Alert archive / Wisconsin / Gale Warnings in 2019
Gale Warning 8, NWS Milwaukee, WI
NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this gale warning at Jan 24, 2019, 12:26 PM CST. It took effect at Jan 24, 2019, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 24, 2019, 12:26 PM CST (18:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 24, 2019, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2019, 3:00 AM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Milwaukee, WI
The text
As transmitted.
108 WHUS73 KMKX 241826 AAA MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1226 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-250230- /O.NEW.KMKX.GL.W.0008.190125T0000Z-190125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.190125T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 1226 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM CST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST SATURDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Gale Warning...which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 3 AM CST Friday. * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected this evening through Friday night. * WINDS: West to northwest increasing to 35 knot gales this evening, lingering into the overnight hours. * WAVES: Building to 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 16 feet later tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-250230- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.190125T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 1226 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST SATURDAY... * WINDS: West to northwest at 15 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 knots. A few gusts could hit gale force tonight. * WAVES: Building to 2 to 4 feet today, then subsiding to 1 to 2 feet Friday morning. Highest waves toward the open waters. * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected this evening through Friday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Wood www.weather.gov/mkx
3 follow-up statements
234 WHUS73 KMKX 242101 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 301 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GUSTY WINDS INTO FRIDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-250515- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0008.190125T0000Z-190125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.190125T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 301 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM CST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST SATURDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected tonight through Friday night. * WINDS: West to northwest increasing to 35 knot gales this evening, lingering into the overnight hours. * WAVES: Building to 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 16 feet later tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-250515- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.190125T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 301 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST SATURDAY... * WINDS: West to northwest at 15 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 knots. A few gusts could hit gale force tonight. * WAVES: Building to 2 to 4 feet today, then subsiding to 1 to 2 feet Friday morning. Highest waves toward the open waters. * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected this evening through Friday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ Wood www.weather.gov/mkx
029 WHUS73 KMKX 250249 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 849 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GUSTY WINDS INTO FRIDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-251100- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 849 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected tonight through Friday night. * WINDS: West to northwest increasing to 35 knot gales this evening, lingering into the overnight hours. * WAVES: Building to 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 16 feet later tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-251100- /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190125T1800Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 849 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY... * WINDS: West to northwest at 15 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 knots. A few gusts could hit gale force tonight. * WAVES: Building to 2 to 4 feet today, then subsiding to 1 to 2 feet Friday morning. Highest waves toward the open waters. * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected this evening through Friday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
417 WHUS73 KMKX 250929 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 329 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...GUSTY WINDS INTO THIS MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT... LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-251730- /O.EXP.KMKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 329 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... The Gale Warning is no longer in effect. Widespread wind gusts have fallen below gale force, though a gust or two to gale force is not of the question early this morning. * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected through tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. && $$ LMZ643>646-251730- /O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190125T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190126T1200Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 329 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY... The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 9 AM CST this morning. * WINDS: West to northwest at 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots. * WAVES: 1 to 3 feet, the highest waves toward the open waters. * FREEZING SPRAY: Heavy freezing spray is expected through tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the waring area. A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ DDV www.weather.gov/mkx
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 24, 10:23 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 10:23 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1023 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019
.UPDATE...
Any light freezing drizzle over the northeast counties should be
ending, as enough ice gets into the air column. Expect on and off
light snow showers to occur today, as a 500 mb shortwave trough
and associated differential cyclonic vorticity advection moves
through. May see light snow accumulations under an inch,
especially in northern parts of the area. These light snow showers
should move out of the area by late afternoon or early evening.
Gusty west to northwest winds will develop this afternoon, after
the strong Arctic cold front moves through. This may lead to some
blowing snow across the area this afternoon into early evening.
Temperatures and wind chills will begin to plummet with the strong
cold air advection by middle to late afternoon. The Wind Chill
Advisory for tonight into Friday morning looks on track, with wind
chills of 20 below to 30 below zero expected.
&&
.MARINE...
Nearshore Waters...
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect from 18Z today through 18Z
Friday. Gusty west to northwest winds to 30 knots are expected
during this period, after a strong Arctic cold front moves through
the area. A few gusts near 35 knot gales are possible later this
afternoon into tonight, though not confident enough in frequent
gusts to gale force occurring to issue a Gale Warning. Any high
waves will be out over the open waters.
Winds may reach Small Craft Advisory levels again Saturday night
into Sunday, and for most of next week. Waves will build for
Monday into Monday night with onshore winds.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning remains in effect from 00Z Thursday
until 12Z Saturday. The very cold airmass moving into the region
during this time, combined with the gusty winds at times, will
bring heavy freezing spray to the nearshore waters. These
conditions may linger through the weekend and into next week, with
very cold temperatures and gusty winds at times remaining over the
region.
Open Waters...
Gusty west to northwest winds to 30 knots are expected this
afternoon into Friday morning, after a strong Arctic cold front
moves through the area. A few gusts near 35 knot gales are
possible later this afternoon into tonight, though not confident
enough in frequent gusts to gale force occurring to issue a Gale
Warning. Any high waves will be out over the eastern half of the
open waters during this time.
West to northwest winds to 25 knots are forecast for Saturday
night into Sunday. East to northeast winds to 30 knots are
possible Monday into Monday night, then become west to northwest
and remain gusty for most of the rest of next week. Waves will
build for Monday into Monday night and remain elevated into the
rest of next week.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning remains in effect from 00Z Thursday
until 12Z Saturday. The very cold airmass moving into the region
during this time, combined with the gusty winds at times, will
bring heavy freezing spray to the open waters. These conditions
may linger through the weekend and into most of next week, with
very cold temperatures and gusty winds at times remaining over the
region.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 527 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019)
UPDATE...
The forecast is on track for the morning hours. Might need to
boost precip chances up though mid-morning into this afternoon as
confidence increases in upstream snowfall bringing a dusting to
the forecast area.
AVIATION(12Z TAFS)...
Clouds continue to move into the area from the west in response
to an approaching shortwave. This wave will bring MVFR ceilings
through the day...possibly IFR at times. Also, light snow is
expected, especially northeast of Madison where there could be up
to a half an inch. Most places will see at least some flurries.
Skies will gradually clear out this evening into tonight behind
the wave.
Winds will become gusty today as the wave and associated potent
cold front move through.
PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 244 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019)
SHORT TERM...
Today through Friday...Forecast confidence is high:
A shortwave and potent cold front will move through the area
today. This will bring cloudy skies, gusty winds, and light snow
to southern Wisconsin. Increased precip chances and may need to
bump them up even more given upstream radar returns. Most places
will see at least flurries, with a dusting to half an inch
possible from Madison northeastward. The better chance for
steadier snow and the half an inch will be in the northeast
forecast area. Wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph this afternoon into the
evening will likely result in some blowing and drifting snow
given the fresh snowpack.
Temperatures will drop behind the front this afternoon,
particularly from Madison westward, with steadily falling
temperatures across the forecast area during the evening and
overnight. Temperatures of -5 to -15 are expected by daybreak,
mildest east and coldest in the west. Winds will ease overnight,
but there will be enough wind for bitterly cold wind chills of -20
to -30 this evening through Friday morning. Issued a Wind Chill
Advisory for this time period. Even though wind chills will rise
above advisory criteria Friday afternoon, they will likely only
top out in the -10 to -20 range with high temperatures struggling
up to around 0.
LONG TERM...
Friday night through Sunday...Forecast confidence high.
Temperatures Friday night will fall back into the teens below
zero. Winds will be lighter than Thursday night, which will help a
bit with wind chills, though even a light breeze will quickly
produce wind chills in the -20 to -25 degree range. Given that
potential, the Wind Chill Advisory may eventually need to be
extended through Saturday morning.
A few flurries or light snow showers will be possible Saturday,
especially over southwestern Wisconsin as another weak clipper
passes through the area. High Saturday will be in the mid single
digits above zero. The daytime hours on Sunday should be dry but
quite cold, with highs between 0 and 5 above.
Sunday Night through Tuesday...Forecast confidence low to medium.
A much stronger system is then expected to approach the area
starting Sunday night. All extended model guidance is in decent
agreement with the structure of this system, with a well-formed
mid level wave and fairly robust surface low. The biggest
uncertainty right now is with storm track, with some solutions
bringing the heaviest precipitation across far southern Wisconsin
into northern Illinois, while a few keep the heavier precip over
the central part of the state. Potentially significant snow
accumulations are possible with this system, but all will depend
on the eventual storm track. This will certainly be something to
keep a close eye on as we head into the weekend.
Tuesday Night through next Thursday...Forecast confidence high.
Behind this system, a very deep upper level low is expected to be
carved out over the Great Lakes. All signs point to another round
of impressively cold air coming into the area. 850 mb temps may
approach -40, corresponding to lows less than -20, and highs
likely remaining below zero (perhaps well below). It also looks to
remain fairly breezy during this stretch, which would likely
result in wind chill values of less than -30.
AVIATION(09Z TAFS)...
Clouds are beginning to move into the area from the west in
response to an approaching shortwave. This wave will bring MVFR
ceilings through the day...possibly IFR at times. Also, light
snow is expected, especially northeast of Madison where there
could be up to a half an inch. Most places will see at least some
flurries. Skies will gradually clear out this evening into tonight
behind the wave.
Winds will become gusty today as the wave and associated potent
cold front move through.
MARINE...
A potent cold front will move through today, bringing gusty west
to northwest winds to the area. Gusts to 30 knots are likely by
late afternoon across the south half of the lake, with gusts into
the low 30s across the lake during the evening and into the night.
A few gale force gusts will be possible, but it doesn't look like
widespread gales, so held off on a warning. Did keep the Small
Craft Advisory going across the nearshore waters for this
afternoon through Friday morning.
Heavy freezing spray is expected this evening through Friday
night, so upgraded the watch to a warning. More rounds of heavy
freezing spray will be possible over the weekend and into next
week as a very cold airmass remains over the region.
Easterly winds could approach gale force over the open waters
Monday as low pressure passes through the region. Small Craft
Advisory conditions look likely for the nearshore waters.
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Wind Chill Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Friday
for WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072.
LM...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
Saturday for LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-643>646-669-
671-673-675-777-779-868-870-872-874-876-878.
Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Friday for LMZ643>646.
&&
Update...Wood
Today/Tonight and Aviation/Marine...DDV
Friday THROUGH Wednesday...BoxellHazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 3:48 AM CST, 8 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 348 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-251000- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 348 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight The coldest air of the season will build into the area later today. Wind chills tonight will fall to around 30 degrees below zero. A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The Arctic airmass will remain across the area through much of the weekend. Wind chills during the day Friday will only improve to between 10 and 15 degrees below zero. Wind chills will then fall to between 20 and 25 degrees below zero by Saturday morning. Another winter storm may then affect the Upper Mississippi River Valley and western Great Lakes for late Sunday night through Monday night. Several inches of snow could occur along with brisk winds and blowing and drifting snow. Bitterly cold air and wind chills will follow this system. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LMZ643>646-251000- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 348 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A Small Craft Advisory is in effect starting this afternoon for for brisk west to northwest winds. A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning is in effect beginning tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday A Small Craft Advisory may once again be needed for Saturday night followed by a prolonged period of brisk winds and high waves for next week Heavy Freezing Spray will remain a concern at times through next week. LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-251000- Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 348 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Winds may briefly approach gale force this evening behind a passing cold front. The combination of gusty winds and very cold temperatures will result in a threat for heavy freezing spray. A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning is in effect starting this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Heavy Freezing Spray will remain a concern at times through the coming week as gusty winds and a very cold airmass remains in place across the region. www.weather.gov/mkx
The office that day
Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 1:43 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | MKX | Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green, Green Lake and 14 more | 34 hr |
| Jan 24, 1:58 AM CST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | MKX | 8 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.