Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Morristown, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
646 PM EST Mon Dec 16 2019

.AVIATION...
Deteriorating aviation weather conditions are expected through the
night as a cold front approaches from the west. VFR conditions
will fall to MVFR first at CHA, then followed by TYS and TRI.
Included TEMPO groups for TSRA and reduced visibility tonight but
confidence on timing is low. CIGS fall further after 06Z at CHA
with low MVFR or IFR conditions through 14Z. TYS and TRI will
likely fall into MVFR categories through tonight with IFR possible
in the morning hours of Tuesday. Winds initially out of the
southwest will shift toward the northwest by Tuesday morning.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...Wind Advisory until 5 AM EST Tuesday for Blount Smoky Mountains-
     Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe.

VA...None.
&&

Diegan

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
327 PM EST Mon Dec 16 2019

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-172030-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-
Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-Southeast Greene-
Washington-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-
Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-Blount Smoky Mountains-
North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-
McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-
West Polk-East Polk-Lee-Wise-Russell-
327 PM EST Mon Dec 16 2019 /227 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong gusty winds can be expected across some higher elevation
areas of the Smoky Mountains tonight. Locally heavy rainfall may
produce isolated flooding mainly late tonight. A few thunderstorms
can be expected tonight, and there is the potential for damaging
wind gusts with the stronger storms, and even an isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out, mainly across the Cumberland Plateau and
southern Tennessee Valley.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Strong cold front will move across the area early Tuesday morning
with temperatures falling through the day. The rain showers will
be mixed with and change to snow across the higher elevations
Tuesday afternoon, generally at or above 3500 feet. Light
snowfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches are possible across the
highest elevations, such as Newfound Gap and Mt LeConte in the
Smoky Mountains, Roan Mountain, and High Knob in southwest
Virginia.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight for storms across the
plateau and southern Tennessee valley.

TD