Alert archive / Tennessee / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019
Flash Flood Warning 42, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this flash flood warning at Aug 20, 2019, 9:32 PM CDT for Shelby County, Tennessee. It was in force for 76 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 20, 2019, 9:32 PM CDT (02:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 20, 2019, 10:48 PM CDT
- In force
- 76 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Shelby County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 35 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1908 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -33 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1576 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 23 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
271 WGUS54 KMEG 210232 FFWMEG TNC157-210530- /O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0042.190821T0232Z-190821T0530Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Memphis TN 932 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Southeastern Shelby County in western Tennessee... * Until 1230 AM CDT. * At 932 PM CDT...Doppler Radar estimates 1 to 3 inches of rain has occurred over the past hour. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Bartlett, Southaven, Collierville, Germantown, Olive Branch, Cordova, Memphis, Lakeland, Southeast Memphis, Eads, Piperton, Elmore Park, Lenow, Fisherville, Raleigh, Parkway Village, White Station and Capleville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. && LAT...LON 3522 8995 3521 8964 3500 8964 3499 8996 $$ SGW
1 follow-up statement
438 WGUS74 KMEG 210348 FFSMEG Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Memphis TN 1048 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 TNC157-210356- /O.CAN.KMEG.FF.W.0042.000000T0000Z-190821T0530Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Shelby TN- 1048 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IS CANCELLED... The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. LAT...LON 3522 8995 3521 8964 3500 8964 3499 8996 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 20, 7:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 7:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
752 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
.UPDATE...Evening Update.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
We have a very active radar this evening, but it looks worse than
it is. The line of storms has become downdraft dominant as they
moved into the Midsouth. So far we have seen gusts mostly in the
30-40 kt range, with the strongest wind ahead of the line of
storms as the outflow rushes South. Wind should reach the Memphis
Metro area by about 8 PM...likely in the 20-30 mph range. The
additional ground moisture may result in at least patchy fog
tonight. Temperatures behind the outflow boundary have cooled
abruptly from the low to middle 90s into the lower 70s. Jonesboro
is cooler now at 73 degrees then they were at Sunrise this
morning at 76. Coverage and intensity of storms should continue to
diminish over the next few hours.
30
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 603 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019/
Heat indices have climbed above 105 degrees across much of the
area. Expect a repeat tomorrow as the upper ridge remains over the
Southern Plains and dewpoints pool ahead of an approaching cold
front. Highs will once again be in the mid 90s.
Convection has developed along old outflow boundaries across
Missouri and Illinois leftover from this mornings convection.
Several of the CAM models show this convection pushing into
Northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and West Tennessee
between 5-7 PM and then dying out this evening along the I-40
corridor. Some storms could be strong to severe.
Another round of convection is expected to occur tomorrow
late afternoon and evening as almost a repeat scenario occurs as
convection will develop along old outflow boundaries from whatever
develops tonight near the front that is located near the
Iowa/Missouri border.
Increased chances for showers and thunderstorms will occur
Thursday through the weekend as the cold front slowly moves into
the area and stalls out. Don't think it will be a complete wash
out during this time period, but just off and on periods of
showers and thunderstorms. Will be able to pinpoint timing better
once the time period gets within the range of the CAM models.
Temperatures through this period will generally be in the mid to
upper 80s due to convection and cloud cover.
KRM
.AVIATION...00Z TAFs
Convective complex near MO Bootheel/far NW TN gradually shifting
south over the next few hours this evening. Activity appears to
be weakening at this moment somewhat but still expecting
potential for VCTS/short term tempos for JBR/MKL 00-02Z, and MEM
01-03Z. Light S winds will veer N between 8-10 kts with the
weak convective line, then become light S winds again for the
remainder of the night. S winds will increase to 5-8 kts by
Wednesday afternoon. Potential exists for some showers and
thunderstorms late Wednesday afternoon but will only carry VCSH
for now as confidence isn't high in this TAF set. Patchy fog may
develop at MKL towards sunrise Wednesday. Otherwise, VFR conditions
should prevail outside of thunderstorms.
CJC
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for Clay-Craighead-
Crittenden-Cross-Greene-Lee AR-Mississippi-Phillips-
Poinsett-St. Francis.
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for Dunklin-Pemiscot.
MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for Alcorn-Benton MS-
Calhoun-Chickasaw-Coahoma-DeSoto-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Panola-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Yalobusha.
TN...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Wednesday for Benton TN-Carroll-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Hardeman-
Hardin-Haywood-Henderson-Henry-Lake-Lauderdale-Madison-
McNairy-Obion-Shelby-Tipton-Weakley.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 5:09 AM CDT, 16 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Memphis TN 509 AM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017- 020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-211215- Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay- Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur- Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood- Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS- Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot- Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis- Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley- Yalobusha- 509 AM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas... the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A heat advisory is in effect for the entire Mid-South. Afternoon and early evening heat indices of 105 degrees or greater are expected. A few strong to severe storms are possible across Northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel and Northwest Tennessee this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind will be the main threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday A heat advisory is in effect through Wednesday evening. Afternoon and early evening heat indices of 105 degrees or greater are expected. A few strong to severe storms are possible north of I-40 Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is possible north of I-40 this afternoon.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 5:24 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Memphis TN 524 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 TNZ002>004-020-021-202300- Carroll TN-Weakley TN-Obion TN-Henry TN-Gibson TN- 524 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR... Northwestern Carroll County in western Tennessee... Weakley County in western Tennessee... Eastern Obion County in western Tennessee... Western Henry County in western Tennessee... Northern Gibson County in western Tennessee... At 523 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds up to 40 mph was located near Latham, or near Martin, moving south at 45 mph. Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are also possible with this thunderstorm. People in northwestern Carroll...Weakley...eastern Obion...western Henry and northern Gibson Counties should monitor this storm closely. LAT...LON 3604 8835 3609 8910 3650 8904 3650 8836 TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 008DEG 41KT 3639 8875
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 6:19 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
619 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
ARZ018-026>028-MOZ113-115-TNZ019-048-050-202345-
Poinsett AR-Greene AR-Craighead AR-Mississippi AR-Pemiscot MO-
Dunklin MO-Lauderdale TN-Dyer TN-Haywood TN-
619 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR...
Northern Poinsett County in eastern Arkansas...
Southern Greene County in eastern Arkansas...
Craighead County in eastern Arkansas...
Mississippi County in eastern Arkansas...
Southwestern Pemiscot County in southeastern Missouri...
Southern Dunklin County in southeastern Missouri...
Lauderdale County in western Tennessee...
Southwestern Dyer County in western Tennessee...
Northwestern Haywood County in western Tennessee...
At 616 PM CDT...a gust front associated with showers and
thunderstorms over Northeast Arkansas to the Missouri Bootheel
extended along a line extending from near Dyersburg to near
Fontaine. Movement was south at 35 mph. Wind gusts between 35 to 45
mph are possible with the gust front over the next 30 minutes until
it weakens.
LAT...LON 3588 9097 3588 9087 3604 9084 3614 9076
3615 9081 3601 8931 3561 8944 3562 8958
3565 8962 3563 8980 3570 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 003DEG 30KT 3598 8933 3607 9081Special weather statement, Aug 20, 7:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
700 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
TNZ054-055-210030-
Henderson TN-Decatur TN-
700 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR...
Southeastern Henderson County in western Tennessee...
Decatur County in western Tennessee...
At 659 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing hail up to penny
size hail and winds at least 40 mph was located over Parsons, or 9
miles southeast of Natchez Trace State Forest, moving south at 10
mph.
Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.
People in southeastern Henderson and Decatur Counties should monitor
this storm closely.
LAT...LON 3540 8798 3540 8803 3542 8806 3540 8809
3541 8822 3542 8823 3542 8836 3574 8819
3573 8803 3571 8803 3566 8802 3562 8804
3551 8797 3549 8798 3547 8803 3544 8804
3543 8803 3542 8798
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 003DEG 11KT 3564 8815Special weather statement, Aug 20, 7:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
756 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
ARZ036-048-MSZ001>004-TNZ088>090-210145-
St. Francis AR-Crittenden AR-Tippah MS-Marshall MS-DeSoto MS-
Benton MS-Hardeman TN-Fayette TN-Shelby TN-
756 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR...
Eastern St. Francis County in eastern Arkansas...
Crittenden County in eastern Arkansas...
Northwestern Tippah County in northeastern Mississippi...
Northern Marshall County in northwestern Mississippi...
Northern DeSoto County in northwestern Mississippi...
Northern Benton County in northeastern Mississippi...
Western Hardeman County in western Tennessee...
Fayette County in western Tennessee...
Shelby County in western Tennessee...
At 755 PM CDT...a gust front is producing 30 to 40 mph winds along a
line extending from Marion to 6 miles east of Eads to 8 miles north
of Lagrange. Movement was south at 35 mph.
LAT...LON 3514 9055 3515 9050 3526 9051 3534 9048
3530 8957 3534 8903 3480 8891 3485 8944
3492 9062
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 345DEG 31KT 3519 9022 3524 8955 3516 8917Special weather statement, Aug 20, 8:51 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
851 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
MSZ001-002-TNZ088-210215-
Marshall MS-DeSoto MS-Shelby TN-
851 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019
...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR...
Northwestern Marshall County in northwestern Mississippi...
Northeastern DeSoto County in northwestern Mississippi...
Southeastern Shelby County in western Tennessee...
At 851 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing winds between 40 to
45 mph was located near Southeast Memphis, or near Olive Branch,
moving south at 20 mph.
Very heavy rain along with continuous cloud to ground lightning are
also possible with this thunderstorm.
People in northwestern Marshall...northeastern DeSoto and
southeastern Shelby Counties should monitor this storm closely.
LAT...LON 3512 8994 3511 8964 3499 8964 3477 8973
3477 8983 3480 9006
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 012DEG 18KT 3502 8984The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 7:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Decatur | 30 min |
| Aug 20, 7:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MEG | Fayette, Shelby | 49 min |
| Aug 20, 8:48 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MEG | Shelby | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.