Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Lubbock, TX

178 
WGUS74 KLUB 240115
FFSLUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
815 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

TXC219-303-240200-
/O.CON.KLUB.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190524T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lubbock TX-Hockley TX-
815 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN LUBBOCK AND SOUTHEASTERN HOCKLEY COUNTIES...

At 811 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
thunderstorms were beginning to move out of the warned area. Up to 
one and a half inches of rain have already fallen. 

City of Lubbock reports one vehicle washed into drainage ditch on 
east bound access road of South Loop 289.  Numerous other reports of 
flooding have been received.  Although the rain was ending, runoff 
adn flooding will continue.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Lubbock, Wolfforth, Texas Tech University, Slide, Downtown Lubbock,
Lubbock South Plains Mall, Reese Center, Ropesville and Lubbock
Science Spectrum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.


&&

LAT...LON 3361 10160 3340 10195 3340 10217 3360 10201

$$

LIPE

633 
WGUS74 KLUB 240134
FFSLUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
834 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

TXC219-240139-
/O.CAN.KLUB.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190524T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hockley TX-
834 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOCKLEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to
heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3343 10206 3344 10208 3360 10188 3361 10171
      3361 10168 3341 10194

$$

TXC303-240200-
/O.CON.KLUB.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190524T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lubbock TX-
834 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN LUBBOCK COUNTY...

At 829 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
that the thunderstorm that produced the intense rain has moved out 
of the city of Lubbock and the Warned area.  

Up to two inches of rain have already fallen and flash flooding is 
expected to slowly diminish.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Lubbock, Wolfforth, Lubbock South Plains Mall, Texas Tech University 
and Downtown Lubbock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 3343 10206 3344 10208 3360 10188 3361 10171
      3361 10168 3341 10194

$$

LIPE

050 
WGUS74 KLUB 240151
FFSLUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
851 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

TXC303-240200-
/O.EXP.KLUB.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-190524T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lubbock TX-
851 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LUBBOCK COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 900 PM CDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters area slowly receding. 
Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3343 10206 3344 10208 3360 10188 3361 10171
      3361 10168 3341 10194

$$

LIPE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
630 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

.AVIATION...
Thunderstorms are expected to impact KLBB for the next couple of
hours or so. They will bring strong and variable winds and
possibly reduce visbys with heavy rain. These same storms could
impact KPVW but chances are more uncertain due to the isolated
coverage of the storms. Chances of storms are even less at KCDS
but could impact KCDS around 06-10Z. Low CIGS may come back in to
all TAF sites after midnight and may persist until early
Friday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 235 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Analysis of this afternoon's data continues to suggest the current
forecast is on track. We continue to see a risk of a few
thunderstorms developing across the far northern South Plains and
southwestern Texas Panhandle near a dryline bulge/triple point.

The upper low sub-core across northern AZ is still noted on WV
imagery and should arrive near the four corners later this
afternoon. This is a common position for late spring severe
weather in West Texas.

The cold front has dipped into Parmer and Castro county and become
stationary; it is set up near the US HWY 60 corridor. A cap
of 1-3C remains in place south of this boundary as evidenced by
AMDAR soundings out of KLBB. Convergence across the dryline is
quite weak at this time but the continued effects of diurnal
heating should get us close to convective temperatures out near
the TX/NM state line which is where the dryline has become better
established. The cumulus field continues to yield some instances
of towering Cu though the updrafts appear to be succumbing to the
cap. The longer that convection holds off, the more primed the
loaded gun will get with SBCape already in the 3-4kJ/kg. Winds
have started to back up in our northern zones in response to
pressure falls near the triple point INVOF Parmer county. This
portion of the CWFA is where our greatest tornado risk will likely
be with more of a hail/wind threat further down the dryline
though tornadoes will certainly be possible in locally enhanced
helicity near rotating cells. With little eastward movement of the
line, cell training may pose a flooding threat yet the signals
are mixed as to the sustainment and coverage of storms into the
evening and overnight hours. The synoptic and mesoscale patterns
and PWAT values do suggest a flooding potential if things can grow
upscale. Our flood watch is in effect until 11Z and we will
continue to reevaluate the evolution through the evening and
overnight hours as we may see a continuation of heavy rain into
Friday. For severe threats, baseball hail and 70 mph winds seem to
be fitting given the CAPE/shear balance and antecedent
environmental factors.

For the period Friday through Wednesday: Southwesterly flow
will persist over the region and much of the severe risk will
depend on the longevity of what activity precedes a given forecast
period. The current outlook suggest that areas west of I-27 will
see the most recurring risk of thunderstorm activity with ares
toward Aspermont perhaps receiving scant to no rainfall. A push of
the surface boundary now looks to occur on Monday though data
indicates a capped environment. The overall synoptic pattern
suggests that heavy rain could be a more pronounced threat than
severe though we will likely have windows of severe activity each
day. With such a dependence on previous-day's convection, we will
highlight the general mention of storms at this time and hit the
severe threat on a day by day basis.

Monday is a bit of a change from yesterday as the dryline surge was
previously progged to occur on Tuesday. However, this makes sense
if the models are correct in ejecting the southwestern UL low.
Things appear to be dry (consistently) on Tuesday with storm
chances on the increase later in the week once again.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 6 AM CDT Friday for TXZ022>026-028>031-033>036-
039>041.

&&

01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1246 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

TXZ021>044-240600-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1246 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are possible late this afternoon and
evening as a dryline positions itself along the US Highway 385
corridor. Hail up to the size of baseballs, strong wind gusts up
to 70 mph and tornadoes will be possible with the strongest
thunderstorm activity. A Flood Watch has been issued starting this
afternoon through early Friday morning due to the possibility of
heavy rainfall from training storms leading to localized
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Daily chances for severe storms are expected Friday through
Sunday as an active pattern continues across much of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
707 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0707 PM     HAIL             5 S WOLFFORTH           33.44N 102.01W
05/23/2019  E1.75 INCH       LUBBOCK            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900417

GDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
719 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     HAIL             9 SW LUBBOCK            33.48N 101.99W
05/23/2019  E1.00 INCH       LUBBOCK            TX   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT 105TH STREET AND MILWAUKEE AVENUE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900418

GDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
722 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     HAIL             2 SW MEADOW             33.32N 102.23W
05/23/2019  E2.00 INCH       TERRY              TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

            PICTURE SHOWED HAIL A LITTLE LARGER THAN GOLF BALLS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900419

GDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
727 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 PM     HAIL             4 SE WOLFFORTH          33.47N 101.96W
05/23/2019  E1.75 INCH       LUBBOCK            TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900420

GDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
729 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 PM     HAIL             7 SW LUBBOCK            33.50N 101.96W
05/23/2019  E0.88 INCH       LUBBOCK            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900421

GDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
735 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 W SLIDE               33.41N 102.00W
05/23/2019                   LUBBOCK            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL ESTIMATED 1/4 WAY TO THE GROUND. THE FUNNEL
            QUICKLY DIMINISHED BUT ROTATING WALL CLOUD REMAINS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1900422

GDS