Severe Thunderstorm Warning 290, NWS North Platte, NE

143 
WWUS53 KLBF 010245
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
945 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

NEC089-183-010300-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0290.000000T0000Z-191001T0300Z/
Holt NE-Wheeler NE-
945 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOLT AND NORTH CENTRAL WHEELER COUNTIES...

At 944 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ewing, or 19
miles southeast of O'neill, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Ewing, Page, Inman, Knievels Corner and Goose Lake State Wildlife
Management Area.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 316 and 328.
 Highway 281 between mile markers 157 and 166.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4202 9841 4209 9875 4247 9846 4238 9830
      4209 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 216DEG 47KT 4223 9843 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Gomez

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
710 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

The surface cold will be positioned just southeast of the
forecast area by 00Z this evening. Modest instability will be n
place near and just north of the front with sufficient 0-3km shear
of 45-50kts. Deep layer forcing will increase quickly in the
evening as a low level jet develops and increases convergence
along north of the front.

Scattered thunderstorms should develop quickly, within an
environment marginally supportive for isolated strong to severe
storms. The area of concern will be south of an Imperial through
North Platte to Ewing line. Isolated damaging wind gusts and some
hail possible. Storms look to transition to elevated showers and
thunderstorms with a modest mid level lapse rates near 7 C/km.
POPs increase into the likely category most areas by late evening
and remain so overnight.

Additional concerns regard the potential for heavy rain with
storms lifting northeast away from the boundary. Though the
heaviest rainfall looks to fall south and east of the local CWA,
training storms are possible with total rain amounts of up to
1.0" possible tonight through Tuesday. Heaviest rainfall amounts
across the southeast were lowered from the previous forecast.

Lows tonight will generally range from near 40 northwest Sandhills
to near 50 far southeast.

Highs Tuesday will be much below normal for early October from
about 25 degrees below normal northwest (mid to upper 40s) to 15
degrees below normal south (mid 50s).

On Tuesday, an upper trough positioned across the Intermountain
West in tandem with an upper ridge over the Southeast U.S., will
provide southwesterly flow aloft and persistent isentropic
upglide. Skies will remain overcast Tuesday, with categorical POPs
in central Nebraska during the morning and likely POPs over much
of the remaining area. Additional rainfall amounts could reach a
quarter to half inch across southeastern areas.

Shower chances increase to likely again Tuesday night as the
base of the upper trough swings through Wyoming and western
Colorado. Even with the colder air, wet bulb temperature remain
above 35 degrees in Sheridan and nw Cherry County. Thus, expecting
all precipitation to fall as rain with no travel impacts aside
from wet surfaces. Lows will range from the mid to upper 30s in
the northwest to mid 40s southeast. No potential for frost during
this time given moist low levels and overcast skies.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

A good chance for morning showers Wednesday morning, ending in the
afternoon. Mainly cloudy skies, to see some return sunshine
southwestern areas in the afternoon. High again much below normal
from near 50 northeast to near 60 far southwest.

Clear skies and surface high pressure near 1028mb will settle over
western Nebraska Wednesday night. Overnight lows upper 20s to
lower 30s west of Valentine through Ogallala to mid 30s further
east. It looks probable for the first frost/freeze for the growing
season, at least across our west.

Dry conditions Thursday and Friday, as upper ridging crosses the
region. Highs return to the upper 50s to mid 60s Thursday and the
60s to near 70 Friday. A chance for showers Friday night into
Saturday as an upper trough crosses the Northern Plains.
Temperature remain slightly below normal in the low to mid 60s
Saturday through Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 659 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening then
rain showers are possible through the day. IFR conditions are
expected after midnight. Winds will increase overnight and remain
breezy during the day across southwest Nebraska.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Gomez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
253 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-012000-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
253 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019 /153 PM MDT Mon Sep 30 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

Showers and thunderstorm chances increase this evening. There is
a marginal risk for strong to severe thunderstorms south and east
of a line from Imperial to Ewing where any storms will be capable
of producing large hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through the day on
Tuesday. At this time, the threat for severe weather remains low.

There is a chance for some patchy/areas of frost across portions
of western and northwest Nebraska Thursday morning. Low
temperatures across the northwest Sandhills will fall into the
upper 20s, while western Nebraska will be in the lower to mid 30s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

Thorne

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
853 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

NEZ010-028-029-010230-
Wheeler NE-Holt NE-Garfield NE-
853 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GARFIELD...SOUTH
CENTRAL HOLT AND NORTHWESTERN WHEELER COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 852 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northeast of Burwell, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Chambers, Gables and Sunfish Lake.

This includes Highway 281 between mile markers 158 and 167.

LAT...LON 4182 9890 4193 9912 4230 9882 4219 9854
TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 211DEG 44KT 4194 9895

Gomez

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
854 PM CDT MON SEP 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     HAIL             BURWELL                 41.78N 99.14W
09/30/2019  M1.00 INCH       GARFIELD           NE   PUBLIC

            RANGE OF HAIL SIZES FROM PEA TO NICKLE TO
            QUARTER.

&&

ET

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
859 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

NEZ010-028-029-010230-
Wheeler NE-Holt NE-Garfield NE-
859 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARFIELD...SOUTH
CENTRAL HOLT AND WESTERN WHEELER COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 857 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Fort Hartsuff State Park, or 10 miles north of Ord,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bartlett, Ericson, Buffalo Flats, Goose Lake State Wildlife
Management Area, Cumminsville and Four Corners.

This includes Highway 281 between mile markers 142 and 163.

LAT...LON 4174 9869 4174 9898 4217 9865 4207 9837
TIME...MOT...LOC 0157Z 208DEG 45KT 4174 9886

Gomez

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
915 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

NEZ010-010245-
Holt NE-
915 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM
CDT...

At 914 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Amelia, or 19 miles southwest of O'neill, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
O'neill, O'Neill, Atkinson, Amelia and Emmet.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 290 and 308.
 Highway 281 between mile markers 183 and 195.

LAT...LON 4221 9893 4230 9914 4272 9884 4255 9851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 212DEG 44KT 4232 9898

Gomez

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
924 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

NEZ038-010300-
Custer NE-
924 PM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTY UNTIL
1000 PM CDT...

At 924 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Gothenburg, or 24 miles northwest of Lexington,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Callaway, Oconto, Lodi and Pressey State Wildlife Management Area.

LAT...LON 4106 10021 4136 9984 4117 9959 4105 9982
      4105 10019
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 226DEG 41KT 4105 10006

Gomez

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
926 PM CDT MON SEP 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 PM     HAIL             9 SW ANSLEY             41.20N 99.50W
09/30/2019  M0.75 INCH       CUSTER             NE   PUBLIC

0804 PM     HAIL             2 NE WESTERVILLE        41.42N 99.36W
09/30/2019  M0.88 INCH       CUSTER             NE   PUBLIC

0806 PM     HAIL             3 NE WESTERVILLE        41.43N 99.35W
09/30/2019  M0.25 INCH       CUSTER             NE   PUBLIC

0835 PM     HAIL             1 SE BURWELL            41.77N 99.12W
09/30/2019  M0.88 INCH       GARFIELD           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ET