Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS St. Louis, MO

April 7, 2019Pike County, Missouri; Pike County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 7, 2019, 7:09 PM CDT for Pike County, Missouri; Pike County, Illinois. It was in force for 51 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 7, 2019, 7:09 PM CDT (00:09 UTC)
Expired: Apr 7, 2019, 8:00 PM CDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Pike County, IL, Pike County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 7, 7:52 PM CDT	HAIL 0.25	Louisiana, MO	HEAVY HAIL TO UP A 0.5 IN DIAMETER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 232 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 200 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1669 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 94 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

195 
WUUS53 KLSX 080009
SVRLSX
ILC149-MOC163-080100-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0022.190408T0009Z-190408T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
709 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  South central Pike County in west central Illinois...
  Northwestern Pike County in northeastern Missouri...

* Until 800 PM CDT.

* At 708 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Center,
  moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Law enforcement.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Louisiana, Atlas, Frankford, Pike, Spencerburg, Rockport and
  Ashburn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to shelter inside a strong building,  and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 9097 3939 9145 3945 9146 3960 9120
      3961 9094
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 269DEG 29KT 3950 9151 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Tilly

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 7, 6:46 PM CDT, 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 7, 6:46 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
646 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

.SHORT TERM... (Through Monday Night)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

Still waiting for activity to fire up this afternoon as pre-frontal
trof extending from west central Illinois south southwestward
towards Springfield, MO as of 19z Sunday slides east. Latest RAP run
still showing surface based CAPES between 1500 and 2500 J/kg through
early this evening, mainly along and south of I-70 corridor. This
combined with deep layer shear increasing to around 35 kts and
decent moisture convergence along the trof will see isolated/
scattered storms develop anytime now. Coverage will be sparse but
could see some isolated strong to severe storms for portions of
eastern MO and western IL through this evening with the main
threats being large hail and damaging winds. In the meantime, main
cold front is still progged to approach northwestern portions of
forecast area by late this afternoon with showers and storms
developing in this area by 22z Sunday.

Eventually the front will catch up with the pre-frontal trof and
merge, pushing the activity southeastward out of the forecast
area by 12z Monday, though some lingering showers are possible
over portions of southeast MO and southern IL through midday. Dry
and mild weather will prevail across the region Monday and Monday
night with clouds clearing out by late Monday afternoon.

Otherwise, some weak CAA tonight after front moves through with lows
in the upper 40s to upper 50s. Highs on Monday will be in the low to
mid 70s with lows Monday night in the upper 40s to low 50s.

Byrd

.LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Next Sunday)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

Still expecting dry and warmer weather through mid week with
highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s each day.

Extended models still show decent cyclogenesis over the Central
Plains midweek as upper level trough swings through, though have
minor differences in placement and timing, so kept NBM blend with
increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms beginning
Wednesday night through Thursday evening before exiting. With this
wound up system, it will be quite breezy on Thursday. Beyond
that, colder weather expected for Friday through Sunday with
another chance of rain Saturday afternoon through Sunday.

Byrd
&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Monday Evening)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

VFR flight conditions outside of showers and thunderstorms through
the forecast period. As for the precipitation, showers and storms
will taper off by 06z Monday at TAF sites. Southwest winds will
diminish and veer to the west then northwest after cold front
moves through late this evening.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:
VFR flight conditions outside of showers and thunderstorms through
the forecast period. As for the precipitation, showers and storms
will taper off in the St. Louis metro area by 06z Monday.
Southwest winds will diminish and veer to the west to northwest
after cold front moves through around 06z Monday.

Byrd
&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 7, 3:29 PM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
329 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-081200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
329 PM CDT Sun Apr 7 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms through midnight across the area.
A few of these storms could be strong to severe across eastern
Missouri and western Illinois through this evening. The primary
threats will be large hail and damaging winds.

Moderate to major river flooding is ongoing at points on the
Mississippi and Illinois Rivers. Please see the appropriate Flood
Statements for specific details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Major river flooding will continue or is expected to occur at
Saverton Lock and Dam on the Mississippi River and at Hardin along
the Illinois River. Moderate flooding will continue at several other
points on the Mississippi River. Please see the appropriate Flood
Statements for specific details.

There is a chance of thunderstorms from Wednesday night through Thursday
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed through this evening.

Byrd

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 7, 6:29 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
629 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     HAIL             VILLA RIDGE             38.48N 90.88W
04/07/2019  E0.70 INCH       FRANKLIN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GKS

Local storm report, Apr 7, 6:46 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
646 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     HAIL             UNION                   38.45N 91.01W
04/07/2019  E0.25 INCH       FRANKLIN           MO   PUBLIC

&&

JPG

Local storm report, Apr 7, 6:52 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
652 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             PACIFIC                 38.48N 90.75W
04/07/2019  E0.25 INCH       FRANKLIN           MO   PUBLIC

&&

JPG

Local storm report, Apr 7, 7:01 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
701 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             6 N PERRY               39.52N 91.67W
04/07/2019  E1.75 INCH       RALLS              MO   PUBLIC

&&

GKS

Local storm report, Apr 7, 7:02 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
702 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0659 PM     HAIL             4 S THE LANDING         39.51N 91.65W
04/07/2019  M1.75 INCH       RALLS              MO   911 CALL CENTER

&&

JPG

Local storm report, Apr 7, 7:05 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
705 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             EUREKA                  38.51N 90.64W
04/07/2019  E0.25 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

&&

JPG

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 7, 7:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LSX	Jefferson	42 min
Apr 7, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	46 min
Apr 7, 7:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair	36 min
Apr 7, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Greene	46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2019 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.