Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 379, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

July 3, 2019Lea County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2019, 7:13 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2019, 7:13 PM MDT (01:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2019, 7:54 PM MDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Lea County, NM

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 807 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -47 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
807 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2436 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 5:32 PM MDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 5:32 PM MDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
632 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR overall with diurnal CU and some high clouds from storms.
Could see some low clouds over the Permian Basin toward morning
with borderline MVFR cigs at MAF. Also have tempo TSRA at CNM and
HOB until 03z. Nocturnal LLJ should keep wind up tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 217 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019/

DISCUSSION...
An upper level ridge of high pressure will be anchored across
the forecast area the next seven days. Despite the presence of
the ridge, low level moisture and weak upper level disturbances
trapped within the ridge will produce the risk of isolated to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. The better
chance most days will be across the favored higher terrain where
the cap will be easier to break in upslope flow. Not expecting
much severe weather due to weak shear and modest cape, although a
few storms could pulse to severe levels.

With the persistent ridge in the area, temperatures are expected
to be above normal the next 7 days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  97  73  97 /  10   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       70 102  73 101 /  10   0  10  10
Dryden                         72  97  73  96 /  10  10  10   0
Fort Stockton                  72  99  73  98 /  10  10  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 70  95  71  94 /  10  10   0  10
Hobbs                          68  99  70  98 /  20  10  10  10
Marfa                          61  93  60  92 /  10  20  10  30
Midland Intl Airport           72  98  73  98 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         72  99  73  98 /  10   0   0   0
Wink                           72 103  72 102 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 12:36 PM MDT, 6 hours 37 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
136 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-041845-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
136 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 /1236 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms will be possible today and tonight. Any storms that do
develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, gusty
winds, and brief, heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:11 PM MDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 3:22 PM MDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
422 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

TXZ075-082-279-282-032200-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-Central Brewster County TX-
Lower Brewster County TX-
422 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL PECOS...
NORTHEASTERN BREWSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
CDT...

At 420 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 19 miles northwest of Sanderson to 12 miles southwest
of Longfellow. These storms are nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central
Pecos, northeastern Brewster and southwestern Terrell Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3034 10292 3042 10253 2988 10237 2986 10302
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 331DEG 3KT 3030 10267

87
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:17 PM MDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
517 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

TXZ279-282-032245-
Central Brewster County TX-Lower Brewster County TX-
517 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 545
PM CDT...

At 516 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 23
miles northeast of Persimmon Gap, or 34 miles southwest of Sanderson,
moving southwest at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Brewster
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3010 10297 2985 10277 2964 10308 2989 10327
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 051DEG 11KT 2994 10294

87
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 5:08 PM MDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
608 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

TXZ050-032345-
Andrews TX-
608 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ANDREWS COUNTY UNTIL
645 PM CDT...

At 608 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Andrews, moving southeast at 5 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Andrews, Florey and Andrews County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3235 10272 3252 10257 3245 10227 3219 10253
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 300DEG 5KT 3242 10257

87
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 5:43 PM MDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
543 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2019

NMZ028-033-034-040015-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-Central Lea County NM-
543 PM MDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN EDDY AND SOUTHWESTERN LEA
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

At 542 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Maljamar, or 26 miles southwest of Lovington, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Halfway.

LAT...LON 3280 10395 3286 10357 3220 10327 3213 10400
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 323DEG 15KT 3271 10371

87

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 7:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving, Reeves, Winkler49 min
Jul 3, 8:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews, Gaines43 min
Jul 3, 8:25 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFGaines2 hr
Jul 3, 8:31 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward119 min
Jul 3, 8:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews, Gaines41 min
Jul 3, 8:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving40 min
Jul 3, 9:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews, Ector, Howard, Martin, Midland39 min
Jul 3, 9:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFWinkler37 min
Jul 3, 9:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEctor, Winkler54 min
Jul 3, 10:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEctor, Martin, Midland46 min
Jul 3, 10:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFWard45 min
Jul 3, 10:24 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFEctor, Midland3 hr
Jul 3, 10:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFEctor, Midland, Winkler5 hr
Jul 3, 11:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane49 min
Jul 3, 11:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane, Glasscock, Midland46 min
Jul 4, 12:02 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane, Pecos, Reagan, Upton28 min
Jul 4, 1:00 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos30 min
Jul 4, 4:31 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster59 min
Jul 4, 5:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster66 min
Jul 4, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster61 min
Jul 3, 6:20 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLea3 hr
Jul 3, 7:07 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLea113 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.