Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Pueblo, CO

159 
WGUS65 KPUB 150522
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1122 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...Snowmelt will continue to produce high flows in creeks,
streams and rivers across the southwest mountains and portions of
the San Luis Valley...

.Snowmelt in the high country is causing many creeks, streams and
rivers in the southwest mountains, and portions of the San Luis
Valley, to run high and fast, with some areas reporting flooding.
With warm temperatures persisting, the snowmelt will continue,
and could cause flooding the next several days.

In addition, heavy rain will be possible over the southern
mountains tomorrow afternoon and evening. This heavy rain will
the potential of cause flash flooding over the Junkins, Hayden
Pass and Spring burn scars.

COZ072-074-077>079-087-151400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0002.190615T2000Z-190616T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Cuchara, 
Stonewall, Weston, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, 
Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, 
and Walsenburg
1122 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and southeast Colorado, including
  the following areas, in central Colorado, Fremont County. In
  southeast Colorado, Huerfano County, Sangre de Cristo Mountains,
  Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. 

* From Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening

* Moist unstable air will move over the east slopes of the 
  southern mountains Saturday afternoon and evening. 
  Thunderstorms are expected to develop, and will have the 
  potential to produce heavy rain over the Hayden Pass, Junkins 
  and Spring burn scars. 

* People who live in or near the Hayden Pass, Junkins and Spring 
  burn scars should keep a very close eye on the weather 
  Saturday afternoon and evening, and be prepared to evacuate if 
  heavy rain develops over the burn scar areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

COZ065>068-070-071-151400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190618T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Including the cities of North Pass, South Fork, Creede, 
Cumbres Pass, Wolf Creek Pass, Alamosa, Monte Vista, Manassa, 
La Jara, Antonito, Sanford, San Luis, Fort Garland, and Blanca
1122 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and south central Colorado, 
  including the following areas, in central Colorado, La Garita 
  Mountains. In south central Colorado, Central San Luis Valley, 
  Eastern San Juan Mountains, Southern San Luis Valley, and 
  Upper Rio Grande Valley. 

* Through Monday afternoon

* Rapid snowmelt due to warm temperatures is causing high and 
  fast flows in area creeks, streams and rivers. Snowmelt over 
  the next several days will add more water, and the potential 
  for flooding. 

* Minor to moderate flooding will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

096 
WGUS65 KPUB 151204
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
604 AM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...Snowmelt will continue to produce high flows in creeks, streams
and rivers across the southwest mountains and portions of the San
Luis Valley...

.Snowmelt in the high country is causing many creeks, streams and
rivers in the southwest mountains, and portions of the San Luis
Valley, to run high and fast, with some areas reporting flooding.
With warm temperatures persisting, the snowmelt will continue,
and could cause flooding the next several days.

In addition, heavy rain will be possible over the southern mountains
this afternoon and evening. This heavy rain will lead to the potential
of flash flooding if it falls over the Spring, Junkins, and Hayden
Pass burn scars. 

COZ072-074-077>079-087-152015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0002.190615T2000Z-190616T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Cuchara, 
Stonewall, Weston, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, 
Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, 
and Walsenburg
604 AM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and southeast Colorado, including 
  the following areas, in central Colorado, Fremont County. In 
  southeast Colorado, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Wet Mountain 
  Valley, and Wet Mountains. 

* From 2 PM MDT this afternoon through this evening

* Moist unstable air will move over the east slopes of the 
  southern mountains this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms are
  expected to develop, and will have the potential to produce 
  heavy rain over the Hayden Pass, Junkins and Spring burn scars.
  

* People who live in or near the Hayden Pass, Junkins and Spring
  burn scars should keep a very close eye on the weather  
  Saturday afternoon and evening, and be prepared to evacuate if 
  heavy rain develops over the burn scar areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

COZ065>068-070-071-152015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190618T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Including the cities of North Pass, South Fork, Creede, 
Cumbres Pass, Wolf Creek Pass, Alamosa, Monte Vista, Manassa, 
La Jara, Antonito, Sanford, San Luis, Fort Garland, and Blanca
604 AM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and south central Colorado, 
  including the following areas, in central Colorado, La Garita 
  Mountains. In south central Colorado, Central San Luis Valley, 
  Eastern San Juan Mountains, Southern San Luis Valley, and 
  Upper Rio Grande Valley. 

* Through Monday afternoon

* Rapid snowmelt due to warm temperatures is causing high and 
  fast flows in area creeks, streams and rivers. Snowmelt over 
  the next several days will add more water, and the potential 
  for flooding. 

* Minor to moderate flooding will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

072 
WGUS65 KPUB 151906
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
106 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...Snowmelt will continue to produce high flows in creeks,
streams and rivers across the southwest mountains and portions of
the San Luis Valley...

.Snowmelt in the high country is causing many creeks, streams and
rivers in the southwest mountains, and portions of the San Luis
Valley, to run high and fast, with some areas reporting flooding.
With warm temperatures persisting, the snowmelt will continue,
and could cause flooding the next several days.

In addition, heavy rain will be possible over the southern
mountains this afternoon and evening. This heavy rain will lead
to the potential of flash flooding if it falls over the Spring,
Junkins, and Hayden Pass burn scars.

COZ072-074-077>079-087-160500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0002.190615T2000Z-190616T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Cuchara, 
Stonewall, Weston, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, 
Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, 
and Walsenburg
106 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and southeast Colorado, including
  the following areas, in central Colorado, Fremont County. In
  southeast Colorado, Huerfano County, Sangre de Cristo Mountains,
  Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. 

* Until 11 PM MDT this evening

* Moist unstable air will move over the east slopes of the 
  southern mountains this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms 
  are expected to develop, and will have the potential to 
  produce heavy rain over the Hayden Pass, Junkins and Spring 
  burn scars. 

* People who live in or near the Hayden Pass, Junkins and Spring 
  burn scars should keep a very close eye on the weather 
  Saturday afternoon and evening, and be prepared to evacuate if 
  heavy rain develops over the burn scar areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

COZ065>068-070-071-160500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190618T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Including the cities of North Pass, South Fork, Creede, 
Cumbres Pass, Wolf Creek Pass, Alamosa, Monte Vista, Manassa, 
La Jara, Antonito, Sanford, San Luis, Fort Garland, and Blanca
106 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and south central Colorado,
  including the following areas, in central Colorado, La Garita
  Mountains. In south central Colorado, Central and Southern San
  Luis Valley, Eastern San Juan Mountains, and Upper Rio Grande 
  Valley. 

* Through Monday afternoon

* Rapid snowmelt due to warm temperatures is causing high and 
  fast flows in area creeks, streams and rivers. Snowmelt over 
  the next several days will add more water, and the potential 
  for flooding. 

* Minor to moderate flooding will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

748 
WGUS65 KPUB 160121
FFAPUB

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
721 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...Snowmelt will continue to produce high flows in creeks,
streams and rivers across the southwest mountains and portions of
the San Luis Valley...

.Snowmelt in the high country is causing many creeks, streams and
rivers in the southwest mountains, and portions of the San Luis
Valley, to run high and fast, with some areas reporting flooding.
With warm temperatures persisting, the snowmelt will continue,
and may cause flooding the next several days.

Even rivers and creeks that remain within their banks will be 
run bankfull and very swift. People planning activities near area
rivers and creeks should use caution near the banks.

COZ072-074-077>079-087-160230-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190616T0500Z/
/00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Cuchara, 
Stonewall, Weston, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, 
Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, 
and Walsenburg
721 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Colorado and
southeast Colorado has been cancelled. Thunderstorm activity has
moved into the southeast plains of Colorado. Flash flooding is no
longer expected across the area this evening.

$$

COZ065>068-070-071-160930-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190618T0000Z/
/00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Including the cities of North Pass, South Fork, Creede, 
Cumbres Pass, Wolf Creek Pass, Alamosa, Monte Vista, Manassa, 
La Jara, Antonito, Sanford, San Luis, Fort Garland, and Blanca
721 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado and south central Colorado, 
  including the following areas, in central Colorado, La Garita 
  Mountains. In south central Colorado, Central San Luis Valley, 
  Eastern San Juan Mountains, Southern San Luis Valley, and 
  Upper Rio Grande Valley. 

* Through Monday afternoon

* Rapid snowmelt due to warm temperatures is causing high and fast
  flows in area creeks, streams and rivers. Snowmelt over the next
  several days will add more water, and bring the potential for 
  flooding. 

* Minor to moderate flooding will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Stark

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
305 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...Warm with possible severe storms across the Plains...

Currently...

A broken line of showers and thunderstorms were occurring over the
plains extending from vicinity of Limon down to Pueblo. Other
isolated storms were noted over the remainder of the plains.
Activity over the mountains was decreasing. Temp behind the line of
storms were in the 70s while east of the line temps were in the 90s.
Storms were producing gusty winds as they were moving through.

This afternoon through tonight...

Severe thunderstorm watch was issued earlier this afternoon for
mainly the far eastern counties. Given large T/Td spreads, so-so
moisture and forcing, should see a few storms producing damaging
winds and some large hail. Based on latest guidance, anticipate the
severe storms should clear the region by AOA 7-ish. expect to see
some lingering showers and isold thunderstorms  over the northern 1/2 of
the CWA through the evening hours with the precip ending later in
the evening.

The shortwave crossing the area will bring a weak boundary across
the region tonight and this should moisten up the low levels of the
atmosphere tonight. This in turn will set the stage for tomorrows
round of active weather as tomorrow we will see quite a bit more
instability over the region as compared to today.

Min temps tonight will be seasonable with 50s most of the plans and
40s valleys.

Given the warmth of today, quite a bit of snowmelt will occur
through the remainder of the afternoon and expect to see some rises
in area stream tonight. Temps will not go below freezing tonight so
this will continue for rapid snowmelt in the mtns.

Tomorrow...

Two concerns this day, heavy rain and strong storms. Models for last
several days have been pinging this day as a heavy rain event, and
latest guidance is no different. Although precip bullseyes vary a
bit from model to model and run to run, they have beens consistently
showing heavy rains developing in and around the S mtns/I-25
corridor region and then moving east in later in the afternoon, and
into the evening. Based on this, have issued a Flash Flood Watch for
the burn scars in the southern mountains. Note that if antecedent
conditions were more moist across the S mtns and Plains, I would
have issued a Flash Flood Watch for all of the Plains and all of the
S mtns. I expect many areas will see at least 0.25 inches of rain
tomorrow with some areas receiving over an inch with the stronger
storms.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

Saturday Night:

Showers and thunderstorms will continue over the mountains and will
spread over the plains during the beginning of the long term
forecast period (6PM MDT Saturday). There is a continuing flash
flood risk over the Spring, Junkins, and Hayden Pass burn scars. One
notable concern is the a precipitation maxima resolved by most of
the models over the Spring Burn Scar. There are some discrepancies
of what will occur during the rest of the evening and overnight
hours, but the NAM, GFS, and the Canadian are resolving showers and
thunderstorms continuing throughout the overnight hours and into the
morning hours, whereas the ECMWF is resolving the atmosphere
stabilizing and therefore precipitation dissipating. There is higher
confidence with precipitation continuing.

The low temperatures overnight will be right around average, with
the plains ranging from the upper 40s to low 50s, the mountain
valleys will be in the low 49s, and the mountains will be in the 20s
to 30s.

Sunday:

There will be a meso-vortex located over the southeastern Plains
being resolved by the GFS and the NAM tomorrow, which will aid in
thunderstorm initiation during the afternoon hours. The forecast
soundings illustrate a fairly stable atmosphere, though, so if
thunderstorms do initiate, they will be below severe criteria. The
main concern will be a flash flooding risk over the burn scars,
since mountain top instability will exist. High temperatures will be
below average for this time of year, in response to the colder air
mass and cloud cover from the showers, thunderstorms, and cloud
cover.

Monday:

Surface southeasterly flow will advect Gulf of Mexico moisture
towards the eastern Plains of Colorado, and an upper level low
pressure system located over the desert southwest will eject a
shortwave trough over the mountains. The combination of the two
previously mentioned variables will spark another day of afternoon
thunderstorms over the mountains. Those thunderstorms will propagate
over the I-25 corridor where around 1000 J/kg of CAPE and a curved
hodograph with roughly 40 kts of bulk shear exist, so severe storms
are possible on Monday. Over the eastern Plains, similar CAPE values
are anticipated, but a less favorable hodograph is resolved, meaning
that the main severe threat is anticipated to be over the I-25
corridor.

Tuesday:

Tuesday afternoon appears to a down day in terms of weather. There
will be afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the region, once
again, but there is only around 400-600 J/kg of CAPE, so
thunderstorms are not anticipated to be severe. The mountain top
instability is also lacking, so beneficial rain is anticipated, not
flash flooding type rain rates.

Wednesday through Friday:

Upper level ridging and low level southeasterly flow is forecast to
develop over the region, which will turn our daily mountain
thunderstorm risk in to an isolated thunderstorm risk over the
eastern plains, wherever a dry line forms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

VFR likely at COS, PUB and ALS through tomorrow midday. By tomorrow
afternoon anticipate we will see quite of bit of thunderstorm
activity and these storms will have the potential to produce heavy
rain and some hail, along with strong winds. The best chance will be
at COS and PUB tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday afternoon for COZ065>068-070-071.

Flash Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
evening for COZ072-074-077>079-087.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...SKELLY
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1107 AM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ058>089-093>099-151715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1107 AM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop
across the higher terrain late this morning and early afternoon.
Storms will move east into a more unstable environment across the
southeast Plains, where one or two severe storms will be possible
this afternoon through the early evening. The best chances of
storms producing large hail up to the size of golfballs and
damaging wind gusts to 70 mph will be north and east of a line
from Monument to La Junta to Kim. The greatest threat for the most
intense storms will be along the Colorado and Kansas border.

Other storm risks across the rest of the area will be lightning
and gusty outflow winds up to 50 mph, with small hail possible
with the stronger storms.

Warm temperatures across the area will continue to accelerate
melting of the abundant high country snow pack. This will keep fast
and high flows in area creeks, streams and rivers. Accelerated snow
melt will also lead to the potential for flooding, especially in the
southwest mountains, portions of the San Luis Valley, and along the
Upper Arkansas River Valley, generally west of the Pueblo
Reservoir.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected across the area
from Saturday into Tuesday, with the greatest chance for storms
over the eastern mountains. Severe storms, with hail up to half
dollar size and wind gusts around 70 mph will be possible on the
plains east of I-25 Saturday, with the greatest risk near the
Kansas border. Lightning, small hail and gusty outflow winds will
be possible with any thunderstorm through the weekend and into
early next week. Heavy rainfall and flash flooding will also be
possible each day across the entire region, with the greatest risk
across the eastern mountain burn scars.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely by early afternoon across all of the region due to the
severe weather threat over the plains and flooding threat over the
high country.

34/34

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
239 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ079-086-087-142130-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
239 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL HUERFANO AND
SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM MDT...

At 238 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Greenhorn Mountain, or 21 miles southeast of Junkins
Burn Scar, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rye and Colorado City.

LAT...LON 3781 10487 3791 10499 3811 10471 3797 10451
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 224DEG 19KT 3789 10488

KTS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
240 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ086-142130-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
240 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY UNTIL 330
PM MDT...

At 240 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Salt Creek, or 9 miles south of Pueblo, moving east at
30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo, Boone, Salt Creek, Blende, Avondale, Pueblo Depot and Pueblo
West.

LAT...LON 3811 10471 3832 10469 3832 10411 3789 10424
      3797 10451
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 281DEG 26KT 3813 10459

KTS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
244 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ099-142130-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-
244 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BACA COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM MDT...

At 244 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles southwest of Pritchett, or 26 miles southwest of Springfield,
moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern Baca
County.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3708 10308 3725 10308 3729 10259 3702 10259
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 269DEG 16KT 3715 10297

KTS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
250 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ093-097-142145-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
250 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OTERO AND
SOUTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

At 250 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Timpas, or 16 miles southwest of La Junta, moving northeast at 35
mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
La Junta, North La Junta, Higbee and Timpas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3765 10371 3780 10383 3804 10351 3776 10332
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 239DEG 28KT 3777 10369

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
259 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ088-094-142145-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
259 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY UNTIL
345 PM MDT...

At 259 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Model, or 20 miles northeast of Trinidad, moving east at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Tyrone and Model.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3727 10432 3746 10433 3754 10397 3727 10389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 264DEG 19KT 3737 10424

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
325 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

COZ093-142215-
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
325 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OTERO COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM MDT...

At 325 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles west of Timpas, or 27 miles west of La Junta, moving northeast
at 25 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Timpas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 10405 3795 10405 3807 10378 3783 10364
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 242DEG 20KT 3786 10403

MOORE