Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 13, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

October 3, 2019Presidio County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 3, 2019, 7:26 AM CDT for Presidio County, Texas. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 3, 2019, 7:26 AM CDT (12:26 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2019, 7:55 PM CDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Presidio County, TX

The river

Written for the forecast point Rio Grande 6 miles WNW of Presidio (PIOT2).

Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

725 
WGUS44 KMAF 031226
FLWMAF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
726 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande at Presidio International Bridge affecting Presidio 
  County
  
Recent rainfall has caused river levels to rise into flood stage
along the Rio Grande at Presidio 6WNW and Presidio International
Bridge. The river is expected to crest by this afternoon and 
gradually recede overnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-040425-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0013.191003T1226Z-191004T1500Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191003T1800Z.191004T0300Z.NO/
726 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

The National Weather Service in  has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6AM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet (2.8 
  meters) by this afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 feet (2.8 meters) on 
Jul 18 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.0   Thu  6 AM   9.2   9.1   8.9   8.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Thu  6 AM   2.8   2.8   2.7   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$

TXC377-040046-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0014.191003T1226Z-191004T0046Z/
/PRST2.1.ER.191003T0926Z.191003T1100Z.191003T1246Z.NO/
726 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

The National Weather Service in  has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Rio Grande at Presidio International Bridge.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6AM Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet (5.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 15.5 feet (4.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 15.5 feet (4.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 feet (5.1 meters) on 
Aug 14 2017.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio Inter 12.0 15.5   16.8   Thu  6 AM  11.2   5.3   4.7   4.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio Inter  3.7  4.7    5.1   Thu  6 AM   3.4   1.6   1.4   1.4

&&

LAT...LON 2951 10446 2963 10437 2961 10430 2945 10435 2949 10443


$$
9 follow-up statements
161 
WGUS84 KMAF 031437
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
937 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Rio Grande at Presidio International Bridge affecting Presidio 
  County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.Heavy rainfall from thunderstorms last several days have allowed
river levels to crest into minor flood or action stages along the 
Rio Grande. Given the prospects for rainfall in the area next 24 hrs,
have seen the peak crest for the Rio Grande near Presidio to limit
the flooding potential to one day, or near the bridge, enough to
cancel the warning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-040636-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191006T0800Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1200Z.191005T2000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9AM Thursday the stage was 8.9 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 9.2 feet (2.8 meters) by Saturday morning.  The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.9   Thu  9 AM   8.8   8.6   8.4   8.2

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Thu  9 AM   2.7   2.6   2.6   2.5

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$

TXC377-031507-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-191004T0046Z/
/PRST2.1.ER.191003T0926Z.191003T1100Z.191003T1404Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande at Presidio International Bridge.
* At  9AM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet (4.7 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at  9:04 AM Thursday.
* Flood stage is 15.5 feet (4.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.9 feet (1.8 meters)
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.5 feet (4.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 feet (5.1 meters) on 
Sep 22 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio Inter 12.0 15.5   15.3   Thu  9 AM  12.4   8.0   6.7   5.9

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio Inter  3.7  4.7    4.7   Thu  9 AM   3.8   2.4   2.0   1.8

&&

LAT...LON 2951 10446 2963 10437 2961 10430 2945 10435 2949 10443


$$
740 
WGUS44 KMAF 031957
FLWMAF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
257 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Recent rainfall has caused river levels to rise along the Rio Grande 
at Presidio 6WNW. The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
tomorrow night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued later this evening.

&&

TXC377-041156-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191006T1536Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1200Z.191006T0336Z.NO/
257 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

The Flood Warning continues for 
 the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Thursday the stage was 8.8 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 9.7 feet (3.0 meters) by Saturday early 
  afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.7 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Jul 19 2014.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.8   Thu  2 PM   8.7   8.5   8.2   8.1

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Thu  2 PM   2.7   2.6   2.5   2.5

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
635 
WGUS84 KMAF 040056
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
756 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Recent rainfall has caused river levels to rise above action stage
along the Rio Grande at Presidio 6WNW. It is expected to reach flood
stage early tomorrow afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued later tonight or early tomorrow morning.

&&

TXC377-041655-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191006T1600Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1200Z.191006T0400Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7PM Thursday the stage was 8.8 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 9.4 feet (2.9 meters) by Saturday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.8   Thu  7 PM   8.8   8.9   9.0   9.1

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Thu  7 PM   2.7   2.7   2.7   2.8

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
317 
WGUS84 KMAF 041506
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1006 AM CDT Fri Oct 4 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Flooding is expected along the Rio Grande at Presidio 6WNW through 
this weekend. The river is projected to crest above flood stage by
tomorrow morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-050705-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191007T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1200Z.191006T1200Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT Fri Oct 4 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9AM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) by tomorrow morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.9   Fri  9 AM   8.9   9.2   9.3   9.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Fri  9 AM   2.7   2.8   2.8   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
000 
WGUS84 KMAF 041853
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
153 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Flooding is expected along the Rio Grande at Presidio 6WNW this weekend. 
The river is expected to go above flood stage by this evening and to
remain there through Sunday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&

TXC377-051053-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191007T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1800Z.191006T1200Z.NO/
153 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1PM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) by tomorrow early afternoon.  
  The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.9   Fri  1 PM   9.2   9.3   9.4   9.5

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Fri  1 PM   2.8   2.8   2.9   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
994 
WGUS84 KMAF 050054
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
754 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.Monor flooding due to heavy rainfall the past week is expected along 
the Rio Grande above Presidio this weekend.  The river is expected to 
go above flood stage after midnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning.

&&

TXC377-051654-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191007T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1800Z.191006T1200Z.NO/
754 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7PM Friday the stage was 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 9.4 feet (2.9 meters) by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.0   Fri  7 PM   9.0   9.2   9.4   9.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Fri  7 PM   2.7   2.8   2.9   2.9

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453

$$
719 
WGUS84 KMAF 051319
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
819 AM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Minor flooding is ongoing along the Rio Grande at Presidio 6WNW and 
forecasted to continue through this weekend. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-060518-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191010T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1800Z.191009T1200Z.NO/
819 AM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7AM Saturday the stage was 9.1 feet (2.8 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.1 feet (2.8 
  meters) by after midnight tomorrow.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sat   Sun   Sun
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.1   Sat  7 AM   9.1   9.1   9.1   9.0

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sat   Sun   Sun
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.8   Sat  7 AM   2.8   2.8   2.8   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
874 
WGUS84 KMAF 051904
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
204 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Minor flooding is ongoing along the Rio Grande at Presidio 6WNW and 
forecasted to continue through this weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this evening

&&

TXC377-061103-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191010T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1400Z.191009T1200Z.NO/
204 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1PM Saturday the stage was 9.1 feet (2.8 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.1 feet (2.8 
  meters) by this evening.  The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.1   Sat  1 PM   9.0   9.0   9.0   9.0

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.8   Sat  1 PM   2.7   2.7   2.7   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
326 
WGUS84 KMAF 060055
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
755 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
The river has fallen below flood stage and this will be the
last statement issued for this forecast point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

&&

TXC377-060125-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-191010T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.191003T1115Z.191005T1400Z.191005T2207Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* At  7PM Saturday the stage was 8.9 feet (2.7 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at 17:07 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 8.8 feet (2.7 meters)
  by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 12 2019.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    8.9   Sat  7 PM   8.8   8.8   8.7   8.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.7   Sat  7 PM   2.7   2.7   2.7   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 3, 5:09 AM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 5:09 AM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
509 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

.DISCUSSION...

See 12Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Sat imagery shows high cloud streaming over the area, which should
retard stratus development this morning. Forecast soundings
develop a widespread, low-based cu field by late morning. A cold
front will try to make its way into the area after 00Z, but
models are still out to lunch on how far it'll get. Forecast
soundings suggest post-frontal stratus will be possible Fri
night, affecting mainly KHOB, KCNM, and KMAF.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 409 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019/

DISCUSSION...

A much quieter night tonight across western portions of the area
than the past few nights, though another round of showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop by later this morning as a
cold front sags south through the Panhandle and eastern New
Mexico. Precipitable water remains anomalously high, 1.48 inches
per the 00Z MAF sounding, still 2-3 standard deviations above
normal for early October. The axis of instability that brought
storms and localized flooding to the Marfa Plateau, Davis
Mountains, and NW Permian Basin on Wednesday will shift westward
today, with the focus for storms expected to once again extend
from Southeast New Mexico south-southwestward toward the Van Horn
area. Some locations in this area have received upwards of 2-3
inches of rain over the past few days, so runoff would be a major
concern with any additional precipitation. Given antecedent
conditions and potential for heavy rainfall today, have elected to
hoist another Flash Flood Watch for for Eddy county, northern and
central Lea county, as well as western Culberson county through
early this evening. While storms may persist overnight tonight, a
westward shift in the precipitation axis is expected, thus will
defer to the next shift for any potential extension of the watch
if needed. The southward progression of the aforementioned cold
front remains in question today, with the NAM consistently the
most bullish solution, thus yielding the coolest temperatures.
While there remain doubts as to how far south the front will
progress, have maintained slightly cooler temperatures today, with
highs in the middle 70s across northern Lea and Eddy counties, and
80s for most other locations except the Rio Grande Valley, still
a few degrees above normal for this time of year.

The upper pattern will finally begin to shift today, as the
persistent upper ridge anchored over the Central Gulf Coast
begins building westward, and the upper trough to the west finally
begins to progress across the Rockies. Gradually drier conditions
are expected Friday as the precipitation axis shifts westward in
response to the ridge, and after similar temperatures Friday,
850mb temperatures over the weekend will warm to +22C to +23C,
yielding highs a few degrees warmer Saturday and Sunday. As the
aforementioned trough moves across the northern tier of the CONUS
on Sunday, a strong associated cold front will begin to push south
across the Plains, expected to arrive in Southeast New Mexico and
West Texas possibly as early as Sunday afternoon. The front will
progress south through the region by Monday, yielding much cooler,
below normal temperatures in the 70s for most on Monday
afternoon. Guidance continues to indicate showers and
thunderstorms with the front Sunday night into Monday, and to a
lesser extent, Monday night, but for now have maintained slight
chance/chance PoPs, given uncertainty in the amount of moisture
that will be available. Model solutions diverge in their handling
of the upper pattern thereafter, though another cool day with lows
in the 50s and highs in the 70s/lower 80s looks likely on Tuesday
before temperatures begin warming through midweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     87  63  86  66 /  10  20  10  10
Carlsbad                       81  62  81  63 /  60  50  30  10
Dryden                         91  69  90  67 /  10  10  10   0
Fort Stockton                  86  65  86  64 /  10  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 74  58  75  59 /  70  50  30  20
Hobbs                          81  60  80  61 /  40  40  20  10
Marfa                          80  55  80  56 /  30  10  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           87  64  86  65 /  10  20  10  10
Odessa                         86  64  86  65 /  10  30  10  10
Wink                           87  66  88  65 /  20  30  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for Central Lea County-
     Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
     Northern Lea County.

TX...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Guadalupe Mountains
     Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn
     and Highway 54 Corridor.

&&

44/84/44
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 3, 2:26 AM CDT, 5 hours before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
226 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-040730-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
226 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 /126 AM MDT Thu Oct 3 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible today and tonight. Any storms that do
develop may be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, gusty
winds, and heavy rainfall which may result in flash flooding. A
Flash Flood Watch is in effect today for the Guadalupe and Delaware
Mountains, most of the Southeast New Mexico plains, and Van Horn and
the Highway 54 Corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 8:55 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFGaines3 hr
Oct 3, 4:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchMAFCulberson15 hr
Oct 3, 7:26 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMAFPresidio12 hr
Oct 3, 5:36 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFJeff Davis114 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.