Alert archive / New York / Coastal Flood Statements in 2019

Coastal Flood Statement 2, NWS New York, NY

January 23, 2019Kings County, Richmond County, Suffolk County, New York; Essex County, Hudson County, Union County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this coastal flood statement at Jan 23, 2019, 3:56 PM EST for Kings County, Richmond County, Suffolk County, New York; Essex County, Hudson County, Union County, New Jersey. It took effect at Jan 24, 2019, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2019, 3:56 PM EST (20:56 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 24, 2019, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 24, 2019, 3:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Kings County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Suffolk County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 402 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
952 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
402 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
461 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

261 
WHUS41 KOKX 232056
CFWOKX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service New York NY
356 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...Minor Coastal Flooding Thursday Morning into Afternoon...

NYZ178-179-241000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0002.190124T1400Z-190124T1900Z/
Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
356 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 2 PM EST
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in New York NY has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect from 9 AM to 2 PM EST
Thursday.

* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along Jamaica Bay and 
  Great South Bay

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...Around 1 1/2 ft, locally 2 ft, above 
  astronomical tides

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the 
  most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline. 
  Expect around 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in 
  low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property 
  including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with 
  basements near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 10 to 14 ft will result in
  beach flooding and erosion with minor damage possible to dune
  structures.

* TIMING...Minor coastal flooding during the times of high tide
  Thursday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate minor flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Jamaica Bay NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.5 FT, MODERATE 8.2 FT, MAJOR 9.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.3 FT, MAJOR 3.1 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------    
 24/11 AM   7.6/ 8.1   1.7/ 2.2   1.1/ 1.6    0-2     Min-Mod    


Rockaway Inlet NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.3 FT, MODERATE 8.3 FT, MAJOR 9.3 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.8 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------  
 24/10 AM   7.3/ 7.8   1.7/ 2.2   1.2/ 1.7    2-3     Minor    


Freeport NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.7 FT, MODERATE 6.2 FT, MAJOR 6.9 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.2 FT, MODERATE 1.7 FT, MAJOR 2.4 FT
FOR NGVD - SUBTRACT 1.2 FT FROM MLLW VALUES

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------  
 24/11 AM   5.7/ 6.2   1.2/ 1.7   2.1/ 2.6    0-2     Min-Mod    
 

Point Lookout NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.8 FT, MODERATE 6.8 FT, MAJOR 7.8 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.1 FT, MODERATE 2.1 FT, MAJOR 3.1 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  -------- 
 24/10 AM   5.9/ 6.4   1.2/ 1.7   1.6/ 2.0    5-7     Minor   
 

East Rockaway NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.0 FT, MODERATE 7.0 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 3.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/10 AM   6.2/ 6.7   1.2/ 1.7   1.0/ 1.5    2-4      Minor    


Lindenhurst NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.1 FT, MODERATE 3.6 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.1 FT, MAJOR 2.6 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/12 PM   2.7/ 3.2   1.2/ 1.7   1.2/ 1.7    1-3      Minor    


&&

$$

CTZ009>012-NYZ071-241000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0002.190124T1700Z-190124T2000Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Southern Westchester-
356 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 3 PM EST
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in New York NY has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect from noon to 3 PM EST
Thursday.

* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along coastal Southern 
  Connecticut and Westchester.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...1 to 2 ft above astronomical tides.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the 
  most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline. 
  Expect around 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in 
  low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property 
  including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with 
  basements near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 2 to 4 ft will result in 
  beach flooding and erosion, as well as splashover onto shoreline
  roads and properties. 

* TIMING...Minor coastal flooding during the times of high tide
  Thursday afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Bridgeport CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 8.9 FT, MODERATE 10.4 FT, MAJOR 11.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3   1.5/ 2.0   1.1/ 1.6   2-4      Minor    


Stamford CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 9.4 FT, MODERATE 11.0 FT, MAJOR 12.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  -------- 
 24/02 PM   9.4/ 9.9   1.5/ 2.0   1.2/ 1.7    2-4     Minor    


New Haven CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 8.6 FT, MODERATE 9.2 FT, MAJOR 10.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.5 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------   
 24/02 PM   8.3/ 8.8   1.6/ 2.1   1.3/ 1.8    2-4     Minor    


New London CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.8 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 4.7 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------  
 24/11 AM   4.9/ 5.4   1.8/ 2.2   1.9/ 2.3    2-4      Minor    


Kings Point NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 10.0 FT, MODERATE 10.5 FT, MAJOR 13.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.2 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 5.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------  
 24/02 PM   9.3/ 9.8   1.5/ 2.0   1.0/ 1.5     2       None    


Piermont NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.4 FT, MODERATE 7.4 FT, MAJOR 8.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 3.4 FT, MAJOR 4.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------  
 24/12 PM   4.9/ 5.4   0.9/ 1.4   1.1/ 1.6     0       None    

&&

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-075-241000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0002.190124T1400Z-190124T1700Z/
Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-
356 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019


* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along New York Harbor, 
  including the Arthur Kill, Newark Bay, Kill Van Kull and tidally
  affected portions of the Hackensack and Passaic Rivers.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...Around 1 1/2 ft above astronomical tides.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Brief minor flooding of the most 
  vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

* TIMING...Localized minor coastal flooding during the times of 
  high tide Thursday afternoon. 

&&

$$

NYZ079>081-241000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0002.190124T1400Z-190124T2000Z/
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
356 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019


* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along the south shore of
  Suffolk County, and along Peconic and Gardiners Bays, including
  Orient Point and Riverhead.

* TIDAL DEPARTUREs...1 to 2 ft, locally 2 1/2 ft above 
  astronomical tides.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Brief minor flooding of the most 
  vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 10 to 14 ft along the
  Atlantic Ocean shoreline, and 2 to 4 ft around Orient Point,
  will result in beach flooding and erosion. Minor damage is 
  possible to dune structures.

* TIMING...Localized minor coastal flooding during the times of 
  high tide Thursday morning into afternoon. 

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
791 
WHUS41 KOKX 240828
CFWOKX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service New York NY
328 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Minor Coastal Flooding this Morning into Afternoon...

CTZ009>012-NYZ071-242000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0002.190124T1600Z-190124T2000Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Southern Westchester-
328 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along coastal southern 
  Connecticut and Westchester.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...1 to 2 ft above astronomical tides.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the 
  most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline. 
  Expect around 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in 
  low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property 
  including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with 
  basements near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 2 to 4 ft will result in 
  beach flooding and erosion, as well as splashover onto 
  shoreline roads and properties.

* TIMING...Minor coastal flooding during the times of high tide 
  today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Bridgeport CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 8.9 FT, MODERATE 10.4 FT, MAJOR 11.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3   1.5/ 2.0   1.1/ 1.6    2-3     Minor    

Stamford CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 9.4 FT, MODERATE 11.0 FT, MAJOR 12.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/02 PM   9.2/ 9.7   1.3/ 1.8   1.0/ 1.5    1-2     Minor    

New Haven CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 8.6 FT, MODERATE 9.2 FT, MAJOR 10.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.5 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/02 PM   8.3/ 8.8   1.6/ 2.0   1.3/ 1.8    2-3      None    


New London CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.8 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 4.7 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/11 AM   4.7/ 5.2   1.7/ 2.2   1.8/ 2.2    2-3     Minor    

Kings Point NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 10.0 FT, MODERATE 10.5 FT, MAJOR 13.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.2 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 5.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/02 PM   9.3/ 9.8   1.5/ 2.0   1.0/ 1.5    1-2      None    


Piermont NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.4 FT, MODERATE 7.4 FT, MAJOR 8.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 3.4 FT, MAJOR 4.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/12 PM   4.9/ 5.4   0.9/ 1.4   1.1/ 1.6     0       None    

&&

$$

NYZ178-179-241900-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0002.190124T1400Z-190124T1900Z/
Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
328 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS
MORNING TO 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along Jamaica Bay and 
  Great South Bay.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...Around 1 1/2 ft, locally 2 ft, above 
  astronomical tides

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the 
  most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline. 
  Expect around 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in 
  low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property 
  including parking lots, parks, lawns and homes/businesses with 
  basements near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 10 to 14 ft will result 
  in beach flooding and erosion with minor damage possible to 
  dune structures.

* TIMING...Minor coastal flooding during the times of high tide 
  today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate minor flooding of low areas along the
shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Jamaica Bay NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.5 FT, MODERATE 8.2 FT, MAJOR 9.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.3 FT, MAJOR 3.1 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/11 AM   7.6/ 8.1   1.7/ 2.2   1.1/ 1.6    1-3     Minor    

Rockaway Inlet NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.3 FT, MODERATE 8.3 FT, MAJOR 9.3 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.8 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/10 AM   7.1/ 7.6   1.5/ 2.0   1.0/ 1.5     4      Minor    

Freeport NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.7 FT, MODERATE 6.2 FT, MAJOR 6.9 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.2 FT, MODERATE 1.7 FT, MAJOR 2.4 FT
FOR NGVD - SUBTRACT 1.2 FT FROM MLLW VALUES

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/11 AM   5.9/ 6.4   1.4/ 1.9   2.2/ 2.7    1-3     Minor    

Point Lookout NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.8 FT, MODERATE 6.8 FT, MAJOR 7.8 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.1 FT, MODERATE 2.1 FT, MAJOR 3.1 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/10 AM   5.9/ 6.4   1.2/ 1.7   1.6/ 2.0    7-9     Minor    

East Rockaway NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.0 FT, MODERATE 7.0 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 3.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/10 AM   6.1/ 6.6   1.1/ 1.6   0.9/ 1.4     0      Minor    

Lindenhurst NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.1 FT, MODERATE 3.6 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.1 FT, MAJOR 2.6 FT

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 24/12 PM   2.8/ 3.4   1.4/ 1.9   1.4/ 1.9    2-3     Minor    

&&

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-075-241700-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0002.190124T1400Z-190124T1700Z/
Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-
328 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019


* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along New York Harbor, 
  including the Arthur Kill, Newark Bay, Kill Van Kull and 
  tidally affected portions of the Hackensack and Passaic Rivers.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...Around 1 1/2 ft above astronomical tides.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Brief minor flooding of the most 
  vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

* TIMING...Localized minor coastal flooding during the times of 
  high tide today.

&&

$$

NYZ079>081-242000-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0002.190124T1400Z-190124T2000Z/
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
328 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019


* LOCATIONS...Vulnerable coastal locales along the south shore 
  of Suffolk County, and along Peconic and Gardiners Bays, 
  including Orient Point and Riverhead.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...1 to 2 ft, locally 2 1/2 ft above 
  astronomical tides.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Brief minor flooding of the most 
  vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 10 to 14 ft along the 
  Atlantic Ocean shoreline, and 2 to 4 ft around Orient Point, 
  will result in beach flooding and erosion. Minor damage is 
  possible to dune structures.

* TIMING...Localized minor coastal flooding during the times of 
  high tide Thursday morning into afternoon.

&&

$$
736 
WHUS41 KOKX 242021
CFWOKX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service New York NY
321 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

CTZ009>012-NYZ071-242130-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190124T2000Z/
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Southern Westchester-
321 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The coastal flood advisory has expired and tidal stations will be
below flood stage. However, for Long Island Sound with higher 
waves of 3 to 6 ft over the next few hours, some minor beach 
flooding and erosion along the Connecticut shoreline will be 
possible. Localized splashover onto shoreline roads and properties
along the Connecticut shoreline will be possible. Water levels 
overall over the next few hours will be receding.


$$

NYZ079>081-242130-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.S.0002.000000T0000Z-190124T2000Z/
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
321 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

The coastal flood statement has expired and tidal stations will be
below flood stage. However, for the ocean shorelines along 
Southwest and Southeast Suffolk Counties, with high surf between 
10 and 15 ft over the next few hours, some minor beach flooding 
and erosion will be possible. Localized splashover onto shoreline 
roads and properties along the ocean shorelines will be possible. 
Water levels overall over the next few hours will be receding.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Jan 23, 2:39 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 2:39 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
239 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal system will approach today into tonight with a wave of low
pressure riding along it to our north Thursday morning. The low will
drag a cold front across the region Thursday afternoon. High pressure
will then build into the region Thursday night and remain
nearby through Saturday. A cold front will approach and move
across the area on Sunday. Another cold front and low pressure
system will move across the area early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Spotty radar returns have developed over western/northern zones,
however so far have yet to see any evidence of precipitation
being reported at the various ASOS they have passed over.
However, cannot have 100% confidence that no precipitation is
reaching the ground, so have increased pops to slight chance
early this afternoon and issued an SPS for patchy freezing rain
for Orange County where there are areas with temperatures still
at or below freezing. Given the T-Td spread, could also see some
spotty reports of sleet with these returns.

Highs this afternoon should range from the mid-upper 30s across
the NW zones to the lower 40s for coastal zones.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Light rain spreads across the area tonight, and at the same time,
temperatures continue to rise on a S-SW wind flow. There's still
some concern that parts of the far NW zones could have surface temps
supportive of freezing rain at the time when rain becomes likely, so
will need to keep close watch on this potential.

Rain becomes more moderate early Thursday morning, and could be
heavy at times by mid-morning with strong isentropic lift and an
impressive llj. Approaching shortwave energy should enhance forced
ascent and also create weak destabilization aloft, increasing the
chances of heavier downpours. After collaboration with the
surrounding office, have issued a flash flood watch for Thursday.
Smaller stream and urban/poor drainage flooding would be the main
threat. Timing of the greatest flood threat looks like morning to
midday. A cold front passes through during the afternoon with rain
probably coming to an end not too long after the passage, however a
strong upper jet streak shifts in with enhanced lift, continuing at
least chances of additional PCPN. Could be cold enough for a
mix of rain and snow for far NW areas late- day.

It should also become breezy, especially near the coast. Strong
winds with the llj will be not too far above the surface, however
with such a strong inversion, thinking is that none of the area
would likely see advisory-level gusts.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure builds into the area behind a departing cold front
Thursday night and remain in place through Saturday. This will
result in dry and cold conditions. Highs on Friday will climb into
the lower and middle 30s, while highs will struggle to get out of the
20s on Saturday.

The high moves offshore Saturday night, allowing a an upper level
shortwave and associated surface cold front to move across the area
on Sunday. This could result in a few snow showers, will keep POPs
at chance or slight chance for now. No accumulations at this time are
expected with any of the snow showers.

A stronger shortwave and associated frontal system will move across
the area early next week, bringing yet another chance of
precipitation to the region. There are differences with the exact
track and placement with this next system, so details remain
somewhat sketchy.

Temperatures on Sunday through Tuesday will climb 30s and lower
40s.
light rain has developed over far western zones

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A frontal system will slowly approach the area through tonight,
then move through Thursday afternoon to evening.

Ceilings generally 025-035 should persist into the evening,
with the lowest ceilings expected across KSWF, KHPN, KEWR and
KTEB. MVFR ceilings will gradually move into the remainder of
the terminals late this evening. Thereafter, IFR or lower
develops overnight in steadier light rain, becoming
increasingly prevailing as rain intensity increases towards
the morning push. At least initially, a wintry mix is possible
at KSWF through around 21Z today.

S/SW winds 10 kt will increase to 10-15 kt and with occasional gusts
to near 20 kt possible for south coastal terminals. S/SW winds
increase to 15 to 25 kt towards the Thursday morning push. More
significantly, LLWS from SW winds of 50-60kt@ 2 KFT develop for
coastal terminals by this evening, strengthening to near
60-70kt, especially from KJFK eastward by the morning push. LLWS
may approach 80 kt for KISP and KGON Thursday morning.

Winds then shift to WNW and remain strong following the frontal
passage Thursday, which is expected to occur from west to east
between 17-20Z. Gusty winds to near 45kt may be possible with
the frontal passage, along with heavy rain and low visibilities.
Conditions will gradually improve to MVFR to VFR following the
passage. KSWF may experience a brief -RASN mix following the
frontal passage.

     NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR development may be 1 to 3
hours later than forecast. Occasional gusts to 20 kt possible.

KLGA TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR development may be 1 to 3
hours later than forecast. Occasional gusts to 20 kt possible.

KEWR TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR development may be 1 to 3
hours later than forecast. Occasional gusts to 20 kt possible.

KTEB TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR development may be 1 to 3
hours later than forecast. Occasional gusts to 20 kt possible.

KHPN TAF Comments: MVFR may be periodic this afternoon.
Occasional gusts to 20 kt possible.

KISP TAF Comments: Timing of MVFR development may be 1 to 3
hours later than forecast. Occasional gusts to 20 kt possible.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
.Thursday-Thursday night...IFR or lower likely in rain becoming
VFR late in the day and Thursday night. Gusts to 45 kt and
reduced visibility possible with frontal passage. Winds
becoming N-NW G25-35KT Thursday aft/eve.
.Friday-Friday night...VFR. W wind gusts near 20 KT Friday.
.Saturday...Mainly VFR.
.Sunday...Chance of snow showers. MVFR or lower possible.
.Monday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Made minor changes with this update to reflect the latest trends
of observations and guidance. The forecast appears on track.

SCA conds on the ocean this afternoon with a strengthening
southerly flow. The rest of the waters are expected to have
advisory-level gusts tonight as winds further increase. A
strong low level jet then shifts into the waters for Thursday. A
gale watch remains in effect for the ocean on Thursday, and
have added the south shore bays, eastern bays, and eastern LI
Sound to the watch. A strong low level inversion should prevent
anything stronger than gales here. SCA otherwise for NY Harbor
and western LI Sound on Thursday.

Small craft conditions will continue Thursday night and Friday as
gusty northwest winds prevail.  Seas will remain above 5 ft on the
ocean. Winds and seas diminish Saturday as the pressure gradient
relaxes and winds shift to the W-NW. SCA conditions may return on
Sunday as seas could increase back to 5 ft.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
1.25 to 2.25 inches of rain is forecast for tonight through
Thursday, however most of this will probably fall during Thursday
morning into early afternoon. Urban and poor drainage flooding is
therefore possible for Thursday, as well as small stream and flashy
river flooding. Larger streams and main stem rivers should remain
below flood stage.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Some minor flooding may be possible with the high tide cycle Thu
morning along the south shore bays of western Long Island via
strengthening onshore flow and lingering high astronomical tides
after the recent full moon.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
NYC Central Park winds are out of service until further notice.
Loss of data is due to a severed cable. Parts are on order.

NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) will remain off
the air for an extended period of time.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
     afternoon for CTZ005>012.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from noon to 3 PM EST Thursday for
     CTZ009>012.
NY...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
     afternoon for NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from noon to 3 PM EST Thursday for
     NYZ071.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 AM to 2 PM EST Thursday for
     NYZ178-179.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
     afternoon for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon
     for ANZ330-340-345-350-353-355.
     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST
     Thursday for ANZ330-340-345.
     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST
     Thursday for ANZ335-338.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ350-353-
     355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BC/JC
NEAR TERM...JC/Maloit
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...MD/PW
MARINE...BC/JC/Maloit
HYDROLOGY...BC/JC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 5:35 AM EST, 10 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
535 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-241100-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
535 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

There is a low chance for flash flooding Wednesday night into
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ330-340-345-241100-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
535 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ335-338-241100-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
535 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ350-353-355-241100-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
535 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 23, 12:03 PM EST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1203 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

NYZ067-231900-
Orange-
1203 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

...Patchy Freezing Rain Early This Afternoon for Portions of
Orange County...

Spotty light rain will occur over Orange County this afternoon.
With pockets of the county with temperatures at or below freezing,
there will be patches of ice on untreated surfaces where the
spotty light rain falls over areas with below freezing
temperatures.

This will create locally slick roadways and sidewalks. People
should use caution around wet untreated surfaces, where
temperatures are at or below freezing.

Maloit
Special weather statement, Jan 23, 2:56 PM EST, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
256 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

NYZ067-068-232200-
Orange-Putnam-
256 PM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

Spotty light rain will occur over Orange and Putnam counties this
afternoon. Due to the recent cold stretch and ground temperatures
near freezing, there could be patches of ice on untreated
surfaces where the spotty light rain falls. Temperatures will rise
through this evening ending the threat of ice.

This will create locally slick roadways and sidewalks. People
should use caution around wet untreated surfaces.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 4:00 AM ESTFlash Flood WatchOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 5 more38 hr
Jan 23, 3:44 PM ESTWind AdvisoryOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more26 hr
Jan 23, 3:46 PM ESTGale WarningOKX28 hr
Jan 23, 3:56 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXNassau, Queens, Westchester23 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in New York, 2019Coastal Flood Statements in New Jersey, 2019Every coastal flood statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.