Severe Thunderstorm Warning 123, NWS Morristown, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1122 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Cold front is moving rapidly east across the western part of the
forecast area late this morning. A line of showers has
intensified out ahead of the front across the central valley with
high winds with these showers just ahead of the front. Some
clearing has occurred out ahead of the front allowing increased
instability and temperatures to reach into the mid 70s. The
northeast part of the area may see damaging winds as strong winds
aloft are brought down to the surface. In the higher elevations
south to southwest winds are still strong at aroung 40 to 60 mph.
Will keep the advisory going and will extend it if front is not
past the mountains by 18Z. Heaviest rain has occurred across the
southern part of the area so will continue flood watch through 00Z
tonight. Updated grids for temperatures and rain chances. Updated
forecast sent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             69  32  54  34 /  90   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  74  31  52  33 /  90  10   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       71  30  52  33 /  90  10   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              72  30  51  31 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Cherokee-Clay.

     Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 10 AM EDT Friday for Cherokee-Clay.

TN...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Monroe.

     Freeze Warning from 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ to 10 AM EDT /9 AM CDT/
     Friday for Anderson-Bledsoe-Blount Smoky Mountains-Bradley-
     Campbell-Claiborne-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Grainger-
     Hamblen-Hamilton-Hancock-Hawkins-Jefferson-Johnson-Knox-
     Loudon-Marion-McMinn-Meigs-Morgan-North Sevier-Northwest
     Blount-Northwest Carter-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-
     Northwest Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Scott-Sequatchie-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast
     Monroe-Sullivan-Unicoi-Union-Washington-West Polk.

     Wind Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Johnson-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast
     Monroe-Unicoi.

VA...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 10 AM EDT Friday for Lee-Russell-
     Scott-Washington-Wise.

&&

TD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
328 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-010730-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-
Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-Southeast Greene-
Washington-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-
Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-Blount Smoky Mountains-
North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-
McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-
West Polk-East Polk-Lee-Wise-Russell-
328 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019 /228 AM CDT Thu Oct 31 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe storms will be possible early Thursday morning into early
Thursday afternoon ahead of a cold front with strong winds being
the primary hazard. A brief weak isolated tornado or two will also
be possible. Best chances for severe storms will be to the north
and east of Knoxville during the morning and early afternoon
hours.

Periods of locally heavy rainfall are possible Thursday morning
and afternoon which may cause localized flooding, especially
across the Smoky Mountains, southeast Tennessee, and southwest
North Carolina.

Strong winds will continue across the higher elevations into the
early afternoon with gusts as high as 45 mph possible.

Freeze temperatures along with patchy to widespread frost are
expected late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Freeze temperatures along with patchy to widespread frost will
continue into Friday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1140 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HALLS                   36.08N 83.93W
10/31/2019                   KNOX               TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

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