Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2019
Special Weather Statement, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this special weather statement at Jun 26, 2019, 1:49 PM CDT for Warren County, Missouri. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 26, 2019, 1:49 PM CDT (18:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 26, 2019, 2:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 26 min
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
County Warren County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 702 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -228 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1290 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 149 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 120 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 26, 12:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 12:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 1213 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 .SHORT TERM... (Through Late Tonight) Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 CAMS like the HRRR depict at least widely scattered diurnal convection developing this afternoon with the best coverage across southeast MO as the atmosphere becomes unstable with daytime heating and as an MCV approaches from the decaying MCS over southwest MO early this morning. This convection should dissipate by late evening. The NAM model drops an MCS southeastward through northeast MO and IL late this afternoon and evening, while the 4 km NAM Nest is a little slower and further west with its MCS. Not real confident with the NAM solutions, but would not be surprised to see isolated to scattered showers/storms late this afternoon and early this evening across central and southeast MO and southwest IL. Slightly warmer and more humid conditions can be expected today and tonight as upper level heights gradually rise with south-southwest surface/low level winds. GKS .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 Thursday and Thursday night appear dry at this time as upper level ridging builds over MO and IL with continued southerly surface winds as the synoptic boundary remains well north of our forecast area. Daytime highs may be slightly warmer compared to Wednesday, although it appears that we will be getting into a typical Summertime weather pattern with persistent temperatures generally slightly above normal for late June. The NAM model continues dry for our area with the exception of an MCS dropping south- southwestward into northeast MO and west central IL late Friday night as it forecasts a back-door type cold front approaching our area as a surface ridge builds into the Great Lakes region. Difficult to forecast location and timing of an MCS that far out in time so do not have a lot of confidence in this solution, especially since the operational GFS or ECMWF model does not forecast a similar backdoor front. The weekend looks mainly dry with the mid-upper level ridge centered over Iowa and northern MO. The chance of convection will increase by Tuesday as the upper level ridge shifts east of our area and as a mid-upper level trough approaches western MO on Tuesday. GKS && .AVIATION... (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Thursday Afternoon) Issued at 1151 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 SPECIFICS FOR KCOU, KUIN: A remnant thunderstorm complex over southwestern MO was moving very slowly eastward at TAF issuance. This feature will support scattered SHRA/TSRA from around 26/21z through around 27/02z, but it is unclear whether SHRA/TSRA will extend far enough northward to affect KCOU. Similar concerns exist for KUIN due to a separate remnant thunderstorm complex which was located over extreme northwestern MO at TAF issuance. Otherwise, expect diurnal cumulus and light southerly to southwesterly winds. SPECIFICS FOR KSTL, KSUS, KCPS: VFR conditions are expected for the first 0-3 hours of the valid TAF period, but uncertainty increases after 21z. A remnant thunderstorm complex over southwestern MO was moving very slowly eastward at TAF issuance, and while it is expected to generate additional thunderstorms this afternoon, it is unclear how far north the convection might spread. VCTS from 26/21z - 27/02z seems appropriate at this time until the northern extent of the convection has been established. Otherwise, light southerly to southwesterly winds will persist through the period. Kanofsky && .LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...None. IL...None. && WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 26, 4:14 AM CDT, 9 hours 35 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 414 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-270915- Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO- Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO- Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO- Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO- Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL- Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO- Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO- Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO- 414 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and early this evening. A few storms may become strong with small hail and strong gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms across southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois on Thursday. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms across portions of our area both Monday and Tuesday afternoons. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight. GKS
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 26, 1:25 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service St Louis MO 125 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 ILZ097-261900- Pike IL- 125 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS UNTIL 200 PM CDT... At 125 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Barry, moving east at 10 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Pittsfield, Griggsville, Independence, Martinsburg, Baylis, New Salem, Detroit, El Dara, Time, Valley City, New Hartford and Summer Hill. This includes Interstate 72 between exits 31 and 35. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3957 9106 3974 9101 3973 9064 3947 9071 TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 281DEG 9KT 3965 9095 Britt
Local storm report, Jun 26, 1:30 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
130 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0125 PM HAIL CUBA 38.06N 91.40W
06/26/2019 M0.25 INCH CRAWFORD MO TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER INDICATED PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL.
&&Local storm report, Jun 26, 1:31 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
131 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM HAIL 4 NW WARRENTON 38.86N 91.19W
06/26/2019 M0.25 INCH WARREN MO TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED PEA SIZED HAIL AND SMALL
LIMBS DOWN.
&&Special weather statement, Jun 26, 1:37 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service St Louis MO 137 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 MOZ074-075-261900- St. Francois MO-Ste. Genevieve MO- 137 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN STE. GENEVIEVE AND WEST CENTRAL ST. FRANCOIS COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CDT... At 137 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Park Hills, moving northeast at 15 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Farmington, Bonne Terre, Desloge, Leadwood, Park Hills, Leadington and Frankclay. This also includes St. Joe State Park and Missouri Mines Historic Site. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3774 9057 3788 9063 3797 9044 3777 9035 TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 245DEG 11KT 3786 9053 Britt
Special weather statement, Jun 26, 1:49 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service St Louis MO 149 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 MOZ052-060-061-261915- St. Charles MO-Lincoln MO-Warren MO- 149 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL ST. CHARLES... SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT... At 149 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Warrenton, moving east at 10 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Wentzville, Troy, Warrenton, Wright City, Moscow Mills, Truesdale, Hawk Point, Innsbrook, Foristell and Cave. This includes Interstate 70 in Missouri between exits 188 and 203. This also includes Cuivre River State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3882 9123 3900 9122 3905 9089 3876 9092 TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 273DEG 10KT 3888 9115 Britt
The office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 1:37 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Saint Francois | 23 min |
| Jun 26, 2:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Sainte Genevieve | 30 min |
| Jun 26, 2:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois | 50 min |
| Jun 26, 2:29 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Franklin | 31 min |
| Jun 26, 2:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Sainte Genevieve | 52 min |
| Jun 26, 3:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 34 min |
| Jun 26, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 43 min |
| Jun 26, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 47 min |
| Jun 26, 4:25 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 3 hr |
| Jun 26, 6:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Louis | 2 hr |
| Jun 26, 6:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Saint Francois | 3 hr |
| Jun 26, 1:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Pike | 35 min |
| Jun 26, 2:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Pike | 27 min |
| Jun 26, 2:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Greene, Pike | 41 min |
| Jun 26, 3:05 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Calhoun | 40 min |
| Jun 26, 4:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Bond | 41 min |
| Jun 26, 5:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | Fayette | 46 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.