Alert archive / Wisconsin / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 8, NWS Milwaukee, WI

November 26, 201920 counties in Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this wind advisory at Nov 26, 2019, 3:55 AM CST for 20 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Nov 27, 2019, 8:00 AM CST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 26, 2019, 3:55 AM CST (09:55 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 27, 2019, 8:00 AM CST
Expired
Nov 27, 2019, 6:00 PM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI

Counties Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2019-11-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2019-11-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1125 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
83 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

404 
WWUS73 KMKX 260955
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
355 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...VERY WINDY ON WEDNESDAY...

WIZ051-052-057>060-062>072-261800-
/O.NEW.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Columbia-Dodge-Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-
Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-
Kenosha-
Including the cities of Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, Sheboygan Falls, 
Howards Grove, Oostburg, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, Lodi,
Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, Hartford, 
Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, Barneveld,
Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, Waukesha, 
Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, Milwaukee, 
Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, Blanchardville, 
Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater, Delavan, 
Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
355 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Wind Advisory...which is in effect from 8 AM to 6 PM CST
Wednesday. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise on Wednesday and lasting
  through the day. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph. 

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight
  objects will be blown around.  



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are 
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially
for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use extra 
caution.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
126 
WWUS73 KMKX 261505
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
905 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...VERY WINDY ON WEDNESDAY...

WIZ056-262315-
/O.EXA.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Sauk-
Including the cities of Baraboo, Reedsburg, Prairie Du Sac, 
and Sauk City
905 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Wind Advisory...which is in effect from 8 AM to 6 PM CST
Wednesday. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise on Wednesday and lasting 
  through the day. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

WIZ051-052-057>060-062>072-262315-
/O.CON.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Columbia-Dodge-Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-
Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-
Kenosha-
Including the cities of Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, Sheboygan Falls, 
Howards Grove, Oostburg, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, Lodi,
Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, Hartford, 
Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, Barneveld,
Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, Waukesha, 
Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, Milwaukee, 
Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, Blanchardville, 
Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater, Delavan, 
Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
905 AM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

a Wind Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM to 6 PM CST
Wednesday. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise on Wednesday and lasting 
  through the day. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
700 
WWUS73 KMKX 261923
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
123 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...VERY WINDY ON WEDNESDAY...

WIZ046-047-270330-
/O.EXA.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Marquette-Green Lake-
Including the cities of Montello, Westfield, Oxford, Neshkoro, 
Endeavor, Berlin, Princeton, and Markesan
123 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Wind Advisory...which is in effect from 8 AM to 6 PM CST
Wednesday. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise on Wednesday and lasting 
  through the day. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

WIZ051-052-056>060-062>072-270330-
/O.CON.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-
Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-
Racine-Kenosha-
Including the cities of Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, Sheboygan Falls, 
Howards Grove, Oostburg, Baraboo, Reedsburg, Prairie Du Sac, 
Sauk City, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, Lodi, Beaver Dam, 
Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, Hartford, Mequon, 
Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, Barneveld, 
Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, Waukesha, 
Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, Milwaukee, 
Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, Blanchardville, 
Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater, Delavan, 
Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
123 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

a Wind Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM to 6 PM CST
Wednesday. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise on Wednesday and lasting 
  through the day. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
186 
WWUS73 KMKX 270227
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
827 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...VERY WINDY ON WEDNESDAY...

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-271300-
/O.CON.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
Including the cities of Montello, Westfield, Oxford, Neshkoro, 
Endeavor, Berlin, Princeton, Markesan, Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, 
Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Oostburg, Baraboo, Reedsburg, 
Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, 
Lodi, Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, 
Hartford, Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, 
Barneveld, Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, 
Waukesha, Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, 
Milwaukee, Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, 
Blanchardville, Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater,
Delavan, Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
827 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

a Wind Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM to 6 PM CST
Wednesday. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise on Wednesday and lasting 
  through the day. 

* WINDS...West 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
679 
WWUS73 KMKX 270916
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
316 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...VERY WINDY TODAY...

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-271730-
/O.CON.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.191127T1400Z-191128T0000Z/
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
Including the cities of Montello, Westfield, Oxford, Neshkoro, 
Endeavor, Berlin, Princeton, Markesan, Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, 
Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Oostburg, Baraboo, Reedsburg, 
Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, 
Lodi, Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, 
Hartford, Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, 
Barneveld, Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, 
Waukesha, Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, 
Milwaukee, Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, 
Blanchardville, Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater,
Delavan, Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
316 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

a Wind Advisory remains in effect from 8 AM this morning to 6 PM
CST this evening. 

* TIMING...Beginning after sunrise and lasting through the day.
  

* WINDS...West to northwest 25 to 35 mph with wind gusts of 45 to
  55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
255 
WWUS73 KMKX 271508
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
908 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...VERY WINDY TODAY...

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-272315-
/O.CON.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-191128T0000Z/
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
Including the cities of Montello, Westfield, Oxford, Neshkoro, 
Endeavor, Berlin, Princeton, Markesan, Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, 
Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Oostburg, Baraboo, Reedsburg, 
Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, 
Lodi, Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, 
Hartford, Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, 
Barneveld, Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, 
Waukesha, Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, 
Milwaukee, Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, 
Blanchardville, Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater,
Delavan, Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
908 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

a Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 PM CST this evening. 

* TIMING...Through this afternoon. 

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 to 50 mph. Winds
  become west then northwest this afternoon.  

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
324 
WWUS73 KMKX 272053
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
253 PM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...WINDS DIMINISHING BY EARLY EVENING...

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-280000-
/O.CON.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-191128T0000Z/
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
Including the cities of Montello, Westfield, Oxford, Neshkoro, 
Endeavor, Berlin, Princeton, Markesan, Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, 
Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Oostburg, Baraboo, Reedsburg, 
Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, 
Lodi, Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, 
Hartford, Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, 
Barneveld, Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, 
Waukesha, Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, 
Milwaukee, Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, 
Blanchardville, Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater,
Delavan, Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
253 PM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

a Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 PM CST this evening. 

* TIMING...Through 6 pm.

* WINDS...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45
  mph...diminishing rapidly by early early evening. 

* IMPACTS...Driving difficulties especially on north to south 
  roads. Scattered tree limbs may come down. Loose, light weight 
  objects will be blown around. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 45 mph or greater are
expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...
especially for high profile vehicles on north to south roads. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
333 
WWUS73 KMKX 272348
NPWMKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
548 PM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-280100-
/O.EXP.KMKX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-191128T0000Z/
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
Including the cities of Montello, Westfield, Oxford, Neshkoro, 
Endeavor, Berlin, Princeton, Markesan, Fond Du Lac, Plymouth, 
Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Oostburg, Baraboo, Reedsburg, 
Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City, Portage, Columbus, Lake Wisconsin, 
Lodi, Beaver Dam, Waupun, Mayville, West Bend, Germantown, 
Hartford, Mequon, Cedarburg, Grafton, Dodgeville, Mineral Point, 
Barneveld, Madison, Watertown, Fort Atkinson, Jefferson, 
Waukesha, Brookfield, New Berlin, Menomonee Falls, Muskego, 
Milwaukee, Darlington, Shullsburg, Benton, Belmont, Argyle, 
Blanchardville, Monroe, Brodhead, Janesville, Beloit, Whitewater,
Delavan, Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, East Troy, Racine, and Kenosha
548 PM CST Wed Nov 27 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The Wind Advisory will expire at 6 PM CST this evening. Winds
gusts across southern Wisconsin have been gradually falling this
afternoon and will continue to do so into this evening. A brief
gust or two above criteria is possible through 7 to 8pm but these
will be isolated. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 25, 11:18 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 25, 11:18 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1118 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019

.UPDATE...

Satellite imagery continues to show the clouds lingering over
the NW portions of the area. Made additional adjustments to sky
grids to handle these and some high level clouds that work in
overnight. The current forecast is on track with overnight lows
for much of the area around freezing.

&&

.AVIATION(06Z TAFS)...

VFR conditions are forecast through 20-00z Tuesday. A few SCT
clouds at 3,500ft could work into MSN/UES tonight but believe that
the these should remain just north of the terminals. A strong low
pressure system will approach the region on Tuesday with rain
moving in the afternoon. Expect cigs to drop to towards low end
MVFR through the evening and then down to IFR by the overnight
hours Tuesday into Wednesday. Any heavier showers could drop vsbys
to LIFR at times.

Winds shift to the east in the morning, south through the
afternoon, and then switch quickly to the west overnight. Strong
winds aloft on the backside of the low will result in a period of
Wind Shear for locations near the WI/IL border.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 907 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019)

UPDATE...

GOES Nighttime Microphysics continues to suggest more southerly
movement with the low/mid level clouds than originally
forecasted. Adjustments have been made to bring a bit more cloud
cover into the area tonight. This increase in clouds and slight
breezes through the night should keep temps a few degrees warmer
than forecast. Will adjust lows where clouds end up being more
persistent tonight. The rest of the forecast is on track.

MARINE...

Winds gradually become more westerly through the night as high
pressure pushes in from the west. Expect winds to shift to the
east late Tuesday morning ahead of an incoming system. No changes
are needed to the current forecast.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 519 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019)

UPDATE...

Clouds have been steadily clearing this afternoon. However, the
system to our north has been pushing a mid-level deck of clouds
southward this afternoon. Some of these clouds could push into the
northern portions of the area but with this upper level system
forecast to shift E/NE away from the area overnight, think clouds
will push back northward late tonight. So at this time the current
forecast is on track and no changes are needed.

AVIATION(00Z TAFS)...

VFR conditions are forecast through Tuesday morning. It's possible
that a few 3,500ft clouds clip the MSN airport late this evening
as a system passes to the north. Otherwise, we will start to see
clouds increase during the day Tuesday as a strong system moves
towards the region. A warm front will lift north across southern
WI Tuesday afternoon bringing ceilings down to around 1,000ft at
time. Moderate showers Tuesday afternoon could drop cigs and vis
down to IFR conditions at times. Winds ramp up during the
afternoon hours out of the south and it's possible for some wind
shear to develop just beyond the current TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 316 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019)

DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT through TUESDAY...Forecast Confidence is High...

The 500mb shortwave, that has been responsible for today's high
clouds and a few light showers, will continue to push across Lake
Superior region this evening. Drier air is beginning to move in and
scattering out the high clouds late this afternoon. Skies will
continue to clear as the shortwave pushes eastward away from the
area this evening. Overnight will be dry and cool with lows in low
to mid 30s.

However, as our next weather maker develops along the Colorado front
range overnight and progresses across the Central Plains Tuesday
morning, high and mid level clouds will return to our region with
the 850mb WAA moving into the region in association with a warm
front Tuesday late morning/afternoon. With the mostly cloudy
skies developing for Tuesday, high temperatures are expected to be
a few degrees cooler than today, but still are expected to range
from the low to mid 40s.

As the upper-level trough continues to dig eastward across the
Northern Plains as the surface low will deepens, the upper-level
diffluent region of the 250mb jet is expected to reach the upper
Midwest Tuesday afternoon. The combination of low-level WAA and the
upper-level diffluence beginning to come together over the area
should provide enough synoptic support for isolated to scattered
rain chances Tuesday afternoon. Better rain chances are expected
for the start of the extended period.

Tuesday night - Confidence...Medium
A potent mid level wave with a negative tilt will be approaching
the area with decent DCVA arriving. In the lower levels there will
be warm/moist advection. Some models show sfc dews getting to
near 50. Mid level instability will be on the increase as well.
Expecting non-diurnal temp curve as readings rise from early evening
values. Will retain the mention of thunder with the strong shortwave
and left front quad of h2-h3 jet max. SPC SWODY2 General Thunder
expansion into srn WI looks good. Surface low proggd to move
through south central WI after midnight.

Wednesday - Confidence...Medium
Primary 500 millibar wave will shift northeast along with the
surface low. Lingering cyclonic flow and influence of def zone
precip will prevail for a time. As the surface low shifts northeast
the cold advection will start to wrap in on increasing wnw winds
so we could be seeing falling afternoon temps. The winds may reach
advisory levels with surface/850 pressure gradient tightening up
on southern periphery of departing low. Seeing 40-45 knots at 925
millibar with GFS/NAM Bufkit soundings showing appreciable mixing
to pull down some higher winds likely leading to wind advisory
conditions from mid morning into the early evening hours.

Wednesday night through Thursday night - Confidence...Medium
Overall this is shaping up to be a quiet period. The 25.00z Euro
is an outlier on bringing in a waa wing of precip on Thursday
night. The other models keep the influence of the ridge firm with
holding precip off to our west.

Friday through Sunday - Confidence...Low to Medium
Another low will be plod through the area from the central or
northern Plains. A period of mixed precipitation may occur at the
outset but for the most part lots of details to work out yet with
regards to precip type and eventual snow amounts based on track.
The 25.12z Euro suggests a little more snow creeping into our
area, which the GEM has been suggesting as well. The GFS has been
showing the warmest solution with the better snow potential in
nrn WI. Lots of time yet to sort this one out.

Monday - Confidence...Medium
High pressure is proggd to start nudging towards the area with
lingering cold air advection in the wake of the departed weekend
system.

AVIATION(21Z TAFS)...The high clouds that have persisted through
most of the day have begun to scatter out a bit and are expected
to clear out through the evening. VFR conditions will prevail overnight
with increasing high and mid-level clouds Tuesday morning with PoPs
increasing and ceilings lowering by Tuesday evening.

MARINE...Surface low pressure continues to push eastward across Lake
Superior late this afternoon. As a weaker pressure gradient sets
in as a weak high pressure builds into the region overnight, and
the southwesterly flow will be become lighter into Tuesday.

A strong low pressure will push across the western Great Lakes
Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will result in several periods
of strong, gusty winds and high waves over the nearshore and open
waters of Lake Michigan.

Widespread winds of 35 to 45 knots are expected from late Tuesday
through Wednesday night. Frequent 50 knot gusts are expected
across the northern half of the lake late Tuesday night into
Wednesday, while 50 knot gusts are expected to develop across the
southern half during the day Wednesday into Wednesday evening. All
mariners should be prepared to alter your plans if planning to
travel on Lake Michigan during this period.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Storm Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday evening
     for LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-
     779-868-870-872-874-876-878.

     Gale Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday evening for
     LMZ643>646.

&&

Update...Stumpf
Tonight/Tuesday and Aviation/Marine...Wagner
Tuesday Night through Monday...Collar
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 25, 9:07 PM CST, 6 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
907 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-270315-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
907 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

A few thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night as low pressure
moves across the region.

As the low pressure exits the area on Wednesday, strong winds
are expected in its wake. West wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph are
possible which may require a Wind Advisory to be posted.

A period of strong on-shore winds and high waves will increase the
risk of lakeshore flooding and erosion Tuesday night into early
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

LMZ643>646-270315-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
907 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

Passing low pressure will bring a period of gusty winds and high
waves to the near shore waters Tuesday night and Wednesday. A Gale
Watch has been posted from later Tuesday night into Wednesday
night for gusts up to 40 knots.

Gusty winds will return at times Friday night through Sunday as
another low pressure system approaches the upper Midwest.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-270315-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
907 PM CST Mon Nov 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

A deepening low pressure system expected to move through the
western Great Lakes will bring a period of strong winds and high
waves to the Open Waters of Lake Michigan Tuesday night into
Wednesday night. Widespread gale force winds are expected from
late Tuesday through Wednesday night. Frequent storm force gusts
are expected across the northern half of the lake late Tuesday
night into Wednesday, while storm force gusts are expected to
develop across the southern half during the day Wednesday into
Wednesday evening. Thus, a Storm Watch is in effect for all open
waters of Lake Michigan beginning Tuesday night into Wednesday
evening.

www.weather.gov/mkx

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 26, 3:15 AM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMKX29 hr
Nov 26, 3:15 AM CSTStorm WarningMKX39 hr
Nov 26, 1:26 PM CSTGale WarningMKX41 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Wisconsin, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.