Alert archive / Wisconsin / Gale Warnings in 2019
Gale Warning 35, NWS Milwaukee, WI
NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this gale warning at Sep 12, 2019, 3:44 AM CDT. It took effect at Sep 12, 2019, 10:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 12, 2019, 3:44 AM CDT (08:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 12, 2019, 10:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Sep 14, 2019, 4:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Milwaukee, WI
The text
As transmitted.
396 WHUS73 KMKX 120844 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 344 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...Strong Winds and high waves expected across Lake Michigan through Friday... LMZ261-362-364-563-122200- /O.NEW.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 344 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Gale Warning...which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Friday. * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-122200- /O.NEW.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 344 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Small Craft Advisory...which is in effect from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM CDT Friday. * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expecting tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
11 follow-up statements
382 WHUS73 KMKX 121249 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 749 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...Strong Winds and high waves expected across Lake Michigan through Friday... LMZ261-362-364-563-122100- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 749 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ644>646-122100- /O.NEW.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.190912T1249Z-190912T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 749 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Dense Fog Advisory...which is in effect until 1 PM CDT this afternoon. * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expecting tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: one mile or less has been observed in near shore observations and web cameras. Dense fog at this time is limited to the near shore waters. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LMZ643-122100- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- 749 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expecting tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
621 WHUS73 KMKX 121349 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 849 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ261-362-364-563-122200- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 849 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643-122200- /O.EXA.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190912T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- 849 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Dense Fog Advisory...which is in effect until 1 PM CDT this afternoon. * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less that 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LMZ644>646-122200- /O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190912T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 849 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
738 WHUS73 KMKX 121727 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1227 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ261-362-364-563-130130- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 1227 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-130130- /O.EXT.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190912T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 1227 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... The Dense Fog Advisory is now in effect until 4 PM CDT this afternoon. * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
411 WHUS73 KMKX 121832 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 132 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ366-565-130245- /O.EXA.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 132 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a Gale Warning...which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Friday. * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ261-362-364-563-130245- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 132 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-130245- /O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190912T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 132 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
049 WHUS73 KMKX 121954 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 254 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-130400- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 254 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-130400- /O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190912T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190913T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 254 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
551 WHUS73 KMKX 122021 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 321 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-130430- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 321 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ645-646-130430- /O.EXT.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190912T2200Z/ /O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190912T2021Z-190914T0000Z/ North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 321 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... The Dense Fog Advisory is now in effect until 5 PM CDT this afternoon. The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 7 PM CDT Friday. * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ LMZ643-644-130430- /O.EXT.KMKX.MF.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-190913T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.190912T2021Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- 321 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... The Dense Fog Advisory is now in effect until 7 PM CDT this evening. The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 7 PM CDT Friday. * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
520 WHUS73 KMKX 130213 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 913 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-131015- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.190913T0300Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 913 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 25 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knots expected late tonight through Friday morning. Winds switch to the southwest on Friday with gusts to 30 knots possible. * WAVES: 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-131015- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 913 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots expected tonight through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts to 25 knots are expected into the evening hours. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet this evening building to 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor tonight. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. * VISIBILITY: Less than 1 mile at times due to fog. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
155 WHUS73 KMKX 130741 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 241 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... LMZ261-362-364-563-131545- /O.EXT.KMKX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190914T0900Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 241 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... The Gale Warning is now in effect until 4 AM CDT Saturday. * WINDS: Southeast 25 knots with gusts to 35 knots through Friday mid morning. Winds switch to the southwest late morning Friday with gusts to 35 knots. * WAVES: 5 to 8 feet through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ366-565-131545- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 241 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS: Southeast 25 knots with gusts to 35 knots through Friday mid morning. Winds switch to the southwest late morning Friday with gusts to 35 knots. * WAVES: 5 to 8 feet tonight through Friday morning. Waves lower to 4 to 6 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-131545- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 241 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS: Southeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts of 25 knots expected through Friday morning. Winds shift to the west during the day Friday and gusts of 25 knots into the evening hours. * WAVES: 4 to 6 feet for North Point Light to Winthrop Harbor through Friday morning. Waves of 5 to 8 feet are expected from North Point Light to Sheboygan through Friday morning. Waves lower to 3 to 5 feet by Friday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners... especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
655 WHUS73 KMKX 131356 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 856 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN... LMZ261-362-364-563-132200- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190914T0900Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 856 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... * WINDS: South to southwest with gusts to 35 knots. * WAVES: 5 to 8 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ366-565-131800- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190913T1800Z/ Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 856 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS: south to southwest gales to 35 knots. * WAVES: 4 to 7 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-132200- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-190914T0000Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 856 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS: Southwest becoming west to 30 knots. A few gusts to near gale force are possible this afternoon. * WAVES: 3 to 6 feet, highest north of Port Washington. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
504 WHUS73 KMKX 131945 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 245 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN... LMZ261-362-364-563-140345- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190914T0900Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 245 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... * WINDS: South to southwest with gusts to 35 knots. * WAVES: 5 to 8 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ LMZ643>646-140300- /O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-190914T0300Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 245 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... The Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until 10 PM CDT this evening. * WINDS: Southwest becoming west to 30 knots. A few gusts to near gale force are possible this afternoon. Winds will gradually decrease in intensity this evening. * WAVES: 2 to 4 feet, highest north of Port Washington and near open waters. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 21 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
910 WHUS73 KMKX 140153 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 853 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...STRONG WINDS...HIGH WAVES ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN... LMZ643>646-140300- /O.CAN.KMKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-190914T0300Z/ Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 853 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has cancelled the Small Craft Advisory. The breezy westerly winds have subsided. $$ LMZ261-362-364-563-140900- /O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-190914T0900Z/ Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- 853 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... * WINDS: South to southwest with gusts to 35 knots. * WAVES: 5 to 8 feet. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions. && $$ www.weather.gov/mkx
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 12, 12:09 AM CDT, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 12:09 AM CDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1209 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 .UPDATE... Will be watching the far south over the next couple hours as the storms are expected to pivot back into the area. Areas southwest of Madison toward the IL border still look like the higher chance to see persistent heavy rainfall. No reports of significant rainfall impacts through the southern tier of counties east to Lake Michigan. && .AVIATION(06Z TAFS)... Showers and storms are likely to continue this evening into tonight, mainly from Madison and Milwaukee southward. The heaviest rain will be toward the IL border through early tonight. The storms may then shift northward later tonight into Thursday morning, with possibly a break in the action from later morning into the afternoon. More storms are likely to develop by later Thursday afternoon into the evening, with the chance for storms hanging on into Thursday night as a cold front pushes through. The surface boundary has now pushed south of the IL border, with north to northeast winds across southern Wisconsin. Winds will be gusty through at least early tonight in the east. Lower ceilings will hang on into Thursday as the frontal boundary remains south of the forecast area. Will likely see visibilities in the 2-5 mile range overnight tonight. && .PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 1010 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2019) UPDATE... We let the watch expire at 10 given the storms have largely pushed south of the state line. Focus now turns to the southwest, where storms may get stuck for a while tonight as a front stalls in the area. Areas southwest of Madison have the highest chance to see heavy rainfall related issues overnight. MARINE... North to northeast winds will be gusty tonight, particularly across northern portions of Lake Michigan. Winds should generally stay below headline criteria though. Breezy easterly winds Thursday will pick up Thursday evening and night while veering south to southeast. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed for the nearshore waters and gusts could approach gale force across the north half of the lake. Gusty westerly winds will likely hit Small Craft Advisory criteria Friday behind a departing cold front. PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 652 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2019) UPDATE... Showers and storms continue to develop along the surface frontal boundary this evening. This activity is likely to continue into tonight, though it's beginning to look like the main focus could be down around or just south of the WI/IL border. The primary concern is switching from severe concerns to the potential for flash flooding for areas where the line sets up. There could be a pivot point where rain is the highest, as the warm front begins to push back toward the area from the southwest tonight. Radar trends and surface obs will continue to be closely monitored to gauge where the focus is going to setup for the remainder of the evening and overnight. AVIATION(00Z TAFS)... Showers and storms are likely to continue this evening into tonight, mainly from Madison and Milwaukee southward. The storms may then shift northward later tonight into Thursday morning, with possibly a break in the action from later morning into the afternoon. More storms are likely to develop by later Thursday afternoon into the evening, with the chance for storms hanging on into Thursday night as a cold front pushes through. Winds continue to switch from southwest to north/northeast this evening as a frontal boundary drops southward. Lower ceilings are arriving with the wind shift and cooler airmass and are expected to spread across southern Wisconsin through late evening. The lower ceilings will hang on into Thursday as the frontal boundary remains south of the forecast area. MARINE... North to northeast winds will be gusty tonight, particularly across northern portions of Lake Michigan. Winds should generally stay below headline criteria though. Breezy easterly winds Thursday will pick up Thursday evening and night while veering south to southeast. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed for the nearshore waters and gusts could approach gale force across the north half of the lake. Gusty westerly winds will likely hit Small Craft Advisory criteria Friday behind a departing cold front. PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 405 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2019) SHORT TERM... This afternoon and Tonight...Forecast Confidence is Medium. Shortwave moving across the area this afternoon and evening coupled with a LLJ over southern Wisconsin will allow for good forcing. Convection from this morning in central WI put an outflow boundary into the northern half of our area. Northeasterly winds have allowed the lake breeze to enhance this outflow boundary. Stronger south to southwesterly winds are resulting in good convergence along this boundary. To the south of the boundary temps warmed in the low to mid 80s with a few spots reaching the upper 80s. This has led to an axis in low level lapse rates, MLCAPE and helicity right along and south of this boundary. Storms are developing and moving north of the boundary into a more stable airmass. Latest radar scans have shown some rotation potential with storms right as the cross the boundary but once they move into the more stable air they lose any potential rotation. Thinking that the storms will continue to reinforce the boundary and it will slowly sag south tonight. Additional storms are possible and with no immediate change in the airmass expected will hold onto the severe thunderstorm watch for the time being. The past few runs of the CAMs have had a terrible handle on the evolution of storms the past 12-24 hours and global models have not been much of a help either in placement of QPF. Much of these models have indicated continual convection into the evening and overnight hours and have a heavy rainfall axis along the WI/IL border. This remains a possibility as the shortwave moves overhead tonight and the forcing/lift increases but based on the current look of satellite and radar imagery indicating more of a stable airmass to our west/south we are becoming less confident in that occurring. Latest HRRR might being catching onto to this solution with it now showing only isolated to scattered storms tonight. This will have an impact on flood potential and rainfall totals if the trends in guidance continue to indicate less and less coverage of storms tonight. For now, have kept in some of the higher QPF amounts as this is the first run to start to show the lower amounts. As we head into tonight into Thursday morning a secondary system approaching from the west will cause the boundary to lift back to the north. This secondary system might actually allow for more coverage of storms as the boundary lifts back to the north. LONG TERM... Thursday Afternoon Through Friday Night...Forecast Confidence is Medium... There is a chance for some strong thunderstorms to roll through the region from the evening through the overnight hours with a chance for a few severe storms as well. This low pressure system will be very strong with a strong upper level wave in association with strong WAA and moisture throughout the column. The severe weather potential is a bit more complex and uncertain as storms will likely roll through during the late evening possibly reducing instability available to the region in addition to poor low level lapse rates and only modest mid level lapse rates. However, we should still expect 1000-1500 J/kg of MUCAPE with 35-40 kts of 0-6km shear, which should yield some potential for severe storms. The biggest risk with this system will be damaging winds. In addition to this risk, breezy southerly winds could yield a small craft advisory in the evening as the system pulls through the region, primarily for nearshore areas to the north. The system will push out by the early morning hours leaving higher pressure to build in behind. However, the pressure gradient will keep gusty winds throughout the day with a small craft advisory likely being needed. Winds will begin to decrease into the evening as the gradient weakens with a high pressure system to the south. Saturday Through Sunday Night...Forecast Confidence is Medium... Saturday looks to remain mostly quiet with higher pressure keeping the area dry through the day. Into the late evening and overnight period another low pressure system will push into the region. This should be associated with an upper level shortwave in addition to good low level moisture, WAA, and potentially a decent LLJ. This is still a few days out so there is some uncertainty but depending on timing and location we could see potential for severe storms. This would be a quick hitting system that should push out of the region quickly though some lingering showers may persist into Sunday morning. Quiet weather will return by the afternoon. Monday Through Wednesday...Forecast Confidence is Medium... The forecast from here on remains fairly uncertain as we will likely sit between high and low pressure for a few days with potential for a few shortwaves to push through. This will give us chances for showers/storms through the period with the best chances Tuesday evening. && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. LM...None. && Update/Aviation/Marine...DDV Tonight/Thursday...Stumpf Thursday Night through Wednesday...ARK
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 12, 12:19 AM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1219 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-130530- Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge- Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee- Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha- 1219 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Tonight Another round of thunderstorms are expected late tonight with strong winds and very heavy rainfall the main threats. There is increasing concern for flooding. The rain will be heavy at times and could result in flooding, especially in those areas that received heavy rainfall Monday night into Tuesday. The focus for the heaviest rainfall appears to be in areas north of Milwaukee and Madison. There is a moderate swim risk in effect for Lake Michigan beaches tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday More storms are expected Thursday into Thursday night, primarily associated with a cold front pushing through. There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms over mainly south central Wisconsin. Again, rainfall could be heavy and flooding may occur in areas that see repeated rounds of storms over the next 48hours. There is a chance for thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... CoCoRaHS rainfall reports will be appreciated through the rest of this week. Spotter reports may be needed today into Thursday. LMZ643>646-130530- Sheboygan to Port Washington WI- Port Washington to North Point Light WI- North Point Light to Wind Point WI- Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL- 1219 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois. .DAY ONE...Tonight Another round of thunderstorms are expected late tonight with strong winds and very heavy rainfall the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday More storms are expected Thursday into Thursday night. A small craft advisory may be needed Thursday night through Friday for increasing southeast winds and building waves ahead of approaching cold front, then increasing westerly winds in the wake of the front. There is a chance for thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday morning. LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868- 870-872-874-876-878-130530- Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to mid-line of lake.- Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore- Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake- Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid lake- Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake- 1219 AM CDT Thu Sep 12 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight Another round of thunderstorms are expected late tonight for mainly the southern half of the lake with strong winds and very heavy rainfall the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday More thunderstorms are expected Thursday into Thursday night and again Saturday night into Sunday morning. Southeast winds ahead of an approaching cold front may gust to gale force levels for a time Thursday night. www.weather.gov/mkx
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 11, 10:41 PM CDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1041 PM CDT WED SEP 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 PM HEAVY RAIN LAKE GENEVA 42.59N 88.43W
09/11/2019 M1.31 INCH WALWORTH WI PUBLIC
&&
PCLocal storm report, Sep 11, 10:46 PM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM HEAVY RAIN KENOSHA 42.59N 87.82W
09/11/2019 M2.50 INCH KENOSHA WI TRAINED SPOTTER
RAIN TOTAL SINCE 8 PM.
&&
PCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 8:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MKX | Green, Jefferson, Kenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Rock and 2 more | 56 min |
| Sep 11, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Kenosha, Walworth | 23 min |
| Sep 11, 9:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MKX | Kenosha, Racine, Rock, Walworth | 3 hr |
| Sep 11, 11:28 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MKX | Lafayette | 3 hr |
| Sep 12, 2:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MKX | Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green, Green Lake and 14 more | 25 hr |
| Sep 12, 3:44 AM CDT | Beach Hazards Statement | MKX | Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine, Sheboygan | 30 hr |
| Sep 12, 3:44 AM CDT | Small Craft Advisory | MKX | 41 hr | |
| Sep 12, 7:49 AM CDT | Marine Dense Fog Advisory | MKX | 11 hr | |
| Sep 12, 2:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Rock | 53 hr |
| Sep 12, 2:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MKX | Rock | 62 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.