Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2019
River Flood Warning 55, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Dec 21, 2019, 10:31 AM CST for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Dec 23, 2019, 1:00 PM CST. It was in force for 19 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 21, 2019, 10:31 AM CST (16:31 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 23, 2019, 1:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Jan 11, 2020, 10:31 AM CST
- In force
- 19 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 28.73 ft at Jan 10, 2020, 2:00 PM CST.
- Action stage
- 19 ft
- Minor stage
- 24 ft
- Moderate stage
- 30 ft
- Major stage
- 35 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
784 WGUS44 KMOB 211631 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flood Warning National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1031 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 ...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect. It is emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during the next 24 hours. If less rainfall occurs...it may be necessary to revise this stage forecast downward. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-221631- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0054.191221T1631Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1031 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * Flood Warning for The Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From this morning until further notice * At 09AM Saturday the stage was...24.8 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and continue to rise near 32.0 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-221631- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191223T1900Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191223T1900Z.191226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1031 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * Flood Warning for The Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Monday afternoon until further notice * At 10AM Saturday the stage was...20.7 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and continue to rise near 25.7 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
19 follow-up statements
351 WGUS84 KMOB 220241 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 841 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-230240- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 841 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From Monday early afternoon until further notice. * At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 24 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and continue to rise near 32 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-230240- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191223T1900Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191223T1900Z.191226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 841 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Monday early afternoon until further notice. * At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and continue to rise near 25.7 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
734 WGUS84 KMOB 220353 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 953 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-230352- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 953 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From early Monday morning until further notice. * At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 23.9 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to rise near 33.2 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-230352- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191223T1140Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191223T1140Z.191227T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 953 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Monday morning until further notice. * At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to rise near 26.4 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
341 WGUS84 KMOB 221658 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1058 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-231658- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1058 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From tomorrow morning until further notice. * At 10AM Sunday the stage was 23.2 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise near 34.1 feet by Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-231658- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191223T1400Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191223T1400Z.191227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1058 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From tomorrow morning until further notice. * At 10AM Sunday the stage was 19.8 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise near 26.8 feet by Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
413 WGUS84 KMOB 230130 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 730 PM CST Sun Dec 22 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-240130- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 730 PM CST Sun Dec 22 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From Tuesday evening until further notice. * At 4 PM Sunday the stage was 23.2 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday evening and continue to rise near 33 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-240130- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191225T0300Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0300Z.191228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 730 PM CST Sun Dec 22 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Tuesday before midnight until further notice. * At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 19.7 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday before midnight and continue to rise near 26.1 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
342 WGUS84 KMOB 231649 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 23 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-241649- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 23 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From tomorrow late morning until further notice. * At 10AM Monday the stage was 32.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by Saturday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-241649- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191224T1720Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191224T1720Z.191228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 23 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From tomorrow late morning until further notice. * At 10AM Monday the stage was 20.9 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise near 26.5 feet by Saturday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
176 WGUS84 KMOB 240226 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 826 PM CST Mon Dec 23 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-250226- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191223T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 826 PM CST Mon Dec 23 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From tomorrow late morning until further notice. * At 7 PM Monday the stage was 27.4 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise near 32.4 feet by Friday evening. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-250226- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191224T2000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191224T2000Z.191228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 826 PM CST Mon Dec 23 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From tomorrow early afternoon until further notice. * At 8 PM Monday the stage was 22 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to rise near 26.1 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
757 WGUS84 KMOB 241629 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1029 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-251629- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191223T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1029 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 9AM Tuesday the stage was 29.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 32.5 feet by Friday evening then begin falling. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-251629- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.191225T0200Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0200Z.191228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1029 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From this evening until further notice. * At 10AM Tuesday the stage was 23.2 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 26.1 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
430 WGUS84 KMOB 250249 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 849 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Mississippi... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-260249- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191223T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 849 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 30.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 32.4 feet by Thursday evening then begin falling. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-260249- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0308Z.191227T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 849 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From tonight until further notice. * At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to continue to rise near 25.5 feet by early Friday morning. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$ FLC091-251200- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-191225T1200Z/ /CRVF1.1.ER.191225T0600Z.191225T0600Z.191225T0600Z.NO/ 849 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning continues for the Shoal River Near Crestview * From after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday morning. * At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 8.0 feet. * Forecast to fall below flood stage by 7 AM Wednesday morning. * At 8.0 feet...Minor flooding of low lying areas. && LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663 3070 8663 3070 8655 $$ MSC039-041-153-260249- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0056.191225T2000Z-191228T2100Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.191225T2000Z.191227T0000Z.191228T1500Z.NO/ 849 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From tomorrow early afternoon until Saturday afternoon. * At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to rise near 21.0 feet by Thursday evening. * At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
964 WGUS84 KMOB 251635 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1035 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-261635- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191225T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1035 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 9 AM Wednesday the stage was 31.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 32.8 feet by tomorrow evening then begin falling. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-261635- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1035 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by Friday morning then begin falling. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
659 WGUS84 KMOB 260112 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 712 PM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Mississippi... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-270111- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-191231T0400Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191225T1100Z.191230T2200Z.NO/ 712 PM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Monday evening. * At 6 PM Wednesday the stage was 31.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 33.0 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-270111- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 712 PM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.0 feet by Friday morning then begin falling. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$ MSC039-041-153-270111- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0056.191226T1500Z-191228T2100Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.191226T1500Z.191227T0600Z.191228T1500Z.NO/ 712 PM CST Wed Dec 25 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From tomorrow late morning until Saturday afternoon. * At 6 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.4 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise near 20.5 feet by early Friday morning. * At 20.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
825 WGUS84 KMOB 261735 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1135 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2019 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-271735- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-191231T0234Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191225T1100Z.191230T2034Z.NO/ 1135 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening... The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Monday evening. * At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 32.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will crest near 32.9 feet late tonight through early Friday morning. A slow fall is then expected and the river is expected to fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-271735- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-191231T1300Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191227T1200Z.191231T0700Z.NO/ 1135 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning... The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Tuesday morning. * At 11 AM Thursday the stage was 25.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will crest near 26.0 feet late tonight through early Friday morning. The river will remain near 26.0 feet through Saturday before slowly falling through early next week. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
588 WGUS84 KMOB 270141 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 741 PM CST Thu Dec 26 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-280140- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-191231T0730Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191225T1100Z.191231T0130Z.NO/ 741 PM CST Thu Dec 26 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until late Monday night. * At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 32.8 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29. feet. * The river will continue rising to near 32.9 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-280140- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-191231T1830Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191227T1200Z.191231T1230Z.NO/ 741 PM CST Thu Dec 26 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Tuesday afternoon. * At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 25.9 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
887 WGUS84 KMOB 271704 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1104 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2019 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-281704- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-191231T1100Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191225T1100Z.191231T0500Z.NO/ 1104 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night... The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until late Monday night. * At 10 AM Friday the stage was 33.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river is cresting near 33.2 feet. The river is forecast to slowly fall through the weekend, before falling below flood stage late Monday night. * At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-281704- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-191231T2034Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191227T1600Z.191231T1434Z.NO/ 1104 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon... The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Tuesday afternoon. * At 10 AM Friday the stage was 26.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river is cresting and will slowly fall through early next week. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning. * At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
142 WGUS84 KMOB 281710 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1110 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-291710- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200101T1500Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191228T1400Z.200101T0900Z.NO/ 1110 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Wednesday morning. * At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 33.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river is cresting near 33.4 feet this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-291710- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191228T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1110 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 26.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to crest near 26.6 feet through Sunday morning before beginning to slowly fall. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
406 WGUS84 KMOB 291429 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 829 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-301428- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200101T0800Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191228T1400Z.200101T0200Z.NO/ 829 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until late Tuesday night. * At 7 AM Sunday the stage was 32.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Tuesday evening. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-301428- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191229T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 829 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Thursday before midnight until further notice. * At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 26.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river has crested and will slowly fall through the rest of the week. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
186 WGUS84 KMOB 300148 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 748 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-310148- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200101T0430Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191228T1400Z.191231T2230Z.NO/ 748 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Tuesday evening. * At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 32.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Tuesday evening. The river will continue falling through Wednesday before rising to near flood stage again on Friday. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-310148- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191229T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 748 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Friday early afternoon until further notice. * At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 26.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will briefly fall below flood stage on Wednesday afternoon but will begin rising again on Thursday. The river will rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon with additional rises possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
853 WGUS84 KMOB 301749 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1149 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-311749- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200101T0224Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.191221T0532Z.191228T1400Z.191231T2024Z.NO/ 1149 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Tuesday evening. * At 10 AM Monday the stage was 30.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall through Wednesday before rising to near flood stage again on Thursday and Friday. * At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. && LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-311749- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200101T1400Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191229T0400Z.200101T0800Z.NO/ 1149 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Wednesday morning. * At 11 AM Monday the stage was 25.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Wednesday morning. The river will fall through Wednesday evening before rising to near flood stage again on Thursday and Friday. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
735 WGUS84 KMOB 311621 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1021 AM CST Tue Dec 31 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-010712- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200101T0712Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191229T0400Z.200101T0112Z.NO/ 1021 AM CST Tue Dec 31 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until late Tuesday night. * At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this evening. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
861 WGUS84 KMOB 010205 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 805 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-011200- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-200101T1200Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.191225T0248Z.191229T0400Z.200101T0600Z.NO/ 805 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Wednesday morning. * At 7PM Tuesday the stage was 24.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage through early Wednesday morning. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 21, 6:06 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 6:06 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
606 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019
.DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas and aviation
discussion below.
&&
.UPDATE...In conjunction with a high risk of rip currents, surf
heights are expected to reach between 4 and 6 feet later today
and persist through Sunday night. Therefore, a High Surf Advisory
was issued and is in effect from 4PM this afternoon through Sunday
night. /26
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...VFR conditions were observed at all TAF sites at
issuance, along with light rain showers. Showers will increase in
intensity area-wide through the day today, with the heaviest
showers expected overnight tonight into tomorrow morning as a
surface low pressure system progresses over the northern Gulf.
With this, expect lowering VIS and IFR CIGs, especially overnight
during the heavier showers. Furthermore, sustained northeast winds
will generally be between 10 and 15 knots, with gusts around 20
knots expected at BFM and PNS later today through tonight. /26
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 504 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019/
NEAR/SHORT TERM /Now Through Sunday/...Little change from the
previous forecast package is expected this morning with main upper
low approaching from the west deepening over the lower MS River
Valley and north central Gulf states later today through early Sun
afternoon, merging with a rapidly developing surface low located
over the north central gulf tracking north northeast towards the
FL Panhandle through Sunday. The GFS and ECMWF still showing
subtle differences with the track of this system with the Euro
guidance favoring a better track further to the west resulting in
slightly better precip and wind impacts to the forecast area later
today through Sunday afternoon. As the system to the south begins
to intensify rapidly later this morning widespread isentropic
lift or overrunning will become much better organized on the
northern side of the low leading to widespread light to moderate
rain spreading northward towards the coast later this morning
quickly spreading inland and becoming heavy at times due to better
dynamically forcing approaching from the west, covering most of
the forecast area late this afternoon and tonight. Similar to
earlier runs current model guidance continues to show moderate to
occasional rainfalls rates with this pattern later today through
Sunday morning then slowly shifting eastward by Sun afternoon.
Rainfall totals from 2 to 4 inches area wide can be expected with
locally higher amounts possible especially over eastern and
coastal sections of the forecast area late tonight through Sun
morning. As result some minor flooding will be possible overnight
and Sun morning especially in areas with poor drainage. At this
time we are not anticipating widespread flash flooding with this
system due to current antecedent conditions across the region and
the forward progression with the main upper system over the
weekend.
With the surface low remaining mostly to the south of most land
areas in the forecast area through Sun conditions will remain on
the cool side over the weekend. Highs today and Sun will range
from the lower to middle 50s for most inland areas and the middle
to upper 50s along the immediate coast. Lows tonight will range
from the middle to upper 40s for most inland areas generally
north of the I-10 corridor and the upper 40s to lower 50s to the
south. 32/ee
LONG TERM /Sunday night Through Friday/...The long term period
will begin with an upper level cutoff low centered over eastern
Louisiana, southeast Mississippi, and southwest Alabama. The
models are in fair agreement with this upper level pattern as a
whole; however, the ECMWF does show the center of the low tracking
a bit further north whereas the GFS more eastward in relation to
Mobile, Alabama. This low will continue to progress to the east
until it moves off into the Atlantic by Tuesday evening. By this
time, a ridge will build over the southeastern CONUS from the west
through late week. A deep trough will then develop over the
southwestern CONUS by Friday and begin to advance eastward towards
the eastern CONUS.
At the surface, a low pressure system will begin to occlude over the
panhandle of Florida. This low will move northeast over Florida
through Monday before it quickly moves off over the Atlantic by
early Tuesday. Most of the shower activity is expected to occur over
the weekend. Thus, the majority of the shower activity will decrease
through the day Monday, with most of the showers coming to an end by
Monday evening. As high pressure builds in from the west, dry
conditions will then return to the area through midweek. By late
week, a cold front, associated with a low pressure system over the
Ohio Valley, will move southeast towards the region and bring the
potential for another chance at showers Friday afternoon and into
next weekend. The models are coming into better alignment with this
late week/weekend system. However, as this is at the tail-end of the
forecast, future model runs will continue to be monitored as the
event gets closer.
High temperatures will generally increase through the week, with
highs beginning in the lower 60s Monday. By Christmas Day highs will
warm to be in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. This trend will
continue into Thursday as highs reach the lower 70s for most areas.
However, by Friday afternoon, a slight cool down is expected from
west to east as a cold front approaches the region. Temperatures in
the west will be in the upper 60s, with temperatures in the east
around 70 degrees. Low temperatures will also follow a warming
trend, starting out in the lower to upper 40s and increasing to
generally be in the lower 50s by Friday morning.
Lastly, there is Moderate Risk of Rip currents along the Gulf
beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida Monday through Tuesday.
/26
MARINE...Gale conditions area expected over the open Gulf waters
of Alabama and Northwest Florida late today through early Sunday
morning in response to a strong upper level disturbance merging with
a developing surface low pressure system moving northward towards
the Northwest Florida coast. Seas up to 12 feet well offshore can
be expected tonight through Sunday. Widespread moderate to heavy
rain will cover much of the marine area late today through Sunday
morning. Winds and seas will begin slowly to subside late Sunday
into Monday as the main upper system shifts east to the northeast
Gulf. 32/ee
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CST Monday
for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CST Monday
for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 AM CST Sunday
for GMZ630-633>636.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST Monday night for GMZ631-
632-650.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ655-
670-675.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to midnight CST Monday
night for GMZ655-670-675.
Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 9 AM CST Sunday for
GMZ655-670-675.
&&
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http://weather.gov/mobHazardous weather outlook, Dec 21, 6:43 AM CST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 643 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221245- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- 643 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A High Rip Current Risk is in effect for coastal portions of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle beginning 6:00 AM CST Today. A High Surf Advisory is in effect for coastal portions of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle beginning 4:00 PM CST Today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday A High Rip Current Risk is in effect for coastal portions of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle until 6:00 AM CST Monday. A High Surf Advisory is in effect for coastal portions of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle until 6:00 AM CST Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Please go to weather.gov/mob for additional information. Activation of SkyWarn severe spotter networks is not expected through Friday. GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-221245- Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL out 20 NM- Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 643 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for northern Mobile Bay, western Choctawhatchee Bay, eastern Choctawhatchee Bay, Perdido Bay, Pensacola Bay System beginning 4:00 PM CST Today. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM, southern Mobile Bay, Mississippi Sound beginning 6:00 AM CST Today. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM, the western Florida waters out 60 nm beginning 6:00 AM CST Today. A Gale Warning is in effect for the waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM, the western Florida waters out 60 nm beginning 4:00 PM CST Today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for northern Mobile Bay, western Choctawhatchee Bay, eastern Choctawhatchee Bay, Perdido Bay, Pensacola Bay System until 9:00 AM CST Sunday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM, southern Mobile Bay, Mississippi Sound until 12:00 AM CST Tuesday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM, the western Florida waters out 60 nm until 4:00 PM CST Saturday. A Gale Warning is in effect for the waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM, the western Florida waters out 60 nm until 9:00 AM CST Sunday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM, the western Florida waters out 60 nm beginning 9:00 AM CST Sunday until 12:00 AM CST Tuesday.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 4:04 AM CST | Gale Warning | MOB | 38 hr | |
| Dec 21, 5:49 AM CST | High Surf Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 48 hr |
| Dec 21, 10:31 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 10 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.