Severe Thunderstorm Warning 141, NWS St. Louis, MO

141 
WWUS53 KLSX 162004
SVSLSX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
304 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

ILC189-162014-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-190616T2030Z/
Washington IL-
304 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3850 8913 3851 8928 3864 8933 3881 8900
      3856 8885
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 243DEG 19KT 3859 8918 

$$

ILC027-121-162030-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-190616T2030Z/
Clinton IL-Marion IL-
304 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN CLINTON AND WESTERN MARION COUNTIES...

At 304 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Shattuc, moving
northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Centralia, Salem, Sandoval, Wamac, Central City, Odin, Patoka,
Fairman, Shattuc, Tonti, Hoffman, Junction City, Huey, Selmaville and
Ferrin.

This includes Interstate 57 in Illinois near exit 116.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 8913 3851 8928 3864 8933 3881 8900
      3856 8885
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 243DEG 19KT 3859 8918 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Glass

965 
WWUS53 KLSX 162018
SVSLSX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
318 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

ILC027-162027-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-190616T2030Z/
Clinton IL-
318 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CLINTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3850 8914 3872 8914 3874 8896 3856 8885
      3850 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 254DEG 20KT 3859 8907 

$$

ILC121-162030-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-190616T2030Z/
Marion IL-
318 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY...

At 317 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Odin, moving
east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Centralia, Salem, Sandoval, Wamac, Central City, Odin, Fairman,
Tonti, Junction City and Selmaville.

This includes Interstate 57 in Illinois near exit 116.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 8914 3872 8914 3874 8896 3856 8885
      3850 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 254DEG 20KT 3859 8907 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Glass

248 
WWUS53 KLSX 162030
SVSLSX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
330 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

ILC121-162039-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0141.000000T0000Z-190616T2030Z/
Marion IL-
330 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 330 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3850 8914 3872 8914 3874 8896 3856 8885
      3850 8913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 243DEG 19KT 3862 8901 

$$

Glass

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1256 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

Convection continues across parts of southern MO and southwestern
IL early this morning where low level moisture convergence is
maximized along the axis of a southwesterly low level jet, and
ahead of a weak shortwave or vorticity maximum. This convection
should gradually shift southward with time. Will continue the
Flash Flood Watch in parts of southwest IL until 12Z this morning
due to the ongoing showers/storms. The convection early this
morning across southeast MO and southwest IL should slowly
diminish or shift south of the forecast area by late morning.
Convection should redevelop by late afternoon, particularly across
southeast and central MO and southwest IL as the atmosphere
destabilizes ahead of an approaching MCV or vorticity maximum and
south of a cold front which will be sagging southward into
northern MO and central IL. This activity will likely weaken by
late Sunday night and should be confined to southeast MO and
southwest IL by this time as the cold front sags southward to near
COU and STL by 12Z Monday. Slightly cooler low temperatures can
be expected across northeast MO and west central IL Sunday night
behind the cold front along with lower humidities.

GKS

.LONG TERM...  (Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

Unsettled weather is expected for most of the upcoming week due
to a stalled frontal boundary across MO/IL. The upper air pattern
is forecast to remain quasizonal, providing little large-scale
impetus to displace the boundary. A couple of slow-moving PV
anomalies moving through the flow aloft will induce surface
reflections which then ride along the boundary. Any/all of these
features will support a chance of SHRA/TSRA through at least Wed
night. The most likely time period for precipitation will be Tue
night through Wed afternoon when one of these features will be
moving through the LSX CWA. At this time, the most likely time
period for "drier" weather (in a relative sense in terms of
precipitation coverage) would be on Thu and Thu night. Highs will
likely be in the upper 70s to low 80s in part due to widespread
clouds and precipitation.

The upper air pattern finally begins to shift late this week as an
upper ridge builds downstream of a closed low and deepening
trough axis. This will bring warmer temperatures to MO/IL for
Fri/Sat (current forecast highs in the mid/upper 80s may be a few
degrees too cool). The pattern shift will also bring a chance for
widespread precipitation as the aforementioned upper low begins
to lift through the northern CONUS and its trailing cold front
approaches MO/IL.

Kanofsky
&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

Activity has diminished across the forecast area as of 18z Sunday.
However with stalled frontal boundary draped across the forecast
area as well as remnant MCV and outflow boundaries, could see
isolated/scattered showers and storms pop up any time late this
afternoon through remainder of forecast period. So have vicinity
thunderstorm mentioned through forecast period. Front will begin
to slowly sink across the area overnight tonight, so will see
increasing low level moisture which will allow MVFR ceilings to
develop mainly north of this boundary. Added mention of MVFR
ceilings after 09z-12z Monday across all taf sites and remain MVFR
for rest of forecast period. Otherwise, light west winds will
become light and variable by this evening.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:
Activity has diminished across the metro area as of 18z Sunday.
However with stalled frontal boundary draped across the region as
well as remnant MCV/outflow boundaries, could see
isolated/scattered showers and storms pop up any time after 22z
Sunday, so added vicinity thunderstorm mention to TAF. Front will
begin to slowly sink across the area overnight tonight, so will
see increasing low level moisture which will allow MVFR ceilings
to develop mainly north of this boundary. Added mention of MVFR
ceilings after 12z Monday. Otherwise, light southwest to west
winds will become light and variable by 02z Monday.

Byrd
&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
506 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-170000-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
506 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms today and tonight. A few
thunderstorms may be strong enough to produce large hail or damaging
wind gusts.

Major river flooding is forecast to continue along parts of the
Missouri, Mississippi, Illinois Rivers as well as the lower Meramec
and Cuivre Rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the area each day

Major river flooding is forecast to continue along parts of the
Missouri, Mississippi, Illinois Rivers as well as the lower Meramec
and Cuivre Rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today and tonight across parts of
Missouri and Illinois.

Kanofsky

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1057 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW HIGHLAND          38.76N 89.69W
06/16/2019                   MADISON            IL   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE BRANCHES SNAPPED.

&&