Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Mobile, AL

May 10, 2019Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at May 10, 2019, 10:34 AM CDT for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at May 12, 2019, 7:40 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2019, 10:34 AM CDT (15:34 UTC)
In effect from
May 12, 2019, 7:40 PM CDT
Expired
May 18, 2019, 10:17 AM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Leroy (LRYA1). The gauge peaked at 25.64 ft at May 16, 2019, 3:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203005/1005/1105/1205/1305/1405/1505/1605/1705/1805/19
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02470050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

650 
WGUS44 KMOB 101534
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1034 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following rivers in Alabama... 

  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington
  Counties.
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties.

.Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river
levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect. It is 
emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during 
the next 24 hours. If less rainfall occurs...it may be necessary to revise this 
stage forecast downward.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-111533-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0040.190512T1012Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190512T1012Z.190515T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From late Saturday night until further notice
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was...14 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 29 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise near
  34.7 feet by Wednesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-111533-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190513T0040Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190513T0040Z.190515T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Sunday evening until further notice
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was...11.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 24 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to rise near
  27.2 feet by Wednesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 30 feet...Roads leading into the Powersouth power plant will begin to 
  flood, along with roads along the east side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
17 follow-up statements
600 
WGUS84 KMOB 110104
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.190512T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190512T2200Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 16.8 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 35.3 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 40.0 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water. Cabins on Old 
  Ferry Road flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190513T0349Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190513T0349Z.190515T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Sunday before midnight until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday before midnight and continue to 
  rise to near 27.3 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* At 30.0 feet...Roads leading into the Powersouth power plant will begin to 
  flood, along with roads along the east side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0037.190514T0051Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.190514T0051Z.190515T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* From Monday evening until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to rise near
  20.0 feet by Wednesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of agricultural and lowlands near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0038.190512T1040Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.190512T1040Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From Sunday morning until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise near
  25.0 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-120103-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.190515T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190515T0900Z.190516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 9.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise 
  near 22.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 22.0 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
103 
WGUS84 KMOB 111510
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1010 AM CDT Sat May 11 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-121509-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.190512T1525Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190512T1525Z.190516T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CDT Sat May 11 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From tomorrow late morning until further notice.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 20 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to 
  rise near 34.3 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 40 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water. Cabins on Old 
  Ferry Road flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-121509-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190512T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190512T2230Z.190515T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1010 AM CDT Sat May 11 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tomorrow afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 15.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise 
  near 27 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 30 feet...Roads leading into the Powersouth power plant will begin to 
  flood, along with roads along the east side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
505 
WGUS84 KMOB 121414
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
914 AM CDT Sun May 12 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-131413-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.190512T1704Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190512T1704Z.190516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 AM CDT Sun May 12 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 25.0 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise near
  32.5 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-131413-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190512T2206Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190512T2206Z.190514T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 AM CDT Sun May 12 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From late this afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 19.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  near 26.6 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
814 
WGUS84 KMOB 121906
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
206 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-131906-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T0215Z.190516T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
206 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From tonight until further notice.
* At 1 PM Sunday the stage was 25.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 32.2 
  feet by early Thursday morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-131906-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190513T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190513T0600Z.190515T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
206 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From after midnight tomorrow until further notice.
* At 1 PM Sunday the stage was 20.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise near 26.6 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
222 
WGUS84 KMOB 130256
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
956 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-140255-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1800Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From tomorrow early afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 27.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
  rise near 30.9 feet by Wednesday evening.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-140255-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190513T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190513T1200Z.190516T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 PM CDT Sun May 12 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 21.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 25.7 feet by early Thursday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
477 
WGUS84 KMOB 131127
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
627 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-141126-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T2000Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
627 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From late this afternoon until further notice.
* At 05AM Monday the stage was 28.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  near 30.9 feet by Wednesday evening.
* At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-141125-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190514T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T0800Z.190516T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
627 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From early tomorrow until further notice.
* At 06AM Monday the stage was 22.2 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near
  25.6 feet by Thursday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
766 
WGUS84 KMOB 131421
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
921 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-141421-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T2000Z.190516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From late this afternoon until further notice.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 28.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  near 30.8 feet by Wednesday evening.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-141421-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190514T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T0200Z.190516T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 AM CDT Mon May 13 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tonight until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 22.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 25.5 
  feet by Thursday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
475 
WGUS84 KMOB 140146
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
846 PM CDT Mon May 13 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-150146-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1030Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190515T1800Z.190518T0430Z.NO/
846 PM CDT Mon May 13 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until late Friday night.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 29.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30.8 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-150146-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.190514T0418Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T0418Z.190516T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM CDT Mon May 13 2019

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tonight until further notice.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 23.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 25.3 
  feet by early Thursday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
798 
WGUS84 KMOB 141519
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1019 AM CDT Tue May 14 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-151520-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190515T1800Z.190518T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Tue May 14 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until late Friday night.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 30.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 32 feet by early tomorrow afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-151519-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T0700Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T0000Z.190518T0100Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Tue May 14 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until late Friday night.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
927 
WGUS84 KMOB 150212
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
912 PM CDT Tue May 14 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-160212-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190515T1800Z.190518T1200Z.NO/
912 PM CDT Tue May 14 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 31.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 31.5 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Saturday morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-160212-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190519T0730Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T0600Z.190519T0130Z.NO/
912 PM CDT Tue May 14 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until late Saturday night.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by early Thursday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Saturday evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
900 
WGUS84 KMOB 151556
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1056 AM CDT Wed May 15 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-161556-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1330Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190515T1500Z.190518T0730Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT Wed May 15 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Saturday morning.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 31.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-161556-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T2200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T0600Z.190518T1600Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT Wed May 15 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
934 
WGUS84 KMOB 160023
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
723 PM CDT Wed May 15 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-170023-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1330Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190515T2300Z.190518T0730Z.NO/
723 PM CDT Wed May 15 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Saturday morning.
* At 6 PM Wednesday the stage was 31.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-170023-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T2200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T0000Z.190518T1600Z.NO/
723 PM CDT Wed May 15 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
375 
WGUS84 KMOB 161509
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1009 AM CDT Thu May 16 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-171509-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1200Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190516T0500Z.190518T0600Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT Thu May 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 32 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-171509-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T2100Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T1800Z.190518T1500Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT Thu May 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
461 
WGUS84 KMOB 170207
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
907 PM CDT Thu May 16 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-180207-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1108Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190516T0500Z.190518T0508Z.NO/
907 PM CDT Thu May 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 31.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-180207-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T2040Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T2200Z.190518T1440Z.NO/
907 PM CDT Thu May 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 25.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river is cresting near 25.6 feet this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
073 
WGUS84 KMOB 171604
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1104 AM CDT Fri May 17 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-181000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T1000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190516T0500Z.190518T0400Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT Fri May 17 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until late tonight.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 30.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-181604-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T1800Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T2200Z.190518T1200Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT Fri May 17 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 25.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
642 
WGUS84 KMOB 180207
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
907 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-180716-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190518T0716Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.190513T1550Z.190516T0500Z.190518T0116Z.NO/
907 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until late tonight.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 29 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this evening.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-181640-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T1640Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T2200Z.190518T1040Z.NO/
907 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 24.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$
759 
WGUS84 KMOB 181517
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1017 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-181547-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-190518T1640Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.190514T1212Z.190516T2200Z.190518T0927Z.NO/
1017 AM CDT Sat May 18 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 23.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 10, 7:21 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 7:21 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
721 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
10/12Z issuance...General VFR conditions at this time, but expect
to see increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms later
today, especially this afternoon and evening, bringing MVFR to
occasionally IFR visibilities and ceilings in and near the
stronger storms. Some strong and gusty variable winds near the
stronger storms as well, while outside of rain areas mainly
southeast winds 10 to 15 knots expected. 12/DS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 512 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday night/...Rainfall diminished
overnight, but with the pattern remaining about the same (frontal
boundary to our northwest and residual outflow boundaries from
earlier convection), expect another round of showers and storms
today. With the mid and upper level trof over the middle portions
of the country and mid and upper ridging just to our east, a
persistent southwesterly flow aloft continues, with a series of
weak shortwaves lifting northeast across our area through the near
term period. This, combined with daytime heating and increased
instabilities, will allow for the development of more showers and
storms today, especially over the western half of the forecast
area. A few strong to marginally severe storms could occur today,
but the primary concern will be potential for additional heavy
rainfall this afternoon and evening. Some isolated locations over
our interior southeast MS and extreme southwest AL counties
received between 3 and 4 inches of rainfall yesterday, with a
larger area over the western half of our forecast area seeing 1 to
3 inches. Could see similar totals over some of those same areas
again today. We have introduced an Elevated Flood Threat over the
western half of our area through tonight (and likely continuing
through the weekend) for areas west of a Grove Hill to Mobile line
with a Limited Flood Threat for most areas further east. Since
our MS counties saw the heavier rainfall yesterday, and to match
up with our neighbors, we issued a Flash Flood Watch effective
today through this evening for our MS counties. This could be
extended further east with later forecast packages as the locally
heavy rainfall threat is expected to continue into the weekend.
PoPs today ranging from likely over the west to chance over the
eastern most counties. Rain chances will diminish somewhat late
this evening and overnight, but a slight chance to chance will
continue overnight (again with the higher chances to the west).
Highs today in the upper 70s and lower 80s west, where best
coverages of clouds and rainfall will be, to the mid 80s over our
eastern counties that will see less rainfall and be more under the
influence of the upper ridge. Lows tonight in the upper 60s to
lower 70s. 12/DS

SHORT TERM /Saturday Through Sunday night/...Complex upper air
pattern during the short term period. A northern stream mid to upper
trof positioned from the northern/central high Plains while a nearly
cutoff upper low over the northern Baja Peninsula migrates slowly
eastward. Downstream of the central CONUS upper trof, an active high
level southwest flow holds over the deep south. A series of mid
level impulses eject east northeast over the forecast area bringing
enhanced ascent within a warm and unstable airmass. Also aiding in
large scale lift will be a surface front. The surface boundary will
be quasi-stationary from the central Appalachians to the upper TX
coast Saturday with a series of frontal waves of low pressure
rippling across it. WPC has a slight risk of flooding excessive
rains from TN to the local area mainly defined along and west of I-
65 Saturday. It's these areas where the highest PoPs are advertised
(Likely to Categorical). Going into Sunday, the northern stream
upper trof slides southeast over the upper Mid-West allowing the
surface frontal boundary to ease closer to the area. This in turn
supports categorical PoP's for nearly the entire area. The slight
risk of excessive rain Sunday shifts gradually eastward and is
positioned over the interior zones. A marginal risk of excessive
rain elsewhere. Flash flood watches may be extended eastward.

Some of the storms locally strong with perhaps a few becoming
briefly severe each day Saturday and Sunday during time of max
instability. Although the severe weather risk is marginal both
days, the main focus is the heavy rain potential which could
result in localized flooding (perhaps flash flooding) of lower
lying areas and other areas subject to poor drainage. /10

LONG TERM /Monday Through Thursday/...Northern stream upper trof
ejects eastward from the upper Mid-west into the Northeast. The
global spectral models differ on the southern stream where the 10.00Z
runs of the operational GFS indicates a potentially more unsettled
weather pattern continuing into much of next week from TX eastward
to the Gulf coast. The ECMWF shows wet weather being suppressed
southward deeper into the Gulf. Will maintain a slight to chance
PoP for the southern zones and offshore thru mid week given the
uncertainties. Daytime highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s the
first of the week moderate with each day Wednesday and Thursday.
Overnight lows coolest Tuesday AM with mid to upper 50s most areas
as front sinks southward into the Gulf. Lows then moderate each
night thereafter. /10

MARINE...A moderate to strong southeasterly wind flow this morning
will decrease somewhat by this afternoon as high pressure remains to
the east of the marine area and a weak cold front over the
southeastern states remains nearly stationary. The SCA has been
extended in time for the westernmost Gulf marine zones as well as
southern Mobile Bay and Mississippi Sound, until 10 AM. After
winds and seas subside later today, little change is expected
through Saturday, then the weak cold front is expected to
eventually move southeast off the coast by Sunday night into early
Monday, leading to a light offshore flow Monday and Monday night.
A light easterly flow will return by Tuesday. Scattered to
locally numerous showers and thunderstorms, producing locally
higher winds and seas, will be possible over the marine area until
the front moves east of the area Sunday night. 12/DS

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 AM CDT this morning for ALZ265-
     266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10 AM CDT this morning for FLZ202-
     204-206.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ631-632-
     650-670.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 9:39 AM CDT, 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
939 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-111445-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
939 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

Scattered to occasionally numerous showers and thunderstorms will
redevelop across the region by this afternoon and continue into the
evening hours. Best chances for rainfall will be across southeast
Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama. Locally heavy rainfall
will be the main concern, but a few strong to briefly severe storms
could be possible.

A moderate risk of rip currents is expected on Saturday and Sunday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-111445-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland-
939 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered to occasionally numerous showers and thunderstorms will
redevelop across the region by this afternoon and continue into the
evening hours. Best chances for rainfall will be across southeast
Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama. Locally heavy rainfall
will be the main concern, but a few strong to briefly severe storms
could be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111445-
Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
939 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Scattered to occasionally numerous showers and thunderstorms will
redevelop across the region by this afternoon and continue into the
evening hours. Best chances for rainfall will be across southeast
Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama. Locally heavy rainfall
will be the main concern, but a few strong to briefly severe storms
could be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-111445-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL
out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
939 AM CDT Fri May 10 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Winds and seas will decrease this afternoon, but will continue to be
locally higher near scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue
Saturday through Sunday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms
will be possible each day. Gusty straight line winds, frequent
lightning and heavy rain will be the main impacts from the
stronger storms, creating localized hazardous conditions for small
craft.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 7:46 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB89 min
May 9, 9:11 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMOB94 min
May 9, 10:13 PM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMOB6 hr
May 10, 5:15 AM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMOB4 hr
May 10, 5:22 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchMOBBaldwin, Mobile53 hr
May 10, 10:34 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.