Alert archive / Wisconsin / Gale Warnings in 2019

Gale Warning 43, NWS Milwaukee, WI

October 26, 2019

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this gale warning at Oct 26, 2019, 9:36 AM CDT. It took effect at Oct 26, 2019, 6:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 26, 2019, 9:36 AM CDT (14:36 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 26, 2019, 6:00 PM CDT
Expired
Oct 27, 2019, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI

The text

As transmitted.

670 
WHUS73 KMKX 261436
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
936 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON...

.Strong low pressure will clip far southeast Lake Michigan late 
this evening. A tightening pressure gradient associated with the 
low will result in gusty east to northeasterly winds developing 
this afternoon, eventually backing to the northwest late tonight 
and early Sunday. Gale force gusts are now expected over portions
of the southern Open Waters of Lake Michigan as well as the near
shore waters south of North Point Light. Wave heights will build
to 4 to 8 feet. The winds will back to the north and then
northwest later tonight as the low pressure moves across Lower
Michigan. 

LMZ645-646-262245-
/O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.191026T1800Z-191026T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.GL.W.0043.191026T2300Z-191027T1300Z/
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
936 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Gale Warning...which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 8 AM
CDT Sunday. The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect from 1 PM
this afternoon to 6 PM CDT this evening. 

* WINDS: East to Southeast 10 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots this afternoon and evening, 
  then becoming northeast this evening and northwest late tonight 
  into Sunday. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 8 feet by late evening, then subsiding
  to 2 to 4 feet on Sunday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-262245-
/O.NEW.KMKX.GL.W.0043.191026T2300Z-191027T1300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
936 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Gale Warning...which is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 8 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* WINDS: East to southeast winds increasing to 20 to 30 knots with
  occasional gales of 35 to 40 knots, turning to the north to
  northwest late tonight.

* WAVES: Building to 7 to 10 feet, occasionally to 13 feet. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ643-644-262245-
/O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.191026T2100Z-191027T1300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
936 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 AM CDT SUNDAY...

The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM this
afternoon to 8 AM CDT Sunday. 

* WINDS: Southeast 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots late
  this afternoon with a few gusts up to 30 knots. Winds becoming 
  northeast this evening, then northwest overnight. 

* WAVES: Building to 3 to 6 feet this evening, then subsiding to 
  2 to 4 feet early Sunday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
www.weather.gov/mkx

MBK
6 follow-up statements
976 
WHUS73 KMKX 262012
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
312 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

.Strong low pressure will track just southeast of Lake Michigan
tonight. A tight pressure gradient associated with the low will
result in strong, gusty winds across Lake Michigan tonight. Gale 
force gusts are expected over portions of the southern Open 
Waters of Lake Michigan as well as the near shore waters south of 
North Point Light. Wave heights will build to 4 to 8 feet. The 
winds will back to the north and then northwest later tonight as 
the low pressure moves across Lower Michigan.

LMZ645-646-270415-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-191026T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0043.191026T2300Z-191027T1300Z/
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
312 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: East to Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 
  to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots late this afternoon and 
  evening, then becoming northeast this evening and northwest late
  tonight into Sunday. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 8 feet by late evening, then subsiding 
  to 2 to 4 feet on Sunday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-270415-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0043.191026T2300Z-191027T1300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
312 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: East to southeast winds increasing to 20 to 30 knots with
  occasional gales of 35 to 40 knots late this afternoon and
  evening, turning to the north to northwest late tonight. 

* WAVES: Building to 7 to 10 feet, occasionally to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ643-644-270415-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.191026T2100Z-191027T1300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
312 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: Southeast 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots late
  this afternoon and evening with a few gusts up to 30 knots
  overnight. Winds becoming northeast this evening, then 
  northwest overnight.
 
* WAVES: Building to 4 to 8 feet this evening, then subsiding to 2
  to 4 feet Sunday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
www.weather.gov/mkx

Kavinsky
236 
WHUS73 KMKX 270216
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
916 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

.Strong low pressure will track just southeast of Lake Michigan
tonight. A tight pressure gradient associated with the low will
result in strong, gusty winds across Lake Michigan tonight. Gale
force gusts are expected over portions of the southern Open
Waters of Lake Michigan as well as the near shore waters south of
North Point Light. Wave heights will build to 4 to 8 feet. The
winds will back to the north and then northwest later tonight as
the low pressure moves across Lower Michigan.

LMZ080-645-646-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-271030-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
916 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: Northeast winds to 20 to 30 knots with occasional gales 
  of 35 to 40 knots this evening, turning to the north to 
  northwest later tonight. 

* WAVES: Building to 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ643-644-271030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
916 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: Northeast to 15 to 25 knots this evening with a few gusts
  up to 30 knots overnight. Winds becoming northwest overnight. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 8 feet this evening, then subsiding to 
  2 to 4 feet Sunday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$


www.weather.gov/mkx
955 
WHUS73 KMKX 270806
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
306 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GUSTY WINDS PERSISTING INTO MORNING HOURS...

LMZ080-645-646-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-271300-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
306 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WINDS: Northwest gales up to 35 knots becoming west to 30 kt
  late this morning, then diminishing to 10 to 20 kt early this
  afternoon. 

* WAVES: Waves 7 to 10 ft occasionally to 13 ft subsiding to 4 to
  6 ft occasionally to 8 ft this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ643-644-271300-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
306 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS: Northwest to 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 20 knots
  by mid morning. 

* WAVES: 6 to 8 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet by mid morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
MRC

www.weather.gov/mkx
562 
WHUS73 KMKX 271135
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
635 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GUSTY WINDS PERSISTING INTO MID MORNING...

LMZ080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-271500-
/O.EXT.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1500Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
635 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

The Gale Warning is now in effect until 10 AM CDT this morning. 

* WINDS: Northwest gales up to 35 knots becoming west to 30 kt 
  late this morning, then diminishing to 10 to 20 kt early this 
  afternoon. 

* WAVES: Waves 7 to 10 ft occasionally to 13 ft subsiding to 4 
  to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft this afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ645-646-271300-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
635 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WINDS: Northwest gales up to 35 knots becoming west to 30 kt
  late this morning, then diminishing to 10 to 20 kt early this
  afternoon. Highest winds toward the open waters.

* WAVES: Waves 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft by mid morning.
  Waves highest toward the open waters. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ643-644-271300-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
635 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS: Northwest to 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 20 
  knots by mid morning. Highest winds toward the open waters.

* WAVES: 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet by mid morning. Waves
  highest toward the open waters. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$
MRC

www.weather.gov/mkx
179 
WHUS73 KMKX 271248
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
748 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GUSTY WINDS PERSISTING INTO MID MORNING IN
THE OPEN WATERS...

LMZ645-646-271400-
/O.EXP.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
748 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

The Gale Warning will expire at 8 AM CDT this morning. Gale force
wind gusts along the nearshore waters will continue to diminish
this morning.


$$

LMZ643-644-271400-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SC.Y.0095.000000T0000Z-191027T1300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
748 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

The Small Craft Advisory will expire at 8 AM CDT this morning.
Gusty westerly winds along the nearshore waters will continue to
diminish this morning. 


$$

LMZ080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-271500-
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1500Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
748 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WINDS: Northwest gales up to 35 knots becoming west to 30 kt 
  late this morning, then diminishing to 10 to 20 kt early this 
  afternoon. 

* WAVES: Waves 7 to 10 ft occasionally to 13 ft subsiding to 4 
  to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft this afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$


www.weather.gov/mkx
842 
WHUS73 KMKX 271501
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1001 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...EASING WINDS THIS MORNING...

LMZ080-673-675-777-779-874-876-878-271615-
/O.EXP.KMKX.GL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-191027T1500Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
1001 AM CDT Sun Oct 27 2019

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

The Gale Warning is no longer in effect. Winds will continue to
ease this morning as high pressure pushes into the area. 

$$
DDV

www.weather.gov/mkx

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 26, 7:03 AM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 26, 7:03 AM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
703 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

.UPDATE...

The trend is for a slightly later onset for precip this afternoon.
Otherwise, the forecast is on track for today.

&&

.AVIATION(12Z TAFS)...

Southeast winds will increase throughout the day and then turn to
the northeast this evening as strong low pressure slides across
southern Lake Michigan late this evening. Look for lowering
ceilings and rain to spread into southeast WI this afternoon and
expand into south central WI this evening as the system clips the
region. Ceilings and visibility will drop to IFR levels this
evening and gradually improve during the overnight hours. Lowest
ceilings and highest rainfall rates will be near the lakeshore
between Milwaukee and Kenosha.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 343 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019)

SHORT TERM...

Today through Sunday...Forecast Confidence is Medium.

Surface low pressure over Arkansas will deepen as it quickly lifts
northward today. It will cross far southeast Lake Michigan late
this evening before weakening as it heads toward Lake Huron
Sunday. Rain on the northwest side of the low will spread westward
into south central Wisconsin this afternoon and evening. The
forecast timing has not changed much, maybe a little later with
the arrival time and a little later to exit the area. This is a
very dynamic system with a coupled Upper Jet structure and deep
upward vertical motion/Omega over southeast WI, along with sloped
frontogenesis.

Total rainfall amounts may exceed an inch in far southeast WI from
Milwaukee County to inland Kenosha County. Areas west of Madison
should see less than a quarter inch, as there will be a sharp
cutoff on the west edge of the precip shield.

With this system remaining progressive, the easterly winds will
slowly back, so a prolonged period of stronger onshore winds is
not expected, reducing wave heights and erosion potential along
the lakeshore areas.

LONG TERM...

Sunday Night through Tuesday...Forecast Confidence - Medium.

A dry start to Monday morning as weak high pressure moves across
the area. We'll stay under a mainly NW flow regime for Sun Night
and Monday, which will keeps temps on the cooler side. The focus
for early week quickly turns to a system moving out of the SW US
and into the plains Monday evening with it shifting into the Great
Lakes by Tuesday morning. There continues to be some disagreement
in guidance as to the speed and timing with the GFS/NAM/GEM the
fastest models with all precip out of area by Tuesday morning.
The slower ECMWF ends up bring a larger swath of QPF through the
area and will be something to keep an eye on as the surface low
track is closer to the area. The faster guidance has the low
tracking further south and would lead to lower QPF amounts. In
either case being on the northern side of the system it will put
southern WI in a good region for rain/snow Monday night into
Tuesday. Due to the lingering uncertainty don't want to jump on
any particular run just yet. Ensemble guidance does suggest the
potential for snow accums but whether or not any of the snow can
accumulate on the still warmer ground remains uncertain. In either
case this system bears watching as much of the activity occurs
during the overnight and there is potential for some impacts to
the morning commute on Tuesday.

Going through the day Tuesday the system shifts east but winds
aloft remain out of the SW and should keep some veil of clouds
over the region. So, not expecting much recovery in highs for
Tuesday with many sites staying around 40 degrees.

Tuesday night through Friday...Forecast Confidence - Low.

The pattern for much of the week consists of troughing across the
western CONUS and riding along the Atlantic coast. A couple of
shortwaves ejecting out of the western trough could bring slight
chances of precip through the week but most guidance keeps precip
further south. We'll likely just end up with continued clouds and
cooler temps with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s each day and
lows in the 20s.

As we head into the Thu/Fri time period models continue to
struggle in just how the western trough breaks down and kicks
east. The GFS is more progressive with this system and only ends
up clipping the area. The ECMWF on the other hand strengthens the
system and continues to show it tracking over the area. There are
a few subtle changes from run to run with the ECMWF but it's still
suggesting a rather potent low crossing the area. For now will
continue to stick with a middle of the road approach until models
can come into better agreement.

AVIATION(09Z TAFS)...

Strong low pressure will slide across far southeast Lake Michigan
late this evening. Look for lowering ceilings and rain to spread
into southeast WI this afternoon and expand into south central
WI this evening as the system clips the region. Ceilings and
visibility will drop to IFR levels this evening and gradually
improve during the overnight hours. Lowest ceilings and highest
rainfall rates will be near the lakeshore between Milwaukee and
Kenosha.

MARINE...

Strong low pressure will slide across far southeast Lake Michigan
late this evening. This will bring a period of gusty winds to the
south half of the lake from this afternoon through Sunday morning.
Gale force gusts are possible over the south half this evening
when winds are out of the north-northeast, and again during the
overnight hours after winds shift to the northwest.

Models show that winds in the 1000-2000 ft level are in the 35 to
40 kt range, but there is not enough confidence in those higher winds
reaching the surface, so we will not issue a Gale headline at this
time.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM CDT
     Sunday for LMZ645-646.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM CDT Sunday
     for LMZ643-644.

&&

Update...Cronce
Today/Tonight and Aviation/Marine...Cronce
Sunday THROUGH Friday...Stumpf
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 26, 3:57 AM CDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
357 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-270900-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
357 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

There is a chance for a rain snow mix Monday night into Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

LMZ643>646-270900-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
357 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A strong low pressure will track northeast across the southern
basin of the lake tonight. Breezy easterly winds will develop and
back to the north, then to the northwest through the overnight. Small
Craft Advisory is in effect starting this afternoon and
continuing through Sunday morning. Waves may build to 3 to 6 feet.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Breezy northwesterly winds diminish through the day Sunday with a
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 10 AM Sunday.

Gusty northwesterly winds are possible Tuesday and Friday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-270900-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
357 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Relatively strong low pressure will track northeast across far
southern Lake Michigan toward Lake Huron for tonight into Sunday
morning. Breezy easterly winds will develop over the southern half
of the lake this afternoon and evening, then back northwesterly
late tonight. Gusts could approach Gales force across the southern
half of the lake late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Wind gusts could approach gales on Friday but confidence is low at
this time.

www.weather.gov/mkx

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Wisconsin, 2019Every gale warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.