Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Riverton, WY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1201 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

.SHORT TERM...Today and tonight

Clearing skies are quickly spreading eastward this morning. Low
clouds have also developed over portions of Natrona County. Fog
will become a possibility in this and other areas where
precipitation fell Sunday. The unseasonably high dewpoints will
also aid in this formation. Otherwise, skies will become clear
across the area late this morning. This will allow for isolated to
scattered showers to develop over the northwestern mountains,
spreading eastward across mainly northern portions through the
afternoon. An isolated embedded thunderstorm will be possible
during this time. These showers will end by sunset this evening.
Winds will also be light across much of the area today, with gusty
winds up to 25 mph occurring in the higher elevations of the
western mountains.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Sunday

Several shortwaves embedded within the near-zonal flow this week
will bring continued chances of showers and thunderstorms during the
afternoons. The best coverage still looks to be northern Wyoming and
over higher elevations, with southern Wyoming staying mostly dry
through the period. This will not help mitigate fire concerns across
southern Wyoming, as elevated fire conditions could return across
those areas by midweek as RHs drop back into the teens. Afternoon
temperatures will remain warm throughout the week. By Friday models
suggest that the low sitting to our northwest will finally lift
across Montana. Gusty winds are likely towards the end of the week
as the pressure gradient tightens in response to the lifting low. By
the weekend temperatures should warm slightly as stronger ridging
sets in.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1154 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

Afternoon thunderstorms are beginning to fire on the higher
elevations of the Absarokas and the Wyoming range. Expect these
storms to moves east during the afternoon, and will likely
approach most airports east of the divide. Some storms may produce
variably gusty winds through the afternoon. Storms will decrease
after sunset, with mostly clear skies and lighter winds overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated to scattered showers will develop over the western
mountains this afternoon, spreading eastward across the northern
zones. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible. This activity
will end before sunset this evening. Otherwise, winds will be
light with gusts up to 25 mph occurring in the higher elevations
of the western zones.

&&

.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...LaVoie
LONG TERM...Myers
AVIATION...Straub
FIRE WEATHER...LaVoie

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Riverton WY
302 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

WYZ001>020-022>030-020915-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Big Horn Basin-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
Southeast Big Horn Basin-Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-
Bighorn Mountains West-Bighorn Mountains Southeast-
Northeast Johnson County-Southeast Johnson County-
Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-Jackson Hole-
Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
302 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central
Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms over northern and northwestern
portions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Tuesday through Thursday...Afternoon and evening thunderstorms,
especially across the northern and northwestern portions. It will
be driest across southwest Wyoming.

Tuesday through Thursday...Elevated fire conditions possible over
southern Wyoming.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1153 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

WYZ002-016-011815-
Upper Wind River Basin-Absaroka Mountains-
1153 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY UNTIL
1215 PM MDT...

At 1150 AM MDT, the public reported a strong thunderstorm 7 miles
east of Torrey Lake, which is 12 miles east of Dubois, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

Half inch hail will be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Fremont County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If on or near Torrey, Ring, and Trail Lakes, get out of the water
and move indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike
out to 10 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to
safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4359 10940 4351 10904 4326 10928 4329 10931
      4331 10930 4331 10933 4335 10935 4338 10933
      4339 10935 4336 10935 4335 10939 4336 10940
      4337 10937 4339 10944 4344 10951 4345 10950
      4348 10955
TIME...MOT...LOC 1750Z 302DEG 12KT 4348 10941

Hulme

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1212 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

WYZ005-006-011845-
Southeast Big Horn Basin-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
1212 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 1211 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles west of Kirby, which is 11 miles northwest of Thermopolis,
moving east at 15 mph.

Pea size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Kirby and Winchester around 1235 PM MDT.
  Lucerne around 1240 PM MDT.

LAT...LON 4390 10799 4366 10803 4364 10806 4377 10852
      4384 10848
TIME...MOT...LOC 1811Z 276DEG 15KT 4380 10832

Hulme

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1212 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

WYZ005-006-011845-
Southeast Big Horn Basin-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
1212 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 1212 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kirby, which is 11 miles northwest of Thermopolis, moving east at 15
mph.

Pea size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Kirby and Winchester around 1235 PM MDT.
  Lucerne around 1240 PM MDT.

LAT...LON 4390 10799 4366 10803 4364 10806 4377 10852
      4384 10848
TIME...MOT...LOC 1812Z 276DEG 15KT 4379 10832

Hulme

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1233 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

WYZ016-017-011900-
Wind River Basin-Upper Wind River Basin-
1233 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY UNTIL 100
PM MDT...

At 1232 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Crowheart, which is 24 miles northwest of
Pavillion, moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail will be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Fremont
County.

LAT...LON 4349 10921 4348 10916 4352 10917 4351 10915
      4353 10912 4356 10911 4356 10908 4354 10908
      4352 10903 4354 10904 4354 10900 4356 10904
      4357 10897 4352 10871 4323 10883 4345 10926
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 286DEG 18KT 4344 10911

Hulme

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
122 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

WYZ014-025-011945-
Wind River Mountains West-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
122 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SUBLETTE COUNTY UNTIL 145
PM MDT...

At 122 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fremont Lake, which is over Pinedale, moving east at 15 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Half Moon Lake and Boulder Lake around 145 PM MDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Boulder Lake
Campground, Fremont Lake Campground and Pinedale Ralph Wenz Field.

LAT...LON 4296 11005 4303 10959 4276 10958 4273 10962
      4282 11004 4284 11007
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 267DEG 12KT 4289 10986

Hulme

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
133 PM MDT MON JUL 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     HAIL             OWL CREEK RD            43.71N 108.71W
07/01/2019  E1.75 INCH       HOT SPRINGS        WY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0125 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     18 SE KAYCEE            43.53N 106.38W
07/01/2019                   JOHNSON            WY   PUBLIC

&&

CJONES