Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2019

Gale Warning 7, NWS New York, NY

February 11, 2019

NWS New York, NY issued this gale warning at Feb 11, 2019, 4:04 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 12, 2019, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 46 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2019, 4:04 PM EST (21:04 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2019, 6:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 14, 2019, 3:50 AM EST
In force
46 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted.

356 
WHUS71 KOKX 112104
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
404 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

ANZ350-353-355-121000-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0007.190212T1100Z-190213T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0007.190212T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
404 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Gale Warning,
which is in effect from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 PM EST Wednesday. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt
  Tuesday and Tuesday night. A lull in the winds is likely
  overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning before becoming west 
  20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 6 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-121000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0027.190212T1100Z-190213T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0008.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
404 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Gale Watch,
which is in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday
afternoon.

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
  Tuesday into Tuesday night. A lull in the winds is likely
  overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning before becoming west 20
  to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet on Long 
  Island Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 kt has significantly increased, but the specific timing and/or
location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide additional
lead time for mariners who may wish to consider altering their
plans.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
863 
WHUS71 KOKX 120840
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
340 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-122200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0027.190212T1100Z-190213T0500Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0008.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0007.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
340 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Gale Warning,
which is in effect from 6 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday. The Gale
Watch is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt
  today and tonight with gusts up to 40 kt Wednesday. Seas 3 to 5
  feet on Long Island Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-122200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0007.190212T1100Z-190214T1100Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
340 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 40 kt
  today and tonight. A lull in the winds is likely late tonight
  into early Wednesday morning. Then west winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 6 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$
310 
WHUS71 KOKX 122057
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
357 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-130500-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
357 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...E winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
  tonight, becoming W 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt
  Wednesday. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-130500-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190214T1100Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
357 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 20 to 30 kt tonight becoming west on
  Wednesday. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 6 to 8 feet building to 7 to
  10 feet tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$
594 
WHUS71 KOKX 131041
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
541 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-132100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0007.190213T1041Z-190213T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
541 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Upton has cancelled the Small
Craft Advisory.

* WINDS...W 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-132100-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190214T1100Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
541 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$
315 
WHUS71 KOKX 132047
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
347 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-132300-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190213T2300Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
347 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...West around 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas
  3 to 5 feet on Long Island Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-140500-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190214T1100Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
347 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...West 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5
  to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$
437 
WHUS71 KOKX 132318
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
618 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-141000-
/O.EXP.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190213T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.190213T2318Z-190214T1100Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
618 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 6 AM EST Thursday.

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.
  Seas 3 to 5 feet on the Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-141000-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190214T1100Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
618 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.
  Seas 4 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

JMC
894 
WHUS71 KOKX 140850
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
350 AM EST Thu Feb 14 2019

ANZ353-355-141700-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190214T1100Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T2100Z/
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
350 AM EST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 4 PM EST this afternoon. The
Gale Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 
  kt. Seas 3 to 6 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-141700-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190214T1100Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
350 AM EST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 6 PM EST this evening. The
Gale Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS AND SEAS...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 
  kt. Seas 5 to 8 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-141500-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T1500Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
350 AM EST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...West winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-141700-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T2100Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
350 AM EST Thu Feb 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 11, 1:00 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 1:00 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
100 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Polar high pressure builds in from the north today before giving way
to a storm system that will impact the area late tonight through
Tuesday night. High pressure briefly builds into the region
Wednesday into Thursday before another storm system impacts the area
for the end of the week into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Forecast overall on track. There are overcast conditions with
forecast temperatures and dewpoints within a few degrees of
observed values.

High pressure noses down from the north today, keeping
conditions dry. It will remain cloudy with high temperatures a
few degrees below normal, mainly in the middle and upper 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Strong polar high pressure across eastern Canada will lay the
foundation for a significant winter weather event across the region
from late tonight through Tuesday night. While models are in good
agreement with the overall large scale features, there continue
to be differences with the timing of warming aloft. The NAM solution
continues to be the quickest with a prolonged period of sleet across
most locations, while GFS and more so ECMWF are slower with more
snow accumulation potential before a wintry mix and/or changeover
to rain occurs. Have decided to go with the middle ground regarding
thermal profiles aloft as well as surface temperatures.

The main low with this system takes a track up through the Great
Lakes Tuesday into Tuesday night with a secondary developing
near the area Tuesday evening. The latter of which develops too
late to bring back enough cold air for moderate to heavy rain to
transition back to snow/ice overnight Tuesday. However, western
portions of Orange County may very well never get above freezing
with a significant ice accretion possible.

Light snow is most likely to develop within a few hours either side
of daybreak Tuesday across the NYC metro, then overspreads the remainder
of the forecast area from SW to NE during the morning hours. Snow
will transition over to a mix at the coast late morning/early
afternoon, with a more gradual transition inland. Should the
warmer solutions such as the NAM become a realization, then the
potential is there for more sleet and freezing rain versus snow.

At this time, looking for mostly 1 to 4 inches of snowfall along
the coast, and 4 to 7 inches along with a tenth to quarter inch
of ice accretion north and west of NYC. After collaboration with
the surrounding office, a winter storm watch remains in effect for
Orange County NY and western Passaic in NJ for the combination of
significant snow and ice. An advisory has been issued for all other
zones except eastern Suffolk County and the South Shore of Long Island.
Even if snow totals here don't reach advisory criteria, there is
concern that freezing rain ends up being more widespread than currently
forecast. It however at this point appears that coastal areas within
the advisory would only pick up perhaps no more than a few hundredths
of an inch of ice accretion.

Temperatures will very slowly rise from the 20s around daybreak
Tuesday to above freezing by late afternoon/early evening
except for far interior locations where temperatures may only be
in the upper 20s. A gradual rise will continue Tuesday night as
easterly winds scour out the low-level cold air.

Easterly winds Tuesday afternoon could gusts up to 35 mph along the
coast and 20 to 30 mph inland.

Precipitation tapers off after midnight with total liquid
equivalent of 1 to 1.5 inches.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Any leftover precipitation comes to an end Wednesday morning, with
drier air working into the region Wednesday afternoon through
Thursday as high pressure builds over the area.

The dry weather will be shortlived, as the next weather system to
impact the area begins to take shape over the western U.S. By
Thursday night, a strengthening area of low pressure in the lee of
the Rockies begins to move eastward in association with a shortwave
trough digging into the central U.S. As the low tracks towards the
Great Lakes on Friday, precipitation will overspread the area in the
afternoon, continuing into the day on Saturday. The parent low is
expected to track well west of the area, resulting in precipitation
remaining almost entirely rain, with the possible exception of a
brief period of mixed precipitation at the onset across the Lower
Hudson Valley if precipitation is able to move in while temperatures
are still below freezing. Rain then continues through Friday night
and into the day on Saturday before the low pulls off to the
northeast Saturday night and any lingering precipitation comes to an
end.

Temperatures on Friday and Saturday will be several degrees
above normal as southerly flow ushers in warmer air ahead of the
approaching low. Cold air advection on the back side of the
departing low then ushers in slightly below normal temperatures
for Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure builds to the north this afternoon and into this
evening. Low pressure begins to impact the region from the
southwest late tonight.

VFR through the day and into tonight, with MVFR to possibly IFR
conditions developing late tonight, after 08Z, in light snow.
Most of the day Tuesday will be SN and IP across all terminals
but KJFK/KISP may turn over to mostly IP and RA by 19Z. IP
should cut down on runway accumulations but there is a concern
over the potential for a prolonged period of IP across the
region. A short period of FZRA is possible Tuesday afternoon
across the interior. A turnover to plain rain 21-00Z across NYC
terminals and continues to around midnight.

Light northerly winds, less than 10 kt, become NE late this
morning into this afternoon. Coastal terminals may have a period
of more easterly winds this afternoon. NE winds increase to 10
to 15 kt after 08Z and remain pretty consistent through the day
until becoming somewhat gusty to 25 Kt in the afternoon.

Snowfall rates near 1" per hr for 1-2 hrs possible at onset of
precipitation.

Expected snow and sleet runway accumulations before turnover to
plain rain:

KJFK/KISP...1-3 inches
KLGA/KGON...1-4 inches
KEWR/KTEB/KBDR...2-5 inches
KHPN...1-5 inches
KSWF...2-7 inches

   NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts, can
be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments are expected
through 06z Tuesday. Thereafter, amendments are possible to
adjust ceilings and visbilities with timing of snow.

KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments are expected
through 06z Tuesday. Thereafter, amendments are possible to
adjust ceilings and visbilities with timing of snow.

KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments are expected
through 06z Tuesday. Thereafter, amendments are possible to
adjust ceilings and visbilities with timing of snow.

KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments are expected
through 06z Tuesday. Thereafter, amendments are possible to
adjust ceilings and visbilities with timing of snow.

KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments are expected
through 08z Tuesday. Thereafter, amendments are possible to
adjust ceilings and visbilities with timing of snow.

KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled amendments are expected
through 10z Tuesday. Thereafter, amendments are possible to
adjust ceilings and visbilities with timing of snow.

.OUTLOOK FOR 15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
.18z Tuesday...Wintry mix changing to rain late Tuesday for the
NYC metro/coastal terminals, but remaining a wintry mix across
the interior. The changeover to all rain across the interior
gradually progresses northward during Tuesday evening and night,
with only portion of the Lower Hudson Valley remaining a mix of
rain and snow late Tuesday night.
.Wednesday...Becoming VFR with precipitation ending early in the
morning. Increasing W winds, 15 to 20 kt, G25-35 kt.
.Thursday...VFR.
.Friday...VFR becoming MVFR or lower in rain. There is a chance of
rain and snow across the interior early.
.Saturday...IFR or lower possible in rain.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas remain below SCA levels across the forecast waters
today and tonight.

A storm system impacting the waters late Tuesday through Wednesday
will result in strong easterlies with a potential for gale force
gusts on the ocean waters and SCA elsewhere. As a result, a gale
watch for the ocean and small craft advisories have been issued for
Tuesday and Tuesday evening. Winds will briefly subside below SCA
conditions Tuesday night, however on the backside of the system,
winds increase once again with a better chance of gales on all
waters on Wednesday.

Winds and seas will gradually begin to subside Wednesday night
as high pressure builds over the waters. Conditions will remain
above SCA levels on the non ocean waters through the night. On
the ocean, SCA conditions will persist into Thursday afternoon
before both winds and seas finally fall below SCA levels. A
period of quiet weather is then expected across the waters
Thursday night through much of the day on Friday before winds
and seas begin to increase again Friday afternoon ahead of the
next system approaching from the west.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A significant precipitation event is likely from late tonight
through Tuesday night with liquid equivalent amounts on the
order of 1.00 to 1.50 inches. Some of this will be in the in
the frozen form. Smaller rivers and streams could experience
minor flooding.

A larger flood threat exists with the late week system due to
additional rainfall and wet antecedent conditions. Precipitation
amounts with this system could be in the 1-2 inch range.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
NYC Central Park winds are out of service until further notice.
Loss of data is due to a severed cable. Parts are on order.

NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) will remain off
the air for an extended period of time.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM EST
     Wednesday for CTZ005>012.
NY...Winter Storm Watch from Tuesday morning through late Tuesday
     night for NYZ067.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM EST
     Wednesday for NYZ068>071.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to midnight EST
     Tuesday night for NYZ072>075-078-176>178.
NJ...Winter Storm Watch from Tuesday morning through late Tuesday
     night for NJZ002.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM EST
     Wednesday for NJZ004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to midnight EST Tuesday
     night for ANZ330-335-338-340-345.
     Gale Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BC/JC
NEAR TERM...JC
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...IRD
MARINE...BC
HYDROLOGY...BC/JC
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 4:50 AM EST, 11 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

CTZ005>008-NJZ004-103-NYZ068>070-121000-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

A wintry mix of precipitation, which may begin as early as late
Monday night, is expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. There is a
chance that the combined amount of snow, sleet and freezing rain
reach levels that would eventually warrant a warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NJZ002-NYZ067-121000-
Western Passaic-Orange-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-104>108-NYZ071-121000-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Hudson-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Southern Westchester-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NYZ072>075-078-176>178-121000-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-
Northwestern Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NYZ079>081-179-121000-
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
Southern Nassau-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-121000-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ350-353-355-121000-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
450 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Gale Watch. Gale force winds will also be possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 4:18 AM ESTGale WatchOKX12 hr
Feb 11, 4:18 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX49 hr
Feb 11, 4:18 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Putnam, Queens and 4 more50 hr
Feb 11, 3:55 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam38 hr
Feb 11, 4:04 PM ESTGale WatchOKX12 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2019Every gale warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.