Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2019

Beach Hazards Statement 22, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

August 24, 2019Dare County, North Carolina

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Aug 24, 2019, 8:15 PM EDT for Dare County, North Carolina. It took effect at Aug 25, 2019, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 24, 2019, 8:15 PM EDT (00:15 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 25, 2019, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Aug 27, 2019, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

County Dare County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2019-08-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 231 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2019-08-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
231 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

226 
WHUS42 KMHX 250015
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
815 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE OUTER BANKS...

.Breezy northeast winds will bring increasing swell to east facing
beaches of the Outer Banks Sunday.

NCZ203-205-251215-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0022.190825T1200Z-190826T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
815 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a Beach Hazards Statement, which is in effect from Sunday morning
through Sunday evening.

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches north of Cape Point, Cape
  Hatteras. 

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around 10 AM Sunday. Strong rip currents can 
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...2 to 4 ft in the morning, increasing to 3 to 5 ft
  in the afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. 
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the 
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until 
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and 
call or wave for help.

&&

$$
10 follow-up statements
968 
WHUS42 KMHX 250827
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
427 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE OUTER BANKS...

.Breezy northeast winds will bring increasing swell to east
facing beaches of the Outer Banks today.

NCZ203-205-252030-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.190825T1200Z-190826T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
427 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches north of Cape Point, Cape 
  Hatteras.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around 10 AM today. Strong rip currents can 
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...2 to 4 ft in the morning, increasing to 3 to 5 
  ft in the afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

&&

$$
393 
WHUS42 KMHX 251031
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
631 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE OUTER BANKS...

.Breezy northeast winds will bring increasing swell to east
facing beaches of the Outer Banks today.

NCZ203-205-252245-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.190825T1200Z-190826T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
631 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents and
  dangerous shore break. 

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches north of Cape Point, Cape 
  Hatteras.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip 
  currents to develop will be a couple hours before and after 
  low tide which will occur around 10 AM today. Strong rip 
  currents can still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 7 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times.



&&

$$
233 
WHUS42 KMHX 251430
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1030 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS DEVELOPING FOR THE OUTER BANKS...

.Breezy northeast winds will bring increasing swell to east
facing beaches of the Outer Banks today.

NCZ203-205-260000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190826T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1030 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents,
  dangerous shore break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches north of Cape Point, Cape 
  Hatteras.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip 
  currents to develop will be a couple hours before and after 
  low tide which will occur around 10 AM today. Strong rip 
  currents can still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 6 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult to
return to shore.



&&

$$
029 
WHUS42 KMHX 252346
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
746 PM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE FROM CAPE 
HATTERAS NORTH...

.Breezy northeast winds will continue to produce rough surf with 
a high threat of rip currents through Monday for the beaches from 
Cape Hatteras north.

NCZ203-205-261200-
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190827T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
746 PM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents, 
  dangerous shore break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around 10 AM Monday. Strong rip currents can 
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...3 to 5 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult
to return to shore.

&&

$$
089 
WHUS42 KMHX 260833
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
433 AM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE CAPE 
HATTERAS NORTH...

.Breezy northeast winds will continue to produce rough surf with
a high threat of rip currents through Monday for the beaches from
Cape Hatteras north.

NCZ203-205-262045-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190827T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
433 AM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents, 
  dangerous shore break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around 10 AM today. Strong rip currents can 
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...3 to 5 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult
to return to shore.

&&

$$
076 
WHUS42 KMHX 261511
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1111 AM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH...

.Breezy northeast winds will continue to produce rough surf with
a high threat of rip currents through Monday for the beaches from
Cape Hatteras north.

NCZ203-205-270000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190827T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1111 AM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents, 
  dangerous shore break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip 
  currents to develop will be a couple hours before and after 
  low tide which will occur around 10 AM today. Strong rip 
  currents can still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 6 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult
to return to shore.

&&

$$
106 
WHUS42 KMHX 262334
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
734 PM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE FOR THE
BEACHES FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...

.A northeast swell will produce rough surf with a high threat of 
rip currents through Tuesday for the beaches from Cape Hatteras 
north.

NCZ203-205-271145-
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190828T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
734 PM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...

* HAZARDS...High risk for powerful or numerous rip currents, 
  dangerous shore break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around 11 AM Tuesday. Strong rip currents can 
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 6 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult
to return to shore.

&&

$$
020 
WHUS42 KMHX 270723
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
323 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE FOR THE
BEACHES FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...

.A northeast swell will produce rough surf with a high threat of
rip currents today for the beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

NCZ203-205-272300-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190828T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
323 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for dangerous rip currents, strong shore 
  break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around 11 AM today. Strong rip currents can 
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 6 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult
to return to shore.

&&

$$
495 
WHUS42 KMHX 271449
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1049 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE FOR THE
BEACHES FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH...

.A northeast swell will produce rough surf with a high threat of
rip currents today for the beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

NCZ203-205-280000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190828T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1049 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...High risk for dangerous rip currents, strong shore 
  break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip 
  currents to develop will be a couple hours before and after 
  low tide which will occur around 11 AM today. Strong rip 
  currents can still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 6 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current.
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all
times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult
to return to shore.

&&

$$
834 
WHUS42 KMHX 280011
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
811 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019

...ROUGH SURF AND HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUE FOR THE 
BEACHES FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH WEDNESDAY...

.A northeast swell will produce rough surf with a high threat of 
rip currents Wednesday for the beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

NCZ203-205-281215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-190828T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0023.190828T0011Z-190829T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
811 PM EDT Tue Aug 27 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued 
a Beach Hazards Statement, which is in effect through Wednesday 
evening.

* HAZARDS...High risk for dangerous rip currents, strong shore 
  break, and longshore currents.

* LOCATIONS...Outer Banks beaches from Cape Hatteras north.

* TIMING AND TIDES...The most likely time for strong rip currents
  to develop will be a couple hours before and after low tide
  which will occur around noon Wednesday. Strong rip currents can
  still develop at any time of the day.

* SURF HEIGHT...4 to 5 ft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If caught in a rip current remain calm. Don't fight the current. 
Swim in a direction following the shoreline. When out of the 
current, swim back to shore. If tired, float or tread water until 
out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and 
call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. The
most common injuries with strong shore break are neck and back
injuries, which most often occur when the powerful surf throws a
swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom. It is extremely
important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in
breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many cases
the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers from
being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it difficult to
return to shore.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Aug 24, 6:34 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 24, 6:34 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
634 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will linger just south of our area tonight and
Sunday. The front will stall well offshore Sunday as a potential
tropical or subtropical low moves northeast but well off the
coast through Monday. Another cold front will approach the area
mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
As of 630 PM Saturday...Patchy rain conts over mainly the nrn
tier. Will cont likely pops these areas a bit longer then shld
see grad less coverage later this evening, however will have at
least some threat of shra activity all night with weak
overrunning in place.

Prev disc...Latest upper air analysis shows a broad positively-
tilted trough draped across the Northeast U.S. with eastern
N.C. near the right- entrance region of an H3 50-60 kt jet. Some
weak mid- level energy at H5 was noted in SPC mesoanalysis
drifting into central NC. At the surface, a ridge of high
pressure (indicative of CAD) continues to strengthen in the wake
of the cold front now stalled off the coast. Overrunning 850 mb
southerly flow over the front, combined with the mid-level
vorticity advection and weak jet support has aided in scattered
shower activity across much of the area.

Expect rain to continue into the evening as the aforementioned
mid-level disturbance slowly migrates east and the front remains
pinned near the coast. The extensive cloud cover today, as
expected, greatly hindered instability and the odds of any real
appreciable QPF associated with convective downpours. Kept PoPs
at likely but did lower QPF quite a bit as a result and took out
any mention of thunder as best instability looks to be offshore.
Have PoPs gradually trending lower into the morning hours as
mid- level support degrades. Coastal areas closest to the
surface front could still see a shower or two and kept chance
PoPs here.

Temps cooler still as the wedge persists with lows upper 60s
inland and low to mid 70s along the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
The upper level trough gradually shifts east with increasingly
dry air filtering in at the mid and upper levels. The high
pressure ridge is expected to continue strengthening Sunday. The
bulk of precip should remain offshore near the front/coastal
trough but cannot rule out a few showers or two near the coast.
Otherwise with increasing dry air cloud cover should finally
start to slowly decrease through the day. The wedge should still
keep temps pleasant for late August with highs again upper 70s
inland and low 80s closer to the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 345 PM Sat...A drying trend for the latter half of the
weekend through early next week, then a cold front moves through
mid week with the next chance of showers or storms. Mainly dry
for the end of the week with high pres moving back in.

Sunday Night through Monday...The mid to upper level trough
over the NE CONUS will will slide farther east, with high pres
ridging southward into the Carolinas and possible tropical or
subtropical system moving NE well off the coast. This regime
will bring mainly dry conditions as drier dewpoints advect in
with the high and the quasi- stationary frontal boundary
remaining well south of the area. Decreased pops markedly,
though kept some small 20-30% along immediate coast where some
showers may brush by, though mainly should remain over the
coastal waters.

Much cooler for Sun night as TD's drop into the low 60s inland
to. Lows will range from the low/mid 60s coastal plain to around
70 coastal locales. Highs Monday pleasant with continued lowered
dewpoints, and mainly in the 80-85 degree range.

Tuesday...Continued mainly dry as tempo ridging continues with
next shortwave and front still well to the west. Temps moderate
a bit more into the mid to possibly some upper 80s.

Wednesday through Thursday...Good agreement amongst 24/12Z
global model suite in next shortwave and cold front swinging
through. Have continued the chc pops for sct showers/storms
mainly Wed and Wed night. Kept in a chc pop for Thur as well as
there are some timing differences on the exit of the shortwave
and frontal boundary. Temps will be near climo with highs
mid/upr 80s and lows in the mid/upr 60s interior to low 70s
coast.

Friday through Saturday...Fcst a bit more murky this period.
Some indication the frontal boundary lifts north or becomes hung
up near the coast, and some showers develop with increasing
fgen, so will keep chc pops coastal areas and silent 20 pop for
interior zones. Latest ECM has a clean fropa and dry high pres,
though would like to see more run-to-run continuity before
removing pops. Temps will continue near climo this period.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Short Term /through Sunday/...
As of 630 PM Saturday...Confident will have mainly sub VFR thru
Sun morn...difficult to determine how much IFR wl occur. Bulk
of guidance keeps cigs in MVFR range, however some periods of
IFR poss espcly early then again twrd morning. On Sunday cigs
shld slowly lift and eventually begin to sct out as drier air
works in with VFR expected in the aftn.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thu/...
As of 345 PM Sat...A quasi-stationary boundary will remain
well south later this weekend through early next week, therefore
a drier regime expected. Still could see some ocnl sub VFR
mainly in lowered cigs as some low level moisture remains, but
generally a drying trend is taking shape. Next cold front with
possible showers/storms arrives by Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term /through Sunday/...
As of 630 PM Sat...Bumped up winds Albemarle Sound and
Alligator River based on obs this evening...otherwise no signif
changes.

Prev disc...Current obs show seas around 2 feet south of
Hatteras and 3 to 5 north with winds generally around 10-15
knots out of the N/NNE. Seas never got quite to 6 feet but have
lingered at around 5 feet north of Oregon Inlet. Similar
conditions expected in the near term before a tightening
gradient between the front and the ridge increases winds to
10-20 knots, increasing to around 20 to 25 knots from north to
south by Sunday afternoon. SCAs have been expanded to all waters
by Sunday morning and continuing into the long term. Seas
gradually build to 6 feet for all waters by Sunday night.

Long Term /Sunday night through Thu/...
As of 345 PM Sat...NE winds peak Sun evening with high pres
inland and low pres well off the coast maximizing the gradient.
Winds solid 15-25 kt with some higher gusts, and SCA for all
rivers and sounds except for the Pamlico River. The wind
gradient begins to relax on Monday, though seas will remain
elevated for longer, through Tuesday. Return flow to the E and
then S develops on Wed though will be quite light no higher
than 10 kts ahead of next front that sweeps through sometime
Wednesday night, which will bring winds back around to a nrly
direction by Thu.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Sunday to 2 AM EDT Monday for
     AMZ131-137-230-231.
     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to 11 AM EDT Monday for
     AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for
     AMZ152-154.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Sunday to 6 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ156-158.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for
     AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...RF/MS
SHORT TERM...MS
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...RF/TL
MARINE...RF/TL/MS
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 24, 8:06 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
806 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>195-198-199-260015-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-Inland Onslow-Coastal Onslow-
806 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ205-260015-
Hatteras Island-
806 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NORTH OF CAPE POINT AND MODERATE RIP
CURRENT RISK SOUTHWEST OF CAPE POINT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

	Beach Hazards Statement and Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-204-260015-
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
806 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-260015-
Northern Outer Banks-
806 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 24, 2:23 PM EDT, 5 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
223 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N KITTY HAWK          36.11N 75.71W
08/23/2019                   DARE               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN IN SOUTHERN SHORES AREA. TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

ML
Local storm report, Aug 24, 2:37 PM EDT, 5 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
237 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW WILLIAMSTON       35.87N 77.11W
08/23/2019                   MARTIN             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. CAR STRUCK A DOWNED
            TREE ON POPLAR POINT RD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR.

&&

ML

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2019Every beach hazards statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.