Flash Flood Warning 21, NWS Charleston, WV

302 
WGUS71 KRLX 070153
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
953 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

WVC081-109-070203-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190607T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Raleigh WV-Wyoming WV-
953 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL RALEIGH AND EAST CENTRAL
WYOMING COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3756 8133 3755 8141 3757 8143 3765 8142
      3773 8136 3761 8112 3759 8115 3759 8116
      3758 8120 3754 8120 3753 8121

$$

MEC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
754 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak front becomes stationary through tonight. Mid level disturbance
will enhance showers and storms through this evening. Unsettled
weather continues through the weekend. Cold front next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 740 PM Thursday...

Slow moving showers and a few storms are expected to lose their
luster to a point with sunset, but they will not necessarily
cease completely. Expecting the slow drift north to continue
into the overnight, but keep low POPs as far north as the I-64
corridor between Charleston and Huntington.

As of 240 PM Thursday...

A cold front is slowly sinking southward this afternoon, and in
the process stomping on the brakes near the Virginia and North
Carolina border by late tonight. A shortwave disturbance aloft
moving into the area from the south will tap into the abundant
moisture residing overhead in conjunction with daytime heating,
sparking showers and storms through most of the evening. As the
boundary scoots further southward tonight, convection should
taper off with the loss of daytime heating, but the plethora of
moisture still overhead will maintain PoPs for the southern
coalfields heading into Friday.

The boundary will struggle to shift any farther south during
the near term period, therefore resulting in another round of
showers and possible thunderstorms Friday afternoon, within the
same vicinity of where today's convection has been and will be
occurring. With temperatures once again extending up near 80
degrees Friday, daytime heating will be the driving force
behind tomorrow's storm development along with the additional
lift from the pesky front still nearby.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 208 PM Thursday...

Large, slow moving, and nearly stacked system is prog to slowly
drift ENE across the Deep South over the weekend. Our CWA will
remain on the northeastern extent of the greater moisture
availability. Thus, the best chances of convection should be
confined to primarily the southern half of the region. System
tries to open up on Sunday with perhaps slightly better coverage
of showers and thunderstorms during the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 216 PM Thursday...

Persistent storm system should finally become more progressive
early next work week. A cold front is prog to push across the
region either Monday night or Tuesday, resulting in a band of
showers and thunderstorms with the FROPA. Post-frontal airmass
will result in drier, somewhat cooler, and less humid conditions
for the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 740 PM Thursday...

The model guidance is leaning towards fog in some of the
terminals tonight, especially the LAMP guidance, but there is
going to be increasing cloud cover, and lowering of ceilings
during the overnight and through Friday. Generally, those two
cancel each other out, but will carry the IFR or worse vsby
potential at HTS, EKN, and CRW given multiple sources indicating
valley mist/fog.

Moist easterly flow takes ceilings to MVFR at BKW after 09Z
Friday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Questioning the fog potential tonight.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                            FRI 06/07/19
UTC 1HRLY       00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11
EDT 1HRLY       20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    L    L
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    H    M    L
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    L    L    L    M    M    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    M    M    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 00Z SATURDAY...
Periods of IFR possible in showers and storms Friday night into
the start of the weekend.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RH/MEK
NEAR TERM...26/MEK
SHORT TERM...RH
LONG TERM...RH
AVIATION...26

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
540 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-006-013>015-024>026-033-034-
515>518-070945-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-
Cabell-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Mingo-Logan-Boone-McDowell-Wyoming-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-
540 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, portions
of southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and portions of southeast
West Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms, with heavy downpours can be expected at
times. Localized flooding will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and thunderstorms, with heavy downpours can be expected at
times over the weekend and into next week. Localized flooding will
be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>086-WVZ007>011-016>020-027>032-039-040-
519>526-070945-
Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Mason-
Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-
Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-
Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
540 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio,
and portions of central West Virginia, northeast West Virginia,
northern West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and western West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
606 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

WVZ024-033-034-062245-
Wyoming-McDowell-Mingo-
606 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
MCDOWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MINGO AND SOUTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 605 PM EDT, thunderstorms nearly stationary, clustered over
Gilbert Creek, or 17 miles northwest of Welch.

Locations impacted include...
Hanover, R.d. Bailey Lake, Gilbert Creek, Gilbert, Davy, Wolf Pen and
Baileysville.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on
small creeks and streams, and ponding of water on country roads and
farmland along the banks of creeks and streams.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to travel across
flooded roads. Find alternate routes. It takes only a few inches of
swiftly flowing water to carry vehicles away.

LAT...LON 3750 8195 3751 8193 3752 8193 3752 8194
      3753 8194 3754 8197 3755 8197 3754 8199
      3754 8200 3753 8201 3755 8204 3754 8206
      3762 8199 3757 8151 3747 8156
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 240DEG 48KT 3756 8186

MEC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
705 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

WVZ024-025-034-062345-
Wyoming-Logan-Mingo-
705 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MINGO...
SOUTHERN LOGAN AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 704 PM EDT, an area of thunderstorms with heavy rain were
clustered near Hinch, or 13 miles south of Logan, moving east at 5
mph.

Locations impacted include...
Williamson, Pineville, Oceana, Delbarton, Hanover, R.d. Bailey Lake,
Gilbert Creek, Red Jacket, Chattaroy, Hinch, Buskirk, Matewan,
Gilbert, Clear Fork, Coal Mountain, Hampden, Pie, Bruno, Varney and
Sarah Ann.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on
small creeks and streams, and ponding of water on country roads and
farmland along the banks of creeks and streams.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to travel across
flooded roads. Find alternate routes. It takes only a few inches of
swiftly flowing water to carry vehicles away.

LAT...LON 3758 8195 3759 8213 3760 8214 3759 8216
      3762 8217 3762 8218 3765 8218 3765 8219
      3763 8219 3763 8221 3766 8224 3766 8226
      3768 8228 3767 8229 3770 8230 3773 8232
      3772 8146 3754 8150
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 248DEG 5KT 3766 8201

MEC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
815 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

KYZ102-103-105-070115-
Boyd-Carter-Lawrence-
815 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN BOYD...NORTHERN
LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN CARTER COUNTIES...

At 814 PM EDT, thunderstorms were located near Webbville, or near
Grayson Lake State Park, moving west at 15 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Grayson Lake State Park, Yatesville Lake State Park, Fort
Gay, Webbville, Houckville, Fallsburg, Willard and Buchanan.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on
small creeks and streams, and ponding of water in urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses, as well as other poor drainage
areas and low lying spots.

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the
roadway. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross
safely. Move to higher ground.

LAT...LON 3826 8258 3825 8259 3824 8261 3819 8260
      3817 8261 3817 8264 3814 8264 3811 8259
      3805 8258 3811 8289 3817 8292 3817 8298
      3820 8301 3820 8304 3818 8305 3822 8308
      3823 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 073DEG 12KT 3817 8292

MEC