Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2019

Gale Warning 29, NWS New York, NY

December 1, 2019

NWS New York, NY issued this gale warning at Dec 1, 2019, 4:37 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 1, 2019, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 45 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 1, 2019, 4:37 AM EST (09:37 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 1, 2019, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 3, 2019, 9:55 AM EST
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted.

092 
WHUS71 KOKX 010937
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
437 AM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-355-012130-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0027.191201T1800Z-191202T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0029.191201T1800Z-191202T1800Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
437 AM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Gale Warning,
which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday.
The Gale Watch is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40
  kt. Seas 7 to 10 feet on the ocean and 4 to 7 feet on the
  eastern Long Island Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-012130-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.191201T1800Z-191202T1800Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
437 AM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30
  kt. Occasional gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
934 
WHUS71 KOKX 012108
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
408 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

ANZ335-020900-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191202T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191202T2000Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
408 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Gale Warning,
which is in effect until 3 PM EST Monday. The Small Craft
Advisory is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 
  40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-355-020900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191202T2000Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
408 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45
  kt. Seas 7 to 10 feet on the ocean and 3 to 5 ft on Long Island
  Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ338-020900-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T1100Z/
New York Harbor-
408 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...North winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 
  kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
790 
WHUS71 KOKX 020248
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
948 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-355-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191202T2000Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
948 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45
  kt. Seas 6 to 9 feet on the ocean and 3 to 5 ft on Long Island
  Sound. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ338-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T1100Z/
New York Harbor-
948 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...North winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 
  kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
082 
WHUS71 KOKX 020907
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
407 AM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-355-022000-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191202T2000Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
407 AM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northeast winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45
  kt. Seas 6 to 9 feet on the ocean and 3 to 5 ft on Long Island
  Sound. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ338-022000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T1100Z/
New York Harbor-
407 AM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...North winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 
  kt. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
845 
WHUS71 KOKX 021721
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
1221 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

ANZ335-345-030030-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191202T2000Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T1400Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
1221 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 9 AM EST Tuesday. The Gale
Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS...North winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-350-353-355-030030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191203T1100Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
1221 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...North winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt.
  Ocean seas 6 to 11 feet, eastern Long Island seas 3 to 5 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ338-030030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T1400Z/
New York Harbor-
1221 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...North winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
054 
WHUS71 KOKX 022038
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
338 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

ANZ330-340-350-353-355-030930-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191203T1100Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
338 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...North winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 
  kt. Seas 6 to 12 feet on the ocean, and 3 to 5 feet on eastern 
  Long Island Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-030930-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T2300Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
338 PM EST Mon Dec 2 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...North 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
877 
WHUS71 KOKX 030828
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
328 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

ANZ330-340-350-353-355-031500-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191203T1500Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
328 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35
  kt. Seas 6 to 9 feet on the ocean and 3 to 5 feet on the eastern
  Long Island Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 to
47 kt are expected or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale
conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It
is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience
seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-032130-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191203T2300Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
328 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
206 
WHUS71 KOKX 031455
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
955 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

ANZ330-340-032200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191203T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191204T0100Z/
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
955 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 8 PM EST this evening. The
Gale Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS...Northwest winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-032200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-191203T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0106.191204T0100Z-191204T0500Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
955 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to midnight
EST tonight. The Gale Warning has been cancelled.

* WINDS AND SEAS...Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 
  30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-032200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-191204T0100Z/
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
955 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that sustained wind speeds or
frequent gusts of 25 to 33 kt and/or seas of 5 ft or higher are
expected or occurring, and hazardous to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 1, 1:00 AM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 1:00 AM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
100 AM EST Sun Dec 1 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal storm will impact the area from Sunday through Monday
night. Weak high pressure will build in through the middle of
the week. A cold front will move through Thursday night. With
another frontal system impacting the area late in the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Temperatures and dewpoints are in generally good agreement
between forecast and observed values. Forecast remains on track.
High level clouds are increasing as evident in IR satellite
imagery with more mid level clouds expected to move across
overnight.

Cold dry air continues to funnel south into our CWA from a high
pressure system centered over Quebec, which is expected to
gradually weaken. An upper level ridge axis over western PA
shifts into NY State. This shift brings in a moist airmass with
precipitable water values increasing from 0.20 inches to 0.50
inches by the morning. Despite this increasing moisture trend
lingering cold air near the surface will allow temperatures to
fall into the low to mid 20s overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Complex system Sunday morning could bring wintry mix in the
late morning hours prior to an all day rain. Precip type will
depend on the duration of the lingering cold air mass. Model
soundings in our northern counties show a subfreezing profile
with a slight 0F isothermal layer near 800mb. This lends to a
near complete snow sounding in the morning hours. Near the city
and across Long Island, this warm later is more pronounced and
as a result could see more a a snow/sleet/rain mix. Any snowfall
accumulations would be around or less than one inch near the
city with higher amounts further north.

By the afternoon, the upper level trough over the Great Lake
region pivots into the Ohio River Valley a broad low pressure
system develops near DelMarVa and deepens south of Long Island.
The orientation of the low will allow for significant isentropic
lift over the forecast area. This system brings with it a moist
and relatively warm air mass PWATs nearing 1 inch. Rainfall
amounts once the mixed precip changes over the rain could total
near 1 to 2 inches as the rain should last until the late
evening. Northern counties could see trace amounts of freezing
rain as surface temperatures hover around 28-33F for the Lower
Hudson Valley through most of the day.

As the low moves further offshore towards the overnight hours
cold air is pulled south behind the front. The 1000-500mb
thicknesses decrease to below 540 dm allowing for a second round
of mixed precipitation in the early morning hours particularly
for the Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT. Uncertainty exists
in the accumulation totals as much is dependent on the eventual
track of the the offshore low.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The low will track slowly to Cape Cod through Monday night as
it continues to strengthen. Minor differences in the thermal
profiles between ECMWF, NAM, and GFS, with GFS a bit warmer than
the other two. Despite these minor differences, this continues
to be a low confidence precipitation forecast, especially in the
metro area and along the coast, with higher confidence inland.
As the surface and 850 mb lows pass east of Long Island, colder
air will filter in, allowing the wintry mix line to move south
Monday morning and afternoon. There will also be uncertainty in
precipitation intensity Monday morning and afternoon as models
are hinting at a heavy band of precipitation developing
somewhere across northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson
Valley, that might make its way into the New York City metro
area, but where exactly this sets up is still largely unknown.
This band will also add to the uncertainty in precipitation type
as dynamic cooling of the column would occur in the heavier
precipitation, changing precipitation back to snow quicker than
forecast. With all that in mind, thinking is that a changeover
to all snow is expected early Monday evening for the New York
City metro area and western and central Long Island. The Twin
Forks of Long Island may not changeover completely or at all.

As for snowfall amounts, 6 to 12 inches are possible across
portions of Northeast New Jersey, the Lower Hudson Valley and
inland southeastern Connecticut. A Winter Storm Watch continues
for these areas. This is a long duration event, with a snow to
wintry mix (or rain) to snow changeover for many places. There
may be impacts the Monday morning and evening commutes depending
on location and precipitation type transitions.

3 to 6 inches are expected across southern Westchester and
portions of Northeast New Jersey and portions of inland
southeastern Connecticut.

1 to 4 inches are expected for New York City, metro New Jersey,
central and western Long Island, and coastal .

Less than an inch is expected for the Twin Forks of Long Island and
coastal New London.

Liquid equivalent amounts will generally be between 1 and 1 3/4
inches.

An upper level system may impact the region late Tuesday into
Wednesday, but not confident enough to put POPs in for this
system just yet.

Colder air filters in behind an area of low pressure that
passes well south and east of Long Island. This may create some
instability across the ocean waters that may bring in some light
rain or light rain/snow showers for southern portions of Long
Island Wednesday night.

A frontal system may impact the area at the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure gradually weakens overnight, then drifts to the
northeast Sunday as a warm front approaches from the southwest.
The warm front will likely remain to the south of Long Island Sunday
afternoon as a wave of low pressure begins to develop in the
vicinity of the Delmarva. This low then tracks slowly east through
Sunday night.

VFR conditions through the overnight and into early Sunday morning.
MVFR conditions develops as a mix of rain, snow, and sleet begins.
Conditions lower to IFR in the afternoon as the precipitation
transitions to all rain from south to north through 23Z. A
wintry mix will remain at KSWF through Sunday evening.

Any runway accumulations at the coastal terminals will be light and
slushy and should be short-lived. Around 1 inch is possible at KHPN
before a changeover to rain, and 2-4 inches is possible at KSWF
before mixing with sleet and possibly freezing rain by early evening.

N to NNE winds under 10 kt will veer to NE by morning. E/NE winds
Sunday morning increase to 10 to 15 kt, and to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon with gusts 20 to 30 kt, with the highest gusts along the
coast.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.Late Sunday Night...IFR conditions with rain at the coast and NYC
metro terminals, with a wintry mix at KSWF transitioning to periods
of rain toward 04Z. E/NE winds 15-20 kt with G20-30 kt, gusts as
high as 35 kt possible east of the NYC metro terminals. Wind
backing to the N/NE by morning.
.Monday...MVFR/IFR. Precipitation transitions back to all snow at
KSWF, then during the late afternoon and evening for the remaining
terminals. Northerly winds 15-20 kt gusting 20-25 kt gradually
diminish Monday night.
.Tuesday...MVFR in lingering snow early, otherwise VFR. NW winds G15-
20 kt.
.Wednesday...VFR.
.Thursday. VFR. NW winds G15-20kt.

&&

.MARINE...
North winds becoming NW winds of gale criteria begin Sunday
afternoon of the offshore waters. Waves increase to 8-9 feet for
the offshore waters. Winds diminish Sunday night, but should
still remain 25 to 30 kt on the ocean waters through Monday
night. Sub SCA waves for the eastern sound are expected by
Monday night.

Waves diminish Monday night, but remain above SCA criteria across
the ocean waters through Tuesday and perhaps the first half of
Tuesday night.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
1 to 1 3/4 inch liquid equivalent is expected Sunday through
Tuesday morning. No flooding is expected as conditions have been
dry and at least part of this is expected to be in
frozen/freezing form, especially well inland.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There remains the potential for minor coastal flood impacts
with the Sunday into Monday high tides as a slow moving coastal
low tracks to the south and east of the region. While water
levels are low, there is also the potential for 7 to 10 ft
breakers late Sunday night into Monday morning. This could
result in some beach erosion and localized washovers,
especially along the south shore and twin forks region of Long
Island.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is operating
at reduced power until further notice.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Watch from 7 AM EST this morning through Tuesday
     morning for CTZ005>007.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST
     this evening for CTZ009.
NY...Winter Storm Watch from 7 AM EST this morning through Tuesday
     morning for NYZ067>070.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST
     this evening for NYZ071.
NJ...Winter Storm Watch from 7 AM EST this morning through Tuesday
     morning for NJZ002-103.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST
     this evening for NJZ004-104-105-107.
MARINE...Gale Watch from this afternoon through Monday afternoon for
     ANZ330-340-345-350-353-355.
     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST
     Monday for ANZ335-338.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJ/16/JP
NEAR TERM...DJ/16/JM/JP/19
SHORT TERM...DJ/16
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...19
MARINE...DJ/16/JP/19
HYDROLOGY...DJ/16/JP
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 30, 5:18 PM EST, 11 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

CTZ005>007-NJZ002-103-NYZ067>070-012230-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

CTZ009-NJZ004-104-105-107-NYZ071-012230-
Southern Fairfield-Eastern Passaic-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Western Union-Southern Westchester-
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

A slow moving low pressure system may bring a light snow
accumulation to portions of the region Sunday morning into Sunday
afternoon. Precipitation is likely to change to all rain Sunday
evening into Monday morning, before potentially changing back to
snow Monday afternoon into Monday night with another light snow
accumulation possible. A period of wintry mix will be possible as
well. This may result in hazardous travel conditions for the Sunday
morning/afternoon and Monday afternoon/evening timeframe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

CTZ008-010>012-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-012230-
Northern New London-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-
Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-
Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A slow moving low pressure system may bring a light snow
accumulation to portions of the region Sunday morning into Sunday
afternoon. Precipitation is likely to change to all rain Sunday
evening into Monday morning, before potentially changing back to
snow Monday afternoon into Monday night with another light snow
accumulation possible. A period of wintry mix will be possible as
well. This may result in hazardous travel conditions for the Sunday
morning/afternoon and Monday afternoon/evening timeframe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-012230-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

Gale conditions are possible Sunday night into Monday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ335-338-012230-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ355-012230-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
518 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 1, 4:33 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester50 hr
Dec 1, 6:49 AM ESTCoastal Flood StatementOKXNassau, Suffolk22 hr
Dec 1, 6:49 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXBronx, Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester22 hr
Dec 1, 3:11 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXNassau, Suffolk20 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2019Every gale warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.