Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1250 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Updated suite of forecast products for tornado watch number
25 until 7 PM CDT. Tweaked hrly temp, dewpoint, and wind
speed/direction grids. Remainder of forecast continues to
be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...A highly-sheared, marginally unstable
environment is in place across Middle Tennessee this afternoon
with storms upstream already intensifying. Convection will move
across the mid state during the afternoon and is expected to exit
the Cumberland Plateau by early this evening. Low-level wind shear
is also a concern with an 850 mb jet of 50-60 kt in place. Look
for winds to gradually shift around to the west later tonight as a
cold front pushes through.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      44  53  32  54  31 /  50   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    41  50  31  51  30 /  10   0   0   0   0
Crossville     46  54  30  48  28 /  90  10   0   0   0
Columbia       43  53  31  53  30 /  50   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   45  54  32  52  30 /  70   0   0   0   0
Waverly        41  51  32  52  31 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for Cannon-Clay-Coffee-
Cumberland-De Kalb-Fentress-Grundy-Jackson-Overton-Pickett-
Putnam-Smith-Van Buren-Warren-White.

Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Bedford-Cheatham-
Davidson-Dickson-Giles-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Lawrence-Lewis-
Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Perry-Robertson-Rutherford-
Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Wayne-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........08

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1246 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-151015-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
1246 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms is in place for this
afternoon and evening for almost all of the mid state, except
for a slight risk for areas across the higher elevations of
the Upper Cumberland Region. Damaging straight line winds will
be the main threat, with isolated tornadoes and isolated large
hail possible.

Strong sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around
40 mph will be possible through the afternoon hours across the
entire mid state region, and will continue to be possible across
the Cumberland Plateau Region through the evening hours.

Expect rivers to flow at high levels through tonight.
Additional rainfall through tonight may have an adverse impact
on rivers and streams across the mid state.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Expect rivers to flow at high levels for the next several days
with gradual decreases.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested for this afternoon and evening.

Spotter Thunderstorm Reporting Criteria...
Tornado
Funnel Cloud
Flooding
Hail >= 1/2 inch
Winds > 50 MPH (Measured)
Structural Damage
Trees or Power Lines Down

31

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
118 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

TNZ057-141845-
Hickman TN-
118 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL HICKMAN COUNTY UNTIL 145
PM CDT...

At 117 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong, rotating
thunderstorm with 9 miles southwest of Centerville, moving northeast
at 50 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Centerville, Primm Springs, Lyles, Bon Aqua and Nunnelly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3597 8737 3594 8720 3577 8723 3563 8747
      3566 8757 3564 8764 3570 8769
TIME...MOT...LOC 1817Z 229DEG 42KT 3570 8757

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