Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2019

Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Lubbock, TX

February 23, 2019Yoakum County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this red flag warning at Feb 23, 2019, 3:31 AM CST for Yoakum County, Texas. It took effect at Feb 23, 2019, 10:00 AM CST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2019, 3:31 AM CST (09:31 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 23, 2019, 10:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 23, 2019, 5:13 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Lubbock, TX

County Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-02-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-02-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1646 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 23, 2:57 AM CST, 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 2:57 AM CST, 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
257 AM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Already intense upper low centered near Clines Corner, New Mexico
will cross the northern Texas Panhandle between daybreak and 10
am, deepening another 30 meters or so at the 500 millibar level.
This will further tighten the height gradients leading to a likely
high wind event for our area. The 700 millibar gradient of 100
meters or higher in about 200 nautical miles supports high winds
of 40+ mph and 60 to 65 mph gusts which is fairly close as well to
our MOS guidance wind speeds, and are favored in this pattern.
Winds should peak close to midday then gradually diminish.
Temperatures will cool slightly today as winds veer more to the
northwest behind the Pacific cold front. Expect plenty of dust
though with some cooling its always difficult to anticipate how
low visibilities from the dust will be. We continued most of the
previous forecast regarding the high wind threat.

This mornings stratus and fog should lift and clear out all areas
by around daybreak. We are ending the Dense Fog Advisory with this
issuance. Visibilities appear to be improving not only on the
Caprock within the past hour, but also now over the Rolling Plains.

Beyond, an extended period of near zonal westerly flow aloft is
still expected. A mid week wave currently looks to have a little
less amplitude than previous runs, but still may reflect as it
crosses the area on Wednesday. Generally mild and dry expected to
dominate along with breezy conditions. Might expect a modest cold
front the end of the week if low pressure over the Pacific
Northwest ejects into the Rockies, but solutions are increasingly
out of phase with this wave by the end of the week so confidence
is not high for a notable cold front. RMcQueen

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Very strong winds today bring an automatic risk of wildfire spread,
though modest cooling will limit relative humidity lowering. Fuels
also expected to remain mostly between the 50th and 74th percentiles
for ERC. We have opted to issue a Red Flag Warning for Yoakum County
in the southwestern South Plains where it appears strong wind and low
humidity will overlap in addition to some of the highest ERC levels
in this area. We are issuing a Fire Danger Statement for the entire
remainder of the area because of the high winds. Winds should ease
further early this evening as the upper low spins quickly into
northern Missouri. RMcQueen

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from 6 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this
evening for TXZ021>044.

Red Flag Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this
evening for TXZ039.

&&

05/99
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 3:25 AM CST, 6 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 23, 3:19 AM CST, 12 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 22, 9:30 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLUBBriscoe, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd and 10 more6 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2019Every red flag warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.