Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Pueblo, CO

672 
WWUS55 KPUB 262249
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
449 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COC025-041-101-262315-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190526T2315Z/
El Paso CO-Crowley CO-Pueblo CO-
449 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO...NORTHWESTERN CROWLEY AND NORTHEASTERN
PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 448 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 18 miles southeast
of Truckton, or 35 miles northeast of Pueblo, moving northeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern El Paso, northwestern Crowley and northeastern Pueblo
Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3860 10405 3852 10405 3852 10393 3842 10402
      3843 10411 3860 10406
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 207DEG 24KT 3849 10403 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

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048 
WWUS55 KPUB 262259 RRA
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
459 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COC041-101-262308-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190526T2315Z/
El Paso CO-Pueblo CO-
459 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO AND
NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
northeast Pueblo and southeast El Paso Counties. Therefore, the 
warning has been cancelled for these areas.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3852 10393 3844 10400 3844 10405 3852 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 227DEG 5KT 3849 10401 

$$

COC025-262315-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190526T2315Z/
Crowley CO-
459 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CROWLEY COUNTY...

At 458 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 18 miles southeast
of Truckton, or 36 miles northeast of Pueblo, moving northeast at 5
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Crowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 10393 3844 10400 3844 10405 3852 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 227DEG 5KT 3849 10401 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

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770 
WWUS55 KPUB 262308
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
508 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COC025-262317-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190526T2315Z/
Crowley CO-
508 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CROWLEY COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM MDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

There are still strong storms over Crowley County, producing heavy 
rain, and possibly producing hail up to the size of pennies.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3852 10393 3844 10400 3844 10405 3852 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 206DEG 12KT 3851 10399 

$$

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
332 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 332 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

Will keep discussion brief to ongoing active severe weather
activity over eastern locations. Will continue Tornado Watch #253
over Crowley, Otero, Las Animas, Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca
counties until 9 PM MDT as recent high resolution models suggest
strong to severe storms, gradually becoming linear in nature
impacts this region into this evening.

In addition, latest trends suggest that some stronger to possibly
severe storms will develop over Pueblo, Teller and especially
portions of EL Paso county into early this evening. Also, gusty
south to southwest winds over the majority of the CWA should
continue into this evening.

Memorial Day Monday should experience less active conditions, with
showers primarily favoring western Continental Divide locations
in combination with slightly cooler temperatures and continued
gusty winds, especially during the afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 332 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

Monday Night:

An upper level low pressure center will be located over the Utah and
Arizona border at the beginning of the long term forecast period
(Monday at 6PM MDT). The upper low will bring rain and snow showers
during the overnight hours over the Continental Divide. Snow
accumulations, at this point in time, do not warrant any winter
weather highlights.

Low temperatures will be slightly below average for this time of
year, with the Plains expecting to span the 40s, the San Luis Valley
(SLV) to be in the lower 30s, the upper Arkansas River Valley (upper
Ark) to be in the mid-30s, and the mountains ranging from the teens
to 20s, depending on elevation.

Tuesday:

The upper level low is expected to travel diagonally across the
state, from the southwest to the northeast. The impacts will be
instability rain and snow showers over the mountains and gusty winds
over the SLV and the Plains. Winds gusts are expected to be from the
west during the afternoon hours, with magnitudes around 25 to 35
mph. A cold front associated with the upper level low will develop
over the northern portions of our forecast responsibility, during
the afternoon hours, and travel south over the rest of our region.
The cold front is expected to spark some evening thunderstorms over
the Palmer Divide and produced scattered rain showers with embedded
thunderstorms over the plains and over the eastern Mountains.  CAPE
values over the Palmer Divide are around 500 J/kg, therefore no
severe thunderstorms are expected. The colder air mass begins the
upper level low will leave the region around 10F below climatology.

Wednesday:

The upper level pattern behind the storm system will be kind of a
mess. Small perturbations in the flow will spark some daytime
thunderstorms over the mountains, all of those are expected to
remain sub-severe. The forecast for the Plains has some uncertainty
as some models resolve widespread showers in response to the surface
upslope flow towards our mountains and ridges. The forecast RH
values are too low for widespread showers, so I believe the models
are resolving widespread stratus across the Plains.

Thursday through Sunday:

Gulf of Mexico moisture will be sloshing diurnally east to west
during the daytime hours over our eastern Plains, which sets-up a
dryline and therefore develops chances for afternoon thunderstorms
each day. At this point in time, it is fairly uncertain where the
dryline will set-up, but just be aware of the risk for
thunderstorms.

There will be a stagnant shortwave trough over the Great Basin
region that will advect Pacific based moisture towards the
Continental Divide Thursday through Sunday. The result will be
diurnal showers and thunderstorms over the mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 332 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

The KCOS and KPUB taf sites should note generally VFR conditions
with wind gusts around 30 knots at times in combination with
primarily isolated late afternoon into early evening thunderstorms.

KALS should experience VFR conditions during the next 24 hours in
conjunction with gusty south to southwest afternoon winds around
35 knots at times.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NONE.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1159 AM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COZ058>089-093>099-271800-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1159 AM MDT Sun May 26 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely to occur this afternoon and early
evening, generally east of the Interstate 25 corridor, to the
Kansas state line. Although severe thunderstorm activity is
possible over the majority of the plains, the greatest risk of
severe weather activity will be east of a line from Calhan to
Trinidad.

Very large hail, up to 3 inches in diameter, will be achievable
with the strongest storms. Wind gusts of 65 to 75 mph may also be
noted. A tornado or two will also be possible, especially across
Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca counties.

The best time for severe thunderstorm activity will be between 1
PM and 8 PM MDT.

Locally heavy rain may also occur over the plains, and this
locally heavy rain could produce local flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
along the Continental Divide Monday and Tuesday, with isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms spreading into the Pikes Peak
region and adjacent plains Monday night through Tuesday. The main
threat with thunderstorms will be small hail, wind gusts up to 50
mph, dangerous cloud to ground lightning and locally heavy rain.
Some light to moderate snowfall accumulations will be possible
across the higher peaks above 10000 feet Monday and Tuesday,
particularly along the Continental Divide. Rain may mix with snow
down to 7000 feet across the Pikes Peak region late Monday night
through Tuesday morning but little to no accumulations are
expected.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain in the
forecast each day from Wednesday through Saturday. The best
chances for thunderstorms on the plains will be on Thursday and
again on Saturday. The main threats with thunderstorms will be
lightning, brief moderate rainfall, small hail under 1 inch in
diameter, and wind gusts up to 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely over the southeastern Colorado plains, generally east of
the Interstate 25 corridor, between 1 PM and 8 PM MDT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
407 PM MDT SUN MAY 26 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             4 S EADS                38.43N 102.78W
05/26/2019  M2.00 INCH       KIOWA              CO   STORM CHASER

&&

RMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
416 PM MDT SUN MAY 26 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TORNADO          4 NNE SWEETWATER RESERV 38.40N 102.75W
05/26/2019                   KIOWA              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ON THE GROUND ABOUT 1 MINUTE.

&&

RMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
420 PM MDT SUN MAY 26 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             EADS                    38.48N 102.80W
05/26/2019  M1.25 INCH       KIOWA              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
422 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COZ086-089-262245-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-Crowley County CO-
422 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CROWLEY AND
SOUTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

At 421 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles southwest of Fowler, or 29 miles southeast of Pueblo, moving
north at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Crowley and southeastern Pueblo Counties.

LAT...LON 3785 10418 3791 10439 3823 10427 3820 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 201DEG 29KT 3795 10426

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
433 PM MDT SUN MAY 26 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     HAIL             4 NNE SWEETWATER RESERV 38.41N 102.75W
05/26/2019  M1.75 INCH       KIOWA              CO   STORM CHASER

&&

RMG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
436 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COZ085-086-089-262300-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-Crowley County CO-
436 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO...
NORTHWESTERN CROWLEY AND NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
MDT...

At 435 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles northeast of Pueblo Depot, or 32 miles northeast of Pueblo,
moving northeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern El
Paso, northwestern Crowley and northeastern Pueblo Counties.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

LAT...LON 3862 10405 3852 10405 3852 10387 3839 10409
      3842 10417 3864 10409
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 216DEG 9KT 3845 10406

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