Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 99, NWS St. Louis, MO

April 18, 2019Fayette County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Apr 18, 2019, 10:44 AM CDT for Fayette County, Illinois. It took effect at Apr 18, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 18, 2019, 10:44 AM CDT (15:44 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 18, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 22, 2019, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Fayette County, IL

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kaskaskia River at Vandalia (VNDI2). The gauge peaked at 23.64 ft at Apr 20, 2019, 9:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate15202504/1804/1904/2004/2104/2204/2304/24
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05592500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

128 
WGUS43 KLSX 181544
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1044 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Illinois... 

  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-191543-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0099.190418T1800Z-190423T0400Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T1800Z.190420T1200Z.190422T0400Z.NO/
1044 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Monday evening.
* At 10:30 AM Thursday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and crest near 22.6 feet by Saturday morning. The river is forecast
  to fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   16.47      21.0   22.6   20.5   17.0   15.0


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$
9 follow-up statements
095 
WGUS83 KLSX 190158
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
858 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia

  Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-200156-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T1120Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1200Z.190422T1120Z.NO/
858 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 22.5 feet by Saturday morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   18.62      20.2   22.5   21.2   17.9   15.0


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-200156-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
858 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW
* until further notice.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 425.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 425.7 feet by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 424.5 feet...Some cabins just below the dam are 
  inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/19  04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.77     425.7  425.7  425.7  425.7  425.4


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
493 
WGUS83 KLSX 191516
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1016 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia

  Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-201515-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T0730Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T0600Z.190422T0730Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until late Monday night.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 22.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   20.95      22.3   20.1   17.4   15.4   14.4


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-201515-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1016 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 425.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 425.9 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.75     425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
014 
WGUS83 KLSX 200132
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
832 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River...at Vandalia
                    at Carlyle Tailwater

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-210132-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T0700Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1200Z.190422T0700Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until late Monday night.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 23.4 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   22.57      23.4   20.7   17.5   15.3   14.5


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-210132-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
832 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle Tailwater
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 425.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is cresting near 425.9 feet. Additional rises may
  be possible thereafter.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/20  04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.87     425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
076 
WGUS83 KLSX 201605
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1105 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River...at Vandalia
                    at Carlyle Tailwater

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-211604-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T0600Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1430Z.190422T0600Z.NO/
1105 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until late Monday night.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   23.61      20.8   17.3   15.2   14.4   14.0


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-211604-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1105 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle Tailwater
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 425.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will remain nearly steady through Wednesday.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.90     425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.4


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
790 
WGUS83 KLSX 210132
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
832 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River...at Vandalia
                    at Carlyle Tailwater

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-220131-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T0600Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1430Z.190422T0600Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until late Monday night.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 23.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Agricultural levee begins to be slightly 
  overtopped.  No residences are affected at this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   22.95      20.8   17.3   15.2   14.4   14.0


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-220131-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
832 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle Tailwater
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 425.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will remain near 425.9 feet through Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 424.5 feet...Some cabins just below the dam are 
  inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/21  04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.92     425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.4


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
532 
WGUS83 KLSX 211447
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
947 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River...at Vandalia
                    at Carlyle Tailwater

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-221446-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T0712Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1430Z.190422T0712Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until late Monday night.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling and will fall below
  flood stage after midnight tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   21.38      16.8   14.6   13.9   13.7   13.5


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-221446-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
947 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW
* until further notice.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 426.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is cresting near 426.0 feet and will remain near
  this level through Friday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.95     425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
676 
WGUS83 KLSX 220126
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
826 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River...at Vandalia
                    at Carlyle Tailwater

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-230125-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T1200Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1430Z.190422T1200Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage  
  Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...State Highway J just east of County Road 206
  begins to flood near this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   20.12      18.0   14.4   13.9   13.7   13.5


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-230125-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
826 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle Tailwater
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 426.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall to near 425.9 feet by Tuesday
  morning.
* Impact:  At 424.5 feet...Some cabins just below the dam are 
  inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/22  04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.96     426.0  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
834 
WGUS83 KLSX 221455
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
955 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2019

...The flood warning continues for the Kaskaskia River in 
Illinois...
 
   at Vandalia
   at Carlyle Tail Water

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-231455-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T1644Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1430Z.190422T1644Z.NO/
955 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* The river is forecast to fall below flood stage late this morning.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.  
  Unprotected farmland begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26  04/27

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   18.53      14.3   13.8   13.6   13.4   13.3


&&


LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       



$$

ILC027-231455-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
955 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW
* until further notice.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 426.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will remain nearly steady through this week.
* Impact:  At 424.5 feet...Some cabins just below the dam are 
  inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26  04/27

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.97     425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9  425.9


&&


LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       



$$
597 
WGUS83 KLSX 230032
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
732 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2019

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Kaskaskia River at Vandalia

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Illinois...

  Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC051-230102-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-190423T1644Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.190418T2145Z.190420T1430Z.190422T1850Z.NO/
732 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Kaskaskia River at Vandalia.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  1:50 PM Monday.
* The river will continue falling to 13.7 feet by Wednesday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26  04/27

Kaskaskia River
  Vandalia        18.0   17.30      15.7   13.7   13.5   13.4   13.3

&&

LAT...LON 3903 8910 3903 8906 3885 8909 3879 8919
      3882 8922                       

$$

ILC027-240032-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.190403T0500Z.190406T1345Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
732 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kaskaskia River at Carlyle TW
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 426.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 423.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to remain at 426.0 feet. Additional rises 
  may be possible thereafter.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/23  04/24  04/25  04/26  04/27

Kaskaskia River
  Carlyle TW     423.5   425.98     426.0  426.0  426.0  426.0  426.0

&&

LAT...LON 3862 8936 3861 8933 3851 8937 3849 8942
      3854 8942                       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 18, 6:26 AM CDT, 4 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 18, 6:26 AM CDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
626 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Main focus through the period will be precip chance and rainfall
amounts.

The cold front is currently just southeast of a KJEF to KPPQ line.
The front is expected to slowly continue to move SE through the
area this morning. Believe the front will be SE of the CWA by Noon
today. Cooler temps will slowly filter in behind the front today.
That said, temps should rebound slightly across western and
northern portions of the CWA where a brief period of insolation is
expected today. However, this will be short lived as an extensive
CU field should develop and move into the area. The going forecast
may actually be too warm today. Elsewhere, the high temp for today
will be this morning with temps falling through the day.

A large upper trof currently extends through the Plains this
morning. This trof will continue to dig into the Southern Plains
through this morning with a series of s/w moving NE into the
southern MO/IL region today. This should spread waves of rain into
this region. The question then becomes, exactly where will these
rounds of precip track, potentially resulting in heavy rainfall
given the training nature. Given the current location of the cold
front and with good support from the latest NAM/RAP and the latest
RADAR trends, believe the heaviest rainfall will remain just SE
of the CWA. That said, SE portions of the CWA should see upwards
of 1.50 inches of rain through this evening. Have held off issuing
a Flood Watch for now, but will obviously be continuing to
monitor the situation.

Have kept ample clouds through Fri and added likely PoPs for
eastern portions of the CWA Fri afternoon. Believe there SHRA will
develop during the afternoon hours with strong CAA aloft.

Given the strong CAA expected on Fri, have trended toward the
cooler guidance for the eastern half or so of the CWA. With the
western half expected to see sun, have trended closer to a median
temperature.

Tilly

.LONG TERM...  (Friday through Next Wednesday)
Issued at 436 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

Easter weekend will be mainly dry except for over parts of northeast
Missouri and west central Illinois on Sunday afternoon when showers
and thunderstorms develop along a cold front.  The GEFS mean shows
this front lingering over the area into early next week which will
keep a chance of showers and thunderstorms over the area.

Temperatures will bring warm back up above normal this weekend as
850mb temperatures climb back into the 10-15C range.  Then ensemble
mean temperatures favor near normal temperatures for the first half
of next week.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Friday Morning)
Issued at 614 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Showers will come to an end at KUIN over the next hour or so with
an isolated shower possibly impacting KCOU as well. Cigs will
gradually improve through today, but will lower again tonight at
KUIN as low cigs move back west into the area. Believe these cigs
will remain just east of KCOU through the end of the TAF period.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL/KSUS/KCPS: A cold front will push south of the
area this morning. An area of showers is expected to move back
north into the area late this morning into the afternoon. However,
there is some uncertainty regarding how far north these showers
will make it and may remain south of the terminals. Otherwise,
cigs are expected to remain MVFR thru the TAF period, tho may lift
to VFR for a period this afternoon. This will depend on how far
north the rain moves into the area.

Tilly

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Saint Louis     60  46  55  41 /  70  20  10   0
Quincy          57  43  57  38 /  70  10  10   0
Columbia        59  44  59  39 /  30  10  10   0
Jefferson City  60  45  60  40 /  30  10   5   0
Salem           65  44  49  39 / 100  90  70  20
Farmington      64  44  53  39 / 100  70  10   5

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 18, 4:20 AM CDT, 6 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
420 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-191200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
420 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms will continue across portions of east central and
southeast Missouri as well as southwest Illinois through this
afternoon. Severe weather is not currently expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Sunday through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are asked to relay any wind damage or reports of large hail
that may have occurred overnight to the National Weather Service.

Tilly

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 18, 1:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXMadison38 min
Apr 18, 1:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair30 min
Apr 18, 1:37 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXAdams, Pike38 min
Apr 18, 1:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Fayette, Montgomery43 min
Apr 18, 2:01 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXAdams4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.