Alert archive / Illinois / Flash Flood Watches in 2019

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS St. Louis, MO

April 30, 2019Greene County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this flash flood watch at Apr 30, 2019, 3:43 AM CDT for Greene County, Illinois. It took effect at Apr 30, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 30, 2019, 3:43 AM CDT (08:43 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 30, 2019, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 2, 2019, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
54 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO

County Greene County, IL

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2019-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2019-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
737 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

467 
WGUS63 KLSX 300843
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

ILZ058-302200-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190501T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.FF.A.0002.190430T1800Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Saint Louis has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southwest Illinois... 
  including the following county...Greene IL. 

* from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will move across the Watch
  area this afternoon through Thursday morning. Rainfall between 2
  and 4 inches is expected. The greatest rainfall and highest
  rainfall rates are anticipated late this afternoon and tonight. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advanced notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-302200-
/O.EXB.KLSX.FF.A.0001.190430T1800Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-
Including the city of Litchfield
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Saint Louis has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of south central 
  Illinois and southwest Illinois...including the following 
  counties...in south central Illinois...Bond IL and Montgomery 
  IL. In southwest Illinois...Macoupin IL. 

* from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will move across the Watch
  area this afternoon through Thursday morning. Rainfall between 
  2 and 4 inches is expected. The greatest rainfall and highest
  rainfall rates are anticipated late this afternoon and tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advanced notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ065-069-070-074-302200-
/O.EXB.KLSX.FF.A.0001.190501T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, and Salem
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Saint Louis has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include a portion of south central 
  Illinois...including the following counties...Clinton IL... 
  Fayette IL...Marion IL and Washington IL. 

* from this evening through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will move across the Watch
  area mainly this evening through Thursday morning. Rainfall
  between 2 and 3 inches is expected. The greatest rainfall and
  highest rainfall rates are anticipated tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advanced notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-302200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, 
Hannibal, and Bowling Green
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* portions of west central Illinois and northeast Missouri... 
  including the following counties...in west central Illinois... 
  Adams IL...Brown IL and Pike IL. In northeast Missouri...Knox 
  MO...Lewis MO...Marion MO...Monroe MO...Pike MO...Ralls MO and 
  Shelby MO. 

* through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will move across the Watch
  area through Thursday morning. Additional rainfall between 2 
  and 3 inches is expected. The greatest rainfall and highest
  rainfall rates are anticipated late this afternoon and tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advanced notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ098>102-MOZ041-042-047>052-059>065-072-073-302200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0001.190430T1800Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-
Including the cities of Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia,
Columbia, Mexico, Jefferson City, Fulton, Saint Charles, 
Washington, Union, Sullivan, and Saint Louis
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* portions of southwest Illinois and Missouri...including the 
  following counties...in southwest Illinois...Calhoun IL... 
  Jersey IL...Madison IL...Monroe IL and Saint Clair IL. In 
  Missouri...Audrain MO...Boone MO...Callaway MO...Cole MO... 
  Crawford MO...Franklin MO...Gasconade MO...Jefferson MO... 
  Lincoln MO...Moniteau MO...Montgomery MO...Osage MO...Saint 
  Charles MO...Saint Louis City MO...Saint Louis MO...Warren MO 
  and Washington MO. 

* from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will move across the watch
  area this afternoon through Thursday morning. Rainfall between 2
  and 5 inches is expected. The greatest rainfall and highest
  rainfall rates are anticipated late this afternoon and tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advanced notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-302200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0001.190501T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Randolph IL-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Chester, Sparta, and Farmington
343 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* portions of southwest Illinois and southeast Missouri... 
  including the following counties...in southwest Illinois... 
  Randolph IL. In southeast Missouri...Iron MO...Madison MO... 
  Reynolds MO...Saint Francois MO and Sainte Genevieve MO. 

* from this evening through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will move across the watch
  area this evening through Thursday morning. Rainfall between 2
  and 5 inches is expected. The greatest rainfall and highest
  rainfall rates are anticipated tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advanced notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

TES
7 follow-up statements
918 
WGUS63 KLSX 302052
FFALSX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
352 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-010900-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, 
Hannibal, and Bowling Green
352 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois and northeast Missouri... 
  including the following counties...in west central Illinois... 
  Adams IL...Brown IL and Pike IL. In northeast Missouri...Knox 
  MO...Lewis MO...Marion MO...Monroe MO...Pike MO...Ralls MO and 
  Shelby MO. 

* Through Thursday morning.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will bring 2-3 inches of
  rain to the Watch area through Thursday. The greatest rainfall
  amounts and highest rainfall rates are anticipated through
  tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are 
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch 
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to 
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for 
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning 
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-098>102-MOZ041-042-047>052-059>065-072-073-010900-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-
Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-
Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-
Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Alton, Edwardsville, 
Belleville, Cahokia, Columbia, Mexico, Jefferson City, Fulton, 
Saint Charles, Washington, Union, Sullivan, and Saint Louis
352 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and Missouri...including the following 
  counties...in Illinois...Bond IL...Calhoun IL...Jersey IL... 
  Macoupin IL...Madison IL...Monroe IL...Montgomery IL and Saint 
  Clair IL. In Missouri...Audrain MO...Boone MO...Callaway MO... 
  Cole MO...Crawford MO...Franklin MO...Gasconade MO...Jefferson 
  MO...Lincoln MO...Moniteau MO...Montgomery MO...Osage MO... 
  Saint Charles MO...Saint Louis City MO...Saint Louis MO... 
  Warren MO and Washington MO. 

* Through Thursday morning.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will bring 2-3 inches of
  rain to the Watch area through Thursday. The greatest rainfall
  amounts and highest rainfall rates are anticipated through
  tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are 
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch 
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to 
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for 
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning 
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ058-010900-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
352 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southwest Illinois...including the following 
  county...Greene IL. 

* Through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will bring 2-4 inches of
  rain to the Watch area through Thursday. The greatest rainfall
  amounts and highest rainfall rates are anticipated through
  tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are 
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch 
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to 
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for 
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning 
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ065-069-070-074-079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-010900-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.190501T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-
Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, Chester, 
Sparta, and Farmington
352 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and southeast Missouri...including the 
  following counties...in Illinois...Clinton IL...Fayette IL... 
  Marion IL...Randolph IL and Washington IL. In southeast 
  Missouri...Iron MO...Madison MO...Reynolds MO...Saint Francois 
  MO and Sainte Genevieve MO. 

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will bring 2-5 inches of 
  rain to the Watch area through Thursday. The greatest rainfall 
  amounts and highest rainfall rates are anticipated through 
  tonight.

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are 
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch 
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to 
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for 
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning 
is issued.

&&

$$

Kanofsky
806 
WGUS63 KLSX 010837
FFALSX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
337 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-012200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, 
Chester, Sparta, Quincy, Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, Alton, 
Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia, Hannibal, Bowling Green, 
Columbia, Mexico, Jefferson City, Fulton, Saint Charles, 
Washington, Union, Sullivan, Saint Louis, and Farmington
337 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Illinois and Missouri...including the following 
  counties...in Illinois...Adams IL...Bond IL...Brown IL... 
  Calhoun IL...Clinton IL...Fayette IL...Jersey IL...Macoupin 
  IL...Madison IL...Marion IL...Monroe IL...Montgomery IL...Pike 
  IL...Randolph IL...Saint Clair IL and Washington IL. In 
  Missouri...Audrain MO...Boone MO...Callaway MO...Cole MO... 
  Crawford MO...Franklin MO...Gasconade MO...Iron MO...Jefferson 
  MO...Knox MO...Lewis MO...Lincoln MO...Madison MO...Marion 
  MO...Moniteau MO...Monroe MO...Montgomery MO...Osage MO...Pike 
  MO...Ralls MO...Reynolds MO...Saint Charles MO...Saint 
  Francois MO...Saint Louis City MO...Saint Louis MO...Sainte 
  Genevieve MO...Shelby MO...Warren MO and Washington MO. 

* through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms through tonight will bring
  an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall with locally higher
  values possible. This is in addition to the several inches of
  rainfall that has already fallen on Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ058-012200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190502T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
337 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* a portion of southwest Illinois...including the following 
  county...Greene IL. 

* through Thursday morning

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms through tonight will bring
  an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall with locally higher
  values possible. This is in addition to the several inches of
  rainfall that has already fallen on Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

TES
643 
WGUS63 KLSX 012039
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
339 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-020845-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, 
Chester, Sparta, Quincy, Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, Alton, 
Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia, Hannibal, Bowling Green, 
Columbia, Mexico, Jefferson City, Fulton, Saint Charles, 
Washington, Union, Sullivan, Saint Louis, and Farmington
339 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Illinois and Missouri.

* Through Thursday evening.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow will
  bring an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall with locally
  higher values possible. This is in addition to the several
  inches of rain which fell on Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ058-020845-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
339 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of southwest Illinois.

* Through Thursday evening.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow will
  bring an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall with locally
  higher values possible. This is in addition to the several
  inches of rain which fell on Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

Kanofsky
623 
WGUS63 KLSX 020847
FFALSX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
347 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-022200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-
Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, 
Chester, Sparta, Quincy, Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, Alton, 
Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia, Hannibal, Bowling Green, 
Columbia, Mexico, Jefferson City, Fulton, Saint Charles, 
Washington, Union, Sullivan, Saint Louis, and Farmington
347 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Illinois and Missouri...including the following 
  counties...in Illinois...Adams IL...Bond IL...Brown IL... 
  Calhoun IL...Clinton IL...Fayette IL...Jersey IL...Macoupin 
  IL...Madison IL...Marion IL...Monroe IL...Montgomery IL...Pike 
  IL...Randolph IL...Saint Clair IL and Washington IL. In 
  Missouri...Audrain MO...Boone MO...Callaway MO...Cole MO... 
  Crawford MO...Franklin MO...Gasconade MO...Iron MO...Jefferson 
  MO...Knox MO...Lewis MO...Lincoln MO...Madison MO...Marion 
  MO...Moniteau MO...Monroe MO...Montgomery MO...Osage MO...Pike 
  MO...Ralls MO...Reynolds MO...Saint Charles MO...Saint 
  Francois MO...Saint Louis City MO...Saint Louis MO...Sainte 
  Genevieve MO...Shelby MO...Warren MO and Washington MO. 

* through this evening

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms until this evening will
  bring an additional 1 inch of rainfall with locally higher
  values possible. Some of this may fall in a very short period of
  time in thunderstorms and will fall on already saturated ground.
  Several inches of rainfall have already fallen since Tuesday.  

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ058-022200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
347 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* a portion of southwest Illinois...including the following 
  county...Greene IL. 

* through this evening

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms until this evening will
  bring an additional 1 inch of rainfall with locally higher
  values possible. Some of this may fall in a very short period of
  time in thunderstorms and will fall on already saturated ground.
  Several inches of rainfall have already fallen since Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

TES
974 
WGUS63 KLSX 021611
FFALSX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1111 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-021715-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-
Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, 
Hannibal, Bowling Green, Columbia, Mexico, Jefferson City, 
and Fulton
1111 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of west central Illinois and
Missouri has been cancelled. Light rain showers will continue on
and off today, but the threat for heavy rain has moved farther to
the southeast. 

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072>075-
084-085-099-030000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-
Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, 
Chester, Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia, 
Saint Charles, Washington, Union, Sullivan, Saint Louis, 
and Farmington
1111 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and Missouri. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms today will bring an
  additional 1 inch of rainfall to the area. Locally higher values
  are possible and some of the rain may fall over a very short
  period of time. The rain will fall on already saturated ground.
  Several inches of rainfall have already fallen since Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ058-030000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
1111 AM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southwest Illinois. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms today will bring an
  additional 1 inch of rainfall to the area. Locally higher values
  are possible and some of the rain may fall over a very short
  period of time. The rain will fall on already saturated ground.
  Several inches of rainfall have already fallen since Tuesday. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

Kanofsky
532 
WGUS63 KLSX 022123
FFALSX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
423 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019


ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072>075-
084-085-099-030000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-
Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, 
Chester, Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia, 
Saint Charles, Washington, Union, Sullivan, Saint Louis, 
and Farmington
423 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and Missouri...including the following 
  counties...in Illinois...Bond IL...Calhoun IL...Clinton IL... 
  Fayette IL...Jersey IL...Macoupin IL...Madison IL...Marion 
  IL...Monroe IL...Montgomery IL...Randolph IL...Saint Clair IL 
  and Washington IL. In Missouri...Crawford MO...Franklin MO... 
  Gasconade MO...Iron MO...Jefferson MO...Lincoln MO...Madison 
  MO...Reynolds MO...Saint Charles MO...Saint Francois MO... Saint
  Louis City MO...Saint Louis MO...Sainte Genevieve MO... Warren 
  MO and Washington MO. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms today will bring additional
  rainfall to the area. The rain will fall on already saturated
  ground. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

ILZ058-030000-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
423 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of southwest Illinois...including the following 
  county...Greene IL. 

* Until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms today will bring additional
  rainfall to the area. The rain will fall on already saturated
  ground. 

* Heavy rainfall will result in flooding of low lying or poor 
  drainage areas...and ultimately dangerous flash flooding on 
  smaller creeks and streams. Significant rises on larger 
  streams and rivers will also be possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch is advance notice that conditions are
favorable that may lead to flash flooding. People in the Watch
area, especially in flood prone areas, should use this time to
make preparations just in case. Stay informed, and be ready for
quick action if flooding is observed or if a Flash Flood Warning
is issued.

&&

$$

Kanofsky
492 
WGUS63 KLSX 030005
FFALSX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
705 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019


ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072>075-
084-085-099-030115-
/O.EXP.KLSX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-
Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Litchfield, Vandalia, Centralia, Salem, 
Chester, Sparta, Alton, Edwardsville, Belleville, Cahokia, 
Saint Charles, Washington, Union, Sullivan, Saint Louis, 
and Farmington
705 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Illinois and Missouri has
expired. Widespread rainfall continues to move east and the threat
for heavy rain has diminished. Therfore, the watch will be allowed
to expire. 

$$

ILZ058-030115-
/O.EXP.KLSX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-190503T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greene IL-
705 PM CDT Thu May 2 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southwest Illinois has
expired. Widespread rainfall continues to move east and the threat
for heavy rain has diminished. Therfore, the watch will be allowed
to expire. 

$$

Maples

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Apr 30, 3:34 AM CDT, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 3:34 AM CDT, 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
334 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

A deep upper TROF existed over the western CONUS early this morning
resulting in southwest flow aloft over our region.  A surface cold
front existed across far southern MO into the lower Ohio Valley.
Temperatures were in the 50s for most locations north of the front
and in the 60s for areas near and to the south of the front.
Showers and thunderstorms have been shunted to the northern portions
of Missouri but are showing signs of losing their northward impetus.
New development of showers was occurring in portions of south-
central Missouri during the past hour. A larger MCS was over
southeast Kansas and northern Oklahoma in association with a lead
impulse ahead of the main storm still over the southern Rockies.

The area of showers and thunderstorms across the north is not
expected to move much this morning as the region of showers and
thunderstorms over south-central MO develops and pushes
northeastward.  This smaller area of storms is expected to push
through the STL metro area during mid-morning and then into central
IL by midday.

The lead impulse over the central Plains will track northeastward
into our region this afternoon and this is also expected to induce
the surface front northward as a warm front.  How far north this
front gets will be debatable but areas to the south will warm well,
pushing the lower 80s in many locations with dewpoints surging well
into the 60s.  Current indications are this front will push just
north of the STL metro area.  Areas to the north of the front will
hang on to solid cloud cover and high rain chances through the day,
limiting severely any warmup.

The lead impulse will not only track the MCS to our west pushing
into our area by midday, it will also ignite new convection on the
southeast flank of the MCS that should also be surface based.
Plenty of CAPE is expected to be available on the order of 3000-4000
J/kg and with moderate shear profiles, this will support severe
storm potential for hail and damaging winds.  It appears the greater
tornado threat has shifted more westward but the surface boundary
could represent a region for this tornado threat to be maximixed in
our area.

As has been advertised for several days now, very high precipitable
water values will exist, especially late this afternoon and into
tonight, with many areas exceeding 1.5" which is well above 90th
percentile values.  Plenty of convection is expected to be in play
by this time over our region and this continues to support the Flash
Flood Watches already issued.  Have expanded them to the remainder
of the forecast area in southwest IL with higher QPF now forecast
there.

TES

.LONG TERM...  (Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

The active wet weather pattern will continue through Thursday with
weak shortwaves moving northeastward through the region in
southwesterly upper level flow.  A weakening cold front across our
forecast area along with any outflow boundaries from overnight
convection will be the focus for new convective development in the
moist atmosphere which will become unstable Wednesday afternoon,
particularly across east central and southeast MO and southwest IL.
There will be a continued threat for severe storms, particularly
across central and southeast MO, plus the Flash Flood Watch will
continue through Wednesday night as the additional rainfall will
exacerbate any flooding and lead to continued rising river levels. A
negatively tilted shortwave will move northeastward through the
northern Plains and send another cold front southeastward into our
forecast area by late Wednesday night.  The threat for rain will
continue on Thursday as this front moves slowly southward through
our area, but it appears that the atmosphere will not become as
unstable as Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons with little if any
severe threat. A surface ridge behind the cold front moving through
the northern Plains and Great Lakes region will keep the chance of
rain likely confined to southeast MO and southwest IL by Thursday
night. A gradual cooling trend will also begin on Thursday and
Thursday night.  A southern stream shortwave moving eastward through
the southern Plains and Gulf Coast states will lead to at least
light showers Friday through Saturday, especially across southeast
MO and southwest IL.  It appears that there may be a dry period
Saturday night into Sunday, but an upper level trough moving
eastward through the northern Plains and the Great Lakes region will
send another cold front southeastward into our forecast area Sunday
afternoon and night with convection along this front.  The
operational GFS model stalls this front across southern portions of
MO and IL. Precipitation chances ramp up on Monday as a southern
stream shortwave over the southern Plains leads to good moisture
transport into this nearly stationary front.  The ECMWF model does
not have a southern stream shortwave and dissipates the surface
front, and hence has a much drier solution for Sunday night and
Monday compared to the GFS. With these significant model differences
will just include slight chance to chance pops for this time period.

GKS

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop
through the night and affect primarily KCOU and KUIN. This trend
will continue into Tuesday with lesser chances at the St. Louis
area terminals. A complex of thunderstorms will move through the
area late in the afternoon into the evening bringing the chance
for hail and and gusty winds in excess of 35kts. MVFR ceilings
are starting initially at KUIN and KCOU, but are expected to
spread during the night at all of the terminals, with some IFR
ceilings.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

Low chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue through
the rest of the night into Tuesday, though best chance will remain
north of the terminal. Better chance will come late tomorrow
afternoon into tomorrow evening when a line of thunderstorms is
expected to move into the area from the west. This line will have
the potential to bring hail and gusty winds in excess of 35kts.
VFR ceilings are starting out at the terminal, but MVFR and IFR
ceilings are expected at times throughout the rest of the period
starting at 04Z.

Britt

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday
     morning for Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-
     Crawford MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Jefferson MO-Lincoln
     MO-Moniteau MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Saint Charles MO-
     Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Warren MO-Washington MO.

     Flash Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday morning for
     Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte
     Genevieve MO.

     Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Knox MO-Lewis MO-
     Marion MO-Monroe MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Shelby MO.

IL...Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Thursday
     morning for Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin
     IL-Madison IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Saint Clair IL.

     Flash Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday morning for
     Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Marion IL-Randolph IL-Washington IL.

     Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Adams IL-Brown IL-
     Pike IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 4:23 PM CDT, 11 hours 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
423 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-302130-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
423 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected tonight across central and northeast
Missouri and west central Illinois. Locally heavy rainfall is
possible with these storms. A flash flood watch is in effect for this
region overnight. See the watch product for specific details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A very active period is expected Tuesday through Thursday with
numerous waves of thunderstorms expected across the region. Some of
the storms could be severe, especially on Tuesday afternoon and
evening and again on Wednesday afternoon and evening. The primary
severe weather threats on Tuesday will be damaging winds, large hail,
and isolated tornadoes, whereas the primary threat on Wednesday will
be large hail and damaging winds.

The numerous rounds of storms will also result in the potential for locally
heavy rainfall from Tuesday night through Wednesday night. A flash
flood watch is in effect for all but south central Illinois. See the
watch product for specific details.

In addition to the flash flood threat, the prolonged and potentially
heavy rainfall is forecast to impact the mainstem rivers. A number of
river forecast points on the Mississippi River above Alton are
forecast to return to moderate or major flooding.

A chance of thunderstorms will continue for parts of the area Friday
through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are asked to relay reports of rainfall of 2 inches or greater
as well as any observed high water or flooding.

Glass

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 11:38 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXBrown75 days
Apr 30, 11:38 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMorgan, Pike75 days
Apr 30, 2:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSXMadison41 min
Apr 30, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison44 min
Apr 30, 2:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMadison36 min
Apr 30, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Madison, Saint Clair47 min
Apr 30, 3:06 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXMadison, Saint Clair3 hr
Apr 30, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison49 min
Apr 30, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Madison, Montgomery47 min
Apr 30, 3:53 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXBond, Montgomery3 hr
Apr 30, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Madison, Saint Clair39 min
Apr 30, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Fayette, Montgomery38 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Illinois, 2019Every flash flood watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.