Flash Flood Warning 65, NWS Charleston, WV

548 
WGUS71 KRLX 230307
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1107 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

WVC005-045-059-081-109-230317-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-190723T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Mingo WV-Raleigh WV-Logan WV-Wyoming WV-Boone WV-
1107 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR MINGO...WESTERN RALEIGH...SOUTHERN
LOGAN...WYOMING AND SOUTH CENTRAL BOONE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1115
PM EDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3755 8197 3755 8204 3753 8205 3756 8208
      3755 8213 3759 8213 3765 8218 3763 8221
      3766 8224 3768 8230 3774 8233 3776 8231
      3785 8241 3788 8239 3782 8173 3783 8142
      3753 8142 3752 8183 3755 8186 3752 8194

$$

21

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
752 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold front crosses this afternoon and tonight, taking showers
and storms with it. Cooler, drier weather to follow this week.
Increasing heat and humidity late in the week and next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 749 PM Monday...

Extended Flash Flood Watch for WV and far NE KY for a couple of
more hours as some lingering heavier rainfall persists...and
high water impacts remain possible. Overall trend should be for
heavier rainfall for shift and persist into/across
southern/eastern portions of the CWA.

As of 551 PM Monday...

Increased POPs for nearly the entire area for this evening
and delayed the back edge of the precip by several hours. Front
continues to progress SSE across the CWA and plenty of post-
frontal rain is prog to persist for much of the evening
(especially across WV).

As of 240 PM Monday.

Cold front just entering the forecast area early this afternoon,
will cross the entire area through this evening, taking the
showers and thunderstorms with it.

Cloud cover and areas of rain has limited heating across much of
the forecast area east of the Ohio River. Farther west, less
rain, and breaks in the overcast, has allowed some heating
ahead of an approaching line of showers and thunderstorms, which
were along and ahead of the cold front. The opportunity for
heating ahead of this line was limited, and so is the potential
for severe weather. The storms will only weaken further east of
the Ohio River as they enter more stable air, and then further
still as they trek east after sunset.

The high moisture content along and ahead of the front will
allow for intense rainfall rates, with dual pol rainfall rates
of 1 to 2 1/2 inches per hour likely to increase a bit. This
heavy rainfall will be brief, but any repetition of downpours,
especially over pockets hit hard earlier, may cause flash
flooding, and the flood watch remains in place east of the Ohio
River, ending west to east in two segments as the front crosses
tonight.

Stratus is likely to follow the front tonight, especially east
of the Ohio River if not mainly in and near the mountains,
Models show low and mid level dry air farther west tonight, once
the front is past. Stratus will lift into stratocu and morning
cu Tuesday morning, before mixing into a scattered cu field
Tuesday afternoon, as the cooler and drier air becomes
established.

Temperatures and dew points close to the NAM and a short term
blend, and not much change from the precious forecast. Have lows
near normal tonight, and then highs below normal on Tuesday, a
noticeably cooler and drier day on tap.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 245 PM Monday...

Expansive upper ridging over the Desert Southwest will aid in
deamplifying the deep trough residing over the eastern CONUS
this week. During which time, surface high pressure will nestle
into the Ohio Valley by late Wednesday night and maintain
position through the forecast period.

Northerly flow both aloft and at the surface will invite cooler
and drier air into the area, a much needed cool down compared
to last week's extreme heat. Expect highs to level out in the
low 80s across the lowlands and the low 70s in the mountains on
Wednesday and Thursday, then slightly rising into the mid- to
upper-80s/mid 70s on Friday as the center of the high begins to
shift northeastward.

Non-zero precip chances exist through the period, particularly
along the mountains given the loitering low level moisture,
diurnal heating, and orographic effects each afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 245 PM Monday...

Upper heights will continue to be on the rise through the
weekend as the mighty ridge out west breaks down and allows for
Gulf low level moisture to return to the midst of Central
Appalachia. Afternoon highs will return to slightly above
seasonable levels this weekend, with still a very low chance for
rain and showers. Long range guidance and ensembles suggest
this fairly dry pattern persisting until just beyond the long
term period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 743 PM Monday...

Variety of flight rules expected through the TAF period.

Large area of rain with an embedded weakening quasi-QLCS-ish
feature will impact much of the region this evening. Mix of
IFR/MVFR CIGs and VSBYs are likely with the heavier precip this
evening. Precip should end this evening from KHTS to KPKB with
MVFR to perhaps low end VFR CIGs prevailing at that time.
Farther south/east, precip will be slower to move out with poor
flight rules possible through the night, especially from KBKW up
the mountains to KEKN.

Lingering -SHRA in the morning near the mountains should end
with slow rising and mixing of ceilings across the area through
the day.

NNWrly sfc winds 5 to 10 kts this evening and overnight as a
cold front moves through.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z
WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: End time of precip may vary from current
TAFs tonight. Some uncertainty exists regarding how poor flight
rules will become/remain later tonight.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                            TUE 07/23/19
UTC 1HRLY       00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11
EDT 1HRLY       20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    L    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    L
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    L    L    L    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    L    L    L    L    L    M    M    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    M    L    M    M

AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR possible with late night and morning river valley fog for
the middle of the week.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for WVZ024>026-033-
     034-515>526.
     Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for WVZ005>011-
     013>020-027>032-039-040.
OH...None.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for KYZ105.
VA...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26/TRM/SL
NEAR TERM...RH/TRM
SHORT TERM...MEK
LONG TERM...MEK
AVIATION...RH

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Charleston WV
753 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

KYZ105-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-240000-
Lawrence KY-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-
Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-
Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-
753 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, and portions of central West Virginia, northern West
Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

VAZ003-004-WVZ024>026-033-034-515>526-240000-
Dickenson-Buchanan-Mingo-Logan-Boone-McDowell-Wyoming-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
753 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, and
portions of northeast West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and
southern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

KYZ101>103-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-240000-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-Vinton-
Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-
753 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky and southeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
730 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HUNTINGTON              38.41N  82.43W
07/22/2019                   CABELL             WV   911 CALL CENTER

            CABELL 911 REPORTS ALL VIADUCTS IN HUNTINGTON FLOODED,
            AS WELL AS 5TH AND 3RD AVENUES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1901856

AML

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
736 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

WVZ015-025-026-515-517-230000-
Northwest Raleigh-Boone-Kanawha-Logan-Northwest Fayette-
736 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN KANAWHA...
NORTHWESTERN RALEIGH...NORTHEASTERN LOGAN...WEST CENTRAL FAYETTE AND
BOONE COUNTIES...

At 736 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Madison, moving
east at 25 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Madison, Van, Bald Knob, Burnwell, Wharton, Julian, Powellton,
Danville, Whitesville, Handley, Sylvester, Seth, Turtle Creek, Dawes,
Prenter, Sharon, Eskdale, Dorothy, Stickney and Artie.

This includes the following highways...
 West Virginia Turnpike between mile markers 62 and 82.
 Route 119 between mile markers 47 and 58.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect. Heavy downpours could cause
rapid rises in water. If rising water is observed, move to higher
ground. Do not drive into areas covered by water.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to travel across
flooded roads. Find alternate routes. It takes only a few inches of
swiftly flowing water to carry vehicles away.

LAT...LON 3819 8135 3783 8129 3783 8190 3816 8187
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 267DEG 22KT 3803 8174

21

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
739 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DEEPHOLE                38.12N  82.68W
07/22/2019                   LAWRENCE           KY   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED IN THE DEEPHOLE BRANCH AREA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1901857

AML

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
745 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

WVZ028-030-031-039-040-519-521>523-525-526-230030-
Barbour-Southeast Webster-Northwest Randolph-Harrison-Northwest
Pocahontas-Northwest Webster-Northwest
Nicholas-Upshur-Lewis-Braxton-Southeast Randolph-
745 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN RANDOLPH...
WEST CENTRAL POCAHONTAS...NORTH CENTRAL NICHOLAS...EASTERN LEWIS...
EASTERN BRAXTON...UPSHUR...WEBSTER...SOUTHERN BARBOUR AND
SOUTHEASTERN HARRISON COUNTIES...

At 745 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered near Buckhannon,
moving east at 20 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Buckhannon, Weston, Philippi, Audra State Park, Webster Springs,
Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), Camden-On-gauley, Stonewall
Jackson, Rock Cave, Holly River State, Cowen, Junior, Lost Creek,
Jane Lew, Womelsdorf (Coalton), Alexander, Eden, Upper Glade and
Helvetia.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 79 between mile markers 96 and 110.
 Route 33 between mile markers 1 and 32.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect. Heavy downpours could cause
rapid rises in water. If rising water is observed, move to higher
ground. Do not drive into areas covered by water.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to travel across
flooded roads. Find alternate routes. It takes only a few inches of
swiftly flowing water to carry vehicles away.

LAT...LON 3835 8018 3838 8078 3917 8040 3915 7983
      3913 7984 3911 7982
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 272DEG 18KT 3895 8029

21

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
749 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E UPPER TUG           37.95N  82.47W
07/22/2019                   WAYNE              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            WAYNE 911 REPORTS FLOODING IN THE CAMP CREEK ROAD AND
            RT. 152 AREAS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1901858

AML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
757 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW ESTEP             38.02N  81.93W
07/22/2019                   BOONE              WV   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF ROAD FLOODING ALONG NORTH FORK ROAD
            OFF OF BIG UGLY CREEK ROAD. VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1901859

AML