Gale Watch 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
850 AM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Update to remove mention of patchy morning fog over the Treasure
Coast/Lake-O region. Minor adjustments to sky cover as well as mid
lvl AC has thinned a little faster than expected. No other changes
necessary.

Prev Disc:
Surface high over north FL will produce a light NW flow this
morning, turning onshore (NE to E) along the coast this afternoon
behind a sea breeze. Light and variable winds will occur over the
interior. Mid level (altocumulus) clouds around 10k ft across the
north will decrease later this morning so expect mostly sunny skies
areawide by afternoon. There will be thin cirrus streaming overhead
from time to time. Patchy dense fog across Okeechobee to the
Treasure coast will disappear shortly after sunrise. Overall a
pleasant day in store with max temps reaching the mid 70s, except
lower 70s along the Volusia coast. This is just a few degrees above
average for mid January.

&&

.AVIATION...Thru 19/12Z.
Sfc Winds: Thru 18/17Z...coastal sites W/NW 3-6KTS bcmg E/NE 6-
9KTS...interior sites vrbl 3-5KTS. Btwn 18/17Z-18/20Z...interior
sites bcmg S/SE 3-5KTS. Btwn 18/21Z-18/24Z...bcmg E/SE 3-6KTS. Btwn
19/00Z-19/03Z bcmg S/SE AOB 3KTS.

Vsbys/WX/Cigs: VFR all sites...lcl cigs btwn FL040-060.

&&

.MARINE...
Sfc hi pres centered over the FL peninsula will drift offshore thru
the day. A light to gentle NW breeze will prevail thru midday...bcmg
NE near the coast...lgt/vrbl offshore...as the center pushes acrs
the lcl Atlc waters. Very favorable boating conditions with seas
running 2-3FT areawide due to a 12sec NErly swell.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

Bragaw/Sedlock

Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1002 AM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-182300-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
1002 AM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A dampening long period swell will still be sufficient to produce
a moderate risk of rip currents at area beaches. This is
especially true during the time of outgoing tide this morning.
Always swim within sight of a lifeguard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A strong cold front is forecast to bring a good chance for some
rain and possibly a few thunderstorms Saturday night. Rainfall
amounts should be less than a half inch north of Orlando and less
than a quarter inch south of Orlando.

Boating conditions will deteriorate ahead of the front Saturday
night as southwest winds increase. Then strong west to northwest
winds will develop behind the front Sunday into Monday and bring
hazardous winds and seas over the local Atlantic waters.  Much
colder air will overspread the area Sunday night with temperatures
dipping to the mid and upper 30s many areas Monday morning, along
with wind chills dipping into the lower 30s in exposed locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

Kelly/Sedlock