Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 41, NWS Little Rock, AR

May 29, 20194 counties in Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at May 29, 2019, 7:47 PM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2019, 7:47 PM CDT (00:47 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2019, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Hot Spring County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 267 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2019-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 97 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2019-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 62 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
97 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1698 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 29, 6:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 6:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 4:38 AM CDT, 15 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
438 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
438 AM CDT Wed May 29 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the
morning across portions of northern Arkansas. Another round or two
of showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this
afternoon and evening across a good portion of the state. Some
storms could be strong to severe. Damaging winds and large hail
would be the main concerns with any severe storms. An isolated
tornado can not be ruled out as well.

Localized flash flooding will be a concern over the northwestern
half of the state where two to four inches of rainfall will be
possible through tonight. Localized higher amounts will be
possible.

The Arkansas River will continue to rise. Major flooding is
expected through tonight west of Conway. This includes water over
roads, many acres of land, and engulfing some homes and
businesses.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Major flooding is expected at most forecast points along the
Arkansas River. This will be an historic event, with record or near
record crests in some cases. Crests will begin to occur at points
upstream of Morrilton by Friday, with areas downstream expected to
crest this weekend through next week. Arkansas River levels will
remain high for several days, perhaps into mid-June.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening across
northern and western Arkansas.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to https://weather.gov/lzk.

230

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 29, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 29, 6:51 PM CDT, 56 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 29, 6:52 PM CDT, 55 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 29, 6:56 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 29, 6:56 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 29, 6:59 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 7:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWoodruff46 min
May 29, 7:41 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZKConway, Van Buren3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.