High Wind Warning 19, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

180 
WWUS74 KMAF 101938
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
238 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 4800 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

...HIGH WIND WARNING TODAY THROUGH MID EVENING FOR THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS, VAN HORN HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR, UPPER TRANS
PECOS, MARFA PLATEAU, CHINATI MOUNTAINS, DAVIS MOUNTAINS
FOOTHILLS, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN...

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
SOUTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN, LOWER TRANS PECOS, PRESIDIO VALLEY,
CENTRAL AND LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY AND CHISOS BASIN...

.A strong upper level storm system is moving across the central 
Rockies into the western High Plains through tonight. This system
is producing high winds across Southeast New Mexico and much of 
West Texas.

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067-272>276-278-
110300-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190411T0300Z/
Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-
Southern Lea County-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-
Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, 
Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, 
Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, 
Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Van Horn, Pecos, 
Marfa, and Alpine
238 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019 /138 PM MDT Wed Apr 10 2019/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* WINDS...West to southwest winds 35 to 50 mph with gusts of 60 
  to 75 mph. 

* IMPACTS...This is a potentially dangerous wind event. People 
  driving high-profile vehicles should strongly consider 
  postponing travel until the winds subside. Severe turbulence 
  will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-277-110300-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190411T2000Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Davis Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
Pine Springs, and Fort Davis
238 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019 /138 PM MDT Wed Apr 10 2019/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT /2 PM MDT/
THURSDAY...

* TIMING...Through Thursday afternoon.

* WINDS...Guadalupe Mountains...West to southwest 40 to 75 mph 
  with gusts of 80 to 100 mph. Davis Mountains...West to 
  southwest 35 to 55 mph with gusts of 60 to 80 mph. 

* IMPACTS...This is a potentially dangerous wind event. People 
  driving high-profile vehicles should strongly consider 
  postponing travel until the winds subside. Severe turbulence 
  will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

&&

$$

TXZ068>070-075-082-279>282-110300-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190411T0500Z/
Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-Central Brewster County-
Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, 
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, 
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
238 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT...

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* WINDS...West to southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 
  mph. 

* IMPACTS...Secure lawn furniture, garbage cans or other objects 
  which could be blown about by the wind. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

306 
WWUS74 KMAF 110517 AAA
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1217 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.A strong upper level storm system has moved east of the Rockies 
Mountains with associated high winds in the mountains.

TXZ068>070-075-082-279>282-110630-
/O.EXP.KMAF.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-190411T0500Z/
Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-Central Brewster County-
Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, 
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, 
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
1217 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds have decreased below advisory levels.

$$

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-277-111145-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190411T2000Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Davis Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
Pine Springs, and Fort Davis
1217 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019 /1117 PM MDT Wed Apr 10 2019/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT /2 PM MDT/
THIS AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...Through Thursday afternoon.

* WINDS...West to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts of 65 mph.

* IMPACTS..High-profile vehicles difficult to control. Severe 
  turbulence will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. &&

$$

072 
WWUS74 KMAF 110833
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
333 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 4800 FEET THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON...

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR DAVIS
MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS, MARFA PLATEAU AND REEVES COUNTY...

.The storm system that brought high winds to the area yesterday 
will be slow to move out. Strong winds will continue today across
the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains and the Davis Mountains 
above 4800 feet. Very windy conditions are expected today across 
the foothills of the Davis Mountains, Marfa Plateau and Reeves 
County.


NMZ027-TXZ270-271-277-112000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190412T0000Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Davis Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
Pine Springs, and Fort Davis
333 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019 /233 AM MDT Thu Apr 11 2019/

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...West to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts of 65 mph.

* IMPACTS..High-profile vehicles will be difficult to control. 
  Severe turbulence will be hazardous for low flying light 
  aircraft. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. 
&&

$$

TXZ274-276-278-112000-
/O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0014.190411T0833Z-190412T0000Z/
Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Pecos, Marfa, and Alpine
333 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...Through early this afternoon. 

* WINDS...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Secure lawn furniture, garbage cans or other objects 
  which could be blown about by the wind.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

990 
WWUS74 KMAF 111942
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
242 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE
MOUNTAINS AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 4800 FEET THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR DAVIS
MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS, MARFA PLATEAU AND REEVES COUNTY...

.The storm system that brought high winds to the area yesterday
will be slow to move out. Strong winds will continue today across
the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains and the Davis Mountains
above 4800 feet. Very windy conditions are expected today across
the foothills of the Davis Mountains, Marfa Plateau and Reeves
County.

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-277-120000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190412T0000Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Davis Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
Pine Springs, and Fort Davis
242 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019 /142 PM MDT Thu Apr 11 2019/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...West to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts of 65 mph.

* IMPACTS..High-profile vehicles will be difficult to control. 
  Severe turbulence will be hazardous for low flying light 
  aircraft. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. 
&&

$$

TXZ274-276-278-120000-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-190412T0000Z/
Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Pecos, Marfa, and Alpine
242 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...Through early this afternoon.

* WINDS...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Secure lawn furniture, garbage cans or other objects 
  which could be blown about by the wind. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1223 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
High Wind Watch in effect for all TAF sites except FST. With high
wind expected today for the Guadalupe Mountains low flying
aircraft should be prepared for potential for severe turbulence.
Strong and gusty wind expected to develop before midday as strong
wind aloft mixes down. Blowing dust expected with MVFR vsbys
possible. Will be issuing a AWW for MAF today.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 359 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2019/

UPDATE...

Updated to include Fire Wx Discussion.

FIRE WEATHER...

Critical fire weather conditions are expected today across southeast
New Mexico and the Guadalupe Mountains where a Red Flag Warning is
in effect. High to extreme fire danger is expected for today across
the above mentioned area and ERC percentiles will generally be in
the 50 to 74 percentile range. RFTI values will get up to 6-8 across
portions of Eddy County and the Guadalupe Mountains this afternoon
and temperatures will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal.

The base of an upper trough will begin moving over the region
Wednesday. Strong winds in the base of this trough will mix down to
the surface across the CWA. This will result in VERY windy west
winds with possible high winds across much of the area. Winds of at
least 30 mph sustained are expected across most of the CWA with much
higher winds in the mountains. These west winds will also result in
VERY dry conditions with minimum relative humidity values in the
single digits across pretty much the whole CWA with values as low as
4 percent possible along the Rio Grande. RFTI values will be high
with values up to 8 and 9 expected across parts of the area. Extreme
fire weather conditions will be present on Wednesday.

Dry and windy conditions will again be present on Thursday but won't
be as extreme as on Wednesday across most of the area.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 301 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2019/

DISCUSSION...

  * Widespread high winds and extremely critical fire weather
    conditions expected Wednesday

  * Much cooler heading into the weekend, with chance for
    precipitation Friday night and Saturday

This afternoon, it feels much more like summer than spring, with
many locations across the area into the upper 80s and lower 90s,
with near record and even some record high temperatures possible
over the next few hours. Midland's record high for today has
already been tied, with the current (300 PM CDT) temperature and
record high both at 95 degrees (2011). The anomalously warm
temperatures and breezy to windy conditions have also resulted in
critical fire weather conditions across the Guadalupe Mountains
and Southeast New Mexico Plains this afternoon into this evening.
Additional details can be found in the Fire Weather Discussion
below.

An upper trough currently located over the Pacific Northwest per
latest water vapor imagery will quickly deepen and translate
eastward across the Rockies, reaching eastern Colorado by early
Wednesday afternoon. A closed low is progged to develop, with
rapid cyclogenesis commencing as the low moves into the Central
Plains Wednesday night. While the Northern Plains and Upper
Midwest will receive a late season snowstorm with this system,
Southeast New Mexico and West Texas will experience widespread
high winds. Confidence is high in the potential for widespread
damaging winds, as winds throughout the column are anomalously
strong, especially over the area extending from Southeast New
Mexico and the Trans Pecos northeastward across the South Plains.
Per NAEFS data, the 700mb wind anomaly over Southeast New Mexico
on Wednesday afternoon exceeds 5 standard deviations above normal,
with +2 to +4 SDs across much of the region Wednesday afternoon
into Wednesday evening at 850mb, 700mb, and 500mb. Deep mixing
will bring these winds to the surface, with the strongest winds in
our area across the higher terrain, Southeast New Mexico, the
Upper Trans Pecos, and western Permian Basin. Have elected to
maintain the High Wind Watch at this time, given a few
uncertainties about the timing of onset as well as the extent of
the stronger winds to the south and east further away from the
wind maxima. The duration of high winds, particularly across the
higher terrain, may also need to be extended as guidance indicates
the low will be slow to lift northeastward, with winds slow to
decrease in those areas.

While temperatures will be several degrees cooler on Wednesday as
the 850mb thermal ridge is shunted eastward, highs will remain
well above normal. Given the very windy conditions, RHs will
plummet into the single digits, resulting in extremely critical
fire weather conditions with extreme fire danger areawide.
As the potent system responsible for the winds and increased fire
danger lifts northeastward, much cooler temperatures are expected
to end the week. Highs by Thursday and Friday will be closer to
normal, ranging from the 60s north to 80s south.

Early Saturday, a cold front will sag into the area ahead of the
next upper level system, progged to move east across New Mexico
and into West Texas by Saturday afternoon. The more southerly
track of the system bodes well for increased rain chances across
the region, particularly along and north of I-10 Friday night
through Saturday. Have maintained mention of thunderstorms,
though instability should be limited, thus severe weather is not
currently expected. Rain chances will end from west to east on
Saturday night as the trough exits the region, with dry conditions
forecast thereafter. Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool
through the weekend, with subfreezing temperatures possible across
northern Lea county early Sunday morning. Temperatures will then
rebound back above normal into the 80s for most by early next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     94  50  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       83  47  72  42 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         99  58  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  96  51  76  46 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 73  44  63  43 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          83  44  68  38 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                          86  42  67  36 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           93  50  73  44 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         91  49  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           92  48  74  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM Wednesday to midnight MDT Wednesday
     night for Southeast Plains.

     High Wind Watch from 6 AM MDT Wednesday through Wednesday
     evening for Central Lea County-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea
     County.

     Red Flag Warning until midnight MDT Wednesday night for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

TX...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning to 1 AM
     CDT /midnight MDT/ Thursday for Andrews-Big Bend Area-
     Borden-Crane-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Dawson-Ector-
     Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-
     Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County and
     Upper Trans Pecos-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway
     54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

     High Wind Watch from 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ this morning through
     this evening for Andrews-Borden-Chinati Mountains-Davis
     Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern
     Culberson County-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains
     Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-
     Loving-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Reeves County
     Plains-Scurry-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

     Red Flag Warning until 1 AM CDT /midnight MDT/ Thursday for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
356 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-110900-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
356 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2019 /256 AM MDT Wed Apr 10 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to damaging winds are possible across Southeast New Mexico
and much of West Texas today. A High Wind Warning is in effect for
much of the region.

Unusually warm...very dry...and very windy conditions will result in
the potential for extreme fire weather conditions today for
Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. A Red Flag Warning is in effect
for all of Southeast New Mexico and West Texas.

Blowing dust is expected this afternoon and evening across much of
the region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland