Rip Current Statement 25, NWS Mobile, AL

413 
WHUS44 KMOB 181444
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
944 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-182245-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.190619T1100Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
944 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

480 
WHUS44 KMOB 182302
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
602 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-190900-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.190619T1100Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
602 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected.
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

378 
WHUS44 KMOB 190912
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
412 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-191700-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.190619T1100Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
412 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

305 
WHUS44 KMOB 191604 AAA
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1104 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-200300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
1104 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

006 
WHUS44 KMOB 200503
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1203 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-201300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
1203 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

424 
WHUS44 KMOB 201205
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
705 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-202000-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
705 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

511 
WHUS44 KMOB 202102
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
402 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-211300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
402 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

087 
WHUS44 KMOB 210930 AAA
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
430 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-211730-
/O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T1300Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
430 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

950 
WHUS44 KMOB 211720
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1220 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-220130-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T1300Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
1220 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

391 
WHUS44 KMOB 220129
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
829 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-221300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190622T1300Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
829 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT
SATURDAY...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

149 
WHUS44 KMOB 220943 AAA
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
443 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-221745-
/O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190623T1200Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
443 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

443 
WHUS44 KMOB 221917
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
217 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-230300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190623T1200Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
217 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

735 
WHUS44 KMOB 230042
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
742 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-231200-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190623T1200Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
742 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

823 
WHUS44 KMOB 230936
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
436 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-231800-
/O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
436 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

831 
WHUS44 KMOB 231600
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1100 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

ALZ265-266-231700-
/O.CAN.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
1100 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has cancelled the High Rip
Current Risk for the coastal portions of Mobile and Baldwin 
Counties in Alabama. A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents remains in
effect for this area through Monday night.


$$

FLZ202-204-206-240300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
1100 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

505 
WHUS44 KMOB 240245
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
945 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

FLZ202-204-206-241200-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
945 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life- 
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard. If
caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. 
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, 
face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired, float or tread
water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

337 
WHUS44 KMOB 240937
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
437 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

ALZ265-266-241800-
/O.EXB.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
437 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a High Rip
Current Risk, which is in effect through this evening. 

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape,
face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired, float or
tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

FLZ202-204-206-241800-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
437 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape,
face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired, float or
tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

861 
WHUS44 KMOB 241852
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
152 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

FLZ202-204-206-250000-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
152 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape,
face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired, float or
tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

ALZ265-266-250000-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
152 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape,
face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired, float or
tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

694 
WHUS44 KMOB 242337
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
637 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

ALZ265-266-250045-
/O.EXP.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
637 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile will expire the High Rip 
Current Risk for the coastal portions of Mobile and Baldwin 
Counties in Alabama. A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents remains in 
effect for this area through Tuesday night.

$$

FLZ202-204-206-251200-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0025.000000T0000Z-190625T1200Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
637 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf. Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape,
face the shore and call or wave for help. If tired, float or
tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1157 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z issuance...A line of showers and thunderstorms have organized
off the Louisiana coast and will move northeast across the area
overnight. Conditions are expected to remain at MVFR or higher
levels, though locally gusty winds near the thunderstorms are
possible. Outside of the line, local fog development is possible,
with VISBYs remaining at or above low end MVFR levels. A light
southerly wind is expected through the night outside of the rain
areas.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to again develop Tuesday.
Drops to MVFR levels along with locally strong and variable winds
are possible with the stronger storms. Operations may be impacted
at times during the afternoon. A southerly wind around 10 knots is
expected during the day, a bit strong closer to the coast and
large near-coastal bays as a seabreeze develops.
/16

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1005 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019/

DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.

UPDATE...Convection over interior portions of the forecast area
has diminished in coverage and intensity over the past couple of
hours, though radar still indicates some isolated showers
developing around the CWA. A shortwave trough will continue to
track eastward from the Lower Mississippi Valley region and across
MS/western AL late tonight into Tuesday morning. Deep layer
moisture will continue to increase across our western zones
overnight ahead of this approaching feature, with precipitable
water values forecast to increase to around or just above 2"
roughly along and west of I-65 by early Tuesday morning. Ascent
ahead of the approaching shortwave trough (and remnant
MCV/convective outflow over southern LA and the adjacent northern
Gulf) may interact with the available moisture and some remnant
instability to aid in the development of additional scattered
showers and thunderstorms overnight into early Tuesday morning. We
have increased POPs a bit from the previous forecast to 40-50%
across portions of southeast MS and adjacent southwest AL, while
keeping 20-30% coverage in place over much of south central AL and
the western FL panhandle. Other than some slight adjustments to
hourly temperatures/dewpoints, all other forecast elements
generally look to be on track. /21

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 634 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019/

DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
00Z issuance...General upper end MVFR to VFR conditions were
noted across the area at the beginning of the forecast. Isolated
TSRA were bringing local drops to low end MVFR levels over areas
along and north of Highway 84 this evening before moving north of
the area. Overnight, general VFR conditions are expected, with
local drops in VISBYs to low end MVFR levels due to fog
development. Southerly winds around 10 knots will become light by
midnight.

Tuesday will see MVFR level CU forming as the boundary layer
begins to mix the accumulated moisture, but VFR CIGs are expected
by 18z. A few light showers will be possible, but are not
expected to impact operations. Afternoon, stronger convection is
expected to form as a seabreeze moves inland from the Gulf and
larger coastal bays. Location and coverage may impact operations
at times, with low end MVFR CIGs and VISBYs possible in very heavy
rains, mainly mid to late afternoon. A light southerly flow will
increase to a general 10 knots by noontime, a bit strong along the
coast and large coastal bays.
/16

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 347 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/...Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue over the local area through this
evening before tapering off after sunset as instability wanes. A
more widespread coverage in thunderstorms is currently ongoing
just to our west, driven by a series of weak disturbances embedded
within an unsettled upper-level southwesterly flow pattern over
the lower Mississippi River Valley. This upper pattern spreads
east across the Deep South and southeastern states tonight into
Tuesday, bringing with it better large-scale ascent and increasing
rain chances.

Thunderstorms likely push through the area in waves on Tuesday, the
first of which will be focused along a remnant outflow boundary or
decaying squall line/MCS over our southeast Mississippi and
southwest Alabama counties Tuesday morning. This first complex
pushes east into the Florida panhandle and south-central Alabama
counties during late morning and early afternoon hours, with some re-
intensification possible as daytime heating results in better
instability out ahead of it. Redevelopment will be possible across
the area in the wake of this first wave late Tuesday afternoon and
evening, aided by another passing disturbance in the upper-level
southwesterly flow. Intensity and coverage of this second wave will
depend heavily on how much instability can redevelop in the wake of
the first wave of storms, but at least a scattered coverage is
expected primarily over inland areas.

Lows tonight range from low 70s inland to mid 70s along the coast.
Temps on Tuesday will run a few degrees cooler than recent days due
to the greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms and broken to
overcast skies. Expect highs to reach the mid 80s for most areas,
except portions of south-central Alabama where breaks in the clouds
before the rain will allow some locations to climb into the upper
80s to around 90. /49

SHORT TERM /Tuesday night Through Thursday night/...A moist low-
level onshore flow continues as surface high pressure continues to
ridge in from the west.  Aloft the region will remain on the
northern periphery of the subtropical ridge with a persistent
southwest to westerly flow prevailing aloft.  Minor shortwave
troughs will move through the longwave trough lying over
northeastern and Canada and across the southwestward states. These
impulses will continue to enhance convection developing during the
late morning and afternoon hours as instability increases along
lingering outflow and seabreeze boundaries.  Current guidance
indicates that vertical shear increases over the area late Wednesday
afternoon into Thursday as a stronger shortwave trough approaches
and moves across the region.  0-6 KM Bulk Shear values of 20 to 30
knots are projected late Wednesday afternoon increasing to 25 to 35
knots on Thursday.  The increasing shear will help sustained
thunderstorm updrafts longer and lead to a greater risk of strong
and possibly severe thunderstorms late Wednesday afternoon and again
on Thursday. The shear is expected to remain unidirectional so the
biggest threat from the strongest storms will be damaging straight
line winds and in the most intense updrafts nickel to quarter size
hail. The storms on Thursday should be heavy rain producers with
deep warm layer moisture and layer precipitable water amounts of
around two inches available.  The potential will exist for localized
flooding along poor drainages and urban areas.

Daytime high temperatures trend near to warmer than normal on
Wednesday. Increased cloud and precipitation coverage Thursday is
expected to keep afternoon temperatures near normal. Overnight
lows should continue to trend well above normal through Thursday
night. /08

LONG TERM /Friday Through Monday/...Chances of afternoon convection
over the area is expected to trend lower Friday and into the weekend
as an upper level ridge builds over the north central Gulf region.
Mid to upper level subsidence will then help hinder the diurnally
driven convection.  Surface high pressure over the central Gulf will
keep an onshore low-level flow over the region keeping humidities
up and creating muggy conditions during the overnight and early
morning hours. Temperatures through the long term will trend
warmer than climatological norms. /08

MARINE...High pressure east of the area will maintain a generally
light onshore flow and little change in seas through Tuesday.
Moderate to strong southwest flow and building seas are expected mid
to late week, producing SCEC conditions over unprotected Gulf waters
beginning Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms are expected each day
through the end of the work week. /49

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mobile AL
523 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-181030-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
523 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop
today through early evening. Some storms will likely become
strong, capable of producing gusty winds up to 50 mph, frequent
lightning, and heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop each
day through Friday. Some storms will likely become strong, capable
of producing gusty winds up to 50 mph, frequent lightning, and
heavy downpours. A few storms Thursday could be severe with the
potential of producing damaging winds up to 60 mph, frequent
lightning and locally heavy downpours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Sunday.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-181030-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola
FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
523 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Mainly scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur Tuesday
through Thursday night. Some of the storms could be strong at
times with the potential of producing strong winds, frequent
lightning, locally higher waves and seas.