact parts of the area this
Memorial Day weekend.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms through this
evening. The greatest threat will be damaging wind gusts and large
hail.

There is a marginal risk for locally excessive rainfall through this
evening. Heavy downpours can cause brief, localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Strong, heavy thunderstorms will impact parts of the area this
Memorial Day weekend.

There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday into Sunday
night. The greatest threat will be damaging wind gusts and large
hail.

There is a slight risk for locally excessive rainfall Sunday into
Sunday night. Heavy downpours can cause localized flooding and stream
rises.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

OHZ083-086-WVZ007-008-014>016-018-027>029-517>526-261400-
Jackson OH-Gallia-Mason-Jackson WV-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-Calhoun-Clay-
Braxton-Gilmer-Northwest Fayette-Southeast Fayette-
Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-
Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
954 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio,
and portions of central West Virginia, northeast West Virginia,
southeast West Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Strong, heavy thunderstorms will impact parts of the area this
Memorial Day weekend.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms into this evening.
The greatest threat will be damaging wind gusts, although large hail
is also possible.

There is a marginal risk for locally excessive rainfall into this
evening. Heavy downpours can cause brief, localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Strong, heavy thunderstorms will impact parts of the area this
Memorial Day weekend.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday into Sunday
night. The greatest threat will be damaging wind gusts, although
large hail is also possible.

There is a marginal risk for locally excessive rainfall Sunday into
Sunday night. Heavy downpours can cause brief, localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

KYZ101>103-OHZ087-WVZ006-261400-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence OH-Cabell-
954 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, portions of southeast Ohio, and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Strong, heavy thunderstorms will impact parts of the area this
Memorial Day weekend.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday into Sunday
night. The greatest threat will be damaging wind gusts, although
large hail is also possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

KYZ105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-013-024>026-033-034-515-516-261400-
Lawrence KY-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-Lincoln-Mingo-Logan-Boone-
McDowell-Wyoming-Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-
954 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, southwest Virginia, and portions of southeast West
Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

TRM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1210 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

WVZ010-011-019-020-251700-
Doddridge-Ritchie-Pleasants-Tyler-
1210 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL PLEASANTS...
NORTHEASTERN RITCHIE...NORTHWESTERN DODDRIDGE AND TYLER COUNTIES...

At 1209 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Pennsboro, or
7 miles north of Harrisville, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Middlebourne, Pennsboro, Alma, Wick, Mountain, Lima, Hebron, Maxwell
and Highland.

LAT...LON 3955 8078 3953 8078 3951 8074 3947 8071
      3948 8067 3946 8067 3947 8064 3944 8060
      3945 8058 3944 8058 3944 8056 3930 8090
      3928 8106 3935 8114 3946 8100 3956 8081
TIME...MOT...LOC 1609Z 240DEG 29KT 3932 8104

MEC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1220 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

OHZ076-WVZ010-011-251645-
Washington-Pleasants-Tyler-
1220 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON...
NORTHEASTERN PLEASANTS AND NORTHWESTERN TYLER COUNTIES...

At 1220 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near St. Marys,
moving northeast at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Paden City, Sistersville, Matamoras, Friendly, Point Lookout and New
Matamoras.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3958 8089 3960 8085 3959 8085 3958 8083
      3956 8082 3956 8081 3946 8100 3942 8122
      3946 8133 3958 8115 3957 8104 3954 8104
      3961 8094
TIME...MOT...LOC 1620Z 243DEG 16KT 3944 8124

MEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
111 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 PM     HAIL             MATAMORAS               39.52N 81.07W
05/25/2019  E0.70 INCH       WASHINGTON         OH   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
207 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW FRIENDLY           39.49N 81.09W
05/25/2019                   TYLER              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            6-8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF
            ROUTE 2.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
213 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NW WEST UNION         39.38N 80.87W
05/25/2019                   TYLER              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ALONG ROUTE 18 NEAR INTERSECTION
            WITH ROUTE 74.

&&

WEBB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
232 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE MIDDLEBOURNE      39.47N 80.84W
05/25/2019                   TYLER              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ALONG ROUTE 18 AT THE INTERSECTION
            WITH SOUTH FREW CIRCLE.

&&

WEBB