Small Craft Advisory 86, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

464 
WHUS71 KPHI 210750
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

ANZ452-453-212200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191022T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-212200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191022T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-212200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191022T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ431-211100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191021T1100Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
350 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...North winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 
  kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

MPS

444 
WHUS71 KPHI 211014
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
614 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

ANZ431-211115-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191021T1100Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
614 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has cancelled the
Small Craft Advisory.

Wind gusts continue to diminish below 25 kt. Therefore, the Small
Craft Advisory has been cancelled.

$$

ANZ452-453-212300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191022T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
614 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-212300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191022T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
614 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-212300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191022T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
614 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

MPS

492 
WHUS71 KPHI 211912
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
312 PM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

ANZ452-453-220815-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191022T1800Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
312 PM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 
  kt. Seas 4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-220815-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191022T1800Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
312 PM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 
  kt. Seas 4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-220815-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191022T1800Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
312 PM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. 
  Seas 3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

966 
WHUS71 KPHI 220720
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
320 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

ANZ430-431-222030-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.191022T1800Z-191023T1000Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
320 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Small
Craft Advisory, which is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon to
6 AM EDT Wednesday.

* WINDS AND SEAS...Southeasterly winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up
  to 25 kt this afternoon and this evening, becoming west to
  northwest 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt later tonight. 
  Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-222030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191023T1000Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
320 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Southeast winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25
  kt, becoming west to northwest later tonight. Seas 3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-454-455-222030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T1000Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
320 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Southeast winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25
  kt, becoming west to northwest later tonight. Seas 3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

019 
WHUS71 KPHI 221935
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
335 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

ANZ452-453-230845-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
335 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 
  kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-454-455-230845-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
335 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 
  kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-230845-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T1000Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
335 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Southwest winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 
  25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

933 
WHUS71 KPHI 230729
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
329 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

ANZ454-455-231600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T1600Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
329 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt with
  gusts up to 25 kt early this morning, then diminishing some this
  afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-231600-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T1600Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
329 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt with
  gusts up to 25 kt early this morning, then diminishing some 
  this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-232030-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
329 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt with
  gusts up to 25 kt early this morning, then diminishing some this
  afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-232030-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
329 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt with
  gusts up to 25 kt early this morning, then diminishing some this
  afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

843 
WHUS71 KPHI 231559
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1159 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

ANZ454-455-231700-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T1600Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1159 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EDT TODAY...

Wind speeds will continue to diminish this afternoon. As a result,
the Small Craft Advisory will expire at noon.

$$

ANZ430-431-231700-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T1600Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1159 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EDT TODAY...

Wind speeds will continue to diminish this afternoon. As a result,
the Small Craft Advisory will expire at noon.

$$

ANZ452-453-232300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1159 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 
  25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-232300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
1159 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 
  kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

256 
WHUS71 KPHI 231934
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
334 PM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

ANZ452-453-232045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
334 PM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has cancelled the
Small Craft Advisory.

$$

ANZ450-451-232045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-191023T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
334 PM EDT Wed Oct 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has cancelled the
Small Craft Advisory.

$$

Iovino

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
859 PM EDT Sun Oct 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A low pressure area will track offshore tonight. High pressure will
build in Monday and crest over the area Tuesday morning before
weakening. A cold front attached to low pressure in Canada will
cross the area later Tuesday and Tuesday night. Another high will
affect the weather for Wednesday and into Friday. Late during the
week, another disturbance will move towards the area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Winds have begun to subside, and peak wind gusts are now less
than 40 mph. Therefore, cancelled the wind advisory for Sussex
County Delaware and Cape May County New Jersey.

Also made adjustments to PoPs as the rain continues to diminish
in coverage over our region. Expect that we should see dry
conditions across the area by 2 AM EDT.

Dew point depressions are already quite low, and although we
will see a wind shift to northerly overnight, significant dry
air advection is not expected until late tonight at the
earliest. This, combined with the wet ground and clearing skies
could lead to patchy fog development. The one factor working
against fog development is wind speeds, which will still be
quite breezy along the coast until very late tonight. given all
the factors in favor of fog, I don't think it will be enough to
completely preclude fog development, though it may limit the fog
from becoming dense and/or widespread.

Because of the low dew point depressions, we are not expecting
temperatures to drop off too much overnight from Sunday afternoon.
Lows tonight are expected to be in the 40s and lower 50s across the
region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
Monday will be a brief respite from the active weather pattern as a
surface high propagates directly over the region leading to
tranquil and dry weather for the region. Once the fog dissipates in
the morning, we should have mostly sunny conditions through the day.
Thus, despite northerly low level flow, temperatures are expected to
recover into the 60s for most locations, with highs near normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
An upper air pattern featuring faster flow and more energy develops
across the CONUS with a large broad trough moving into the Plains
and then weakening as it slides east. A ridge tries to develop
across the East coast late week before another trough deepens across
the Great Lakes.

Temperatures...During the week, temperatures will not vary from
normal readings by very much. Normals for the Delaware Valley this
time of year feature highs in the mid 60s with lows in the upper
40s. Across the N/W areas, normals are 6 to 8 degrees cooler than
the Delaware Valley normals. Friday will probably be the warmest day
with highs 2 or 3 degrees above normal. The overnight period
Wednesday will be cool with mid/upper 30s across the north and
low/mid 40s elsewhere. More frost across the N/W areas is possible
then.

Precipitation...There are two periods during the long range which
will have the greatest chances for rain. First, a slow moving cold
front will cross the Middle Atlantic later Tuesday and into Tuesday
night. This should bring some light rains across most areas during
the period. A weak low may form along the front across Delmarva. If
so, this could delay the ending time somewhat. Either way Wednesday
will be nice after perhaps some morning clouds.

Another system may arrive at the end of the work week and persist
into Saturday. The 12Z runs of the EC and GFS differ quite a bit
with the details of the system. Nonetheless, it's possible that
this could bring another opportunity for some rains across the
area. The GFS shows that the low could tap into some Gulf of
Mexico moisture, so the potential for a soaker exits during the
first part of next weekend. Chc pops in the fcst at this point.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Mainly sub-VFR conditions are expected for tonight, with
most areas seeing a slow trend towards improving conditions as the
night goes on. Mainly IFR or low end MVFR expected through midnight
near and south of PHL, with a trend towards VFR by 12z. Out west,
forecast confidence is a little lower. Expecting mainly MVFR
conditions initially, though periods of VFR are possible especially
towards the 04z to 07z time frame. There is then a chance for
another period of visibility restrictions due to fog, mainly near
RDG and ABE. Overall, moderate confidence on both trends and timing
in the TAFs.

Monday...Patchy fog near RDG and ABE could linger through 13Z, but
once it dissipates, VFR conditions are expected through the day.
Northerly winds will veer to easterly or even east-southeasterly
through the day, but wind speeds should be less than 10 kt. High
confidence.

Outlook...
Monday night...VFR. Increasing clouds late.

Tue/Tue night...Lower CIGS and VSBYS with occasional showers.

Wed thru Fri...Mostly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
The remnant low of Nestor moves into the Carolina coast this
afternoon, and then out to sea tonight.

Small Craft Advisory conditions have already developed on much of
the waters. Gales force gusts are expected to develop soon on the
Delaware Coastal waters and the southern NJ coastal waters by this
evening. We have seen a few gale gusts already in the vicinity of
Lewes and Cape Henlopen. Therefore, the gale warning was expanded to
include the lower Delaware Bay.

SCA and gales are expected to continue for most, if not all of
tonight, though winds are expected to gradually diminish overnight.
By Monday morning, winds and waves should be below SCA criteria on
the Delaware Bay. On the Atlantic coastal waters, SCA conditions,
primarily for elevated seas, will continue through the day on Monday.

Outlook...
Mon night...sub-SCA. Fair.
Tue...sub-SCA. Showers.
Tue night into Wed morning...SCA possible. Showers Tue night.
Wed afternoon thru Thu...sub-SCA. Fair.
Fri...Winds and seas building. Showers possible late.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ452>455.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Monday for ANZ450-451.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Monday for ANZ430.
     Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Monday for ANZ431.

&&

Synopsis...O'Hara
Near Term...Johnson
Short Term...Johnson
Long Term...O'Hara
Aviation...Davis/O'Brien/O'Hara
Marine...Johnson/O'Hara

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1223 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-220500-
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cecil-Kent MD-
Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-
Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
1223 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, northern
Delaware, southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central New
Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, southern New
Jersey, east central Pennsylvania, northeast Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452>455-220500-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1223 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-431-450-451-220500-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1223 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MPS