Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
901 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

.Update.../through this evening/...

The region is between high pressure to the east and an approaching
cold front to the west this morning. A tight pressure gradient
between these two features is resulting in gusty winds. The front,
with a line of strong to severe storms along it is expected to
reach western counties this morning, then track fairly quickly
east across the region. The line is expected to reach the I95
corridor between 1 PM and 4 PM. The combination of the winds
available in lower levels, and speed of this line, will likely
maintain strong to severe intensity to the storms across the
forecast area. In addition, a few tornadoes will be possible
embedded in this line. Locally heavy rainfall is also expected.
Gusty winds will continue behind this main line with isolated to
scattered showers.

Highs are expected to range from the mid 70s inland to the mid
80s east.

&&

.AVIATION...

MVFR ceilings will prevail through around 15Z. Sustained
southerly surface winds will quickly increase to 20-25
knots at the regional terminals by 14Z, with frequent
gusts to 35-40 knots well before thunderstorms impact
the terminals. Southerly winds will also quickly increase
to 50 knots at around 2000 feet by 15Z. A squall line of
severe thunderstorms will approach GNV shortly after 17Z
and will impact the remainder of the terminals during
the 18Z-20Z time frame. Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots
will be possible within stronger activity that impacts the
terminals, with a brief period of IFR conditions expected
as the line moves through. MVFR ceilings and light showers
will be possible in the wake of the squall line through
around 21Z-23Z. Surface winds will shift to southwesterly
by 21Z, with sustained speeds decreasing to 10-20 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  78  48  64  47 / 100   0   0   0
SSI  81  53  69  53 / 100   0   0   0
JAX  84  52  71  50 / 100   0   0   0
SGJ  85  53  72  53 / 100  10  10   0
GNV  81  52  70  48 / 100   0  10   0
OCF  82  53  71  48 /  80  10  20   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for Baker-Bradford-
     Central Marion-Clay-Coastal Duval-Coastal Flagler-Coastal
     Nassau-Coastal St. Johns-Eastern Alachua-Eastern Marion-
     Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Duval-Inland Flagler-Inland
     Nassau-Inland St. Johns-Northern Columbia-Putnam-Southern
     Columbia-Suwannee-Union-Western Alachua-Western Marion.

     High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Duval-Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns.

GA...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for Appling-Atkinson-
     Bacon-Brantley-Clinch-Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Coffee-
     Echols-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Northeastern
     Charlton-Northern Ware-Pierce-Southern Ware-Wayne-Western
     Charlton.

     High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Camden-Coastal Glynn.

AM...Gale Warning until 11 PM EDT this evening for Coastal waters
     from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
     Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to
     Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina
     Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St.
     Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

23/Nelson

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1031 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TSTM WND DMG     STATENVILLE             30.70N 83.03W
04/19/2019                   ECHOLS             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            ECHOLS COUNTY 911/DISPATCH REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED
            IN THE VICINITY OF STATENVILLE. TIME OF DAMAGE BASED ON
            RADAR DATA.

&&

NELSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1037 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ENE MCALPIN             30.14N 82.95W
04/19/2019                   Suwannee           FL   911 CALL CENTER

            SUWANNEE COUNTY 911/DISPATCH REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES AND
            POWER LINES DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS COUNTY-WIDE.

&&

NELSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1046 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     TSTM WND DMG     AXSON                   31.27N 82.74W
04/19/2019                   ATKINSON           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ATKINSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS A LARGE TREE
            DOWNED ACROSS A ROADWAY IN AXSON. TIME OF DAMAGE BASED ON
            RADAR DATA.

&&

NELSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1049 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COGDELL                 31.16N 82.72W
04/19/2019                   CLINCH             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CLINCH COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS TREES DOWN IN
            THE COGDELL AREA AND POWER OUTAGES IN DUPONT. TIME OF
            TREE DAMAGE BASED ON RADAR DATA.

&&

NELSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1052 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WNW PEARSON           31.31N 82.90W
04/19/2019                   Atkinson           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ATKINSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS TREES DOWNED
            IN THE VICINITY OF KIRKLAND. TIME OF DAMAGE BASED ON
            RADAR DATA.

&&

NELSON

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