Tornado Warning 56, NWS Lake Charles, LA

496 
WWUS54 KLCH 161703
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1103 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

TXC241-361-161712-
/O.CAN.KLCH.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-191216T1730Z/
Orange TX-Jasper TX-
1103 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL ORANGE AND SOUTHEASTERN
JASPER COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Louisiana...and southeastern Texas.

LAT...LON 3038 9389 3052 9377 3044 9370 3042 9372
      3043 9372 3043 9373 3042 9373 3040 9374
      3040 9375 3031 9385 3033 9389
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 220DEG 28KT 3036 9386 

$$

TXC351-161730-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-191216T1730Z/
Newton TX-
1103 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON COUNTY...
    
At 1102 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Wrights Settlement, or 7 miles northwest of
Deweyville, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Devils Pocket around 1115 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3038 9389 3052 9377 3044 9370 3042 9372
      3043 9372 3043 9373 3042 9373 3040 9374
      3040 9375 3031 9385 3033 9389
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 220DEG 28KT 3036 9386 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

06

185 
WWUS54 KLCH 161713
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1113 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

TXC351-161722-
/O.CAN.KLCH.TO.W.0056.000000T0000Z-191216T1730Z/
Newton TX-
1113 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southwestern
Louisiana...and southeastern Texas.

LAT...LON 3038 9389 3052 9377 3044 9370 3042 9372
      3043 9372 3043 9373 3042 9373 3040 9374
      3040 9375 3031 9385 3033 9389
TIME...MOT...LOC 1712Z 220DEG 28KT 3043 9380 

$$

06

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
540 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

.AVIATION...

Overall, meteorological reasoning remains unchanged from the
previous TAF package with only minor changes made to the short
term period to better reflect current conditions. MVFR ceilings
will persist through the morning as showers begin to develop.
Enough instability is expected by mid-morning to allow for
thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of an approaching cold
front. These thunderstorms are expected to become more widespread
during the afternoon and some will be strong to severe with
strong, gusty winds. TEMPO groups remain relatively unchanged and
reflect the most likely timing of the strongest storms and frontal
passage. Behind the front, gusty northwesterly winds will develop
and continue through Tuesday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 337 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019/

DISCUSSION...
A weak low pressure area is attempting to form in northeast Texas
early this morning, with a cold front extending southwest across
Texas and a warm front extending northeast across Arkansas. All of
our region is in the warm sector, with temperatures in the upper
60s to lower 70s. As the front approaches our region later this
morning, storms are expected to become better organized into
lines, and SPC has outlined all of our region in some threat of
severe storms, from a marginal risk in southeast Texas, to a
slight risk in parts of southwest Louisiana, to an elevated risk
for parts of central and south central Louisiana. This is a
climatological favored time of year for severe storms, so
everyone should stay alert for weather warnings today. The threat
for severe storms will decrease as the front passes though, so by
this afternoon the threat will be diminished in southeast Texas,
and diminish in western Louisiana by mid afternoon, and parts of
central and south central Louisiana by early this evening.

Breezy and mild temperatures are expected today, but it will cool
off 25 to 35 degrees behind the front. By Tuesday morning, lows
should be in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs Tuesday will only
be in the 50s. A light freeze is expected both Wednesday morning
and Thursday morning for most of central Louisiana, and could
extend down close to parts of the I-10 corridor Wednesday morning.

The next threat for rain will be Friday or Friday night, but this
far out it looks to be a low threat.

MARINE...
Onshore flow increases this afternoon and have a small craft
advisory for the outer waters. Behind the front tonight into
Tuesday, northerly wind gusts approach gale criteria before
weakening by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  76  38  52  29 /  90  40   0   0
LCH  78  42  54  34 /  90  50   0   0
LFT  79  44  53  34 /  90  90  10   0
BPT  77  40  53  35 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Gale Watch from this evening through Tuesday afternoon for
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ470-472-
     475.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Tuesday
     for GMZ430-432-435.

&&

AVIATION...26

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1025 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-171630-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-East Cameron-
Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton-
Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
1025 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south
central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and
southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Strong to severe storms are possible today as a cold front
approaches the region. Damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated
tornado are the primary hazards. The threat will diminish as the
cold front passes the region later this afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A light freeze is expected Wednesday morning for central
Louisiana, extending as far south as parts of the I-10 corridor.
Another light freeze is expected Thursday morning in central
Louisiana.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

GMZ470-472-475-171630-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
1025 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.
   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Gale Warning will continue on Tuesday as strong gusts to near gale
force are expected to continue. Winds are expected to diminish by
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

GMZ430-432-435-171630-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
1025 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal lakes and bays of
the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Small Craft Advisory will continue on Tuesday as strong gusts to near gale
force are expected to continue. Winds are expected to diminish by
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

GMZ450-452-455-171630-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA
out 20 NM-
1025 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Gale Warning will continue on Tuesday as strong gusts to near gale
force are expected to continue. Winds are expected to diminish by
Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
941 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

LAZ030-TXZ259>262-161630-
Beauregard LA-Southern Newton TX-Northern Newton TX-
Southern Jasper TX-Northern Jasper TX-
941 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN BEAUREGARD PARISH...
SOUTHERN NEWTON AND SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CST...

At 940 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Wrights Settlement, or near Buna, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Merryville, Call, Bon Weir, Buna, Deridder, Trout Creek, Bivens, Old
Salem, Wrights Settlement, Devils Pocket, Bancroft, Junction and
Bleakwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3059 9394 3065 9387 3085 9371 3086 9331
      3040 9370 3040 9375 3037 9376 3037 9404
TIME...MOT...LOC 1540Z 214DEG 39KT 3047 9387

K. Kuyper