Rip Current Statement 24, NWS Mobile, AL

633 
WHUS44 KMOB 061759
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1259 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

ALZ265-266-070200-
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.190606T1759Z-190607T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.190607T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
1259 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Coastal Flood
Advisory, which is in effect until 9 PM CDT this evening. 

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* COASTAL FLOODING...Minor coastal flooding is expected along
  portions of the Mobile Bay area this afternoon and early evening
  in association with the high tide cycle. Minor flooding most
  likely along portions of the Causeway across northern Mobile Bay
  and other flood prone, low lying coastal areas around the bay.  
 
* TIMING...This afternoon and this evening for the coastal
  flooding and tonight through Sunday for the rip currents.  

* Impacts...Minor coastal flooding this afternoon and this
  evening, and tonight through Sunday for the rip currents.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-070200-
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.190606T1759Z-190607T0200Z/
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-
1259 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Coastal Flood
Advisory, which is in effect until 9 PM CDT this evening. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...Minor coastal flooding is expected along
  portions of the Mobile Bay area this afternoon and early evening
  in association with the high tide cycle. Minor flooding most
  likely along portions of the Causeway across northern Mobile Bay
  and other flood prone, low lying coastal areas around the bay.

* TIMING...This afternoon and this evening for the coastal
  flooding. 

* IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding this afternoon and evening.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

FLZ202-204-206-070200-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.190607T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
1259 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

656 
WHUS44 KMOB 070140
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
840 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

ALZ265-266-070945-
/O.EXP.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190607T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
840 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard. 
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-070245-
/O.EXP.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-190607T0200Z/
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-
840 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...


$$

FLZ202-204-206-070945-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
840 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

698 
WHUS44 KMOB 071031
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
531 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

ALZ265-266-071900-
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.190607T1600Z-190608T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
531 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Coastal Flood
Advisory, which is in effect from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT
this evening. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...Minor coastal flooding is expected along
  portions of the Mobile Bay area late this morning through early
  evening in association with the high tide cycle. Minor flooding
  is most likely along portions of the Causeway across northern 
  Mobile Bay and other flood prone, low lying coastal areas around
  the bay. 

* TIMING...The coastal flooding potential will primarily be late
  this morning through early this evening. A High risk of rip
  currents will continue today through Sunday evening. 

* IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding may result in localized
  inundation of roadways and low lying locations along the coast. 
  Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. The surf is 
  dangerous for all levels of swimmers.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-071900-
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.190607T1600Z-190608T0200Z/
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-
531 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Coastal Flood
Advisory, which is in effect from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT
this evening. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...Minor coastal flooding is expected along
  portions of the Mobile Bay area late this morning through early
  evening in association with the high tide cycle. Minor flooding
  is most likely along portions of the Causeway across northern 
  Mobile Bay and other flood prone, low lying coastal areas around
  the bay. 

* TIMING...The coastal flooding potential will primarily be late
  this morning through early this evening.

* IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding may result in localized
  inundation of roadways and low lying locations along the coast. 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

FLZ202-204-206-071900-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
531 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

220 
WHUS44 KMOB 071857
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
157 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

ALZ265-266-080300-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190608T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
157 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...Minor coastal flooding is expected along
  portions of the Mobile Bay area through early this evening in
  association with high tide cycles and moderate to occasionally 
  strong onshore flow. Minor flooding is most likely along 
  portions of the Causeway across northern Mobile Bay and other 
  flood prone, low lying coastal areas around the bay. 

* TIMING...Through early this evening. A High risk of rip 
  currents will continue today through Sunday evening.
 
* IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding may result in localized 
  inundation of roadways and low lying locations along the 
  coast. Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-080200-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190608T0200Z/
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-
157 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...Minor coastal flooding is expected along
  portions of the Mobile Bay area through early this evening in
  association with high tide cycles and moderate to occasionally 
  strong onshore flow. Minor flooding is most likely along 
  portions of the Causeway across northern Mobile Bay and other 
  flood prone, low lying coastal areas around the bay. 

* TIMING...Through early this evening. 

* IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding may result in localized 
  inundation of roadways and low lying locations along the 
  coast. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

FLZ202-204-206-080300-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
157 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

086 
WHUS44 KMOB 080146
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
846 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

ALZ265-266-081000-
/O.EXP.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190608T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
846 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard. 
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-080300-
/O.EXP.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-190608T0200Z/
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-
846 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

$$

FLZ202-204-206-081000-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0000Z/
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
846 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

996 
WHUS44 KMOB 080859
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
359 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-081700-
/O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
359 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

917 
WHUS44 KMOB 081716
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1216 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-090130-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
1216 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

092 
WHUS44 KMOB 090220
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
920 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-091000-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T0500Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
920 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

720 
WHUS44 KMOB 090815
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
315 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-091700-
/O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T1100Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
315 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

333 
WHUS44 KMOB 100155
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
855 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-101100-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T1100Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
855 PM CDT Sun Jun 9 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT
MONDAY...

* WHERE...Gulf beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida.

* IMPACTS...Frequent life-threatening rip currents are expected. 
  The surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.  Rip currents are life-
threatening to anyone entering the surf.  Swim near a lifeguard.
If caught in a rip current remain calm.  Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline.  If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.  If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current.

&&

$$

749 
WHUS44 KMOB 100925 AAA
CFWMOB

Coastal Hazard Message...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
425 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-101030-
/O.CAN.KMOB.RP.S.0024.000000T0000Z-190610T1100Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
425 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has cancelled the High Rip
Current Risk. 

A moderate risk for rip currents will continue along the gulf 
beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida through tonight.


$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1211 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2019

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z issuance...VFR to MVFR visibility conditions will generally
prevail through 06.15z as mostly mid/high level clouds remain
over the area along with periods of light rain. Another round of
moderate rain and embedded showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms
to the west will gradually spread east across the area late
tonight through Thursday, with ceilings lowering to MVFR levels.
IFR to MVFR visibilities due to rain are also likely late tonight
through Thursday. Future forecast will be refined to better
account for the timing of this precipitation. Light and variable
to calm winds overnight will increase from the south to southeast
to near 15 knots on Thursday. /22

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 412 PM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday/...A pattern change will continue
over our forecast area through the near term period. The ridging
will continue to break down through tonight, with mid and upper
level flow gradually becoming more west-southwesterly over the area.
This will allow the deeper tropical moisture currently in place to
the west of our forecast area to stream toward and across our region
through Thursday, with associated precipitable water values that
have already increased to 2.00 to 2.10 inches across much of the
area forecast to continue to moisten upwards to near 2.30 inches by
late Thursday. Synoptic scale lift associated with increased
shortwave activity in the mid/upper flow over our area will result
in a greater coverage of rain and embedded heavier showers and even
a few thunderstorms tonight and Thursday. By later tonight and
Thursday, some locally heavy rainfall will be possible, and a heavy
rainfall threat will then continue into the weekend.

So far this afternoon rainfall has been generally light across the
area, with a few localized heavier showers producing just a little
over 1 inch. Expect that the potential for more widespread heavier
rainfall will ramp up later tonight and into Thursday, with 2-3
inches of rainfall possible across some areas, mainly the coastal
sections of AL and the extreme western FL panhandle by the end of
the day Thursday. Given how dry the past couple of weeks have been,
we should be looking at the potential for only isolated flash
flooding on Thursday. We have coordinated with WPC regarding the Day
2 (Thursday) Excessive Rainfall outlook and because of the more
isolated flash flood potential, will keep a SLGT Risk over our
area for now. The threat for heavy rainfall will continue and even
increase somewhat during the short term period however, and a
Flash Flood Watch will likely be required by Friday as the
Thursday rainfall sufficiently saturates the ground.

Cooler temps are expected due to the increased rain and cloud cover,
with lows ranging from the lower 70s inland to the mid/upper 70s at
the coast. Highs on Thursday ranging from the lower 80s over
all interior areas and the mid 80s right along the coast. 12/DS

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/...An upper
system that has moved over the Plains meanders slowly east to over
the Lower Mississippi River Valley and stalls, into a building upper
ridge over the eastern Conus. Ahead of this system, deep moisture
from the northwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to stream west-
northwest over the area through Saturday. Periods of rain with
embedded thunderstorms are expected into Saturday, with an eastward
shift late Saturday night into Sunday as this system's associated
surface low meanders southeast to over the forecast area. Models
soundings show sufficient elevated instability for thunderstorms to
mix in with the rain, that when combined with weaker steering winds
(generally less than 20kts), and a very moist airmass (Precip H2O
around 2" or above), higher rain accumulations are likely. After
crunching the numbers, best accumulations into Sunday are expected
to be over the southern third of the forecast area. Even with this
area currently seeing abnormally dry conditions according the last
Drought Monitor statement, by Saturday, the accumulated rain should
be sufficient for flooding issues closer to the coast. For
Thursday night through Sunday, the forecast calls for rainfall
amounts totaling 5.5"-6" along the coast to 3"-3.5" north of
Highway 84

The abundant rain and increased cloud cover will help to temper
temperatures from previous days, with daytime highs around to a bit
below seasonal norms (low to mid 80s expected), with overnight  lows
remaining at or above seasonal (upper 60s to low 70s inland, mid 70s
along the coast).
/16

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/...The upper low begins to move
slowly off to the east, shifting the rain eastward and bringing
drier northerly flow to the forecast area by Wednesday as the
surface low moves east of the area. Highs remain around seasonal
into Wednesday, with cloud cover from the upper system limiting
incoming heating. Lows creep downward through the Long Term as drier
and cooler air filters south over the forecast area. Lows around 70
expected Sunday night, low 60s north of highway 84 to upper 60s
close to the coast.
/16

MARINE...Southerly winds will increase slightly, along with building
seas through the remainder of the week in response to an approaching
low pressure system. Rain chances will also continue to increase
tonight through the weekend as deeper moisture spreads across the
region. A few storms could produce heavy rainfall, frequent
lightning and gusty winds at times over the next few days. Hazardous
conditions for small craft will be possible beginning late Thursday
and continuing through much of the weekend as winds approach
Exercise Caution levels (15 to 20 knots), especially over the Gulf
waters. 12/DS

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mobile AL
628 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-061130-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
628 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and storms will increase in coverage across the area today
and tonight. A few storms could produce locally heavy rainfall,
frequent lightning, and brief strong and gusty winds.

A MODERATE risk of rip currents returns along the beaches of
Alabama and the northwest Florida panhandle starting tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A MODERATE risk of rip currents on Thursday increases to a HIGH
risk Friday through Saturday night for the coastal Alabama and
northwest Florida beaches. The HIGH risk could be extended into
the weekend.

Showers and storms will become numerous to widespread in coverage
Thursday through the weekend. Several rounds of heavy rainfall
will be possible Thursday through Sunday, and storm total
rainfall amounts of 6 to 8 inches with locally higher totals will
bring an elevated threat of flooding across portions of southeast
Mississippi, far southwest Alabama and parts of the western
Florida panhandle through the weekend. There will be a more
limited threat of flooding through the weekend further inland
across the rest of the area where rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches are currently forecast. A few of the stronger storms will
also be capable of producing brief strong wind gusts and frequent
lightning strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is currently
not expected.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-061130-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola
FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
628 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop over the
marine area today and tonight. A few of the stronger storms will
be capable of producing brief strong wind gusts, frequent
lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Persistent moderate to strong onshore flow develops Thursday
night, potentially creating periods of hazardous boating
conditions for small craft through Saturday.

Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected
Thursday through Sunday. A few storms may become strong, capable
of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall.