Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2019

Red Flag Warning 7, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

October 28, 20198 counties in California

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this red flag warning at Oct 28, 2019, 1:04 PM PDT for 8 counties in California. It took effect at Oct 29, 2019, 8:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 32 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 28, 2019, 1:04 PM PDT (20:04 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 29, 2019, 8:00 AM PDT
Expired
Oct 30, 2019, 4:00 PM PDT
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

Counties Alameda County, CA, Contra Costa County, CA, Marin County, CA, Napa County, CA, San Mateo County, CA, Santa Clara County, CA, Santa Cruz County, CA, Sonoma County, CA

The radar

The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Oakland, CA (KOAK), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Oakland, CA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Oakland, CA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3834 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

734 
WWUS86 KMTR 282004
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
104 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...Red Flag Warning Tuesday through Wednesday morning for
strong offshore winds and critically low humidity...

.Another offshore flow event will impact the region Tuesday into
Wednesday morning featuring strong and gusty offshore winds and
critically low relative humidity. This event will not be as strong
as the last event, but still bring critical fire weather
conditions to the Bay Area. Winds will increase initially over the
North Bay on Tuesday morning before spreading southward. Relative
humidity will initially drop over the North Bay and then also 
spread southward during the day Tuesday. Despite some weaker 
winds with this event the relatively humidity readings will be 
very low with no recovery at night. Winds ease through the day on 
Wednesday, but the dry conditions remain. 

CAZ505>507-290500-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T1500Z-191030T2300Z/
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
104 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PDT
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY 
FOR THE NORTH BAY INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER ZONES 505, 506, AND 
507...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red
Flag Warning, which is in effect from 8 AM Tuesday to 4 PM PDT
Wednesday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 505, 506, and 507.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....8-18%... 
                      Tue Night...10-25%... 
                      Wed Day.....8-18%...
 
  Valleys/Coast...    Tue Day.....15-30%...
                      Tue Night...25-40%...
                      Wed Day.....10-25%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations and coast Tuesday evening. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 20-30mph Gusts 40-50mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 20-35mph Gusts 40-65mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
 
  Valleys/Coast...    Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-35mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-290500-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T2000Z-191030T2300Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
104 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PDT
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red
Flag Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday to 4 PM PDT
Wednesday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 510 and 511.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....10-20%... 
                      Tue Night...13-25%... 
                      Wed Day.....8-18%...
 
  Valleys/Delta...    Tue Day.....12-25%...
                      Tue Night...20-35%...
                      Wed Day.....8-20%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 15-25mph Gusts 35-45mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 15-30mph Gusts 40-50mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
 
  Valleys/Delta...    Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-35mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-290500-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T2000Z-191030T2300Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
104 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PDT
WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red
Flag Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM Tuesday to 4 PM PDT
Wednesday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 509 and 512.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....15-25%... 
                      Tue Night...15-30%... 
                      Wed Day.....10-20%...
 
  Coast...            Tue Day.....15-30%...
                      Tue Night...20-35%...
                      Wed Day.....8-20%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Winds will be locally stronger 
  along the coast near gaps and passes. Offshore winds weaken but remain 
  locally gusty Wednesday afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 10-20mph Gusts 30-35mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 10-20mph Gusts 30-40mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...
 
  Coast...            Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
504 
WWUS86 KMTR 290315
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
815 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...Red Flag Warning Tuesday through Wednesday morning for strong
offshore winds and critically low humidity...

.Another offshore flow event will impact the region Tuesday into
Wednesday morning featuring strong and gusty offshore winds and
critically low relative humidity. This event will not be as
strong as the last event, but still bring critical fire weather
conditions to the Bay Area. Winds will increase initially over
the North Bay on Tuesday morning before spreading southward.
Relative humidity will initially drop over the North Bay and then
also spread southward during the day Tuesday. Despite some weaker
winds with this event the relatively humidity readings will be
very low with no recovery at night. Winds ease through the day on
Wednesday, but the dry conditions remain.

CAZ505>507-291300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T1500Z-191030T2300Z/
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
815 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 4 PM
PDT WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTH BAY INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER ZONES 505, 506,
AND 507...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 505, 506, and 507.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....8-18%... 
                      Tue Night...10-25%... 
                      Wed Day.....8-18%...
 
  Valleys/Coast...    Tue Day.....15-30%...
                      Tue Night...25-40%...
                      Wed Day.....10-25%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations and coast Tuesday evening. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 20-30mph Gusts 40-50mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 20-35mph Gusts 40-65mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
 
  Valleys/Coast...    Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-35mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-291300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T2000Z-191030T2300Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
815 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM
PDT WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 510 and 511.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....10-20%... 
                      Tue Night...13-25%... 
                      Wed Day.....8-18%...
 
  Valleys/Delta...    Tue Day.....12-25%...
                      Tue Night...20-35%...
                      Wed Day.....8-20%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 15-25mph Gusts 35-45mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 15-30mph Gusts 40-50mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
 
  Valleys/Delta...    Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-35mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-291300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T2000Z-191030T2300Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
815 PM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 4 PM
PDT WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 509 and 512.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....15-25%... 
                      Tue Night...15-30%... 
                      Wed Day.....10-20%...
 
  Coast...            Tue Day.....15-30%...
                      Tue Night...20-35%...
                      Wed Day.....8-20%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning.  Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Winds will be locally stronger 
  along the coast near gaps and passes. Offshore winds weaken but remain 
  locally gusty Wednesday afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 10-20mph Gusts 30-35mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 10-20mph Gusts 30-40mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...
 
  Coast...            Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
335 
WWUS86 KMTR 291231
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
531 AM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...Red Flag Warning Today through Wednesday afternoon for strong 
offshore winds and critically low humidity...

.Another offshore wind event will impact the San Francisco Bay
Area today into Wednesday morning, featuring strong and gusty 
offshore winds and critically low relative humidity. This event 
will not be as strong as the event over the weekend, but still 
result in critical fire weather conditions across much of the Bay
Area. Winds will increase initially over the North Bay around 
midday Tuesday before spreading southward across much of the rest 
of the Bay Area by Tuesday evening. Relative humidity will 
decrease from north to south on Tuesday and little or no humidity 
recovery is expected Tuesday night. Winds will ease through the 
day on Wednesday, but very dry conditions will persist.

CAZ505>507-300500-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T1500Z-191030T2300Z/
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
531 AM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE
NORTH BAY INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER ZONES 505, 506, AND 507...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 505, 506, and 507.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor 
  overnight recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are 
  possible. 
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....8-18%... 
                      Tue Night...10-25%... 
                      Wed Day.....8-18%...
 
  Valleys/Coast...    Tue Day.....15-30%...
                      Tue Night...25-40%...
                      Wed Day.....10-25%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations and coast Tuesday evening. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 20-30mph Gusts 40-50mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 20-35mph Gusts 45-65mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
 
  Valleys/Coast...    Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-35mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low humidity can contribute to extreme fire 
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-300500-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T2000Z-191030T2300Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
531 AM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 510 and 511.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor 
  overnight recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are 
  possible. 
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....10-20%... 
                      Tue Night...13-25%... 
                      Wed Day.....8-18%...
 
  Valleys/Delta...    Tue Day.....12-25%...
                      Tue Night...20-35%...
                      Wed Day.....8-20%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Offshore winds weaken 
  but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 15-25mph Gusts 35-45mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 15-30mph Gusts 40-50mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
 
  Valleys/Delta...    Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-35mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low relative humidity can contribute to extreme 
fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-300500-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.191029T2000Z-191030T2300Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
531 AM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 509 and 512.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor 
  overnight recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are 
  possible. 
  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day.....15-25%... 
                      Tue Night...15-30%... 
                      Wed Day.....10-20%...
 
  Coast...            Tue Day.....15-30%...
                      Tue Night...20-35%...
                      Wed Day.....8-20%...

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Winds will be 
  locally stronger along the coast near gaps and passes. Offshore 
  winds weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...  Tue Day...   Sustained 10-20mph Gusts 30-35mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 10-20mph Gusts 30-40mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...
 
  Coast...            Tue Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Tue Night... Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-30mph...
                      Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15mph  Gusts 20-25mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low relative humidity can contribute to extreme 
fire behavior.

&&

$$
702 
WWUS86 KMTR 300502
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1002 PM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...Red Flag Warning Today through Wednesday afternoon for strong
offshore winds and critically low humidity...

.Another offshore wind event will impact the San Francisco Bay
Area into Wednesday morning featuring strong and gusty offshore 
winds and critically low relative humidity. This event will not be
as strong as the event over the weekend, but still result in 
critical fire weather conditions especially over the North and 
East Bay Hills and the Santa Cruz Mountains. Strongest winds will 
occur over the North and East Bay Hills and the Santa Cruz 
Mountains but downslope winds could reach the coastal areas as 
well. Little or no humidity recovery is expected Tuesday night. 
Winds will ease through the day on Wednesday but very dry 
conditions will persist.

CAZ505>507-301900-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
1002 PM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 505, 506, AND 507...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 505, 506, and 507.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor 
  overnight recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are 
  possible.

  Mountains/Hills...
     Tue night...	10-25%
     Wed Day... 	8-18%.

  Valleys/Coast...
     Tue night...	25-40%
     Wed Day...		10-25%        

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations and coast Tuesday evening. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...
     Tue night...	Sustained 20-35 mph with gusts 45-65 mph
     Wed Day... 	Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-30 mph

  Valleys/Coast...
    Tue Night... 	Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-35 mph
    Wed Day...	    Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low humidity can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-301900-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
1002 PM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 510 and 511.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor overnight
  recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are possible.

  Mountains/Hills...
 	 Tue Night...	13-25%
	 Wed Day..... 	8-18%

  Valleys/Delta...
	 Tue Night...	20-35%
     Wed Day.....	8-20%

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Offshore winds weaken 
  but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...
     Tue Night... Sustained 15-30 mph with gusts 40-50 mph
     Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-30 mph

  Valleys/Delta...
     Tue Night... Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-35 mph
     Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low relative humidity can contribute to extreme
fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-301900-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
1002 PM PDT Tue Oct 29 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 509 and 512.

* HUMIDITY... Critically low daytime humidity with poor 
  overnight recoveries. Locally lower humidity values are 
  possible.
 
  Mountains/Hills...
 	 Tue Night...	15-30%
 	 Wed Day..... 	10-20%

  Coast...
                    
	Tue Night...	20-35%
    Wed Day.....	8-20%

* WINDS...Strong and gusty north to northeast winds are forecast 
  Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to reach 
  the lower elevations Tuesday evening. Winds will be locally 
  stronger along the coast near gaps and passes. Offshore winds 
  weaken but remain locally gusty Wednesday afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills... 

     Tue Night... Sustained 10-20 mph with gusts 30-40 mph
     Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph

  Coast... 
     Tue Night... Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-30 mph
     Wed Day...   Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low relative humidity can contribute to extreme
fire behavior.

&&

$$
188 
WWUS86 KMTR 301852
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1152 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...Red Flag Warning Today through Wednesday afternoon for strong
offshore winds and critically low humidity...

.Dry offshore winds have decreased since Tuesday night but remain
locally strong across the area with occasional gusts up to 30
mph. Winds will continue to gradually decrease this afternoon and 
become lighter late this afternoon. Relative humidity remains very
low with values ranging from the upper single digits to 25 pecent
across the area. Very dry conditions will continue through the 
afternoon. The combination of gusty winds and very low humidity 
values will create critical fire weather conditions through the 
afternoon.

CAZ505>507-302300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
1152 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 505, 506, AND 507...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 505, 506, and 507.

* HUMIDITY...Critically low humidity this afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...8-18%.

  Valleys/Coast...10-25%

* WINDS...Offshore winds have weakened but will remain locally
  gusty this afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-30 mph

  Valleys/Coast...Sustained 5-10 mph with gusts 15-20 mph...

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low humidity can contribute to extreme fire
behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-302300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
1152 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITIES
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 510 and 511.

* HUMIDITY...Critically low humidity this afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...8-18%

  Valleys/Delta...8-20%

* WINDS...Offshore winds have weakened but will remain locally
  gusty this afternoon. 

  Mountains/Hills...Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-30 mph

  Valleys/Delta...Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low relative humidity can contribute to extreme
fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-302300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
1152 AM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 509 and 512.

* HUMIDITY...Critically low humidity this afternoon.

  Mountains/Hills...10-20%

  Coast...8-20%

* WINDS...Offshore winds have weakened but will remain locally
  gusty this afternoon.  

  Mountains/Hills...Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph

  Coast...Sustained 5-15 mph with gusts 20-25 mph

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds and low relative humidity can contribute to extreme
fire behavior.

&&

$$
890 
WWUS86 KMTR 302255
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
355 PM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019


CAZ505>507-310000-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
355 PM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 505, 506, AND 507...

The red flag warning will be allowed to expire at 4 pm. Low 
relative humidity readings persist, but winds have eased.

$$

CAZ510-511-310000-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
355 PM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

The red flag warning will be allowed to expire at 4 pm. Low 
relative humidity readings persist, but winds have eased.

$$

CAZ509-512-310000-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-191030T2300Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
355 PM PDT Wed Oct 30 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

The red flag warning will be allowed to expire at 4 pm. Low 
relative humidity readings persist, but winds have eased.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 28, 11:04 AM PDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 11:04 AM PDT, 2 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
1104 AM PDT Mon Oct 28 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Winds will continue to decrease through Monday
morning. Cool nighttime temperatures are expected through much of
the week, especially in the interior valleys where patchy frost is
likely during the late night and early morning hours starting
tonight. Another round of strong, gusty, and dry offshore winds
are forecast from midday Tuesday through Wednesday morning, mainly
across the North and East Bay Hills. Winds during this next
offshore event are not expected to be as strong, or last as long,
as the current event, but they will still likely generate critical
fire weather conditions when combined with very low humidity.
Otherwise, expect sunny and mild days along with clear and cool
nights through the week and into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...as of 09:28 AM PDT Monday...Main story outside the
fire weather conditions is the cold temps. Early morning lows in
North Bay were in the 30s with pockets in the 20s, all confined
into the valleys, whereas the ridges remained in the 40s and 50s.
The rest of the Bay Area was in the mid 30s to mid 50s, depending
upon location. This pattern will repeat again tonight with a
slight warming Tuesday night due to incoming winds. We'll see
another drop on Wednesday night and Thursday night. Otherwise the
region will generally have fair weather. Smoke will be the main
concern for the region outside the typical weather. Offshore flow
should push the smoke out to sea, but as we turn see the flow turn
onshore briefly today and then again late week, smoke will move
back into areas. Check with your local air quality management
district for further details on air quality. In addition, see the
fire weather discussion below for information concerning red flag
warnings.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...As of 3:40 AM PDT Monday...Winds have been
gradually diminishing through the night as offshore gradients
ease. Winds have decreased most significantly at the lower
elevations. By 2 am, winds had fallen below Wind Advisory levels
at all lower elevation locations, as well as in the Santa Cruz
Mountains. Thus, the Wind Advisory for these areas was cancelled.
North to northeast winds continue to gust as high as 50 mph in the
North and East Bay Hills early this morning. The Wind Advisory
for the East Bay Hills remains in effect and the High Wind Warning
for the North Bay Mountains has been downgraded to a Wind
Advisory. Given current trends and short-range forecasts, all Wind
Advisories will likely be allowed to expire at 11 am.

For the short-term forecast there are two items of concern.
First, another round of strong and gusty offshore winds. An upper
trough currently over western Canada is forecast to drop south and
over the Great Basin by late Tuesday. This will result in rapid
steepening of surface pressure gradients from the Great Basin to
the California coast Tuesday and Tuesday night as surface high
pressure builds to our north and east. North to northeast winds
are forecast to begin increasing across the North Bay around
midday Tuesday and then south into the East Bay by late that
afternoon. Winds are expected to be strongest in the hills and
will likely peak on Tuesday night and then taper off by late
Wednesday morning. Another round of wind advisories will likely be
needed, but probably for only the North and East Bay Hills as
this upcoming offshore wind event will almost certainly not be as
strong or widespread as the event currently coming to an end. Will
wait until the current Wind Advisories expire before issuing
Advisories for the next event. It should be noted that the 00Z
models trended slightly lower with winds speeds for the
Tuesday/Wednesday wind event. Of course, another round of strong
offshore winds will result in renewed fire weather concerns. See
the Fire Weather Discussion below for details.

The second short-term concern involves locally cold overnight
temperatures starting tonight. The airmass currently in place over
our area is not particularly cold for this time of year. However,
the airmass is very dry which will allow for robust overnight
cooling once winds subside. Overnight lows tonight in the coolest
interior valleys tonight of the North Bay, as well as the
valleys of southern Monterey County, are forecast to be in the
low to mid 30s. Patchy frost is likely in these areas for a few
hours around sunrise Tuesday morning. Stronger winds on Tuesday
night will help hold temps up, but then once winds subside on
Wednesday the stage will be set for two of three more cold nights
in the interior valleys for the remainder of the week. These
frosty nights is the primary forecast concern for the long range
forecast from Wednesday night through Friday night.

Otherwise, models are in agreement in maintaining a high amplitude
ridge just off the West Coast through the week and into next
weekend. This will mean sunny and mild days with high temperatures
mostly in the upper 60s and 70s, along with the aforementioned
cool, and locally frosty, nights. As long as this pattern
persists, rain chances will be nil.

&&

.AVIATION...as of 11:03 AM PDT Monday...For 18z tafs. VFR through
the period except for MVFR to IFR conditions in the North Bay due
to wildfire smoke. Visibility down to 3/4 SM has been observed at
KSTS late this morning. Winds have eased since yesterday with
light offshore flow. Winds will eventually turn onshore late this
afternoon at the terminals near SF and Monterey Bay. The HRRR
brings increasing smoke from nearby wildfires into the region late
this afternoon and evening, continuing overnight. Less confident
on how thick the smoke will be and whether it will mix down to the
surface.

Vicinity of KSFO...VFR. Variable but predominately southeast winds
continuing into the early afternoon. Winds turning onshore late
this afternoon 10-15 kt. Smoke aloft will likely increase late
this afternoon and evening.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to KSFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR with SE winds at KSNS and onshore at
KMRY into the early afternoon hours. Becoming onshore at KSNS as
well by 21z around 10 kt. Smoke may drift south to the terminals
this evening and overnight tonight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...As of 8:50 AM PDT Monday...Brief update for the
morning...Red Flag Warning will be allowed to expire at 11 AM.
Will let some breathing room between the current Red Flag Warning
and the next offshore flow event Tuesday into Wednesday. Will
coordinate with neighboring offices and agency partners before
issuing the next Red Flag Warning. Putting this next round into
context it will be similar to event number 1 of last week and not
as strong as event number 2. Stay tuned....

Previous discussion...Models continue to forecast another
offshore wind event from midday Tuesday through Wednesday morning
(the third event over a 7 day period). Models indicate that winds
will begin to increase in the North Bay Hills starting around
midday Tuesday and then develop south into the East Bay Hills by
late that afternoon. North to northeast winds are forecast to peak
between Tuesday evening and late Tuesday night and then taper off
on Wednesday morning. This next offshore wind event is not
expected to be as strong as the event just now winding down. Winds
in the hills of the North and East Bay are expected to be in the
25 to 35 mph range, gusting between 45 and 65 mph, with isolated
higher gusts on the higher peaks of the North Bay. Compared to the
current event, this upcoming offshore wind event will not have as
much upper level support, and strong winds are not expected to
mix down to lower elevations except for isolated locations.
Finally, this upcoming event will be of much shorter duration
compared to the event just now ending. In any case, winds will
easily be strong enough to generate critical fire weather
conditions when paired with very low relative humidity. Humidity
values will increase only marginally prior to the next event, and
mainly at the lower elevations. Humidity is forecast to quickly
decrease once again late Tuesday into Tuesday night as the next
round of offshore winds sweeps across the region. So it's likely
another round of Red Flag Warnings will be issued for the North
and East Bay Hills at a minimum. Will let the current round of Red
Flag Warnings expire before issuing any new Fire Weather Watches
or Red Flag Warnings.

&&

.MARINE...As of 8:44 AM PDT Monday...Light to moderate winds over
the coastal waters today. Locally stronger winds will be possible
along the immediate coast near gaps and passes in the coastal
terrain. Locally breezy conditions will re- develop over the
northern outer waters late tonight and into Tuesday afternoon
before diminishing. Light to moderate north to northeast winds
will then persist through mid week before turning back out of the
northwest into the weekend. A longer period northwest swell will
arrive to the waters today with the swell period then gradually
decreasing throughout the week. Light moderate period southerly
swell will also persist through the forecast period.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
     .Tday...None

&&

PUBLIC FORECAST: BFG/Dykema
AVIATION: ST
MARINE: MM
FIRE WEATHER: MM/Dykema

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 28, 11:18 AM PDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1118 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1117 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG DANVILLE                37.81N 121.97W
10/28/2019                   CONTRA COSTA       CA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FENCE BLOWN DOWN.

&&

STANDERS

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 11:28 PM PDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMTR4 hr
Oct 28, 12:03 AM PDTBeach Hazards StatementMTRMarin, Monterey, City and County of San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Cruz, Sonoma33 hr
Oct 28, 2:46 AM PDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMTR36 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in California, 2019Every red flag warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.