Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 104, NWS Norman, OK

June 6, 2019Kay County, Noble County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this flash flood warning at Jun 6, 2019, 2:54 PM CDT for Kay County, Noble County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 6, 2019, 2:54 PM CDT (19:54 UTC)
Expired: Jun 6, 2019, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Kay County, OK, Noble County, OK

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 6, 12:53 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 12:53 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1253 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation.

&&

.AVIATION...
A closed spinning upper low will maintain RA with embedded TSRA
chances through this evening, maintaining MVFR to near IFR
conditions for brief periods across our Oklahoma terminals.
However, our lone terminal south of the Red River (KSPS) should
remain on the edge of the cloud shield with barely VFR
conditions. Expecting dry but MVFR conditions to prevail across
most terminals after 12Z in the morning. Surface winds will be
generally light and out of the north.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1102 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019/

UPDATE...
The upper low is expected to continue to move east over the fa
today/tonight creating a pivot point of rain that will slowly
move across the area. Rainfall rates of 1.5+" of in 30 minutes
have been reported in some locations. With rainfall rates of at
least 1-2" per hour likely and some areas experiencing 4-5" per
hour. Heavy rainfall and flooding are of greatest concern. The Flood
Watch was expanded west and south in area earlier this morning due
to these concerns.

Some strong to severe storms could also be possible this
afternoon with the highest potential in southern parts of the fa
where some heating is occurring.

With clouds/rain, lowered highs in parts of the fa for today.
Adjusted PoPs with current and expected radar trends expected.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 638 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019/

DISCUSSION...
12Z TAFs.

AVIATION...
Areas of showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tonight,
with chances decreasing from west to east overnight. The highest
chances will be in the east, including KOKC, KOUN and KPNC. There
are also some IFR ceilings across portions of central and south
central Oklahoma this morning which will affect KOKC and KOUN.
There is some potential for these to move into KPNC as well,
although it is not certain enough to include in the TAFs.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 324 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Happily leaving the messy period of weak forcing (and resulting poor
model performance) behind, our attention is turned now toward the
widespread rains expected with the incoming upper low.

Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected to increase
through the morning hours and continue through much of the day. By
evening, this activity will start shifting eastward with some
wraparound possible across central Oklahoma overnight and into
Friday morning. PWATs are looking less impressive with values at or
below the 90th percentile. However given the widespread prolonged
nature of these rains combined with little to no storm motion,
heavy rain and flooding will still be a concern. Will be issuing a
flood watch for north central and central Oklahoma where training
storms will be a concern.

Saturday may see a brief break as this system moves out, though
there is some hint of an MCS coming down late Friday night in the
northwest flow that will follow this cut-off low.

A cold front on Sunday will again bring low chances for rain. Models
seem to be trending weaker with this front than they were 24 hours
ago and therefore not clearing out the moisture as efficiently.
Slightly cooler temperatures will follow behind this front.

Northwest flow continues through early next week, so at least low
PoPs will continue. Another upper level trough is expected around
mid week next week.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  75  63  82  63 /  80  40  20   0
Hobart OK         79  63  85  63 /  80  20  10  10
Wichita Falls TX  84  66  85  65 /  20  20  10   0
Gage OK           79  58  82  60 /  60  10   0  20
Ponca City OK     75  63  80  63 /  80  60  20  10
Durant OK         82  66  83  66 /  50  40  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Friday morning for OKZ005>008-011>013-
     015>020-022>032.

TX...None.
&&

10/25/68

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 6, 11:42 AM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 6, 1:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 6, 2:17 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 6, 2:31 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 6, 2:32 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 6, 2:39 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 6, 2:46 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 5, 7:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Greer	32 min
Jun 5, 8:06 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Beckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita	3 hr
Jun 5, 8:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Greer, Harmon	52 min
Jun 5, 8:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Greer, Harmon, Jackson	47 min
Jun 5, 9:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Greer, Harmon	41 min
Jun 5, 9:07 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Blaine, Dewey, Major	113 min
Jun 5, 9:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman	52 min
Jun 5, 9:31 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa	3 hr
Jun 5, 9:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Beckham, Greer	39 min
Jun 5, 10:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Tillman	30 min
Jun 5, 10:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Comanche, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman	34 min
Jun 5, 10:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Tillman	48 min
Jun 5, 11:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Custer	32 min
Jun 5, 11:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Cotton	29 min
Jun 5, 11:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Custer	114 min
Jun 6, 3:24 AM CDT	Flood Watch	OUN	Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Custer and 18 more	25 hr
Jun 6, 4:09 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Cleveland, Oklahoma	3 hr
Jun 6, 8:25 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Washita	3 hr
Jun 6, 8:52 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Kay	3 hr
Jun 6, 9:23 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Garfield, Grant	3 hr
Jun 6, 9:38 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant	3 hr
Jun 6, 9:47 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Blaine, Caddo, Custer	3 hr
Jun 6, 10:01 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Canadian, Oklahoma	3 hr
Jun 6, 10:08 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Canadian, Oklahoma	5 hr
Jun 6, 10:14 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Garfield	3 hr
Jun 6, 10:20 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Blaine, Garfield, Kingfisher, Major	3 hr
Jun 6, 10:25 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Blaine, Garfield, Kingfisher, Major	3 hr
Jun 6, 10:39 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain	3 hr
Jun 6, 10:41 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Blaine, Canadian, Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan, Oklahoma	2 hr
Jun 6, 10:55 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Blaine, Canadian, Kingfisher, Logan, Oklahoma	3 hr
Jun 6, 11:07 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Canadian	113 min
Jun 6, 11:39 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield	4 hr
Jun 6, 11:45 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Kay, Noble	3 hr
Jun 6, 11:59 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Lincoln, Logan, Noble, Payne	3 hr
Jun 6, 12:04 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Cleveland, Oklahoma	3 hr
Jun 6, 12:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Logan, Payne	3 hr
Jun 6, 12:18 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Oklahoma	3 hr
Jun 6, 12:34 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant, Kay	9 hr
Jun 6, 12:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Garvin	33 min
Jun 6, 1:04 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Noble	3 hr
Jun 6, 1:15 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Blaine, Kingfisher, Logan, Major	9 hr
Jun 6, 1:32 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble	3 hr
Jun 6, 1:46 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Garvin	3 hr
Jun 6, 1:46 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	OUN	Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer	38 hr
Jun 6, 1:47 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	OUN	Blaine, Canadian	30 hr
Jun 6, 2:02 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	OUN	Kingfisher, Logan	59 hr
Jun 6, 2:03 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	OUN	Payne	3 days
Jun 6, 2:15 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Payne	2 hr
Jun 6, 2:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Murray	28 min
Jun 6, 2:45 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Kay, Noble	3 hr
Jun 6, 2:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Murray	29 min
Jun 6, 3:00 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc	3 hr
Jun 6, 3:04 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Canadian, Oklahoma	6 hr
Jun 6, 3:17 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Logan, Payne	6 hr
Jun 6, 3:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Johnston, Pontotoc	25 min
Jun 6, 3:35 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Johnston, Pontotoc	3 hr
Jun 6, 3:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Johnston	32 min
Jun 6, 3:45 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield	6 hr
Jun 6, 3:55 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Noble	6 hr
Jun 6, 4:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Coal	35 min
Jun 6, 4:30 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble	5 hr
Jun 6, 4:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Atoka	45 min
Jun 6, 6:13 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	OUN	Kay	6 hr
Jun 5, 9:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Knox	34 min
Jun 5, 10:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Wichita	47 min
Jun 5, 10:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Wichita	26 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2019 Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.