Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 89, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 30, 2019Lewis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 30, 2019, 6:08 AM CDT for Lewis County, Missouri. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2019, 6:08 AM CDT (11:08 UTC)
Expired
Apr 1, 2019, 9:07 PM CDT
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Lewis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 173 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Middle Fabius River near Ewing (EWMM7). The gauge peaked at 15.59 ft at Apr 1, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101503/3003/3104/0104/0204/03
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05498150, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

206 
WGUS43 KLSX 301108
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
608 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

.This Flood Warning is a result of near 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 48 hours and an additional inch forecast in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-311108-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0088.190330T1224Z-190403T0051Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.190330T1224Z.190401T0000Z.190402T0051Z.NO/
608 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  5:30 AM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 13.5 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is forecast to 
  fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   10.30      13.3   12.9    8.8    6.2    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-311108-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0089.190330T1108Z-190402T1851Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190401T0000Z.190401T1851Z.NO/
608 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  5:30 AM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.0 feet by tomorrow evening. 
  The river is forecast to fall below flood stage Monday early 
  afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   12.29      14.7   13.7    8.2    5.1    4.2


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-311108-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0090.190330T1142Z-190401T1617Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1142Z.190331T0000Z.190331T1617Z.NO/
608 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Monday morning.
* At  5:30 AM Saturday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  crest near 11.0 feet by this evening. The river is forecast to fall
  below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.10      10.0    7.3    5.0    3.2    2.8


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$
7 follow-up statements
333 
WGUS83 KLSX 301428
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
928 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

.This Flood Warning is a result of near 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 48 hours and less than 1 inch forecast in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-311428-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190402T2242Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190331T1800Z.190401T2242Z.NO/
928 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.7 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   13.70      16.6   14.7    9.3    5.7    4.5


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-311428-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-190401T1640Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1115Z.190331T0000Z.190331T1640Z.NO/
928 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Monday morning.
* At  8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 11.7 feet by this evening, then
  fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.27      10.2    7.3    5.0    3.4    2.9


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$
222 
WGUS83 KLSX 302051
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
351 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

.This Flood Warning is a result of nearly 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 48 hours and an additional one-tenth forecast through this evening...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-312050-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-190403T0900Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190330T1155Z.190331T1800Z.190402T0900Z.NO/
351 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  3:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.3 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   14.42             16.1   15.8   10.2    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-312050-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190403T0448Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190331T1800Z.190402T0448Z.NO/
351 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  3:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.9 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.60             16.6   15.2   10.3    5.8


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-312050-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-190403T0246Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1115Z.190331T1800Z.190402T0246Z.NO/
351 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  3:30 PM Saturday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 13.0 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.22             12.6   11.8    7.3    3.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

Maples
204 
WGUS83 KLSX 310113
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
813 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

.This Flood Warning is a result of around 2 inches of precipitation
since Thursday. Little to no precipitation is forecast in the next 
48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-010113-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-190403T1549Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190330T1155Z.190401T0600Z.190402T1549Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 14.8 feet by after midnight 
  tonight, then fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   14.75      14.5   14.9   11.7    7.5    5.8


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-010113-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190403T0632Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190401T0000Z.190402T0632Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.3 feet by tomorrow evening, 
  then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.58      14.6   14.4   11.0    6.1    4.6


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-010113-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-190403T0208Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1115Z.190331T1800Z.190402T0208Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 12.2 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.27      11.8   11.4    7.2    3.6    3.1


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

Maples
133 
WGUS83 KLSX 311413
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
913 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy precipitation over the 
past few days...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-011412-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-190403T1600Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190330T1155Z.190401T0000Z.190402T1600Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.1 feet by this evening, then
  fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   15.73      15.8   11.8    7.5    5.8    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-011412-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190403T1200Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190331T1800Z.190402T1200Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 14.9 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   14.67      14.6   12.0    5.8    4.4    4.1


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-011412-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-190402T1520Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1115Z.190331T0215Z.190401T1520Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 10.7 feet by this 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.44      10.0    6.1    3.7    3.0    2.8


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$
528 
WGUS83 KLSX 010134
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
834 PM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-020133-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-190402T1009Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190330T1155Z.190331T1800Z.190401T1009Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Monday night.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   13.71      10.6    7.7    6.3    5.7    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-020133-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190403T1221Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190401T0030Z.190402T1221Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   15.00      14.7   12.1    5.8    4.4    4.1


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-020133-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-190403T0054Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1115Z.190331T0215Z.190402T0054Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Sun Mar 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.80      10.7    6.9    3.7    3.0    2.8


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$
583 
WGUS83 KLSX 011332
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
832 AM CDT Mon Apr 1 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-021332-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190403T1324Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190401T1230Z.190402T1324Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Mon Apr 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  7:30 AM Monday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05  04/06

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   15.42      12.4    5.8    4.4    4.1    3.9


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-021332-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-190402T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.190330T1115Z.190331T0215Z.190401T1800Z.NO/
832 AM CDT Mon Apr 1 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 AM Monday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05  04/06

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.30       6.5    3.5    3.1    2.8    2.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$
578 
WGUS83 KLSX 020207
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
907 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2019

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-020237-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-190403T1324Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.190330T1009Z.190401T1845Z.190402T0109Z.NO/
907 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* At  8:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  8:09 PM Monday.
* The river will continue falling to 4.8 feet by Wednesday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/02  04/03  04/04  04/05  04/06

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   11.54       7.0    4.8    4.3    4.1    3.9


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 30, 3:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 3:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
359 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 357 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

Early morning water vapor imagery and the RAP 1.5 PVU analysis field
depicted a series of PV anomalies stretching westward from southern
KS back towards the west coast as well as a separate trough axis
extending from MB/ON into MN. Models remain in good agreement that
these two features will phase today/tonight over the OH/TN valley
regions.

At the surface, the aforementioned PV anomalies had induced a
surface wave of low pressure along a pre-existing quasistationary
boundary which stretched across the region. As that wave of low
pressure zips northeastward early this morning, the boundary will
begin sinking southward as a cold front. This will lead to falling
temperatures during the day for most of the area. Waves of SHRA with
isolated embedded TSRA will also continue today in the vicinity of
the boundary. Areas of precipitation will gradually sink southward
in tandem with the front. Between one-quarter and three-quarters of
an inch of additional rainfall is expected today across the
southeastern half of the LSX CWA before precipitation ends late this
afternoon and early this evening.

A 1030+ hPa surface high is forecast to build into the central CONUS
behind the front. Low-level cold air advection as well as clearing
skies will produce chilly conditions overnight with lows falling
into the mid-upper 20s across the area. The presence of the surface
high pressure center will ensure quiet weather for Sunday with highs
in the upper 40s.

Britt

.LONG TERM...  (Sunday Night through Friday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

Still expect the early next week to be mainly dry across the CWA as
the deterministic global models and the GEFS mean continues to show
the upper flow transitioning to quasi-zonal as Sunday's trough moves
off to the east.  A large surface high will move across the area on
Sunday night/early Monday which will cause the surface flow to turn
out of the southwest in its wake.  Models continue to show that a
low amplitude trough will move across the Upper Midwest on Monday
night/early Tuesday which may bring a slight chance of showers to
northeast Missouri/west central Illinois during this time frame. The
attendant cold front will move across the area on Tuesday, though it
will stall over the CWA late Tuesday/Tuesday night under the quasi-
zonal flow before moving back northward as warm front on Wednesday.
The next chance for rain will be Wednesday night into early Friday
when a trough will move out of the western CONUS into the Midwest
which will supply enough widespread ascent to bring showers to the
area.

Forecast temperatures are still expected to start out just below
normal on Monday as the surface high moves across the area, but then
climb above normal the Tuesday and Wednesday as the low level flow
turns out of the southwest. Temperatures will cool down closer to
normal late in the week behind a cold front associated with the late
week trough, though there is a great deal of spread in the GEFS
members meaning there is a some uncertainty in the temperature
forecast late next week.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2019

Surface low over southwestern Missouri will continue to track
northeast along frontal boundary. In the meantime, large
precipitation shield associated with the system is tracking to
the northeast through the forecast area. As the precipitation
moves through ceilings and visibilities will lower to MVFR/IFR at
all TAF sites. Thunder probabilities will gradually taper off
between 10z and 13z Saturday with lingering showers persisting
through the early afternoon hours before coming to an end. South
winds will veer to the north and pickup with gusts to near 25kts
at times after cold front moves through. North winds will
diminish after sunset on Saturday with skies clearing out.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:
Large precipitation shield associated with the system is tracking
to the northeast through the metro area. As the precipitation
moves through ceilings and visibilities will lower to IFR after
09z Saturday. Otherwise, thunder probabilities will gradually
taper by 13z Saturday with lingering showers persisting through
the early afternoon hours before coming to an end. South to
southwest winds will veer to the north and pickup with gusts to
near 25kts at times after cold front moves through by 13z
Saturday. North winds will diminish after sunset on Saturday with
skies clearing out.

Byrd

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 4:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
431 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-310945-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
431 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms this morning over southeast
Missouri and southwest Illinois.

Moderate to major river flooding is ongoing at points on the
Mississippi, Illinois, and Missouri Rivers. See the appropriate
Flood Statements for specific details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Major river flooding is expected to continue at Saverton Lock and
Dam on the Mississippi River and at Hardin along the Illinois River.
Otherwise, moderate flooding will continue at points on the
Mississippi and Missouri Rivers. See the appropriate Flood
Statements for specific details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

Britt

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 8:48 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion25 hr
Mar 29, 9:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCole38 hr
Mar 30, 6:08 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis48 hr
Mar 30, 6:08 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion61 hr
Mar 30, 8:13 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe37 hr
Mar 30, 3:26 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles15 hr
Mar 30, 3:30 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln34 hr
Mar 30, 6:03 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXReynolds19 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.