Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 263, NWS Lubbock, TX

June 15, 2019Castro County, Parmer County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2019, 5:12 PM CDT for Castro County, Parmer County, Texas. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2019, 5:12 PM CDT (22:12 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2019, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Lubbock, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Castro County, TX, Parmer County, TX

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 15, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 288 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 149 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 92 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
149 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-518 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2624 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 2:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 2:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
244 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Heat and high based thunderstorms remain in the forecast for the
remainder of today and tonight as an upper level shortwave trough
moves across New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle by tonight and
begins to flatten. A strengthening dryline gradient will peak this
evening, extending roughly along the I27/87 corridor. Once the
trough opens into a wave tonight, we'll see the potential for
storms to become more organized over the Rolling Plains after
sunset. The overall conditional threat lessens confidence, but if
the storms are able to strengthen enough to overcome capping
issues, the primary threat will be golf ball size hail and wind
gusts up to 70 MPH.

Sunday will be cooler as upper level heights lower behind the exiting
trough and northwest flow aloft sets in over a weak cold front
that filters in behind tonights convection. Despite less
instability, the Rolling Plains will be in a marginal risk for
severe thunderstorms tomorrow. Higher surface instability off the
Caprock will be enhanced by higher dewpoints. Large hail and
strong winds gusts will once again be the primary threats.

Daily chances of thunderstorms will continue into the new work
week as weak forcing over dewpoints steadily in the 50s and 60s.
Models have been fairly consistent with a signal for an MCS
developing in northeast New Mexico on Monday night and pushing
through the Texas Panhandle with outflow possibly initiating
convection over the southern Texas Panhandle and Rolling Plains
into early Tuesday morning. A drier airmass begins to set in by
midweek and may lead to near triple digit heat for the second half
of the week into next weekend.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

55
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 3:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:39 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHale66 min
Jun 14, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBFloyd, Motley66 min
Jun 14, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCottle, King67 min
Jun 15, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Castro, Lamb, Parmer61 min
Jun 15, 4:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCastro, Hale, Lamb, Swisher56 min
Jun 15, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBFloyd, Hale, Swisher58 min
Jun 15, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Dickens, Floyd, Motley56 min
Jun 15, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Floyd, Hale, Swisher59 min
Jun 15, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Floyd, Hall, Motley31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.