Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS North Platte, NE

738 
WWUS53 KLBF 082053
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
353 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

NEC113-117-171-082115-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190608T2115Z/
Logan NE-McPherson NE-Thomas NE-
353 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...NORTHEASTERN MCPHERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN
THOMAS COUNTIES...

At 353 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles north of
Ringgold, or 9 miles northeast of Tryon, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Tryon and Ringgold. 

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 92 between mile markers 203 and 215.
 Highway 97 between mile markers 26 and 39.
 Highway 83 near mile marker 120.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4159 10104 4174 10090 4174 10084 4180 10084
      4183 10081 4159 10048 4147 10083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 242DEG 7KT 4163 10078 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BJT/CLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
259 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 255 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

H5 analysis from earlier this morning had a closed low
over the Tennessee Valley with a trough extending south into the
northern Gulf of Mexico. This low was south of a ridge of high
pressure which extended from the upper midwest to Hudson Bay in
Canada. Further west, a deep trough of low pressure extended from
northeastern Alberta, south into northern portions of Nevada and
Utah. Ht. falls of 50 meters were noted from Salt Lake City to
Riverton WY this morning. H5 temperatures in association with the
trough very very cold with readings around -25 from Washington state
east and southeast to Idaho and Montana. A nice 50 to 70 KT mid
level jet streak extended from Nevada into northern Utah and
northeast to Glasgow MT. At the surface, a strong cold front was
located roughly from Ainsworth to Ogallala as of 2 PM CDT. Showers
and thunderstorms have continued to develop well ahead of the front
across the northeastern forecast area this morning into the early
afternoon hours. So far as of 2 PM CDT, activity along and ahead of
the front has been quiet. Skies were mostly cloudy as of 2 PM CDT
and temperatures ranged from 61 at Gordon, to 85 at Imperial.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

In the near term, the
main forecast challenges are precipitation chances tonight, then
temperatures for Sunday night. For tonight, based on the latest HRRR
and 4KM NAM solns, the cold front will be oriented from Naper, to
Arnold, to Hayes Center around 7 PM CDT. Thunderstorms will develop
and continue INVOF the front through mid evening as the front clears
the forecast area by 10 PM CDT. The severe threat will be limited
behind the front, however, the threat for thunderstorms will
continue through the late evening hours as mid level instability
continues across the eastern half of the forecast area. The threat
for showers will continue beyond this evening into Sunday morning as
the mid level trough of low pressure lifts into the Panhandle and
western Dakotas. By midday Sunday, good subsidence develops across
the forecast area in the wake of the exiting mid level trough. Dry
conditions are expected with highs forecast in the middle 60s. High
pressure will build into southeastern Colorado Sunday night. This
will lead to light westerly winds across the forecast area. This
typically is a good cool air drainage setup. With clear skies and
dry air in place, lows will fall quickly after sunset. There is some
differences in forecast lows noted with the latest 12z MET and MAV
guidance. The MAV guidance is running 2 to 5 degrees warmer
compared to the MET guidance. Given the wind setup Sunday night and
expected dry air in place, trended the forecast toward the cooler
MET guidance. This led to forecast lows ranging from the middle 30s
in the western Sandhills, to around 40 in the western forecast area
to the lower 40s in the east. ATTM, the coolest lows are 36 at
Antioch and 37 at Gordon with 39 at North Platte and 41 at
Valentine. The record lows Monday morning for North Platte and
Valentine are 38 and 37 respectively. As for frost potential, will
leave it out of this forecast package as my coolest low is 36 for
Antioch. If this trends lower, may need to insert frost in the
forecast and possibly issue a frost advisory.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

High pressure will build east into Kansas. Southerly winds will
increase northwest of the high and in advance of an approaching
cold front. After highs in the 60s Sunday, highs will reach into
the 70s for Monday. This will be followed by a cold front and
increased chances for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday into
Tuesday evening. Ridging will build into the western CONUS
midweek. Moisture will be limited Wednesday and Thursday and a dry
forecast will be continued. Highs Wednesday will be around 70
behind the exiting front, while highs in the upper 70s to near 80
are forecast for Thursday. The next threat for showers and
thunderstorms will arrive on Friday as the ridge across the CONUS
weakens and a more zonal pattern develops. Low level moisture will
return to the forecast area as well, lending support for
increased precipitation chances.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 634 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

Wind shear about 2000 feet above the surface around 40 to 45 kts
will continue through mid-morning. Thunderstorm activity will
become widespread this afternoon and evening and have put the
mention of thunderstorms in the TAF. Winds will switch to the
north this afternoon across north central Nebraska and this
evening across southwest Nebraska with the frontal passage.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Buttler
SHORT TERM...Buttler
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...Gomez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
305 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-092015-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
305 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019 /205 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are likely this evening across a
large portion of western and north central Nebraska. The main area
of concern for severe storms is south of a line from Ogallala, to
Thedford, to O'Neill. Large hail and damaging winds are the main
severe threats.

The North Platte River upstream from Lake McConaughy continues to
run high. Minor flooding is possible as a result. Please refer to
the latest Flood Warning for more details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

Our next chance for thunderstorms will be possible for much of
the day on Tuesday. At this time the severe weather potential is
low.

Thunderstorms are possible on Friday. At this time, the threat for
severe storms is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

CLB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
140 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

NEZ038-081930-
Custer NE-
140 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CUSTER COUNTY UNTIL
230 PM CDT...

At 139 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ansley, or 14 miles east of Broken Bow, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sargent, Ansley, Comstock, Berwyn, Weissert, Westerville, Arcadia
Diversion Dam State Wildlife Management Area and Wescott.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 183 between mile markers 90 and 115.
 Highway 2 between mile markers 291 and 294.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4128 9940 4141 9957 4166 9935 4156 9921
      4140 9921 4139 9920 4134 9920
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 233DEG 21KT 4137 9936

BJT/CLB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
313 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

NEZ008-009-082100-
Brown NE-Rock NE-
313 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL ROCK AND CENTRAL
BROWN COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 313 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Ainsworth, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ainsworth, Long Pine and Hofeld Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 183 between mile markers 194 and 196.
 Highway 20 between mile markers 237 and 251.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4227 9993 4238 10012 4267 9988 4247 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 221DEG 18KT 4239 9991

BJT/CLB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
315 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

NEZ024-025-036-037-082100-
Hooker NE-McPherson NE-Thomas NE-Logan NE-
315 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOOKER...
NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...NORTHEASTERN MCPHERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN THOMAS
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT/300 PM MDT/...

At 315 PM CDT/215 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 7 miles northeast of Tryon, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Tryon.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 92 between mile markers 210 and 213.
 Highway 97 between mile markers 32 and 40.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 126 and 128.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ for north central and west central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4150 10080 4159 10104 4184 10085 4169 10046
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 220DEG 11KT 4164 10083

BJT/CLB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
326 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

NEZ009-010-027-028-082115-
Loup NE-Holt NE-Garfield NE-Rock NE-
326 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROCK...NORTHEASTERN
LOUP...NORTHWESTERN GARFIELD AND SOUTHWESTERN HOLT COUNTIES UNTIL 415
PM CDT...

At 325 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles north of Calamus Reservoir State Recreation Area, or 21 miles
north of Burwell, moving northeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Carson Lake and Sunfish Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
north central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4195 9921 4213 9941 4234 9914 4208 9885
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 238DEG 7KT 4209 9923

BJT/CLB