Alert archive / Tennessee / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 175, NWS Memphis, TN

December 16, 2019Crockett County, Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tennessee

NWS Memphis, TN issued this river flood warning at Dec 16, 2019, 6:34 PM CST for Crockett County, Dyer County, Lauderdale County, Tennessee. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 16, 2019, 6:34 PM CST (00:34 UTC)
Expired
Dec 17, 2019, 9:32 AM CST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fork Forked Deer River near Halls (HLST1).

Action stage
8.5 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
13.5 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 16, 2:57 PM CST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 16, 2:57 PM CST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
257 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight...main story will be continued severe weather threat over
our southern and southeastern counties. CAPE values have reached
500-1000 J/kg over northern/northeastern MS. Vertical wind shear
remains favorable for storm organization and rotation. Line of
storms is becoming organized over NW MS, with some smaller more
discrete cells ahead of line. Most favored area for severe will
persist ahead /east-southeast/ of the line.

Meanwhile, over our far northern counties, may see a brief
mixture of frozen precip as precipitation clears out. Will include
mention of rain or light snow overnight, with no accumulation
expected.

Tuesday through Friday...mainly dry and cool conditions expected as
surface high pressure builds in. Surface ridge should remain over
the area into early Thursday with northerly winds persisting.
Falling pressures to the west in advance of upstream system will
generate return southerly flow late Thursday into Friday night.

Saturday through Monday...next system will swing across the region
on Saturday. GFS and ECMWF both keep system south of our area, with
the GFS a little stronger with the system. Will go with low POPs and
low QPF over our southern counties. Upper level ridging builds over
the area Sunday-Monday, which will bring southerly winds and mild
temperatures into the area for the beginning of next week.

GW

&&

.AVIATION...
/18z TAFs/

A stationary front located near a CKM-UOX-PVE line will begin to
move east this afternoon. Widespread rain/showers with scattered
thunderstorms will continue today. Storms north of this front will
remain elevated while surface based storms to its south may
contain gusty winds. Rain/thunderstorms are expected to end from
west to east between 00-06z with generally dry weather thereafter.

IFR conditions will persist through the night in many areas,
especially east of the MS River with improving conditions by 15z.
Winds will shift from the north/northwest behind the cold front
and may be gusty at times.

MJ

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 3:21 PM CST, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
321 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-171100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
321 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe storms are possible this afternoon into early this evening
over northeastern Mississippi and adjacent portions of west
Tennessee. Damaging winds will be the main threat. A tornado is
possible along with large hail and heavy rainfall. Localized flash
flooding is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon into early this
evening.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 16, 4:47 PM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 16, 4:52 PM CST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 16, 4:54 PM CST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 16, 5:04 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 16, 5:18 PM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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Local storm report, Dec 16, 5:24 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 16, 6:06 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc114 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.