Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2019

Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Pueblo, CO

September 29, 201918 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Sep 29, 2019, 3:43 AM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Sep 30, 2019, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2019, 3:43 AM MDT (09:43 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 30, 2019, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Sep 30, 2019, 7:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Bent County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Lake County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2019-09-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2019-09-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 107 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-190 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2240 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

698 
WWUS85 KPUB 290943
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URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
343 AM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for gusty winds, low humidity 
and dry fuels from noon until 7 PM MDT today, and from noon until
7 PM MDT Monday, for fire weather zones 220 through 222 and 224 
through 235, which includes the central and eastern mountains and 
valleys, the San Luis Valley, the Pikes Peak region, and most of 
the southeastern Plains...

COZ224-300145-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0007.190929T1800Z-190930T0100Z/
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0008.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0013.190929T1800Z-190930T0100Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
343 AM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 224...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon today to 7 PM MDT this evening. A Red Flag
Warning has also been issued from noon to 7 PM MDT Monday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ220>222-225>235-300145-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0008.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0013.190929T1800Z-190930T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
343 AM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...225...226...227...228...229...
230...231...232...233...234 AND 235...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234 AND 235...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 7 PM MDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...225... 
  226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234 and 235.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&


$$
6 follow-up statements
141 
WWUS85 KPUB 290945
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URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
345 AM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect for gusty winds, low humidity
and dry fuels from noon until 7 PM MDT today, and from noon until
7 PM MDT Monday, for fire weather zones 220 through 222 and
224 through 235, which includes the central and eastern mountains
and valleys, the San Luis Valley, the Pikes Peak region, and most
of the southeastern Plains...

COZ220>222-224>235-300145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0013.190929T1800Z-190930T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
345 AM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...225...226...227...228...229...
230...231...232...233...234 AND 235...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220...221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234 AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...224... 
  225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234 and 
  235.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
361 
WWUS85 KPUB 292033
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
233 PM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for gusty winds, low humidity
and dry fuels until 7 PM MDT Sunday, and from noon until 7 PM MDT
Monday, for fire weather zones 220 through 222 and 224 through 235,
which includes the central and eastern mountains and valleys, the
San Luis Valley, the Pikes Peak region, and most of the southeastern
Plains...

COZ220>222-224>235-301245-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190930T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
233 PM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234 AND 235...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220...221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...
232...233...234 AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...224... 
  225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234 and 
  235.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
902 
WWUS85 KPUB 300154
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
754 PM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for gusty winds, low
humidity and dry fuels from noon until 7 PM MDT Monday, for fire 
weather zones 220 through 222 and 224 through 235, which includes 
the central and eastern mountains and valleys, the San Luis 
Valley, the Pikes Peak region, and most of the southeastern 
Plains...

COZ220>222-224>235-301800-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
754 PM MDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220...221...222...224...225...226...227...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234 AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220...221...222...224... 
  225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234 and 
  235.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
156 
WWUS85 KPUB 300945
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URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
345 AM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for gusty winds, low
humidity and dry fuels from noon until 7 PM MDT today, for fire 
weather zones 220 through 222 and 224 through 235, which includes 
the central and eastern mountains and valleys, the San Luis 
Valley, the Pikes Peak region, and most of the southeastern 
Plains...

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for gusty winds, low
humidity and dry fuels from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening, for fire weather zones 220 and 224, which includes Lake
and Chaffee Counties, and the San Luis Valley...

COZ220-224-010145-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0009.191001T1800Z-191002T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
345 AM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 224... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
TUESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 224...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 224.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ221-222-225>235-010100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.190930T1800Z-191001T0100Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
345 AM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234 AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...222...225...226... 
  227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234 and 235.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
784 
WWUS85 KPUB 302119
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
319 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for gusty winds, low
humidity and dry fuels until 7 PM MDT today, for fire weather 
zones 220 through 222 and 224 through 235, which includes the 
central and eastern mountains and valleys, the San Luis Valley, 
the Pikes Peak region, and most of the southeastern Plains...

...A Red Flag Warning has been issued for gusty winds, low 
humidity and dry fuels from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday 
evening, for fire weather zones 220 and 224, which includes Lake 
and Chaffee Counties, and the San Luis Valley...

COZ220-224-011330-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0009.191001T1800Z-191002T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0015.191001T1800Z-191002T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-191001T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
319 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 224... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 224...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for dry fuels, gusty winds and low relative humidity, 
which is in effect from noon to 7 PM MDT Tuesday. The Fire Weather
Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 224.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Until 7 pm mdt this evening, and from noon until 7 pm
  mdt on Tuesday. 

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition,
  growth, and spread of fires early this evening, and again on
  Tuesday afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ221-222-225>235-010100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-191001T0100Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
319 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...226...227...228...229...
230...231...232...233...234 AND 235...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 221...222...225...226... 
  227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234 and 235.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
393 
WWUS85 KPUB 010043
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
643 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...A Red Flag Warning continues for gusty winds, low humidity and
dry fuels from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening, for 
fire weather zones 220 and 224, which includes Lake and Chaffee 
Counties, and the San Luis Valley...

COZ220-224-011645-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-191001T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0015.191001T1800Z-191002T0100Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
643 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 224...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 AND 224...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 224.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing... From noon until 7 pm mdt on Tuesday.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for the rapid ignition, 
  growth, and spread of fires early this evening, and again on 
  Tuesday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ221-222-225>235-010145-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-191001T0100Z/
Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant
Fossil Beds National Monument-
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
643 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...233...
234 AND 235...

RH values are still below 15% over the eastern plains and the San
Luis Valley, but winds have decrease to below critical fire
weather conditions, therefore the Red Flag Warning will be allowed
to expire.

A cold front is currently located over norther El Paso County and
is anticipated to develop to the southeast throughout the night.
Winds behind the front will be from the north, with sustained
winds speeds of around 15-20 mph.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 28, 11:29 PM MDT, 4 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 11:29 PM MDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1129 PM MDT Sat Sep 28 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 247 PM MDT Sat Sep 28 2019

Currently, analysis of GOES water vapor imagery and upper air data
shows a broad upper trough digging into the western US, spreading
increasing southwest flow across the Great Basin. TPW is generally
near normal over the high terrain, and above normal over the eastern
plains. Low clouds across the eastern plains have mostly dissipated,
while cumulus clouds are expanding across the mountains. Winds
across the plains are from the southeast and gusting to around 25
knots, while winds over the high terrain are increasing out of the
southwest. No precipitation is currently ongoing. Temperatures are
generally in the 70s across the eastern plains and high valleys, and
mid 60s in Colorado Springs where cloud cover through the early
afternoon had prevented heating.

Tonight, the western US trough will continue to dig south into the
Great Basin, causing southwest flow aloft to slowly increase over
Colorado. The majority of the forecast area will remain dry
overnight given a lack of large scale forcing and lack of mountain
top instability. There are two minor exceptions. The first will be
over the San Juan Mountains, where isolated to scattered showers and
weak storms will be possible within upslope southwest flow and
marginal moisture/instability. Second, there is low potential for a
thunderstorm to clip the far southeast corner of Baca County this
evening within increasing low level moisture on the southeast
periphery of the surface lee trough. Temperatures will be mild this
evening, with lows in the mid to upper 50s across the plains, and
40s in the high valleys. Low stratus, if developing tonight, should
remain confined to near the CO/NM border and over east-central
Colorado. Low stratus will likely stay well east of the I-25
corridor.

Tomorrow, The western trough will continue to dig south over the
western US and Great Basin, resulting in a continued increase in
southwest flow aloft over Colorado, as well as decreasing TPW. The
strong southwest downsloping flow pattern over Colorado will promote
drying of the low levels and deep inverted-V profiles, which in turn
will help to mix gusty southwest winds to the surface. Winds are
expected to gust as high as 40 mph across the plains and high
valleys, and even stronger at mountain tops. The gusty winds and low
RH will combine to create critical fire weather conditions across
much of southern Colorado. The exceptions will be over the far
eastern plains, the San Luis Valley, and the southwest mountains,
where RHs will be above critical thresholds. Therefore, the Red Flag
Warning remains in place over other most of the plains, I-25
corridor, and central and eastern mountains and valleys. The Fire
Weather Watch will remain over the San Luis Valley. While RHs still
look too high there (around 20%), we will allow the midnight shift
to view additional model data in the off chance RHs appear like they
may dip below 15% for a prolonged period. As upper forcing increases
with the approach of the upper low and embedded disturbances,
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will begin to
develop over the Continental Divide Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 247 PM MDT Sat Sep 28 2019

...Biggest Impacts/Threats in Long Term Period...

* Critical Fire Weather Conditions expected again on Monday.

** RH values dropping into the low-mid teens from the San Luis
   Valley eastward into the southeastern plains.

** Winds gusting in the 35-45 MPH ranges, a bit higher in the high
   country.

** High confidence on impacts in the eastern and central
   mountains/valleys and the eastern plains, from La Junta west.

** Lower confidence on RH values becoming critical from La Junta
   eastward with more of a southerly surface flow expected.

There are some ifs for Tuesday and possibly Wednesday regarding
continued high/critical fire weather dangers. With the mid-level
trough elongating and slowly moving by to our north-northeast, a
cold front will sag through the region early Tuesday morning. The
front will help provide enough forcing for some isolated to
scattered rain showers across the eastern plains during the day.
Easterly flow behind the front should yield rain chances spreading
towards the west, into the eastern mountains, by late Tuesday
evening/night. This pushes higher dewpoints west into the Front
Range so any high fire danger risks may be shunted into the central
mountains and maybe the San Luis Valley. Will need to continue to
monitor these trends the next few days.

Cooler more fall-like temperatures are expected with the passage of
the cold front on Tuesday. Expecting highs to be right around if not
slightly cooler than normal for early October. Then, unfortunately
for the temperatures, the next trough will move into the Four Corners
region late week and develop a southwest flow. This will warm
temperatures back up nearly 10 degrees warmer, so well above normal,
as we head into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1123 PM MDT Sat Sep 28 2019

Although VFR conditions are expected during the next 24 hours at
all 3 taf sites, it is going to be quite windy (from the south to
southwest) starting later tomorrow morning and lasting into the
evening hours. Gusts to 35 to 45 knots will be possible,
especially during the afternoon. Some blowing dust will be
possible at times at the TAF sites, especially once the winds
start to pick up in earnest during the late morning or early
afternoon.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Sunday for COZ220>222-
225>235.

Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
for COZ220>222-224>235.

Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
for COZ224.

&&

SHORT TERM...LINE
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
AVIATION...HODANISH
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 28, 9:14 PM MDT, 6 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
914 PM MDT Sat Sep 28 2019

COZ058>089-093>099-300315-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
914 PM MDT Sat Sep 28 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible through the
night-time hours across extreme southeastern Baca County. Cloud
to ground lightning is the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Fire danger will increase across the area with red flag
conditions expected Sunday and Monday, especially along and west
of the the Interstate 25 Corridor, as strong and gusty southwest
winds, above normal temperatures, low humidity levels and drying
fuels will lead to critical fire weather conditions.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
each day through Friday, with the activity expected along the
Continental Divide Sunday and Monday, then the focus will shift to
the eastern plains for Tuesday through Thursday, then back to the
Divide for Friday. Cloud to ground lightning and gusty outflow
winds will be the main storm threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

Hodanish

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2019Every red flag warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.