Alert archive / Missouri / Winter Storm Warnings in 2019
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this winter storm warning at Dec 15, 2019, 3:35 AM CST for 20 counties in Missouri; 14 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Dec 15, 2019, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 39 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2019, 3:35 AM CST (09:35 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 15, 2019, 9:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 17, 2019, 12:00 AM CST
- In force
- 39 hr
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
All 34 counties
Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 9:30 AM CST | SNOW 0.1 | 2 Nnw Saint Charles, MO | |
| Dec 15, 9:46 AM CST | SNOW 0.3 | Mokane, MO | |
| Dec 15, 10:06 AM CST | SNOW 0.4 | 2 Ne Ashland, MO | |
| Dec 15, 10:20 AM CST | SNOW 0.5 | Columbia, MO | TWITTER REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 10:27 AM CST | HEAVY SNOW 1.8 | Flint Hill, MO | HAM RADIO OPERATOR OBSERVED 1.8 INCHES OF SNOW IN ONE HOUR NEAR FLINT HILL, MO. |
| Dec 15, 10:38 AM CST | SNOW 1.5 | Williamsburg, MO | |
| Dec 15, 10:55 AM CST | SNOW 0.3 | 1 Ne Dardenne Prairie, MO | |
| Dec 15, 11:00 AM CST | SNOW 1 | 2 Ene Columbia, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 11:05 AM CST | SNOW 0.9 | 2 Ne Ashland, MO | TWITTER REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 11:44 AM CST | SNOW 1.8 | 1 Sse Saint Paul, MO | |
| Dec 15, 12:00 PM CST | SNOW 2.5 | New Florence, MO | FACEBOOK REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 12:15 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Wright City, MO | FACEBOOK REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 12:24 PM CST | SNOW 0.5 | Saint Peters, MO | FACEBOOK REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 12:57 PM CST | SNOW 2.8 | Mexico, MO | |
| Dec 15, 1:00 PM CST | SNOW 1 | Hematite, MO | IN ONE HOUR. NOW SNOWING LIGHTLY. |
| Dec 15, 1:00 PM CST | SNOW 2.2 | 4 Sw Middletown, MO | |
| Dec 15, 1:16 PM CST | SNOW 1 | Saint Clair, MO | FACEBOOK REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 1:17 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Winfield, MO | |
| Dec 15, 1:19 PM CST | SNOW 1.3 | 1 Wsw Union, MO | |
| Dec 15, 1:30 PM CST | SNOW 3 | 1 Sse Troy, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 1:40 PM CST | SNOW 1.5 | Oakville, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 1:42 PM CST | SNOW 1.3 | Arnold, MO | SNOW IN 50 MINUTES. |
| Dec 15, 1:55 PM CST | SNOW 1.1 | Crestwood, MO | WITHIN 45 MINUTES. |
| Dec 15, 1:56 PM CST | SNOW 2 | 3 N Union, MO | WITHIN 1.5 HOURS. |
| Dec 15, 1:59 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Waterloo, IL | |
| Dec 15, 2:00 PM CST | SNOW 1.6 | 1 Sse Mascoutah, IL | |
| Dec 15, 2:00 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Barnhart, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 2:05 PM CST | SNOW 0.8 | Pacific, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 2:05 PM CST | SNOW 1 | Affton, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 2:05 PM CST | SNOW 1.8 | 3 S Gerald, MO | |
| Dec 15, 2:10 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Marthasville, MO | |
| Dec 15, 2:11 PM CST | SNOW 2.1 | Columbia, IL | MOSTLY FELL IN ABOUT 1 HOUR. |
| Dec 15, 2:25 PM CST | SNOW 2.5 | 1 W Kimmswick, MO | |
| Dec 15, 2:28 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Eureka, MO | |
| Dec 15, 2:31 PM CST | SNOW 1.8 | 1 Nw Murphy, MO | |
| Dec 15, 2:40 PM CST | SNOW 3 | 2 N Hawk Point, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 2:45 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 1.3 | Granite City, IL | . |
| Dec 15, 3:00 PM CST | SNOW 2.8 | Alton, IL | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 3:05 PM CST | SNOW 3 | 1 Nw Hazelwood, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:10 PM CST | SNOW 4.1 | 1 Ssw Wentzville, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:11 PM CST | SNOW 4.3 | Flint Hill, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:14 PM CST | SNOW 2.3 | 2 Ese Cedar Hill, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:24 PM CST | SNOW 1.5 | 2 Nw Elsah, IL | |
| Dec 15, 3:28 PM CST | SNOW 2.1 | Columbia, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:30 PM CST | SNOW 1.7 | Chesterfield, MO | CHRIS HIGGINS (FOX2). |
| Dec 15, 3:37 PM CST | SNOW 2.2 | Freeburg, IL | |
| Dec 15, 3:40 PM CST | SNOW 3.8 | 1 Sse Saint Paul, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:40 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 4.2 | Mexico, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:41 PM CST | SNOW 0.5 | New Bloomfield, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:41 PM CST | SNOW 3 | 1 Ese Saint Peters, MO | |
| Dec 15, 3:59 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 2 | Foley, MO | |
| Dec 15, 4:00 PM CST | SNOW 1.2 | Union, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 4:00 PM CST | SNOW 2.3 | Gray Summit, MO | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 4:02 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 1.4 | 2 Se Centreville, IL | |
| Dec 15, 4:14 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 2.5 | Foristell, MO | |
| Dec 15, 4:22 PM CST | SNOW 1.5 | 1 Ne Dardenne Prairie, MO | |
| Dec 15, 4:30 PM CST | SNOW 2.5 | Waterloo, IL | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
| Dec 15, 4:48 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 1.8 | Caseyville, IL | |
| Dec 15, 4:49 PM CST | HEAVY SNOW 2 | Ferguson, MO | |
| Dec 15, 5:00 PM CST | SNOW 4 | Hillsboro, IL | SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 237 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 743 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
796 WWUS43 KLSX 150935 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 335 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 MOZ034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-160000- /O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0004.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0003.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO- Jefferson MO-Lincoln MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO- Osage MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis City MO- Saint Louis MO-Warren MO- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Columbia, Fulton, Jefferson City, Mexico, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Sullivan, Union, and Washington 335 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central and northeast Missouri. * WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 1 inch per hour at times. Temperatures remaining in the upper 20s on Sunday and Sunday night will aid in the rapid accumulation of snow, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are %ctaExpectOccur%. Strong winds are also possible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. The latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-097>102-160000- /O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0004.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0003.191215T1800Z-191217T0600Z/ Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL- Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Pike IL- Saint Clair IL-Washington IL- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Cahokia, Centralia, Edwardsville, Litchfield, Pittsfield, Salem, and Vandalia 335 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest and west central Illinois. * WHEN...From noon today to midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 1 inch per hour at times. Temperatures remaining in the upper 20s on Sunday and Sunday night will aid in the rapid accumulation of snow, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are %ctaExpectOccur%. Strong winds are also possible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. The latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. && $$ ILZ095-096-160000- /O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0004.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.191215T1800Z-191217T0600Z/ Adams IL-Brown IL- Including the cities of Mount Sterling and Quincy 335 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and a light glaze of ice. * WHERE...Adams IL and Brown IL Counties. * WHEN...From noon today to midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures remaining in the upper 20s on Sunday and Sunday night will aid in the rapid accumulation of snow, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. The latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. && $$ MOZ018-019-026-027-160000- /O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0004.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Shelby MO- Including the city of Hannibal 335 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and a light glaze of ice. * WHERE...Knox MO, Lewis MO, Shelby MO and Marion MO Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures remaining in the upper 20s on Sunday and Sunday night will aid in the rapid accumulation of snow, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. The latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ079-MOZ072>075-084-085-099-160000- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.191215T1500Z-191217T0600Z/ Crawford MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO- Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Washington MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 335 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ Kanofsky
6 follow-up statements
942 WWUS43 KLSX 152102 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 302 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-097>102-MOZ034>036-041-042-047>052- 059>065-160915- /O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-Clinton IL- Cole MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Greene IL- Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Lincoln MO-Macoupin IL-Madison IL- Marion IL-Moniteau MO-Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL- Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Saint Charles MO- Saint Clair IL-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Warren MO- Washington IL- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Bowling Green, Cahokia, Centralia, Columbia, Edwardsville, Fulton, Jefferson City, Litchfield, Mexico, Pittsfield, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Salem, Sullivan, Union, Vandalia, and Washington 302 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central and northeast Missouri and south central, southwest and west central Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 1 inch per hour at times this evening. Temperatures remaining in the upper 20s through tonight will aid in the rapid accumulation of snow, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are expected. Strong winds are also possible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-160915- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Adams IL-Brown IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Shelby MO- Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, and Quincy 302 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Missouri and west central Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures remaining in the upper 20s on Sunday and Sunday night will aid in the rapid accumulation of snow, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ079-MOZ072>075-084-085-099-160915- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Crawford MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO- Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Washington MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 302 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ TES
543 WWUS43 KLSX 160351 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 951 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-097>102-MOZ034>036-041-042-047>052- 059>065-161600- /O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-Clinton IL- Cole MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Greene IL- Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Lincoln MO-Macoupin IL-Madison IL- Marion IL-Moniteau MO-Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL- Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Saint Charles MO- Saint Clair IL-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Warren MO- Washington IL- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Bowling Green, Cahokia, Centralia, Columbia, Edwardsville, Fulton, Jefferson City, Litchfield, Mexico, Pittsfield, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Salem, Sullivan, Union, Vandalia, and Washington 951 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation with heavy snow possible Monday. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central and northeast Missouri and south central, southwest and west central Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 1 inch per hour at times on Monday. Sub freezing temperatures will aid in the accumulation of ice tonight and the rapid accumulation of snow on Monday, especially on untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are expected. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-161600- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Adams IL-Brown IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Shelby MO- Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, and Quincy 951 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Missouri and west central Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ079-MOZ072>075-084-085-099-161600- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Crawford MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO- Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Washington MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 951 PM CST Sun Dec 15 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST Monday night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ Glass
668 WWUS43 KLSX 160937 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ILZ097-MOZ034>036-042-162145- /O.CAN.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Audrain MO-Monroe MO-Pike IL-Pike MO-Ralls MO- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Mexico, and Pittsfield 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation is expected. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...In Missouri, Monroe MO, Ralls MO, Pike MO and Audrain MO Counties. In Illinois, Pike IL County. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan for poor road conditions and allow extra time to reach your destination. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ MOZ072-073-162145- /O.UPG.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Crawford MO-Washington MO- 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation is expected. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Crawford MO and Washington MO Counties. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS....Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible at times today. This will cause rapid accumulation on roads and treacherous driving conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are expected to occur. Strong winds are also possible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. The latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-098>102-MOZ041-047>052-059>065- 162145- /O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Bond IL-Boone MO-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-Clinton IL-Cole MO- Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Greene IL-Jefferson MO- Jersey IL-Lincoln MO-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Moniteau MO- Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Saint Charles MO- Saint Clair IL-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Warren MO- Washington IL- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Cahokia, Centralia, Columbia, Edwardsville, Fulton, Jefferson City, Litchfield, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Salem, Sullivan, Union, Vandalia, and Washington 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation is expected. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of central and east central Missouri and south central and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible at times today. This will cause rapid accumulation on roads and treacherous driving conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are expected to occur. Strong winds are also possible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-162145- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Adams IL-Brown IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Shelby MO- Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, and Quincy 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation is expected. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Missouri and west central Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-162145- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Francois MO- Sainte Genevieve MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation is expected. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ Carney
447 WWUS43 KLSX 162127 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 327 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ILZ095-096-MOZ018-019-026-027-162230- /O.CAN.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Adams IL-Brown IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Shelby MO- Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, and Quincy 327 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Any accumulating snowfall this evening should be south of the area. $$ ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-098>102-MOZ041-047>052-059>065-072- 073-170600- /O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Bond IL-Boone MO-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-Clinton IL-Cole MO- Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Greene IL- Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Lincoln MO-Macoupin IL-Madison IL- Marion IL-Moniteau MO-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO- Osage MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Clair IL-Saint Louis City MO- Saint Louis MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Cahokia, Centralia, Columbia, Edwardsville, Fulton, Jefferson City, Litchfield, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Salem, Sullivan, Union, Vandalia, and Washington 327 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Light snow should continue tonight. Additional accumulations of a half inch to one and a half inches are forecast. * WHERE...Portions of central and east central Missouri and south central and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow, sleet and/or ice are expected to occur. Strong winds are also possible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ097-MOZ034>036-042-170400- /O.EXT.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0400Z/ Audrain MO-Monroe MO-Pike IL-Pike MO-Ralls MO- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Mexico, and Pittsfield 327 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Light snow is expected through this evening. Additional snow accumulations of a dusting to one half of an inch are forecast. * WHERE...In Missouri, Monroe MO, Ralls MO, Pike MO and Audrain MO Counties. In Illinois, Pike IL County. * WHEN...Until 10 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-170600- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Francois MO- Sainte Genevieve MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 327 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Light mixed precipitation should changeover to light snow this evening. Snow accumulations of a dusting to a half inch are forecast. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for a variety of winter weather conditions, such as snow, blowing snow, sleet, or freezing drizzle and rain. It only takes a small amount of wintry precipitation to make roads, bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots icy and dangerous. It is often difficult to tell when ice begins to form, so do not be caught off guard. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ Gosselin
859 WWUS43 KLSX 170402 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 1002 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 MOZ041-047-048-050-170515- /O.CAN.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Moniteau MO- Including the cities of Columbia, Fulton, and Jefferson City 1002 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Accumulating snow has ended across the area. $$ ILZ097-MOZ034>036-042-170515- /O.EXP.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0400Z/ Audrain MO-Monroe MO-Pike IL-Pike MO-Ralls MO- Including the cities of Bowling Green, Mexico, and Pittsfield 1002 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... Accumulating snow has ended across the area. $$ ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-098>102-MOZ049-051-052-059>065-072- 073-170600- /O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO- Gasconade MO-Greene IL-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Lincoln MO- Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL- Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Clair IL- Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Warren MO-Washington IL- Washington MO- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Cahokia, Centralia, Edwardsville, Litchfield, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Salem, Sullivan, Union, Vandalia, and Washington 1002 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. * WHERE...Portions of central and east central Missouri and south central and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning for snow means that heavy snowfall of 6 inches or more is expected. The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, if not impossible. If travel is necessary, make sure to exercise extreme caution. Begin your travel with a full tank of gas, and carry a winter storm kit which includes a shovel, flashlight, cellphone, food and water, and blankets of extra warm clothing. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ ILZ079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-170600- /O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Francois MO- Sainte Genevieve MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 1002 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. * WHEN...Until midnight CST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of accumulating snow will primarily cause travel difficulties. Roads may rapidly become slippery once the snow begins, so motorists should plan for a slower than normal trip. Be especially alert when approaching bridges, overpasses, and curves. In Illinois, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained on the Internet at traveler.modot.org/map/ or by calling 1-888-275-6636. && $$ Glass
909 WWUS43 KLSX 170601 WSWLSX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 17 2019 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-098>102-MOZ049-051-052-059>065-072- 073-170715- /O.EXP.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO- Gasconade MO-Greene IL-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Lincoln MO- Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL- Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Clair IL- Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Warren MO-Washington IL- Washington MO- Including the cities of Alton, Belleville, Cahokia, Centralia, Edwardsville, Litchfield, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Salem, Sullivan, Union, Vandalia, and Washington 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 17 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... Significant snowfall has ended across the region. The ongoing light snow will end west to east by 300 am with additional accumulations ranging from a trace to a couple of tenths of an inch. $$ ILZ079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-170715- /O.EXP.KLSX.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-191217T0600Z/ Iron MO-Madison MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Francois MO- Sainte Genevieve MO- Including the cities of Chester, Farmington, and Sparta 1201 AM CST Tue Dec 17 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... Significant snowfall has ended across the region and any lingering light snow will end by 100 am to 200 am. $$ Glass
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 14, 11:58 PM CST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 11:58 PM CST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1158 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019
.UPDATE...
Issued at 919 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019
Only some slight changes needed to the tonight portion of the
forecast to account for southeastward clearing of stratus. However
high and mid clouds from the Plains will spread back over the area
tonight in the wake of the diminishing lower clouds. I have
slightly tweaked lows down. Tonight is tranquil.
The anticipated winter storm is still on track for Sunday into
Monday. The new deterministic 00Z NAM and latest RAP are still on
target with snow spreading west to east across the area on Sunday,
beginning in central MO from 8-10 am, far eastern MO from 10 am to
noon, and across western IL during the afternoon. These
deterministic model runs have also shifted the axis of heaviest
snow a bit further south centered along the I-70 corridor.
Impressive isentropic lift and frontogenetic forcing is expected
to support a rather wide snow band with rates at times from 0.5 to
1 inch per hour. If these solutions are in fact correct with the
intensity and location then are current snowfall amounts during
the afternoon would need to be doubled, and closer to 4-5 inches
along this axis. I hesitate making alot of changes to the forecast
at this time based on 2 deterministic models when a closer
evaluation of the full model suite and ensembles may not fully
support this decided south shift. None the less, hazardous travel
is expected on Sunday and into Sunday night. The current winter
storm watch still is reasonable and will be converted overnight to
a series of winter storm warnings and advisories.
It still appears that the first wave of snow will exit by Sunday
evening and many areas may lose ice nuclei thus light freezing
rain or drizzle would occur. Another round of snow would then
impact the region on Monday/Monday evening.
Glass
&&
.SHORT TERM... (Through Late Monday Night)
Issued at 337 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019
Early this afternoon, a very broad-based TROF extended over much of
the CONUS with a W-SW flow aloft over our region. The strong storm
system that we have been watching carefully has come onshore and was
located over northern Arizona. At the surface, a cold front was to
the southeast of our region with colder air spilling in on NW winds.
An extensive area of clouds existed over much of the Midwest with
clearing in Iowa but additional cloud cover in Kansas already
sliding east towards our region that will likely limit any clearing
over our way. Temperatures were in the 30s for most of the area.
Quiet weather is expected tonight as we will be in-between systems.
In the meantime, colder air will settle in from a 1025mb area of
high pressure, resulting in min temps early Sunday morning mainly
in the lower to mid 20s. This will be key for what happens next.
The well-advertised next storm system continues to look set for
Sunday through Monday night. Confidence continues to increase on
the general characteristics:
(1) Two main waves of precipitation: one focused on Sunday
afternoon-evening and the other one on Monday, lingering into Monday
night. This longer duration into Monday night is a key change.
(2) The first wave on Sunday will primarily be in the form of snow
and will be driven by frontogenesis in a weak but slowly
strengthening broad WAA regime. The trend for this area seems to
have settled on a region near the Interstate 70 corridor, especially
for what could be focused bands of snow. If this materializes,
these bands of snow will be capable of heavy bursts of snow with
rates in excess of 1"/hour. The cold surfaces will allow snow to
accumulate on any untreated surfaces and result in hazardous travel.
This episode is expected to exit by late Sunday evening. Where it
lingers the longest will be capable of several inches of snow.
(3) The interlude between the two main waves of precipitation
will begin moving in from the southwest Sunday evening and
continue into early Monday morning and will feature intermittent
freezing drizzle or light freezing rain and a resultant ice
accretion for most areas. Only where cloud ice can hang on better
in far northern MO will precipitation types of snow linger.
(4) Cloud ice will be re-introduced enough with the concluding wave
of precipitation after sunrise on Monday and looks to now
linger into Monday night with the upper level system moving slower,
but with the broad moderate WAA regime continuing. Two upper level
impulses, one lead one Monday morning will bring cloud ice back into
the equation for much of the area near and north of I-70, should
transition the freezing drizzle back over to snow, with the main
system set for Monday afternoon and evening, expanding coverage of
snow at the expense of freezing drizzle into the southern portions
of the forecast area (southeast MO and far southern IL). This
second wave of precipitation, especially where it looks to
transition back to and continue as snow looks now to intersect much
of the area that will benefit most from the first wave of snow on
Sunday.
(5) Adding it all up, there continues to be a threat for several
inches of snow for areas near and north of I-70. Much of this
area, in fact, is flirting with Warning (6") criteria and with the
trends shaping up, this threat for higher snow totals is edging
closer to the I-70 corridor. For this reason, we are continuing the
Watch, but beginning it sooner and extending it longer in time. The
southern portion of the Watch will be converted to an Advisory where
lower snow totals and icing will be an issue.
TES
.LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Next Saturday)
Issued at 337 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019
Medium range guidance has been very consistent in keeping the mid
Mississippi Valley in cold, dry northwest flow Tuesday and into
early Wednesday behind the storm. It's unlikely that temperatures
will rise above freezing across northeast Missouri and west central
and south central Illinois with fresh snow on the ground, however
some mid and upper 30s look likely across parts of southeast
Missouri. Wednesday morning continues to look like the coldest of
the week due to a clear sky, light wind, and the snow cover. Lows
in the low to mid teens across most of the forecast area still looks
probable. Models show the low level ridge moving east of the
Mississippi Valley Wednesday as the upper level ridge builds into
the Great Plains. The combination of increasing southerly low level
flow and rising heights will bring warmer air back to Missouri and
Illinois for the latter half of the week. Areas with snow on the
ground will still be chilly Wednesday with heights struggling up to
near freezing, but parts of southeast and central Missouri should
warm up to the low to mid 40s.
The upper level ridge axis is forecast to move east of the
Mississippi River on Thursday. Low level warm advection will
continue with southwest flow Thursday and Friday and highs are
expected to climb above normal values for Thursday and Friday. ECMWF
has trended toward the GFS which brings enough low level moisture
out of the Gulf to produce some light rain across Arkansas and
southern Missouri ahead of a short wave trough on Friday. There's
still little if any precip indicated in our area, so have kept
Friday's forecast dry for the time being. Saturday looks dry as
well with the trough to our east...though it's a low confidence
temperature forecast with GFS showing slightly different surface
patterns with the GFS being the cooler of the two.
Carney
&&
.AVIATION... (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1142 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019
Stratus has largely cleared south of all but KCPS at 0530z. The
more solid edge should clear south of KCPS within the next few
hours although some patchy MVFR stratus could linger at KCOU and
the KSTL/KSUS as well through 07-08z. VFR flight conditions are
then expected to persist until around mid-morning Sunday.
Thereafter snow will develop/spread from western MO across the
region during the later part of the morning and through the
afternoon. Flight conditions will deteriorate after the onset of
snow eventually lowering to IFR with moderate snow possible at the
St. Louis terminals and KCOU. Snow will eventually change to
light freezing rain or drizzle during the evening.
SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:
Some patchy MVFR stratus will be possible through 07-08z,
otherwise VFR flight conditions are then expected until late
morning Sunday. Snow will develop/spread into the terminal from
the west near midday, with intensity increasing during the
afternoon. Flight conditions will deteriorate after the onset of
snow eventually lowering to IFR during the afternoon, with
moderate snow possible. Snow will eventually change to
light freezing rain or drizzle during the evening.
Glass
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to midnight CST Monday
night for Crawford MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-Saint
Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Washington MO.
Winter Storm Watch from 9 AM CST Sunday through Monday evening
for Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Franklin MO-
Gasconade MO-Jefferson MO-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike
MO-Ralls MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint
Louis MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO.
IL...Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM Sunday to midnight CST Monday
night for Randolph IL.
Winter Storm Watch from 9 AM CST Sunday through Monday evening
for Adams IL-Bond IL-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette
IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-
Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Pike IL-Saint Clair IL-Washington
IL.
&&
WFO LSXHazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 3:40 PM CST, 11 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 340 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-152200- Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO- Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO- Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO- Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO- Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL- Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO- Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO- Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO- 340 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Accumulating snow across much of the area is likely Sunday morning through Monday evening. Ice accretion from freezing drizzle or light freezing rain is also likely Sunday night and Monday for much of the area. Please refer to the Winter Storm Watch or Winter Weather Advisory for further information. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight. TES
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2019Winter Storm Warnings in Illinois, 2019Every winter storm warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.