Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Jackson, KY

July 3, 2019Breathitt County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2019, 2:50 PM EDT for Breathitt County, Kentucky. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2019, 2:50 PM EDT (18:50 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2019, 3:30 PM EDT
In force: 40 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.88 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Breathitt County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 219 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -92 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 2:50 PM EDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 2:50 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 4:07 AM EDT, 10 hours 43 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
407 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-041100-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
407 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms will be possible, mainly this afternoon and
evening. Some storms could produce locally heavy rainfall as well
as gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorms will be possible at times from Thursday through
Monday, with the highest chances occurring into the weekend. In
general, the most likely times for thunderstorms will be during
the afternoon and evening hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

CGAL/GEOGERIAN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 2:08 PM EDT, 42 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
208 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

KYZ112-031845-
Breathitt-
208 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN BREATHITT COUNTY
UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

At 206 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Crockettsville,
or 11 miles southwest of Jackson, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Altro, Bush Branch, Hardshell, Copland, Wolf Coal, Beech,
Frozen Creek, Dalesburg, Quicksand, Canoe, Gentry, Elkatawa,
Inverness, Morris Fork, Haddix, Crockettsville, Saldee, Clayhole and
Smith Branch.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3737 8355 3741 8354 3743 8355 3762 8342
      3744 8319 3743 8321 3744 8322 3742 8324
      3736 8344 3738 8345 3738 8348 3734 8351
TIME...MOT...LOC 1806Z 231DEG 14KT 3741 8347

RAY

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 2:12 PM EDT, 38 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
212 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

KYZ050-051-031900-
Montgomery-Bath-
212 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND
NORTHWESTERN BATH COUNTIES UNTIL 3 PM EDT...

At 212 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Judy, or 7
miles north of Mount Sterling, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Sharpsburg, Ewington, Judy,
Reynoldsville, Sideview, Grassy Lick, Bethel, Flat Creek, Stoops and
Bourbon Furnace.

LAT...LON 3812 8372 3805 8404 3808 8406 3812 8408
      3814 8406 3817 8399 3819 8398 3829 8385
TIME...MOT...LOC 1812Z 246DEG 12KT 3816 8400

RAY

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 2:24 PM EDT, 26 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
224 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

KYZ069-114-116-031915-
Jackson-Clay-Owsley-
224 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL OWSLEY...
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM
EDT...

At 223 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Annville, or 7
miles south of McKee, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
McKee, Turkey Foot, Olin, Egypt, Zekes Point, Shop Branch, Maulden,
Island City, Mummie, Annville, Tyner, Privett, Bradshaw, Mildred,
Elian, Settle Store, Chestnutburg, Shepherdtown, Deese and Datha.

LAT...LON 3725 8394 3726 8402 3735 8410 3751 8387
      3732 8369 3724 8394
TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 241DEG 13KT 3732 8397

RAY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 2, 8:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe	46 min
Jul 3, 1:22 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Pulaski	3 hr
Jul 3, 1:30 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Pulaski	3 hr
Jul 3, 2:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt	37 min
Jul 3, 2:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bath	48 min
Jul 3, 2:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Jackson	51 min
Jul 3, 2:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Owsley	42 min
Jul 3, 2:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Montgomery	35 min
Jul 3, 3:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Owsley	42 min
Jul 3, 3:13 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bath, Montgomery	3 hr
Jul 3, 3:15 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Breathitt, Owsley	91 min
Jul 3, 3:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Rowan	49 min
Jul 3, 3:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Morgan	39 min
Jul 3, 6:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Perry	25 min
Jul 3, 6:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Pulaski	27 min
Jul 3, 7:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Owsley	25 min
Jul 3, 7:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Owsley	26 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.